我国物流运输业发展存在的问题及对策探析

近年来我国的物流运输业快速发展,尤其是公路货运量年增速远超过GDP的增速。然而通过进一步的数据分析发现,我国物流运输业还存在着较多的问题:如过于依赖公路运输方式、没有统管物流的部门、物流运输业缺乏公共信息平台、物流运输业的收费过高等,文章就上述问题提出了相应建议。     

我国出口额和GDP增长率的可预测性及其动态均衡研究

根据计量经济学的有关理论，分别对GDP增长率和出口额的增长率建立预测模型，即ARMA模型。本文证明了我国的出口额增长率和GDP增长率存在协整关系，即长期均衡关系，建立了出口额增长的速度与GDP增长速度之间的误差修正模型，从而使模型更加准确地反映变量间的动态均衡关系。     

中国对外贸易与现代港口物流发展的互动效应研究——基于VAR模型的实证分析

采用基于VAR模型的脉冲响应分析和方差分解,对我国对外贸易与现代港口物流发展的互动效应进行实证研究。结果表明,我国对外贸易与现代港口物流的发展是相互促进的关系,但它们对彼此的影响截然不同。进出口贸易额的增长是港口物流现代化建设的强大促进力,但作用仅限于短期。港口物流的现代化建设能迅速拉动对外贸易的增长,并且长期效果依然显著。最后提出建设现代港口物流以促进我国外贸发展的政策建议。     

对外贸易与经济增长的关系研究——基于安徽省1981—2007年数据的实证分析

对外贸易是经济增长的发动机,不同区域对外贸易与经济增长之间的教量关系不尽相同。运用1981—2007年间安徽省的GDP、进口、出口和进出口总额的数据,建立回归方程,对安徽省外贸发展静经济增长的关系进行定量分析．得出进出口贸易额和GDP的增长具有显著的正相关性,并在时数据量化分析基础上,就增强安徽省对外贸易对经济增长的拉动作用提出政策建议。     

基于竞争优势的民航运输业发展方式转变研究

民航运输业在发展中面临着运输结构不合理，运输效益不高，低碳发展压力较大等问题，需要民航运输业从培育竞争优势的角度转变发展方式。对于民航运输业竞争力来说，生产要素是基础，市场需求是重点，相关产业发展是支撑，企业战略和组织是核心，政府支持是保障，发展机遇是关键。必须统筹竞争优势的六大方面以促使民航运输业发展方式转变。     

安徽省区域物流与区域经济的协整关系研究

以安徽省1978～2010年国民经济和物流业年度经济数据为基础,运用EViews6.0计量经济软件对安徽省区域物流业与区域经济增长之间的关系展开实证研究,对经济增长变量GDP和区域物流业发展变量物流产值进行时间序列平稳性检验、协整检验和格兰杰因果检验。研究结果表明:GDP增长和物流业发展不同步,物流业发展滞后于经济发展;两者之间仅存在单向因果关系,经济增长促进物流业发展,但物流业对经济增长的贡献尚不显著,最后提出了安徽省发展现代物流的建议。     

浙江省对外贸易与经济增长关系的实证研究

改革开放以来,浙江省对外贸易和GDP双双高速增长,是我国外贸快速发展的典型代表。基于浙江省1978-2005年GDP及进出口贸易数据的协整分析表明：浙江省实际GDP和实际出口总额、实际进口总额之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系。格兰杰因果检验则得出进口增长是经济增长的单向原因,经济增长是出口增长的单向原因的结论。在此结论基础上,提出了浙江省对外贸易发展的政策建议。     

中国农产品出口与经济增长的实证分析

从1985年到2006年,中国农产品出口额与农业生产总值迅速增长,通过协整检验,发现二者之间在长期内存在稳定的均衡关系,据此,建立误差修正模型,说明农产品出口额的增加能够促进农业经济的增长;同时,通过格兰杰因果检验验证了中国农产品出口额与农业生产总值之间存在单向的因果关系,即农产品出口额的增加能够促进农业经济的增长。     

河南省出口贸易、FDI对GDP影响——基于协整检验、脉冲响应函数和方差分解的研究

采用河南省1993～2009年出口额、FDI与GDP的时间序列数据,运用Johansen-Juselius协整检验、脉冲响应函数和方差分解的计量方法,实证研究河南省出口贸易、FDI对其经济增长的影响。研究结果显示：出口贸易与GDP、FDI与GDP之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系和显著的Granger因果关系;出口贸易、FDI对河南省经济增长都有较强的促进作用,它们对经济增长的脉冲响应总体上都是正向响应,但出口比FDI对经济增长的推动作用更强一些。最后根据研究结果提出加快出口、FDI增长以带动GDP增长的建议。     

FDI流入、货物贸易出口、GDP和碳排放——基于中国数据的实证研究

基于对单位GDP碳排放、FDI流入量、货物贸易出口额和经济增长四个变量间的实证研究结果,发现从长期直接效应来看,货物贸易出口和GDP与单位GDP碳排放存在相关关系。但有些变量的短期效应与长期总效应存在矛盾,有些变量长期直接效应与总效应存在矛盾,有些变量短期内无效应但长期效应显著。     

