Foreign direct investment and its determinants: A regional panel causality analysis

Moving beyond traditional one- or possibly two-way causality involving foreign direct investment (FDI), a systematic approach is implemented for delineating both short- and long-run flows of causality involving FDI and a comprehensive set of FDI's possible determinants. Granger causality procedures incorporating error correction terms are implemented, using provincial panel data from China. In both the short and long run, growth in GDP directly influences FDI, while growth in local infrastructure and local investment provide indirect but not direct influence.     

Financial factors and company investment decisions in transitional China

We investigate the propensity of Chinese publicly listed firms to invest in response to financial factors, according to the a priori degree of a firm's information problems: industry sector, ownership structure and firm size. The firms in primary and tertiary industries are found to be liquidity‐constrained in their investment decisions. The investment‐cash flow sensitivity of the firms in secondary industry indicates that they lost privileged access to credit in the course of China's market transition. However, we find no evidence that financial liberalization resulted in an easing of financing constraints for small‐ and medium‐sized firms. Our result indicates that agency problems, stemming from a state‐controlling pyramidal ownership structure, are responsible for the misallocation of internal funds. The importance of bankruptcy and agency costs in relation to debt finance for certain types of borrowers reflects the transitional nature of the financial environment facing Chinese firms. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Financial repression and housing investment: An analysis of the Korean chonsei

South Korea has a unique kind of rental contract, called chonsei. The tenant pays an upfront deposit, typically from 40% to 70% of the property value, to the landlord, and the landlord repays the deposit to the tenant upon contract termination. The tenant is not required to make any periodic monthly rental payments. The main goal of this paper is to show why such a unique rental contract exists and has been popular in Korea. The model shows that chonsei is an ingenious market response in the era of “financial repression” in Korea (Renaud, 1989), allowing landlords to accumulate sufficient funds for housing investment without major reliance on a mortgage. The model also shows that the tenant, who suffers from insufficient mortgage borrowings, can access cheaper rental housing via chonsei than when only monthly rental housing is available. The model predicts that the chonsei system should fade out when arbitrage gains from housing investment disappear. An implication of the model is that the chonsei renter may save while the landlord and the owner-occupier put all their assets into housing and thus have no financial savings. This hypothesis is empirically tested and confirmed.     

外商投资中国仓储业情况分析

1我国仓储业外商投资现状中国加入WTO时承诺：仓储服务自我国加入WTO时起，允许外国服务提供者设立合资企业，外资股比例不超过49％；加入1年内允许外资拥有多数股权；加入3年内，取消限制，允许设立外商独资子公司。。根据这一承诺，自2004年12月11日起，我国涉及仓储服务的大部分领域已经全面放开，外资进入中国仓储业的行政性障碍已经消除，开始在沿海经济发达地区慢慢活跃起来，仓储业正在成为外商投资的热点领域之一。这些企业拥有先进的管理经验、     

A survey of enterprise reforms in China: The way forward

The strategic importance of the state-owned enterprise (SOE) sector to the Chinese economy cannot be underestimated, thus the success of SOE reform is a significant factor in China's future economic prosperity. The dilemma facing state authorities is to develop market-orientated corporations while at the same time coping with potentially high unemployment and a range of equity and social justice issues. This paper presents an analysis of the current issues in SOE reform in China, drawing on relevant empirical evidence, and proposes a strategic direction and a framework for reform that challenges the recently announced program of privatization of listed SOEs. The literature indicates that state ownership is generally negatively correlated to performance. Conversely, Legal Person ownership positively influences performance. Other forms of private ownership are generally positively correlated to performance, with institutional ownership showing significant promise. Consequently, the divesture of state ownership is recommended and could be accomplished over three or four tranches. The state could divest its ownership by auction to strategic investors, both domestic and foreign, and in the next tranche an auction to the broad populace through units in mutual funds. The final proposed tranche being a distribution to nationwide pension funds to support retirement schemes, which should be made nationwide. Finally, listed firms should also issue shares as rights issues to offer present shareholders protection from dilution.     

Financial reforms and money demand: Evidence from 20 developing countries

The effects of financial reforms on money demand (M1) are analysed with estimates for two sets of sub-samples and two break dates for twenty developing Asian and African countries. In all cases, the magnitude of income elasticity does not change significantly when compared with sub-samples and whole sample periods. Using CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests, we find that the demand for money functions in our selected countries are temporally stable and therefore the respective monetary authorities may target money supply as the conduct of monetary policy.     

Environmental regulation and optimal investment behavior: A micro-economic analysis

This paper develops a simple optimal control model of the firm's investment decisions in the presence of environmental restrictions. The firm is assumed to jointly decide the optimal levels of gross investment, scrappage of capital, and maintenance expenditures. The results of the model indicate that all investment decisions, including both abatement equipment and productive capital, are affected by the manner in which environmental regulations are designed. Moreover, these impacts can be further altered if other unrelated regulations, such as rate base regulation, are concurrently imposed on the firm.     

