关注美国“新经济”

美国经济自1991年4月走出战后第九次经济危机以来,开始走向复苏和增长,迄今经济持续增长达90多个月,出现了许多新特点。一是经济持续稳定增长,同时伴随着低通胀率、低失业率和低财政赤字水平,1992年到1997年美国经济增长率年均为2.6%,而1998年达到3.5%,失业率从1991年的6.7%降为1998年的4.5%,同期通胀率则由5%降     

美国外贸战略亟待转变

本文透过中美知识产权纠纷及美日柯达——富士胶卷争端两大世界贸易之纷争,揭示了以制裁为极端表现的当前美国外贸战略的短视性特征。指出,美国要从根本上改变对外贸易逆差现状,并进而在逐步高科技化的国际经济时代立于不败之地,就必须及时放弃短视性外贸战略,代之以“实力取胜”的全新对外贸易战略。     

经济周期下的美国“新经济”走势分析

<正> 20世纪90年代,美国经济的持续高速增长曾使人们怀疑过经济周期的存在性,但新世纪初的经济减速告诉人们,经济周期仍然作用于美国经济,"新经济"可以改变经济周期的表现形式,但不能从根本上消除经济周期,因此,未来的美国经济仍将会在经济周期和"新经济"的相互作用下运行。     

2007年美国外贸海运集装箱分析

美国既是全球经济和国际贸易最发达的国家,也是海运强国。在经济全球化和区域经济一体化的背景下,我国与美国间的贸易持续高速发展,促进了两国间集装箱海运量的高速增长。本文根据美国联邦政府相关部门2008年公布的数据,分析美国外贸与海运集装箱量的发展变化,特别介绍美中之间贸易与海运集装箱量的发展变化情况。     

The role of the Chinese economy in the world economy: A U.S. perspective

In this paper I first review the amazing progress that free market economic reforms have brought to the Chinese people after years of central control and suppression of markets. Thanks to greater economic freedom, economic growth increased sharply and hundreds of millions of people have been removed from poverty. By all accounts, however, economic freedom in China has a long way to go. The U.S. perspective should be that these market reforms continue. These further reforms toward economic freedom and economic growth in China will be beneficial to the United States. Such reforms would include a greater transparency about the monetary policy strategies, more openness of the capital accounts and less exchange rate and stock market intervention. Such economic reforms should be welcomed and encouraged by the United States and other countries.     

酒精助然美国经济

酒精产业降低了美国对进口原油的依存度,减少了贸易逆差美国酒精产业最早始于19世纪30年代,上世纪80年代得以跳跃式发展,是过去三十年来美国加工制造业最成功的典范之一。2005年是美国酒精产业发展的分水岭,美国总统布什当年8月签署了新的能源政策法案(EPACT05),从法律高度激励     

The gorbachev economic proposals and the U.S. economy

Invited address at the Twenty-Fourth Atlantic Economic Society Conference, September 3–5, 1987, New York, New York.     

The impact of the U.S. unfair trade laws: A preliminary assessment

The Impact of the U. S. Unfair Trade Laws: A Preliminary Assessment.- This paper examines how the U.S. unfair trade laws affect imports and import-competing industries. It does so by analyzing data from the U. S. antidumping and antisubsidy cases completed between 1980 and 1992. The results of the paper suggest that the U. S. unfair trade laws significantly reduced “unfair” imports during this period. The paper also finds evidence that U.S. producers were the primary beneficiaries of this import reduction.     

美国经济走势及对亚洲经济的影响

本文从需求、投资和政策组合3个方面分析了美国过去10年经济增长的原因,在此基础上展望美国经济未来的短期和中长期走势,探讨了美国经济减速对亚洲以及中国经济的影响,并提出相应的政策建议。     

The trade effects of the U. S. generalized system of preferences

Conclusion Subsequent rounds of multilateral tariff reductions and changes in the GSP and other trade arrangements supersede the analysis presented here, but this study still provides some guidance to future analysis of tariff concessions. The review of the literature suggests a need for greater precision in methods and data. The new technique employed here would appear to be appropriate for future analyses of multilateral trade liberalization and of proliferating free trade areas. Our results indicate that extremely optimistic and pessimistic estimates of GSP trade effects should be regarded with skepticism. The GSP has probably had a modest positive impact on LDC exports to the United States.     

中国入世后税制改革对美国在华投资的影响

入世后中国税制和税收政策面临调整，主要包括：统一内外资企业所得税制度；将现行的“生产型”增值税改为“消费型”增值税；调整消费税税目；完善出口退税政策；统一涉外税收政策等。这些调整既要遵循WTO规则，又要有利于进一步吸引外资。因而，中国这一轮税制改革和税收政策调整，对包括美国在内的所有外国在华投资的影响是积极的。     

美国政府面对中国加入WTO的贸易政策调整动向

美国政府早已做出了中国“入世”对美国经济产生影响的评估，并已根据此报告做出了一些相应的贸易政策调整，且必定在将来的中美双边贸易中做出更多的贸易政策调整，本文对美国政府的贸易政策调整作出分析并预测其调整动向。