寿险资金运用的风险限额管理

资金运用风险是寿险公司面临的两大最主要风险之一,加强资金运用风险管理对确保寿险公司持续稳健经营至关重要。风险限额管理作为风险管理的核心内容,是风险管理体系中不可或缺的组成部分。建立一个科学、可操作和有效的风险限额管理体系,为寿险资金运用风险管理提供控制标准,是决定风险管理成效的关键环节。本文借鉴风险限额分配模型,总结寿...     

新巴塞尔协议下VaR方法在银行信用风险管理中的应用

信用风险是商业银行面临的风险中最重要的一类风险。通过运用VaR风险计量方法的基本原理,对我国商业银行市场风险管理的现状进行分析,并得出VaR方法在我国商业银行应用建议     

VaR方法及其在金融风险管理中的应用

随着金融市场的发展、金融产品的不断创新以及全球竞争的加剧,我国金融市场的风险将更为复杂和多样,如何对这些风险并进行有效管理各国金融机构及监管机构面临的重要难题,而VaR模型作为一种测定市场风险的工具,正日趋成为当前国际金融风险管理和金融监管的主流方法,受到了国际金融界的广泛支持和认可。故对VaR模型进行研究并探讨其在金融风险管理中的应用具有重要的现实意义。     

金融风险管理与VaR方法

本文分析了当前我国金融市场风险的特点,应用近年来在国际上受到广泛重视的一种全新的风险管理工具"在险价值"VaR的基本思想,全面、系统地分析和测量了金融市场所存在的各种风险,并对基本模型的优缺点及应用作了详细分析,最后提出VaR模型在我国金融市场风险管理的应用及其局限性.     

基于GARCH模型VaR方法的银行板块风险研究

本文对GARCH模型和VaR方法在风险管理方面的应用先做了介绍,然后通过选取2008年1月2日至2012年11月21日银行类板块指数日收盘价作为数据样本,运用GARCH模型VaR方法对我国银行板块的风险进行了实证分析.实证结果表明我国银行股股指对数收益率序列存在集聚效应,GARCH模型能够很好的描述我国银行板块的波动情况,因而测量的VaR值能较好的反映我国银行板块面临的风险程度.     

非寿险公司风险预警研究——基于ERM理论

随着非寿险市场地不断发展,我国非寿险公司必将面临着更加多样化、复杂化的风险,这必会影响到非寿险公司乃至整个保险业的生存和发展,因此建立一套科学合理的风险预警系统就显得刻不容缓。本文对当前非寿险公司的风险预警状况进行全面分析的基础上,论证了风险预警对非寿险公司发展的重要性。之后通过引入全面风险管理理论,从建立原则、系统结构、系统功能三个方面分析了非寿险公司的全面风险预警系统框架。最后探讨了其运行模式和运行过程。     

中国商业银行市场风险的实证研究

如何全面分析中国商业银行所面临的市场风险,找出差距,提升自身的抗风险能力,成为当前一个亟待解决的课题。本文构建合理指标体系,运用VaR模型,对我国商业银行所面临的市场风险进行了度量测定,并借鉴国际银行业在市场风险管理方面的先进经验,提出了有效防范市场风险的建议和对策。一、VaR方法原理及应用研究(一)VaR的计算原理风险价值(VaR)是指在一定的持有期和给定的置信水平下,利率、汇率等市场风险要素发生变化时可能对某项资金头寸、资产组合或机构造成的潜在最大损失。如果假设资产或资产组合的初始价值为W0,收益率r的期望值为E(r)…     

中小企业寿险产品创新研究

本文对我国中小企业员工面临的生命健康等人身风险以及目前我国保险市场上针对中小企业的寿险产品供给情况进行了分析。研究表明,我国中小企业面临的员工人身风险管理需要不断创新寿险产品,保险公司需要对中小企业寿险产品的创新发展进行理论和现实基础的研究,并在创新过程中综合考虑人力资本、国家政策等因素,开发适应中小企业员工生命健康风险管理需求的保障型产品,以促进我国中小企业的健康发展。     

沪深300股指期货VaR-GARCH模型风险管理研究——基于恒指期货的比较视角

股指期货是以股票指数作为标的的金融衍生产品,其在金融风险管理中具有重要作用,同时自身也面临较大的风险。VaR—GARCH模型能够较好地模拟金融市场时间序列数据,并作出相应的估计值,是当前主流的风险管理方法。本文基于香港恒指期货的比较视角,对我国去年推出的沪深300股指期货交易进行VaR—GARCH模型实证分析,得出VaR—GARCH模型能够较好地管理沪深300股指期货的风险的结论,并建议加强VaR技术的运用和加强跨市监管,更好地管理股指期货的风险。     

不稳定VaR风险测量方法的计算方法及应用分析

近年来,随着金融市场的全球化,金融风险也凸现出来,人们对风险度量的重要性越来越重视。VaR风险管理技术作为一种用来评估和计量金融市场风险的统计学模型及方法,越来越多应用到风险管理中来。本文在介绍VaR的基本理论方法的基础下,对VaR的计算方法和应用范围进行介绍。     

