陆桥商讯

首届中韩海运论坛在威海举行 由中国船东协会和山东省威海市政府共同主办的＂2010中韩海运论坛＂日前在山东威海举行。今年是中韩客货和集装箱班轮航线开通20周年,作为中韩航运企业的首届论坛,本次论坛的主题是合作与发展,     

寻求东亚的新引擎

面对全球经济发展的潜在风险，东亚经济很有可能成为最大的受害者。区域内投资合作必须成为东亚经济增长的新引擎。日前在威海举办的“东亚投资论坛”传递出这样的信息。     

资讯

<正>2005'电影产业投资高层论坛顺利举行 由资本市场杂志社和 中国电影发行放映协会共同举办的 “2005'电影产业投资论坛”于9月 23日、24日在北京新大都饭店顺利 举行。 国家广电总局有关领导出席了 论坛,来自全国的200多家电影制 片公司、发行公司、院线、影院和 投资机构代表参加了论坛,为期两 天的论坛就“中国电影产业投资政 策及战略分析”、“电影院线竞争与 发展”、“数字电影的跨越式发展” 等话题进行了研讨。论坛还发布了 由国务院发展研究中心金融研究所 副所长巴曙松博士撰写的《中国电 影产业投资分析报告》。     

专题一 知识东亚与现实东亚（之三）——东亚地域秩序：超越帝国，走向东亚共同体

所谓东亚秩序,指的是在一定历史时期内东亚国际问题所适用的,或维持国际关系的某种特定范式。如果回顾一下影响东亚国际关系的特定范式的演变轨迹,就会发现东亚国际关系是伴随着中国、日本、美国等中心国家的交替变化而不断被重新规定的。所以,本文拟通过考察中华帝国、日本帝国及美利坚帝国所主导的东亚秩序的形成、膨胀与消亡的过程,来分析各时期东亚秩序的历史特点。     

2018年科技进步论坛暨第六届中国产学研合作创新论坛成功举办北大核心CSSCI

8月16-17日,由我社与中国管理科学学会、山西大学、武汉大学中国产学研合作问题研究中心、太原师范学院共同举办的2018年科技进步论坛暨第六届中国产学研合作创新论坛在太原成功举办。来自清华大学、同济大学、西北大学等100余所高校以及科研机构、企业近500名专家、学者出席论坛。中国管理科学学会张晓东秘书长、科技进步与对策杂志社肖松社长出席论坛开幕式并致辞。论坛紧扣时代脉搏,以"领跑与并跑:打造中国高质量发展的科技创新引擎"为主题,邀请到科技创新及     

东亚地域秩序:超越帝国,走向东亚共同体

所谓东亚秩序,指的是在一定历史时期内东亚国际问题所适用的,或维持国际关系的某种特定范式.如果回顾一下影响东亚国际关系的特定范式的演变轨迹,就会发现东亚国际关系是伴随着中国、日本、美国等中心国家的交替变化而不断被重新规定的.所以,本文拟通过考察中华帝国、日本帝国及美利坚帝国所主导的东亚秩序的形成、膨胀与消亡的过程,来分析各时期东亚秩序的历史特点.     

十年风雨路 一座锦绣城

威海经济技术开发区位于威海市区南端,是1992年10月21日经国务院批准设立的国家级经济技术开发区,总面积72平方公里。2000年4月27日,国务院又批准在威海开发区内设立威海出口加工区,总规划面积2.6平方公里,与威海经济技术开发区实行一个机构、两块牌子,统一开发、统一管理。威海经济技术开发区沐浴着小平同志南巡讲话的春风,伴随着新一轮改革开放的大潮,于1992年在威海市诞生了。这个迟来的新生命,一诞生就举步维艰。国务院在批文中明确指示威海经济技术开发区属“自费开发”。先期设立的第一批14个沿海经济技术开发区已行进了8年;其时中国…     

资讯

风标东亚成为我国对外投资重点区域7月14日,第三届东亚投资论坛在北京举行,旨在为中国企业"走出去"出谋划策。据中国商务部的统计,近三年中国对外直接投资年均增长71.3%,到2006年年底,中国对外投资遍及160多个国家和地区,累计投资额超过733亿美元。对外投     