仁义礼智信忠孝新论

仁、义、礼、智、信、忠、孝是儒家伦理学中的基本概念，也是中国古代化中的基本概念．本立足于这些概念的字学基础，通过逻辑思辩的方法，试图给它们以新的阐释。     

第一是位置，第二是位置，第三还是位置

工业园区、经济特区在一个国家经济稳步快速发展中发挥着不可忽视的作用，这样的例子比比皆是，越南也不例外。到目前为止，越南国内已经建有154家注册在案的工业园区，多集中在北、中、南重要经济区域内。虽然这些工业园区对越南经济发展贡献巨大，但是，其中许多家正式投入运营多年，园内仍空空如也，只有少数工业园区的使用面积比率和发展速度达到开发商预计的目标。     

跨国农业垄断公司对中国农业产业链的多维渗透及破解思路

近年来,以ABCD四大粮商和孟山都等为主要代表的跨国农业垄断公司加速从资本、技术和服务领域对中国农业产业链进行渗透。在资本方面,跨国农业垄断公司已在中国进行深耕,并开始进入更多细分市场;在技术方面,对核心技术的高效转化和集中掌握使其占据了农业产业链的制高点;在服务方面,对贸易、加工、仓储等服务环节的渗透使其获得了高额利润。中国农业企业是抵御跨国农业垄断公司渗透的根本,但目前中国农业企业的竞争力整体上低于跨国农业垄断公司,未能掌握核心技术、因投资回报率低而不愿深耕农业以及市场机制被扭曲是中国农业企业竞争力不足的主要原因。面对跨国农业垄断公司的多维渗透,中国应加强“监督审查”以构筑农业产业发展安全网,强化“创新引领”以打造农业企业核心竞争力,主动“扎根县域”以厚植农业企业的国内发展根基,积极“乘船出海”以拓展农业企业的全球发展空间,坚持“市场主导”以优化农业企业运营市场环境,进而谋求中国农业企业与跨国农业垄断公司的竞争均势。     

Alliance competence, resources, and alliance success: Conceptualization, measurement, and initial test

This research examines the effect of an alliance competence on resource-based alliance success. The fundamental thesis guiding this research is that an alliance competence contributes to alliance success, both directly and through the acquisition and creation of resources. Using survey data gathered from 145 alliances, empirical tests of the hypotheses provide support for the posited explanation of alliance success. The findings indicate that an alliance competence is not only antecedent to the resources that are necessary for alliance success but also to alliance success itself. C. Jay Lambe (Ph.D., The Darden School at University of Virginia) is an assistant professor of marketing in the Pamplin College of Business at Virginia Tech. For 10 years prior to entering academe, he was engaged in business-to-business marketing for both Xerox and AT&T. His research interests include business-to-business marketing, relationship marketing, marketing strategy, and sales management. He has publications in theJournal of the Academy of Marketing Science, theJournal of Product Innovation Management, theEuropean Journal of Marketing, theJournal of Personal Selling and Sales Management, theInternational Journal of Management Reviews, theJournal of Business-to-Business Marketing, and theJournal of Relationship Marketing. He also serves as a reviewer for theJournal of Business-to-Business Marketing. Prior to joining the faculty at Virginia Tech, he was one of five Texas Tech University faculty members chosen in 1999 from the entire university for the annual Outstanding Faculty Member Award by the Mortar Board and Omicron Delta Kappa (Texas Tech University student organizations that recognize excellence in teaching). Robert E. Spekman is the Tayloe Murphy Professor of Business Administration at the Darden School at the University of Virginia. He was formerly a professor of marketing and associate director of the Center for Telecommunications at the University of Southern California. He is an internationally recognized authority on business-to-business marketing and strategic alliances. His consulting experiences range from marketing research and competitive analysis, to strategic market planning, supply chain management, channels of distribution design and implementation, and strategic partnering. He has taught in a number of executive programs in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Asia, and Europe. His executive program experience ranges from general marketing strategy, to sales force management, to channels strategy, to creating strategic alliances, to business-to-business marketing strategy, to a number of single-company and senior executive management programs. He has edited and/or written seven books and has authored (coauthored) more than 80 articles and papers. He also serves as a reviewer for a number of marketing and management journals, as well as for the National Science Foundation. Prior to joining the faculty at the University of Southern California, he taught in the College of Business at the University of Maryland, College Park. During his tenure at Maryland, he was granted the Most Distinguished Faculty Award by the MBA students on three separate occasions. Shelby D. Hunt is the J. B. Hoskins and P. W. Horn Professor of Marketing at Texas Tech University, Lubbock. A past editor of theJournal of Marketing (1985–87), he is the author ofModern Marketing Theory: Critical Issues in the Philosophy of Marketing Science (South-Western, 1991) andA General Theory of Competition: Resources, Competences, Productivity, Economic Growth (Sage, 2000). He has written numerous articles on competitive theory, macromarketing, ethics, channels of distribution, philosophy of science, and marketing theory. Three of hisJournal of Marketing articles—“The Nature and Scope of Marketing” (1976), “General Theories and Fundamental Explananda of Marketing” (1983), and “The Comparative Advantage Theory of Competition” (1995) (with Robert M. Morgan)—won the Harold H. Maynard Award for the best article on marketing theory. His 1985Journal of Business Research article with Lawrence B. Chonko, “Ethics and Marketing Management,” received the 2000 Elsevier Science Exceptional Quality and High Scholarly Impact award. His 1989 article, ”Reification and Realism in Marketing: in Defense of Reason,” won theJournal of Macromarketing Charles C. Slater Award. For his contributions to theory and science in marketing, he received the 1986 Paul D. Converse Award from the American Marketing Association, the 1987 Outstanding Marketing Educator Award from the Academy of Marketing Science, and the 1992 American Marketing Association/Richard D. Irwin Distinguished Marketing Educator Award.     

