Empirical Study on the Impact on China＇ s Intellectual Property Creation caused by Capital Investment and Open Economy

知识产权创造是知识产权战略的核心,是自主创新的关键,是推动经济转型升级的重要着力点。基于2000～2009年的省际数据,运用面板数据单位根检验、格兰杰检验、协整检验、混合效应模型对全国及东、中、西部的资本投入、进口贸易和外商直接投资对知识产权创造的影响进行了实证分析,结果表明资本投入、开放经济对知识产权创造具有显著的正效应,但存在地区差异。     

FPI, FPI and China＇ s Economic Growth --Empirical Research based SVAR

利用SVAR模型,研究了外国直接投资和外国证券投资对中国经济增长的影响。结果显示FPI、FDI与中国经济增长呈现正相关关系,FDI的作用显著,FPI的作用不显著。同时,FDI和FPI之间存在一定的交替关系,FDI拉低了FPI,而FPI则在短期内对FDI有促进作用。     

An empirical study of China＇s regional R＆D knowledge spillovers based on GWR

The present paper employs technique of geographical weighted regression （GWR） to make an empirical study of China＇s R＆D knowledge spillovers at city level. Conventional regression analysis can only produce ＂average＂ and ＂global＂ parameter estimates rather than ＂local＂ parameter estimates which vary over space in some spatial systems. Geographically weighted regression （GWR）, on the other hand, is a simple but useful new technique for the analysis of spatial non-stationarity. Results show that there is a significant difference between OLS and GWR in estimating the parameters of R＆D knowledge production, and that the relationships between level of regional innovation activities and various factors show considerable spatial variability.     

Dynamic trend analysis on relational effect of environmental protection industry in China

EPI （environmental protection indastry） and three industries constitute aur national economic structuse. By Grey System Theory and correlation effect analytical method for the first time, this paper analyzes the relatioaship degree between environmental protection industry and the three causes including industries involved in China in both qualitative and quantitotive aspects. Both the innate tale and the realistic reasons nf the relational degree are further analyzed by utilizing sastninoble development theory, circulating economy theol., ecological equilibrium theory, externality theory. industrial structure theory, and ecology prinrity rules. From all the analysts, this paper reveals the relationship between EPI and three industries. In addition, it offers suggestions to the feasibility of adjusting the industrial structure and developing the environmental protection industry in our country.     

The Researching of Releation between China＇ s Tax and China＇ s Industry Development --Based on Statistical Yearbook Data

从改革开放后的时代大背景出发,以税收发展为主要关注点,对我国税收与产业发展、国民收入等因素之间的关联性进行研究。通过对传统经济学中的税收理论进行研究,提出了模型建立的初步思想。通过查阅相关年鉴信息,获取了研究所需的基础数据。基础数据主要包括各产业历年发展数据、税收发展历年数据、国民收入数据、CPI指数等。将上述数据进行综合处理,作为分析的基础数据。利用高级计量经济学的分析原理和方法（主要是向量自回归模型理论和格兰杰因果关系检验等理论和方法）,建立基于我国国情的税收发展与产业发展等因素的关联性模型。通过对模型的分析研究,找到上述因素之间具体的关联性,从而为我国税收改革的方向和具体实施步骤提出了有参考性的意见和建议。以此实现通过税收改革,促进我国经济发展模式转型的最终目的。     

China＇s Early Warning Model of Financial Risk and an Empirical Analysis

在系统学习国内外现有金融风险预警模型的基础上,结合我国经济金融运行实情,构建符合中国国情的金融风险预警模型。通过对模型的预测能力进行检验,可以对未来我国金融风险进行全面预警判断和实时预警分析,从而为构建金融风险预警系统提供判别基准。     

关于金融投资收益与风险的分析与研究

随着我国市场经济体制的逐步完善,我国金融市场发展迅速。金融投资工具层出不穷,发展金融投资业,有利于提高居民的收入水平,培育新的经济增长点,同时可以深化我国的市场经济体制改革,强化我国的货币政策,有利于拉动内需的增长,完善我国资源的有效配置。不同的金融投资产品的收益和风险是不同的,在投资的过程中,如何进行风险规避同时获取最大收益,是投资者始终研究的话题。本文深入分析了金融投资收益和风险共存的双重性,提出了有效规避金融风险、获取收益的措施。     

Competing Perspectives on the Liberalization of China’s Foreign Trade and Investment Regime

Using an institutionalist reading of the capability approach, I advocate policies for enhancing financial capabilities via financial inclusion. There are 34 million unbanked and underbanked households in the USA (with 68 million adults), many of whom rely on alternative financial services providers (AFSPs). Rather than castigate AFSPs for the predatory practices of some in the industry, this paper argues that a regulated industry can be integral to meeting needs of lower-to-moderate income communities. A typology of existing financial services in the USA is the basis for presenting these proposals. The policies I evaluate concern the economy's structures and institutions rather than focusing on an individual's or a household's financial literacy.     