关于中国加入WTO与流通开放二十年的研讨

2021年12月26日,由中国商业经济学会消费研究院、流通三十人专家委员会(G30)主办,阿里研究院新消费研究中心、北京商业经济学会、北京国际商贸中心研究基地、北京财贸职业学院“中国服务”智库承办的“中国加入WTO与流通开放二十年”为主题的中国商业经济学会商品流通论坛(第14次)在京举办。出席本次论坛的专家有商务部原党组成员、部长助理、中国商业经济学会名誉会长黄海,国家粮食总局原局长、党委书记高铁生,中国商业经济学会会长马龙龙,中国物流与采购联合会原常务副会长丁俊发,中国社会科学评价研究院院长荆林波,北京京商流通研究院院长、北京商业经济学会常务副会长赖阳,中国物流与采购联合会副会长、物美商业集团首席运营官、执行董事于剑波,阿里研究院新消费研究中心主任吕志彬。     

“中国公共经济论坛:中国城镇化的走向、问题和选择”在上海行政学院召开

正2014年5月10日,"中国公共经济论坛:中国城镇化的走向、问题和选择"在上海行政学院召开。本次论坛由中国公共经济研究会、国家行政学院学报、上海行政学院学报共同主办,来自国家行政学院、国务院发展研究中心、中央党校、财政部科研所、上海社会科学院、上海行政学院、南京大学、复旦大学等科研教学机构的专家学者及有关媒体的编辑记者30余人出席了本次论坛。全国政协委员、中国公共经济研究会会长、国家行政学院原副院长韩康,中国公共经济研究会副会长、上海行政     

Connectivity in East Asia

As Asian economies have become more connected through physical and institutional infrastructure, the region's trade has grown and changed. Intraregional trade has increased its share, in large part through the expansion of trade in intermediates in connection with development of global value chains. At the same time, as part of the same process and as part of the structural transformation that underlies most economic development, the share of services in Asia's trade has risen. Policies that support the development of regional infrastructure and the flow of goods and services, as well as factors of production, can increase the benefits from connectivity. Meanwhile, regional cooperation has a key role to play in mitigating negative impacts that may arise from the vulnerabilities that accompany greater connectivity.     

Academic Economic Opinion in East Asia

Surveys of economists' opinions have been reported from around the world over the past two decades, but never (as far as we are aware) from a non-Western country. This article presents the results of our survey of academic economists drawn from ten East Asian nations. Respondents gave their views on a number of economic propositions ranging across issues of deregulation, government business enterprises, micro-economic and labour market reform, income distribution, and attitudes to the market. Finally, the article reports the results of multidimensional scaling techniques which were used to compare the attitudes of East Asian academic economists toward the market with those of their international colleagues. Overall, we found that while our colleagues in Asia make some allowances for circumstances unique to fast-growing developing economies, their predilection toward market solutions to economic problems reflects that of their (predominantly) Western training. Economists in the ‘Tiger’ nations (Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan and South Korea) more closely reflect the views of colleagues in the market-friendly West (especially North America, Australia and Germany) than do economists in the newly emerging (‘non-Tiger’) nations such as Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines.     

Japan's Security Policy in East Asia

Japan's strategic thinking has been driven by three main factors: a fear of isolation, calculation of the geopolitical strength of China (and to a lesser extent, Korea), and accommodation to the prevailing international power structure. During the Cold War Japan aligned with Washington, but maintained sufficient distance to explore a mutually beneficial relationship with China based on Japan's dominant economic position. As Chinese power has grown and Japan's own economic tools for statecraft have slowed, Tokyo has moved closer to the United States to balance Chinese power. Japan has also had to seek new ways to shape the security environment in Asia, turning to multilateral diplomacy such as the Changmai Initiative. Where Japan's diplomacy in Asia in the 1980s and 1990s emphasized Japan's unique ability to champion "Asian" values with the West, increasingly Tokyo has emphasized its unique ability to champion universal values of democracy and rule of law in Asia. This theme has been used by conservative governments to improve Japan's brand over China, but also builds on a tradition of Japanese diplomatic efforts to take a lead in rule-making in the region. Prime Minister Koizumi's assertive foreign policy helped to reinvigorate Japan's international position, but he moved from the traditional three part formulation of Japan's orientation – the U.S. alliance, the UN system and Asia – to a simpler two part formulation of "the U.S.-Japan alliance and international cooperation." The lack of focus on Asia has contributed to growing tensions with South Korea and China over history issues, even as Japan's global and broader regional standing has increased according to most opinion polls. These regional challenges will continue to confront future Prime Ministers well past Koizumi.     