Financial development and dynamic investment behavior: Evidence from panel VAR

We apply vector autoregression (VAR) to firm-level panel data from 36 countries to study the dynamic relationship between firms’ financial conditions and investment. By using orthogonalized impulse-response functions we are able to separate the ‘fundamental factors’ (such as marginal profitability of investment) from the ‘financial factors’ (such as availability of internal finance) that influence the level of investment. We find that the impact of financial factors on investment, which indicates the severity of financing constraints, is significantly larger in countries with less developed financial systems. Our finding emphasizes the role of financial development in improving capital allocation and growth.     

Foreign direct investment and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: A nonlinear analysis

Using the threshold regression model, we examine the effects of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), and the mediating role of FDI absorptive capacity, on economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. We find that the threshold level of FDI inflows per person is approximately US$ 44.67 per annum. For FDI to have an appreciable impact on economic growth, countries must have minimum capacity to absorb the growth-enhancing benefits of FDI. For instance, the technology gap between the hosted foreign enterprises and domestic enterprises should be no less than 0.6904. Thus, achieving the FDI threshold level is a necessary, but not sufficient, condition for economic growth. Some countries use tax incentives to improve FDI inflows. We argue that such incentives may be counterproductive at low levels of FDI inflows: FDI coefficient estimates below the lowest threshold level are negative, implying that the higher costs of such incentives exceed the potential benefits availed by FDI’s direct contribution to economic output and spillovers.     

我国城市基础设施融资投资结构分析

文章通过分析我国几类有代表性城市基础设施项目融资中的投资结构,认为我国投资结构的分类主要由项目本身所提供的公共品程度决定,对于提供完全公共用品项目,投资结构构成以政府控制为主;提供半公共品的项目,实现政府与企业相机治理;以及能实现稳定的现金流、经济收益较大的项目,可通过采用公司制方式进行所有权配制。     

A network model of economic growth: A regional analysis

In this paper we consider a linear model of economic growth in which production and consumption occur at specific sites represented by nodes, and commodities can be shipped from one node to another along arcs. It is shown that under fairly reasonable conditions a stationary optimal growth plan will exist and that it can be computed by means of Lemke's linear complementary algorithm.     

投资中国：国际资本进行时

当全球零售行业老大沃尔玛即将斥巨资收购中国零售企业好又多的最新消息通过媒体高调释放出来之后，当世界最大的信息工业跨国公司IBM日前宣布将其全球采购总部从纽约移师到中国深圳的声音清晰落地时．先前投射到中国政府一系列外资管理新规上的所有质疑和批评都消弭无声，中国成为未来全球资本降落的理想市场也日渐明朗。     

Institutions and public investment: an empirical analysis

This paper investigates the effect of institutional quality on the levels, volatility and quality of public investment. Our findings suggest an inverse relationship between public investment levels and institutional quality, supporting the idea that governments use public investment as a vehicle for rent seeking. We also find that lower quality of governance increases the volatility of public investment. Finally, we provide some tentative evidence of a positive relationship between institutional quality and the quality of infrastructure. Policymakers who aim to reduce infrastructure needs through capital spending should take measures to strengthen institutional capacity to manage public investments.     

省域城市化水平预测方法比较--以北京市为例

以北京市为例,分别用考虑当期经济发展水平的回归模型、考虑滞后因素的PDL模型、考虑极限上值的Lo-gistic模型,预测其2004年-2008年的城市化水平.在比较三种模型特点的基础上得出我国不同省域进行城市化水平预测的方法建议.     

Efficiency evaluation of the regional high-tech industry in China: A new framework based on meta-frontier dynamic DEA analysis

This paper proposes a new framework based on the combination of the dynamic DEA, meta-frontier analysis theory, and truncated regression model, and then focuses on the efficiency evaluation of regional high-tech industries in China. For all of the overall technical efficiency, technical efficiency, and scale efficiency scores, the east area is always in the lead, with the central and west areas obviously lagging behind. The eastern area has the highest technology level, whereas the west and central areas fall behind in turn. However, the meta-technology ratio of the west area has rapidly increased and presents a trend of catching up with the east. The variables of GRP per capital, total exports and imports, highway mileage per capita, and ratio of tertiary industry to GRP have positive relationships with technical efficiency, and the time trend exhibits a negative coefficient.     

A Johansen model for regional analysis

A ‘bottoms-up’ regional model of the Johansen class allowing for price substitution, flexibility in classifying and reclassifying variables into exogenous or endogenous categories, and ease of computation, is constructed to demonstrate the attractiveness of Johansen type models for regional analysis. These models have been used extensively by international trade theorists with success, but surprisingly they have not caught the attention of regional economists.     

A contingent claims analysis of optimal investment subsidy

This paper uses contingent claims analysis to answer two questions: (i) why are some subsidy markets apparently slow in attracting an optimal subsidy when others are not, and (ii) what can be done about it? The lack of activity in the green investment subsidy markets has been a concern as it appears optimal that countries should offer such support from a welfare point of view but progress has nonetheless been stalling, which motivates this paper. We show that free riding (which is likely to affect the green subsidy market) cools down the subsidy market with harmful welfare effects, and preemption (which is likely to affect the more active FDI subsidy market) overheats the subsidy market with similarly harmful effects. The theory dictates a taxation scheme that offsets these effects to restore the welfare to its maximum point.