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国债既是国家财政应对赤字的工具,也是普通民众和金融市场认可度较高的金融产品,国债发行不仅关系到财政政策的实施,还关系到个人投资者的投资行为.分析储蓄国债投资者结构特征和投资意愿对于国债市场健康发展具有重要的现实意义.本文对储蓄国债投资者机构进行分析,研究投资者购买国债意愿影响因素,并提出储蓄国债的未来发展建议. 相似文献
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本文从我国金融市场的发展现状出发,分析了国债利率成为我国金融市场基准利率的必然性和现实性。市场基准利率及其期限结构是一切金融产品的公正定价的基础,因此,作为基准利率的提供者,发达的国债市场是企业债券市场发展、衍生产品创新的前提条件。同时,金融市场的有效性有赖于金融产品的正确定价,本文以股票市场为例证明国债利率对于金融市场效率的提升具有重要作用。 相似文献
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国债投资基金作为以国债市场为主要投资操作领域的专门性投资基金,在带动国债市场乃至整个证券市场规范化方面起着非常积极的作用,是世界各国金融市场的重要融资方式.经过十几年的发展,我国的国债市场现已初具规模,发展的重心已由量的扩充转向优化国债市场主体结构. 相似文献
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随着我国市场经济改革的深化,改革旧有的国债管理制,顺应国际潮流实施余额管理制已是大势所趋。余额管理制的实施对我国的国债市场、金融市场及财政都有积极的意义。 相似文献
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本文从税收政策、国债发行政策等方面探讨了财政政策在国债衍生市场风险控制中的作用,并分析了财政政策与货币政策在调节国债市场风险中的相互协调。 相似文献
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各国政府债务风险频发及预警措施匮乏,令国债规模理论的再研究显得迫在眉睫.为此,本文利用经济内生增长理论下的微观解释框架,遵循财政风险预警的思路,获得了国债适度负债规模的理论模型.研究发现:考虑资本形成、财政转移支付效应、财政可持续性约束的模型中,存在决定国债适度负债规模的稳定均衡路径.为了进一步获悉理论模型的政策意涵,本文采用系统仿真模拟的方法,验证了理论模型呈现出的非线性“鱼鳍”状态特征.这意味着,满足政府融资需要的国债规模可以随经济波动收敛.同时,经济总量和发展速度将扩充适度负债规模的容纳能力.换言之,本文在一定程度上证明了:解决世界各国国债规模过大的长效机制,依然是立足于经济增长的带动,而财政紧缩很可能只是应急之策. 相似文献
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《中国商贸:销售与市场营销培训》2017,(32)
随着经济发展和金融市场形势变化,国债市场、投资者结构等都发生了明显变化。因此本文通过对内蒙古自治区储蓄国债投资者结构的调查,分析了影响储蓄国债投资群体结构的主要因素及相关建议。 相似文献
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近年来,中国经济中出现了一个引人注目的现象--国债发行急增.1994年,国债发行额首次突破千亿元大关,1998年积极财政政策的启用,使国债发行又跃新台阶.预计未来的年代里,国债也将作为国家财政筹集建设资金的重要手段.中国的经济发展和改革深化似乎带来了一个"国债时代".放眼世界各国的发展,我们可以发现国债是一个国际化的问题.各工业化国家几乎都经历过"国债时代",特别是在20世纪80年代,国债业已成为其经济的重要组成部分,发达的国债市场发挥着显著的作用.中国的经济发展和改革深化也必然要求国债市场的发展,并融入经济整体运行之中.实际上,中国国债市场曾经有过顺利的发展,也经受过挫折,1998年积极财政政策的启用,无疑又将为中国国债市场创造一个新的契机. 相似文献
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积极财政政策的理论探讨 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
中央的积极财政政策,在今年的全国人代会、政协会以及2001"中国发展高层论坛"会上成为一大热点,受到普遍关注.许多人都在对这种政策的作用予以肯定的同时,也表示出了极大担心:如果再连续几年增发国债,财政风险会不会加大?国家有否能力归还到期国债?会不会引发财政危机和通货膨胀?据此,本文从理论上就以下四个问题予以探讨. 相似文献
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货币政策对股票和债券市场流动性影响的差异性研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
以上交所上市的全部股票和银行间债券市场的国债为研究对象,运用Granger因果检验、脉冲响应函数以及方差分解等计量分析方法,分析货币政策对于中国股票市场和银行间债券市场流动性的影响及其差异性。研究发现:货币政策没有对两个市场的流动性产生持久性影响,冲击程度较低,对两个市场流动性影响的差异性较小。 相似文献
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Helena Svaleryd 《Journal of International Economics》2002,57(2):369-395
If protectionist trade policies aim to insure domestic industries against swings in world market prices, the development of financial markets could lead to trade liberalization. Likewise, trade liberalization could lead to the development of financial markets that help agents diversify the added risks. In this paper, we empirically address the hypothesis that there is a positive interdependence between financial development and liberal trade policies. We find a positive and economically significant relationship between the two, with causation running in both directions. The results are, however, somewhat dependent on the measure of trade policy being used. 相似文献
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从宏观经济层面和货币政策本身以及中央银行的独立性等微观层面分析,使我国货币政策效果弱化的原因包括金融抑制、外汇占款、货币政策传导机制不畅、中央银行缺乏独立性等,针对这些问题我国应在疏通货币政策传导机制、大力发展金融机构债券市场和企业短期债券市场、深化国有商业银行改革、协调发展资本市场和货币市场等方面采取措施。 相似文献
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This paper investigates the effects of macroeconomic policy announcements on financial markets in three Central European economies: Czechia, Hungary, and Poland (CE–3). We focus on the unprecedented stabilisation policies implemented from March to December 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic, including unconventional monetary measures and large stimulus programs. Detailed categories of monetary and fiscal measures are introduced into vector autoregressions with exogenous regressors and dynamic conditional correlations, which we estimate using daily data. This allows us to control for policy spillovers from abroad, as well as global risk factors and pandemic-related variables. We find that, in general, macroeconomic policy measures implemented in the CE–3 countries played an important role in stabilising financial markets during the pandemic. We uncover several notable patterns in the reaction of markets to anti-crisis measures across the region. The impact of the monetary policy announcements