把握中小企业信贷市场机遇

经过党中央、国务院坚定有力的政策调控,当前中国经济逐步在危机冲击下复苏,从更宽广的视角看,这次危机将成为中国经济在全球崛起的新起点。经历了金融危机洗礼之后,那些在攻坚克难中成长的中小企业将迎来全新的发展。     

Neural Networks and Empirical Research in Accounting

This article seeks to provide an overview of the potential role of neural network (connectionist) methodology in empirical accounting research. It highlights how the accounting task domain differs substantially from those for which neural network techniques were originally developed. A non-technical overview of neural network methodology is given, along with guidelines to help accounting researchers interested in applying these new tools to recognise the potential dangers and strengths underlying their use. An illustrative example is provided. The paper suggests research areas in accounting where neural network approaches could make a potential contribution. Explicit recommendations for prospective authors are made.     

边缘信贷市场开发:银行小企业贷款专营个案

信息不对称和抵押担保难一直是困扰中小企业融资问题的瓶颈.实践表明,近年来日益涌现和增多的银行小企业贷款专营机构进行了诸多信贷技术和营销模式等方面的有益探索,有效解决了小企业以及边缘群体客户的融资难问题,演绎着中国信贷市场结构和信贷制度的某种改良.     

农村信用社个人客户授信限额模型研究——以内蒙古农村信用社为例

以内蒙古农村信用社个人客户授信限额模型的构建过程及结果为例,阐述了农村信用社个人客户授信限额模型构建的必要性、构建内容、模型验证和监测方法、限额管理建议等。首先对农村信用社构建个人客户授信限额模型的必要性进行了阐述,主要从个人客户授信业务发展和个人客户限额模型的重要性方面展开。其次,分析了个人客户授信限额模型构建方法,主要从常用模型和其他同业机构采用的模型入手进行分析。再次,对内蒙古农村信用社个人客户授信限额模型的内容和要素进行了详细描述;另外,对限额模型的验证和监测方法提出了明确的建议。最后,对农村信用社改善限额管理效果,提出了组织架构治理、制度建设、支持条件、限额应用等方面的改进措施。     

Integrating Neural Networks for Risk-Adjustment Models

This article demonstrates the possibility of an alternative approach for risk-adjustment models. In the proposed model the risk characteristics of the beneficiary's health within the same cohort classified by Self-Organizing Map network are highly homogeneous, whereas the numbers of individuals within each cohort remain sufficient to allow further investigation of the causal effect from clustered data. A comparison of different models by the 10-fold cross-validation reveals that the performance improvement in the proposed integration model is both significant and stable across the estimation and validation sampling.     

信用资源的深层发掘:荣成党员先锋创业贷款案例

本文通过对荣成市农民党员先锋创业扶助贷款业务中扶持对象的选择、政府推介审批、农村信用社风险控制以及扶持效果的介绍,揭示出此类贷款的实质是农村信用社对农村信用资源的深层发掘,是政府和信用社在深度渗透下形成合作博弈格局的结果,提出政府参与优选和制度约束是其安全性和有效性的前提,而建立担保基金的随机补偿机制,是有效规避该业务信贷风险的改进措施。     

农村信用社贷款利率定价研究——以山东省为例

本文以山东省为例,考察了农村信用社贷款利率定价的现状,分析了贷款利率定价中存在的问题,提出了完善农村信用社贷款利率定价的对策建议.     

Credit Risk in Interbank Networks

ABSTRACT

One of the most striking characteristics of modern financial systems is their complex interdependence, comprising a network of bilateral exposures in the interbank market, in which institutions with surplus liquidity can lend to those with a liquidity shortage. Empirical studies reveal that some interbank networks have features of scale-free networks. We explore the characteristics of financial contagion in networks whose distribution of links approaches a power law, using a model that defines banks’ balance sheets from information on network connectivity. By varying the parameters for the creation of the network, several interbank networks are built, in which the concentration of debt and credit comes from the distribution of links. The results suggest that networks that are more connected and have a high concentration of credit are more resilient to contagion than other types of networks analyzed.     

Director Networks and Credit Ratings

We explore the effect of director social capital, directors with large and influential networks, on credit ratings. Using a sample of 11,172 firm‐year observations from 1999 to 2011, we find that larger board networks are associated with higher credit ratings than both firm financial data and probabilities of default predict. Near‐investment grade firms improve their forward‐looking ratings when their board is more connected. Last, we find that larger director networks are more beneficial during recessions, and times of increased financial uncertainty. Our results are robust to controls for endogeneity. Tests confirm that causality runs from connected boards to credit ratings.     

