舷窗外

舷窗虽小,视角却大。舷窗外,能欣赏到苍穹下无限风光;舷窗虽小,视角却新。舷窗外,也能俯视地球让人类自我反省。地球,这个人类赖以生存的村落有着无穷的魅力。上苍赐予了它绮丽山川和奔腾不息的河流既有,     

Equity yields

We study a new data set of dividend futures with maturities up to ten years across three world regions: the US, Europe, and Japan. We use these asset prices to construct equity yields, analogous to bond yields. We decompose the equity yields to obtain a term structure of expected dividend growth rates and a term structure of risk premia, which decomposes the equity risk premium by maturity. We find that the slope of the term structure of risk premia is pro-cyclical, whereas the slope of the term structure of expected dividend growth rates is counter-cyclical. The comovement of yields across regions is, on average, higher for long-maturity yields than for short-maturity yields, whereas the variation in this comovement is much higher for short-maturity yields.     

住房权益贷款

住房权益贷款是以住房权益作为抵押的一种贷款,它是房屋所有人以其已经抵押的住房,再度向银行抵押贷款.     

并购／股权

金融界100万美元收购深圳巨灵，Google出售所持百度股票，西班牙无线增值公司收购国内两家SP。[编者按]     

Equity and Credibility

We build on previous work concerned with measuring equity and consider the problem of using observed claim data or other information to calculate premiums which maximize equity. When these optimal premiums are used, we show that gathering more information or refining the risk classification always increases equity. We study the case for which the premium is constrained to be an affine function of the claim data and obtain results analogous to classical credibility theory, including the inhomogeneous and homogeneous cases of the Bu¨hlmann-Straub model. We derive formulas for the credibility weights in certain cases.     

Equity Risk Premium

Abstract

The equity risk premium (ERP) is an essential building block of the market value of risk. In theory, the collective action of all investors results in an equilibrium expectation for the return on the market portfolio excess of the risk-free return, the ERP. The ability of the valuation actuary to choose a sensible value for the ERP, whether as a required input to capital asset pricing model valuation, or any of its descendants, is as important as choosing risk-free rates and risk relatives (betas) to the ERP for the asset at hand.

The historical realized ERP for the stock market appears to be at odds with pricing theory parameters for risk aversion. Since 1985, there has been a constant stream of research, each of which reviews theories of estimating market returns, examines historical data periods, or both. Those ERP value estimates vary widely from about ?1% to about 9%, based on a geometric or arithmetic averaging, short or long horizons, short- or long-run expectations, unconditional or conditional distributions, domestic or international data, data periods, and real or nominal returns.

This paper examines the principal strains of the recent research on the ERP and catalogues the empirical values of the ERP implied by that research. In addition, the paper supplies several time series analyses of the standard Ibbotson Associates 1926–2002 ERP data using short Treasuries for the risk-free rate. Recommendations for ERP values to use in common actuarial valuation problems also are offered.     

金融新宠：股票挂钩票据

作为一种新型结构性投资产品，股票挂钩票据综合了固定收益证券和股票期权的特点。依照风险与收益对称的原理，在设计上它要求投资者面对一定程度的投资风险，但同时也提供了高于一般存款和普通债券的收益率。……     

外资参股、股权结构与银行风险承担

以我国商业银行2007—2016年的数据为样本进行研究,实证检验了外资参股、股权结构与银行风险承担之间的关系。结果表明:外资参股与银行风险承担呈负相关关系;股权集中度与银行风险呈U形相关。股权集中度提高一方面有利于解决股东与管理层间的委托代理问题,另一方面也容易诱发大股东的道德风险问题;在股权集中度较高时,较高的股权制衡度有利于降低银行的风险承担,并且外资参股对其也具有强化作用,但当股权集中度不高时,这一作用并不明显。研究对于进一步降低我国银行风险承担、完善银行内部治理具有一定的借鉴意义。     

The Equity Premium

We estimate the equity premium using dividend and earnings growth rates to measure the expected rate of capital gain. Our estimates for 1951 to 2000, 2.55 percent and 4.32 percent, are much lower than the equity premium produced by the average stock return, 7.43 percent. Our evidence suggests that the high average return for 1951 to 2000 is due to a decline in discount rates that produces a large unexpected capital gain. Our main conclusion is that the average stock return of the last half-century is a lot higher than expected.     

基于区域股权市场的股权众筹模式研究

本文分析齐鲁股权交易中心发展股权众筹的案例以及台湾地区场外交易市场参与股权众筹发展的先进经验后认为:我国当前发展股权众筹的根本问题是缺乏股权众筹发展的法律土壤,同时传统的债权思想也成为制约股权众筹发展的重要因素;区域股权市场在开展股权众筹业务时具有资源、风险控制、股权退出等方面的优势,依托区域股权市场开展股权众筹试点可以成为我国发展股权众筹的路径选择。