On the Future of Inflation Targeting in East Asia

This article analyzes the problems associated with inflation targeting (IT) regimes in a number of East Asian countries. It scrutinizes the policy conflicts that can arise when a central bank that has adopted a formal inflation target to guide the conduct of monetary policy simultaneously manages the exchange rate and pursues financial stability objectives. To this end, it empirically investigates the importance of exchange rate and terms of trade movements as determinants of inflation rates across East Asian economies and discusses the role of central banks in guarding financial stability and the ways this may conflict with an IT regime. The article argues that IT never really has been a suitable monetary framework for East Asian countries and that it should hence be supplanted by transparent monetary frameworks that explicitly recognize the multiple goals that are being pursued by East Asian central banks.     

Financial institutions and the financial crisis in East Asia

This paper investigates institutional reasons for the soft-budget constraint problem; and how the soft-budget constraint problem creates conditions which may result in a financial crisis. As a consequence of soft-budget constraints, bad projects do not stop; bad loans accumulate; and banks and depositors do not receive bad news on time. Poorly informed depositors are then likely to herd to overinvest when there is no bankruptcy (`frenzy'); and they are likely to herd to panic when bankruptcy occurs (`crash'), which may be the result of excessive bad loans that are also a consequence of soft-budget constraints. In contrast, under hard-budget constraints information is disclosed quickly regarding liquidation. Better-informed investors are then less likely to herd wrongly.     

东亚复苏面临挑战

<正> 世界银行11月初发布的东亚和太平洋地区经济半年报《在变局中前进》指出:2002年上半年全面展开的东亚复苏目前遇到了来自全球、地区和国内各种不确定因素的综合挑战,凸现了政府决策者推进改革以加强公共安全,减少外来冲击的危害,培育国内生产率增长点的迫切性。     

Real and Financial Integration in East Asia

This paper examines the real and financial integration of East Asian economies, by comparing the degree of real vs financial and global vs regional integration, before vs after the Asian crisis. First, price and quantity measures such as the size of intra‐ and inter‐regional trade, cross‐border financial assets, stock return correlation, and interest rate differentials are investigated. Second, the structural panel vector autoregression (VAR) model is constructed to analyze macroeconomic consequences of real and financial integration such as cross‐country output and consumption relation. The results suggest that (i) the degree of real integration significantly increased after the crisis, both regionally and globally; (iii) quantity and price measures showed an increased financial integration after the crisis, but the consumption relation did not; (iv) the degree of regional financial integration is smaller than that of global financial integration, based on the consumption relation; and (v) financial integration lags real integration, especially for regional integration.     

Economic growth and unemployment in East Asia

Barro and Sala-i-Martin （2004） analyzed the empirical determinants of growth. The data used in this paper consists of panel data of several macroeconomic variables observed for 55 years 0950-2004） in six East Asian countries and regions. Following the implications of semi-endogenous growth theory, the author regressed output growth on the determinants of steady-state income. The estimation and test results suggest the existence of significant relationship between steady-state income and （trend weighted） R ＆ D input both in Japan and South Korea. In addition, following Cellini （1995）, the author also considers cointegration and error-correction methods as the growth regression of East Asian countries. Meanwhile, Chang, et al （2004） derived the conclusion that the decreases in reallocation shocks are main factor in a downward trend in natural rate of unemployment for South Korea. The author extends this analysis using structural VAR to other Asian countries and regions, Japan and Taiwan region. Impulse responses show that the growth of production in Korea and Taiwan reduce unemployment, but, in Japan, this raises unemployment.