Effects of exports on productivity and growth in India: an industry–based analysis

This study analyses the effects of exports on the level of output per capita using the panel estimates of an extended version of the Mankiw, Romer and Weil (The Quarterly Journal of Economics, CVII, 407-37, 1992) model, and on the total factor productivity using the time series estimators. The analysis is carried out for ten industries in the manufacturing sector in India. The results do not provide any evidence of convergence, and instead support the contrary evidence of divergence among industries. The exports do not induce convergence and instead seem to accentuate the process of divergence among industries. The study provides some evidence for the significant effects of exports on the level of output per capita and TFP in the manufacturing sector. The effects of exports on TFP are significant in half of the sample industries, while in the remaining half these are statistically insignificant.     

The Historic Perspective on the Adjustment of China＇s FDI Policy（1949-2003）

Modem economic history has shown that foreign direct investment (FDI) plays a very important role in a country‘s development. Chinese people learn this through their own experience, in a relatively short period of time, they changed their country from a close economic to the biggest FDI host in the world. In almost thirty years after the establishment of PRC, China closed the door to the rest of the world. The turning point came in 1978, when Deng Xiaping became new Chinese leader, since then open-policy prevails in China. As one important aspect of open-policy, attracting     

The Empirical Analysis of China＇ s Monetary Policy Effectuality on Price Stability

2009年以来,面对持续走高的物价,央行采取了连续上调准备金率的政策,以求减少货币供给量,稳定物价。通过建立CPI、广义货币供给量M2和GDP之间的回归模型,对1994～2010年的数据进行回归分析,得出了我国货币政策对稳定物价有效的结论。认为治理通货膨胀要采取多样化的宏观经济政策,注意货币政策、财政政策的搭配使用。同时要加快人民币汇率体制改革,促进产业结构调整和经济发展方式的转变。     

Human settlement＇s social network analysis based on spatial trend surface model：a case study of Chongqing Municipality

Integrated with GIS and remote sensing（RS） technology,a systematic analysis and its methodology for human-settlements social environment has been introduced.This methodology has been called spatial trend field model（STFM）.STFM＇s application history in the field of human-settlements social environment has been discussed at first.Then,some index data models have been created through STFM,which include population density trend field,human activity strength trend field,city-town spatial density trend field,urbanization ratio trend field,road density trend field,GDP spatial density trend field and PER-GDP spatial density trend field.With all above-mentioned indexes as input data,through Iterative Self-Organizing Data Analysis Techniques Algorithm（ISODATA）,this paper makes a verification study of Chongqing municipality.The result of the case study confirms that STFM methodology is credible and has high efficiency for regional human-settlements study.     

Coal price fluctuations and the impact on financial risk Evidence from China＇s coal listed companies

With the rise of coal price, the proportion of loss-making enterprises shows an upward trend in China＇s coal industry. This paper uses Altman Z-Score model to measure financial risk of 19 listed companies in the coal industry in A-share market from 1995 to 2007. Empirical results show that Year-Based price index of coal price has a negative correlation with the financial risk but has no significance, and coal chain price has a significant negative correlation with the financial risk. Further research indicates that enterprises increase bad investment, and a lot of debts caused by short-term rise in coal prices. The results also show that the financial risk in the coal industry declines with the rise of GDP growth rate and increases with the rise of inflation rate.     

The innovation of China＇s farm products marketing

Aimed at the current actuality of farm products in China, the key point is the innovation of marketing if we want to share farm products market. This article discusses on four aspects： The innovation of both tactics and strategies of the farm products marketing; using the new marketing means, selling the products on Internet; improving the standard of the products, opening out the green products; the new sale mode. This article will give the active effect for the China＇s farm products market ing.     

