Governance and the Policy Process In Contemporary Europe

Diverse recent literatures on ‘the hollow state’. ‘deliberative democracy’ and ‘governing without government’ are largely concerned with the workings of politics and public management under socio-political conditions of indeterminancy and fragmentation that are variously described as characteristics of high or late modernity (Giddens 1991) or, as some prefer to put it, of post-modernity (Fox and Miller 1995). This article, which reflects the author's interest in interdisciplinary forms of post-postmodern analysis that draw upon political science and sociology and social theory as well as administrative studies, examines a number of conceptual and empirical topics that, it is argued, are relevant to exploration of the thesis that postnational social milieux are steered via new forms of societal-cum-political governance that have largely replaced governmental institutions and processes of the kind associated with classical notions of the state, public administration and liberal democracy.     

亚洲正被卷入欧洲的烂摊子

中印7月制造业增长双双放缓,日韩也显出今年最糟糕表现。＂亚洲正被卷入欧洲的烂摊子,贸易终于开始下挫,＂汇丰（HSBC）经济学家范力民（FredericNeumann）表示,＂最新数据似乎表明,出口方面还会遭受更多痛苦。＂相关数据显示,中国官方的采购经理指数（PMI）从6月的50.2微幅跌至50.1,仅略高于50这一分隔扩张与收缩的门槛;日本7月的PMI下降两点,至47.9;印度7月制造业增长放缓;而韩国7月份出口同比下降8.8%,是今年最大幅度的月度下降;严重依赖中国资源需求的澳大利亚制造业活动7月跌至三年低位……亚洲的糟糕数据突显该地区对美欧需求的依赖程度,自2008年以来,美欧经济一直处于挣扎状态。尽管欧元区主权债务危机影响欧洲经济增长已有一年多,但这种影响只是在最近才开始导致其对亚洲出口商品的需求下降。     

FED应对次贷危机的货币政策及其走向

2008年9月15日,拥有158年历史的美国金融巨头雷曼兄弟申请破产保护,债务逾6130亿美元。雷曼兄弟的清盘酿成美国历史上最大的金融破产案,华尔街的五大投资银行事实上已去其三。10月3日,布什     

Development of the Insurance Industry in Europe in Economic and Financial Crisis

This paper analyzes the evolution of the insurance sector in Europe, focuses on the European Union （EU） member states, and considers the impact of economic and financial crisis on that sector. The European private insurance market is a developed market having an investment portfolio of 7,740 billion euros in 2011, an amount corresponding to 55% of the gross domestic product （GDP） of the 32 European markets members of Insurance Europe. Therefore, the importance of this sector as a long-term investor and major employer is obvious for the stability and growth of European economy. However, the insurance sector has been considerably affected since 2009 due to the global economic and financial crisis, which has had negative effects not only on the evolution of the value of insurance premiums underwritten, but also on the return on investment of the insurance companies.     

Separating the Wheat from the Chaff: Icelandic and Irish Policy Responses to the Banking Crisis

When the stories of the Icelandic and Irish crises are told, they are framed as if one country did everything right to exit recession and the other country everything wrong. This article assesses their recovery policies and finds that the truth lies somewhere in between. By allowing its banking system to suffer substantial losses, Iceland shielded its citizens from the costly debt overhang apparent in Ireland. Ireland's commitment to open capital markets and price deflation has allowed trade flows to remain robust, and relative prices to realign to signal sustainable production plans to entrepreneurs. These responses provide a roadmap for other small open economies with large financial sectors entering similar crises in the future.     

ECB Monetary Policy Surprises: Identification Through Cojumps in Interest Rates

This paper proposes a new econometric approach to disentangle two distinct response patterns of the yield curve to monetary policy announcements. Based on cojumps in intraday tick data of short‐ and long‐term interest rate futures, we develop a day‐wise test that detects the occurrence of a significant policy surprise and identifies the market perceived source of the surprise. The new test is applied to 133 policy announcements of the European Central Bank (ECB) in the period from 2001 to 2012. Our main findings indicate a good predictability of ECB policy decisions and remarkably stable perceptions about the ECB's policy preferences. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

国际金融危机与中国财政政策设计：功能、目标、力度

本文结合国际金融危机,从理论和实践两方面探讨了中国财政政策设计和实施中存在的一些重要问题。一是从财政政策的维持和纠偏两方面,揭示了财政政策的基本功能,提出财政政策应该分为稳定和再稳定两类政策;二是从财政政策的经济和社会目标两方面,分析了财政政策目标错位问题,提出了财政政策目标应从实现经济增长调整为促进充分就业;三是从财政政策力度计量方面,考察了政府预算账户存在的问题,提出了单独设立稳定账户的设想。     

后金融危机时期解读我国宏观经济政策

在国际金融危机持续蔓延时期,各国出台相应政策扭转不利局势。我国政府在2008年和2009年也出台了多项宏观政策来应对危机,并取得了一定的成效。危机已过,余波未平,在后金融危机时期,这些政策发挥着怎样的作用,今后宏观调控的方针和措施是什么?本文将针对这些问题一一解读。     