我国服务贸易发展中的问题、成因和对策研究

改革开放以来,我国对外服务贸易取得了快速增长。但由于服务贸易发展的基础不牢、服务产业结构不合理等原因,致使我国的服务贸易发展存在总体发展规模相对滞后、贸易商品集中于传统领域等问题。促进我国服务贸易又好又快发展,需要社会各界,特别是有关政府部门、相关企业及行业协会等各类主体相互配合、共同努力。     

Child labor legislation: effective, benign, both, or neither?

This paper explores the relationship between the state-specific child labor legislation and the decline in child labor that occurred in the US between 1880 and 1900. The existing literature that addresses this question uses a difference-in-difference estimation technique. We contribute to this literature in two ways. First, we argue that this estimation technique can produce misleading results due to (a) the possibility of multiplicity of equilibria and (b) the non-linearity of the underlying econometric model. Second, we develop an empirical strategy to identify the mechanism by which the legislation affected child labor decisions. In particular, besides establishing whether the legislation was effective or not, our analysis may determine whether the legislation constituted a benign policy or not, i.e., whether the legislation constrained the behavior of families (not benign) or whether it changed the labor market to a new equilibrium in which families voluntarily respected the law (benign).     

理解凭单制:渊源、机制、模式及运用

凭单制作为政府改革工具,实质是在公共服务中引入市场机制的一种制度安排。它渊源于新自由主义经济学,从消费者角度通过强化其选择权而巧妙植入市场竞争机制。凭单制存在公平导向、效率导向及公平与效率兼顾等不同政策取向及模式。尽管它在公共部门需要一定的运作条件,但能广泛运用于包括食品、住房、医疗、教育、幼儿保健等具有融合特征的"福利物品"提供领域。     

Materialism, status signaling, and product satisfaction

The consumer satisfaction literature has not, for the mos part, integrated individual values into the product evaluation process. Yet a comprehensive understanding of consumer satisfaction can best be attained by including both consumer and product factors. To demonstrate the usefulness of including individual values, this research focuses on one consumer value, namely, materialism. The authors empirically explore how this individual value is linked to consumers’ evaluations of products they have purchased. Using surveys, the authors collected data from a sample of college students (n=211) and a sample of adults (n=270). Across these two studies, using divergent samples and products, they find consistent evidence that materialism is negatively related to product satisfaction in product categories with high potential for status signaling, but unrelated to product satisfaction in product categories with lower potential for status signaling. The consumption goals that produce these product evaluations are empirically addressed Jeff Wang (jianfeng76@yahoo.com; PhD, City University of Hong Kong) is an assistant professor of marketing in the Faculty of Business at the City University of Hong Kong. This work was conducted when he was a doctoral student of marketing in the Eller College of Management at the University of Arizona. His research interests include social networks and consumer behavior, consumer satisfaction and well-being, materialism and consumption meanings, and consumer interests and public policy issues. His dissertation studies credit card debt as a socially embedded phenomenon and investigates how consumers leverage their interpersonal ties as they accumulate and repay their debt. Melanie Wallendorf (mwallendorf@eller.arizona.edu) is Soldwedel Professor of Marketing in the Eller College of Management at the University of Arizona. She holds an MS in sociology and a PhD in marketing from the University of Pittsburgh. Her articles on the sociocultural aspects of consumption have been published in theJournal of Consumer Research, Journal of Marketing Research, Advertising and Society Review, Addiction, Journal of Macromarketing, andAmerican Behavioral Scientist, among others. Her coauthored article on “The Sacred and Profane in Consumer Behavior” won theJournal of Consumer Research Best Article Award in 1992. Her research has been featured in theWall Street Journal, The Washington Post, The New York Times, American Demographics, andFortune, and has been funded by the Marketing Science Institute, the Arizona Disease Control Research Commission, and the Office of Earth Science at NASA.