农村信用社组织再造与治理优化的探讨——以山东省为例

目前,农村信用社在省级联社管理下县一级法人为主体的组织形式已经不适应经济"一体化"发展的需要,面临法人治理低效、成本与风险管理能力弱、发展规模与赢利能力受限等一系列难题.本文从山东情况出发,在分析区域经济特征和农信社省一级法人的比较优势基础上,提出在山东省这类城乡差别逐步缩小、农村经济相对发达的地区,外部经济环境的变化要求农村信用社实现更高层次的改革,组建农村信用社省一级法人的内外部条件已经基本具备,并就改革的路径进行了初步探讨.     

信贷断点的有效连接:胶南“金智惠农”支农案例

本文基于帕累托改进的视角,对胶南市推出的"金智惠农"创业扶持贷款模式进行了透析,认为其在设计上将银行贷款、科技支持和政府贴息有机结合起来,实现了"政府、银行、科技"三位一体支农模式的统一,实现了"合作博弈"过程中政府、银行、农户三方利益的帕累托改进。     

The Exploitation of Relationships in Financial Distress: The Case of Trade Credit

This paper develops optimal pricing, lending, and renegotiation strategies for companies in relationships where one firm is highly dependent on the other. Long-term trade–creditor firm relationships induce dependent trade creditors to grant more concessions in debt renegotiations than nondependent creditors. Anticipating these larger renegotiation concessions, not only do less financially stable firms prefer trade credit, but all firms agree to pay a higher interest rate for trade credit. The model also explains the existence of "teaser" interest rates and convenience classes. Findings are consistent with those of the relationship-lending literature.     

信贷断点的有效连接:胶南"金智惠农"支农案例

本文基于帕累托改进的视角,对胶南市推出的＂金智惠农＂创业扶持贷款模式进行了透析,认为其在设计上将银行贷款、科技支持和政府贴息有机结合起来,实现了＂政府、银行、科技＂三位一体支农模式的统一,实现了＂合作博弈＂过程中政府、银行、农户三方利益的帕累托改进。     

公共信用信息平台应用模式研究:以上海为例

通过归纳公共信用信息平台的五个特点,结合上海公共信用信息平台的实践运作,从供给和需求两个维度,总结了监管、公共和市场服务三个领域的五个典型应用模式,即行政监管、政府补贴享受、福利人事政策、第三方征信机构服务、特定人群风险防控,并进一步探讨运行中普遍面临的转授权和市场化运营两大问题.     

王先臣:打造财政的神经网络

在新的时期下,对财政的管理工作也出现了一些新的特征。财政以出纳为主的收支管理向履行受托责任服务与社会发展的资源配置方向扩展。金融危机在催生资产负债规模框架下的预算资金和国库现金统筹     

基于层次分析法的农村信用社发展竞争力比较研究——以聊城市农村信用社为例

2003年国务院启动了深化农村信用社改革试点,实践证明改革成效明显,农村信用社竞争力不断增强.确定农村信用社竞争力评价指标体系,对于客观评价改革成效、制定发展战略具有重要意义.本文采用层次分析法,对农村信用社改革前后的竞争力进行评价.     

The China puzzle: Opportunities for accounting research

How can China achieve phenomenal economic growth despite what is considered as 'weak' institutions in market-based economies? Xu(2011) provides a framework to u...     

The Case for Accounting Education Research

Pressures on the unit of resources within higher education are noted and the possible implications for assessment practice considered. There is a tension between low-cost and high-quality assessments, yet assessment appears to drive the students' agenda and requires careful thought if the programme design is to lead to high-quality learning outcomes. A theoretical framework is presented with the purpose of developing an assessment strategy which will enhance the quality of learning by the student. A case study of an introductory accounting module is described and issues of teaching, learning and assessment are explored. A message of hope is signalled; it may be possible to foster deep learning through assessments which engage the student actively with the subject, despite the apparent constraints acting upon academics.     

信贷政策产品化的创新路径:山东案例

中央银行职能的调整使信贷政策传导面临诸多制约,迫切需要探索创新信贷政策传导新机制.山东的实践证明,信贷政策产品化的创新,须依据企业和居民资产财富、信用的积累状况以及银行信贷制度的改进程度而适时展开,由此真正成为基层央行传导信贷政策的有效途径.