以有效财税政策扩大消费拉动内需

消费作为社会总需求的重要组成部分,长期以来对我国经济增长的贡献度偏低。在当前进出口下滑态势仍未有效遏制、投资活力明显不足的情况下,扩大消费将为宏观经济又好又快发展提供坚实的支撑。财税政策在扩大消费、拉动内需方面具有重要作用。     

自愿性会计政策变更对会计师事务所变更的影响研究

本文从自愿性会计政策变更对会计师事务所变更的影响角度进行研究,发现我国上市公司为了进行盈余管理而采取自愿性会计政策变更后,在一定程度上会导致其主审会计师事务所的变更。本文从我国上市公司自愿性会计政策变更程度、变更方向,以及变更性质对会计师事务所的变更产生的影响进行实证分析。结果表明,我国上市公司自愿性会计政策变更程度是在会计师事务所与客户之间,就会计政策存在意见分歧的情况下,形成的影响会计师事务所变更的主要因素。     

金融危机前后中国通胀惯性特征及货币政策研究

通货膨胀惯性衡量了通胀指标受到冲击偏离均值后返回均值的时间,与货币政策的制定密切相关。文章选取2000年1月至2011年9月的月度CPI、RPI、PPI数据,应用Yule-Walker方法和Stationary Block-Bootstrap方法估计了通胀惯性系数,同时应用EFP(Empirical fluctuation processes)方法和BP未知断点检验法研究了我国通胀指数序列的结构变化点和通胀惯性系数的结构变化点,讨论了金融危机前后通胀惯性特征的变化规律。计量结果表明,我国通胀惯性总体上维持在0.8左右,尤其是金融危机以来,通胀惯性一直在0.85至0.9之间徘徊,这表明货币政策的滞后期在一年以上。文章得出结论:市场预期的缓慢调整和央行信誉度的偏弱是我国通胀惯性高的主要原因。当前央行货币政策的重点应放在稳定物价上,并要提高通胀的预测能力,及时灵活地调整货币政策的重心。     

进入“后危机”时期的中国经济——政策选择与复苏管理

一、中国经济已进入“后危机”时期 从今年第二季度开始,中国经济已走出低谷,步人复苏轨道。第二、三季度的各项经济指针的同比增长速度显示出强劲的“VV,复苏轨迹,全年GDP增长可能会超过8,5％。     

Limits to the Implementation of Benchmarking Through KPIs in UK Construction Policy: Insights from game theory

Abstract

Benchmarking through the use of key performance indicators (KPIs) has been an important part of the UK government's market-oriented reforms to improve efficiency across the public sector and in other areas such as construction where government is a major client. However, government attempts to implement construction KPIs have not followed the expected course. We argue that insights from game theory show that the initial plan for construction benchmarking failed to take account of the strategic value of the information collected and was not implementable because the sharing of information by construction suppliers with their clients was a dominated strategy.     

Corporate Social Responsibility, Public Policy, and NGO Activism in Europe and the United States: An Institutional-Stakeholder Perspective

abstract    Corporate social responsibility (CSR) is an increasingly pervasive phenomenon on the European and North American economic and political landscape. In this paper, we extend neo-institutional and stakeholder theory to show how differences in the institutional environments of Europe and the United States affect expectations about corporate responsibilities to society. We focus on how these differences are manifested in government policy, corporate strategy, and non-governmental organization (NGO) activism towards specific issues involving the social responsibilities of corporations. Drawing from recent theoretical and empirical research, and analysis of three case studies (global warming, trade in genetically modified organisms, and pricing of anti-viral pharmaceuticals in developing countries), we find that different institutional structures and political legacies in the US and EU are important factors in explaining how governments, NGOs, and the broader polity determine and implement preferences regarding CSR in these two important world regions.     

抵御危机影响、促进经济平稳较快增长的税收策略

为抵御世界金融危机的影响,促进我国经济平稳较快增长,国务院出台了十项重要措施.其中的增值税转型改革意叉重大、影响深远,成为实施积极财政政策的重要内容.为进一步扩大内需,促进经济增长,在已有措施基础上,还应该继续深化税收领域的改革,以充分发挥税收在抵御危机影响、促进经济平稳较快增长方面应有的作用.     

论晚会的舞台发展——通过春晚谈舞台的发展变化

通过对历年来春晚的观赏分析,发现晚会中变化最大的是舞台形式,本文从舞台的空间、灯光、化妆新材料的运用以及科技的发展等方面进行阐述。     

美日欧新能源汽车政策辨析及启示

本文通过分析美日欧新能源汽车市场的政策演变路径,对中国市场的新能源汽车技术选择形成借鉴.结合对中国新能源汽车市场的预估,参考美日欧政策对消费市场的撬动作用,进一步提出消费者政策的支出规模.最后通过美日欧新能源汽车对应发展阶段政策分析,提出中国新能源汽车市场的政策着眼点.