on 10-year sovereign bond yields was more substantial than on stock market returns and exchange rate returns. The communication of the unconventional tools proved effective in lowering the bond yields. Interestingly, we document that the effects of non-standard measures for some variables, such as the exchange rate, can be qualitatively different from those resulting from a conventional monetary expansion. Even though the domestic monetary events became more important than the fiscal ones, the latter proved relevant for financial market returns, especially when large-scale immediate fiscal measures and tax deferrals were introduced. We also show that the CE–3 economies were subject to the cross-border transmission of policy announcement effects from the Euro Area and the US, although the magnitude of these effects was smaller than expected and varied across the CE–3 countries. 相似文献
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The objective of this paper is to empirically investigate the structural, financial, developmental, institutional, and macroeconomic determinants of bond market development for a sample of 22 emerging and developing countries over the period 1990–2013. We employ both the Prais-Winston and system GMM procedures to tackle the problems of endogeneity among the explanatory variables and our measure of bond market development, group-wise heteroscedasticity, and contemporaneous cross-sectional and serial correlations in the residuals. Our results suggest that a combination of structural, financial and institutional factors seem to exert a significant effect on bond markets. Indeed, economic size, trade openness, investment profile, GDP per Capita, bureaucratic quality, and size and concentration of banking system are positively related to bond market development, while interest rate volatility and fiscal balance are negatively associated with the development of bond markets. Those results are robust to the inclusion of developed countries' bond markets, international bonds issuers, and to possible structural breaks. 相似文献
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We examine price discovery in sequential markets for the 10-year US Treasury note, German bund, and UK gilt futures over the period 2010–2017. We find that price discovery increases after the opening of the US stock market. Order flows in the bond futures markets are more informative for permanent price changes in the 30-min period after the US stock market opens. A placebo test using US statutory holidays confirms our findings. A cross-market analysis suggests that the increased price discovery in the bond futures is related to returns and net order flows of the US stock market. 相似文献
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This paper studies the transmission of monetary and fiscal policy in the Euro-area. To do so, structural VAR models are estimated. First, the EMU countries are considered as an aggregate entity and the estimation results are compared with those for the US and Japan. Attention is also paid to interaction of macroeconomic policies and the effects of shocks in financial markets. As a next step, SVARs are estimated for the individual EMU countries to analyze cross-country differences. It turns out that, compared to the EMU aggregate, individual EU countries react rather differently to monetary and fiscal policy shocks. 相似文献
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通过研究我国资本市场中已经存在的金融产品、制度、机构方面的创新,并结合金融创新影响资本市场发展的一般作用机理,分析了金融创新推动我国资本市场发展的渠道与路径,并得出现阶段中国的金融创新对于资本市场的发展具有积极作用这一结论。 相似文献
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Event studies represent an increasingly popular method to evaluate the welfare effects of economic policy decisions. The basic idea is that stock market reactions to the announcement of policy decisions contain superior information about the welfare effects of these decisions. This paper investigates the degree of reliability of event studies as a policy evaluation method by critically reflecting upon two underlying assumptions. Since both the information superiority of financial markets and the determination of economic welfare effects based on abnormal returns consist of considerable interpretation problems, we issue a note of caution: scientists and policy makers should be very reluctant to rely on stock market reactions as a referee on economic policy decisions. Event studies cannot replace thorough theoretical economic analysis. 相似文献