Energy conservation,emission reduction and win–win development of China’s industry: 2013–2050 – MDI analysis framework based on directional distance function

As the biggest developing country, China faces the heavy pressure of energy conservation and emission reduction (ECER). China’s industry takes first place in energy consumption and pollution emission among the industrial entities. How to get rid of China’s industrial stagnant growth under the restriction of resources and environment, and find out the optimal path between ECER and industrial development is the main task of this study. The article adopts the historical data of China’s industry from 2003 to 2012, establishes a managerial disposability intensity analysis framework based on the directional distance function, and designs four energy conservation scenarios and nine CO₂ emission paths for a total of 36 kinds of alternative policy combinations to predict the win–win development and find the optimal path of industrial ECER from 2013 to 2050. Research shows that on the whole, industry will fail to achieve a win–win development in the future, while 6% growth rate of industrial output, 2.8% growth rate of energy consumption, and the peak of CO₂ in 2040 is the most optimum path. At the same time, the feedbacks of ECER constraints on specific industrial sectors are different, there are 16 industrial sectors that can achieve win–win development in the future.     

Impact of asset price fluctuation on China’s monetary policy: An empirical analysis based on quarterly data, 1994–2006

The strenuous fluctuation in global asset price in recent years has had a profound impact on the economic and social development of every country. An empirical analysis indicates that asset prices (the stock price index and real estate prices) are important endogenous variables affecting the interest rate reaction function of central bank monetary policy. With expected inflation as a given, each one percentage point rise in output gap will cause a 0.79 percentage point reduction in interest rates by the central bank and each one percentage point rise in real estate price will result in a 2.2 percentage point rise in interest rates. The stock price index does have an influence on the trends in monetary policy, but it is less salient than the impact of housing prices. We also show that monetary policy that employs asset price as an endogenous variable increases the central bank’s control in seeking to attain its objectives. Therefore we suggest that the central bank should make asset price fluctuation an endogenous variable and incorporate it into its forward-looking interest rate rule, in order to facilitate the healthy development of China’s markets for real estate, stocks and derivatives, energy and bulk commodities and maintain rapid, smooth, sustainable and harmonious economic development.     

Spatial analysis of change trend and influencing factors of total factor productivity in China’s regional construction industry

Total factor productivity (TFP) is a measure of long-term economic growth and a comprehensive industry-level productivity measure. There are large gaps in China’s regional construction industry development due to unbalanced regional economy. Based on TFP measurement, this article puts forward a two-hierarchical analysis framework with coefficient of variation, Moran scatterplot and coefficient of convergence to analyse change trend of the construction industry TFP in three major regions in terms of spatial diversity, correlation and convergence. Then, the geographically weighted regression model is utilized to explore the influencing mechanism on the TFP. The results indicate the differences of the regional construction industry TFP are enlarging. There is obvious spatial correlation and heterogeneity in the regional TFP without a relatively stable space pattern. The TFP also exhibits convergence effects among three major regions. The construction industry productivity in all regions is significantly affected by economic environment, industrial organization structure and technological level. Industrial organization structure exerts the various influences on the productivity in different regions.     

Analysis on inbound tourists＇ satisfaction in China： an empirical study based on the investigation of 5 cities

In China, the tourism industry is regarded as one means of fostering local economic development. This paper tries to examine inbound tourism development in China in the last decade and analyze inbound tourism＇s satisfaction of their travel experience with tourist attractions, facilities, services and price by an empirical study based on the investigation of Lanzhou, Wuhan, Guangzhou, Shanghai and Beijing. This paper discusses the demographic characteristics of visitors from Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, US. Korea and Japan by surveying a .sample of 528 visitors in five different cities. The survey showed that four provinces/autonomous region in western China ranked the top 10 popular destinations. Chinese natural landscape, culture and food were highly regarded by the tourists. At the same time, tourists expressed less satisfaction with tourist language convenience, tourist facility and nightlife in China. It was also found that only 7.4% of the tourists thought travel in China was far more than what they had paid, that 6.5% regarded they got what they paid for, and that 34.9% thought the travel cost was reasonable. Most tourists were satisfied with their travel experience in China： many of them would like to return to China and would like to recommend China. For the sustainable development of tourism, Chinese tourism authorities should strengthen the construction, propaganda and management of scenic spots, improve tourist facility and tourist education. especially language convenience, and strengthen the supervision of tickets, souvenir and hotel price.     

An Analysis on China＇s Trade Structure and Carbon Emissions

通过投入产出SKYLINE分析法,探讨了中国进出口贸易在国际分工中的二氧化碳排放问题,研究结果显示2007年中国贸易结构在国际分工中具有污染逆差特征。分行业看,净出口二氧化碳排放比例排在前八位的产业部门分别是纺织业、纺织服装鞋帽皮革羽绒及其制品业、木材加工及家具制造业、通信设备计算机及其他电子设备制造业、金属制品业、工艺品及其他制造业、造纸印刷及文教体育用品制造业、电气机械及器材制造业。