保险公司负债公允价值的评估

保险公司的资产与负债按照财务报告或风险管理的要求要用公允价值来表示其价值。保险公司负债主要由各种类型的保险合同组成。尽管金融产品的交易非常活跃,市场价格可以相对容易地获得,但像保险合同这样缺乏交易市场,并且风险是非系统化的金融产品的公允价值的计算却十分困难。通过分层次的方法可以有效地评估金融工具的公允价值,其中评估保险公司负债的公允价值最常用的方法是现值法。现值法中包含了直接法与间接法两种本质上等价的方法。本文对这两种方法分别作了分析,并提出了在评估保险公司负债的公允价值时需要考虑的一些现实问题。     

To Hedge or Not to Hedge: Managing Demographic Risk in Life Insurance Companies

Demographic risk, i.e., the risk that life tables change in a nondeterministic way, is a serious threat to the financial stability of an insurance company having underwritten life insurance and annuity business. The inverse influence of changes in mortality laws on the market value of life insurance and annuity liabilities creates natural hedging opportunities. Within a realistically calibrated shareholder value (SHV) maximization framework, we analyze the implications of demographic risk on the optimal risk management mix (equity capital, asset allocation, and product policy) for a limited liability insurance company operating in a market with insolvency‐averse insurance buyers. Our results show that the utilization of natural hedging is optimal only if equity is scarce. Otherwise, hedging can even destroy SHV. A sensitivity analysis shows that a misspecification of demographic risk has severe consequences for both the insurer and the insured. This result highlights the importance of further research in the field of demographic risk.     

Naturgefahrenmodellierung in internen Risikomodellen – Unverzichtbares Rüstzeug für Strategieentscheidungen des Managements der Zukunft

Management requires internal models, which will usually span a period of several years (such as five), for analysing the financial situation of the insurance company and supporting strategic value- and risk-based company management. Catastrophe risks play an important role in risk management as a substantial share of the company’s entire risk capital is committed to natural catastrophes. So the article aims to compare two approaches in modelling storm loss in the context of applicability in strategic management. Concretely modelling deductibles in storm insurance is shown using the mathematical statistical approach. A case study will analyse various strategies and their effects on the insurance company’s single and multi-year risk-return position using example data where risk is dominated by catastrophes in order to give a concrete idea for the use of multi-period internal models in the context of management.     

Risk Management: History,Definition, and Critique

The study of risk management began after World War II. Risk management has long been associated with the use of market insurance to protect individuals and companies from various losses associated with accidents. Other forms of risk management, alternatives to market insurance, surfaced during the 1950s when market insurance was perceived as very costly and incomplete for protection against pure risk. The use of derivatives as risk management instruments arose during the 1970s, and expanded rapidly during the 1980s, as companies intensified their financial risk management. International risk regulation began in the 1980s, and financial firms developed internal risk management models and capital calculation formulas to hedge against unanticipated risks and reduce regulatory capital. Concomitantly, governance of risk management became essential, integrated risk management was introduced, and the chief risk officer positions were created. Nonetheless, these regulations, governance rules, and risk management methods failed to prevent the financial crisis that began in 2007.     

Wertorientierte Kapitalanlagestrategie eines als Kapitalgesellschaft verfassten Versicherungsunternehmens

The question, inasmuch the allocation of shareholder capital to support capital market risks of an insurance company is value-accreditive is not only a very timely issue for market-affine shareholders given the current state of the financial markets, recent changes of insurance contract act, and an increasingly risk-adequate regulation. Moreover, the questions at hand touches upon very fundamental aspects of the risk/return business model of an insurance company. Applying established mirco- and institutional-economic concepts the analysis fundamentally denies such a value-contribution from a shareholder point of view. Yet, both for non-life- as well as in particular life-operations exceptions to this rule are also explored.     

海外保险机构并购国内基金公司的财富效应研究——基于宏利人寿并购泰达荷银基金案例分析

海外保险机构希望选择通过并购国内基金公司来增强自身综合化与国际化经营能力,但其前景如何？以宏利人寿保险并购国内泰达荷银基金管理为例,分别从市场反应和财务绩效两个方面来研究宏利人寿并购产生的财富效应。在并购公告的市场反应来看,其累积超常收益率都跑赢了市场;从财务指标变动趋势发现,宏利人寿盈利能力稳健,成长能力逐年增强,风险水平比较低,抵御风险能力较强,长期来看将产生协同效应,创造价值。从而对宏利金融管理人员、宏利金融公司股东、证券监管者、保险监管者等提出了一些建议。     

互联网保险公司财务风险研究

互联网保险特殊经营模式使保险公司呈现固定资产占比较小、资产负债率较低、保险产品"场景化、碎片化"、渠道成本低廉等财务特征,也使保险公司面临更为错综复杂的财务风险,如对股东的权益性资金依赖性较强、定价风险加大、盈利空间不定以及骗赔套保和洗钱风险等.鉴此,应拓宽筹资渠道,优化保险产品定价,提高保费收入持续增长能力,降低运营和合作成本,构建第三方保单认证和风险评估体系,加强资金规范化管理,强化外部监管等.     

Does Insurance Market Activity Promote Economic Growth? A Cross‐Country Study for Industrialized and Developing Countries

Insurance market activity may contribute to economic growth, both as financial intermediary and provider of risk transfer and indemnification, by allowing different risks to be managed more efficiently and by mobilizing domestic savings. During the last decade, there has been faster growth in insurance market activity, particularly in emerging markets, given the process of financial liberalization and integration, which raises questions about the overall impact on economic growth. This article tests whether there is a causal relationship between insurance market activity (life and nonlife insurance) and economic growth. Using the generalized method of moments (GMM) for dynamic models of panel data for 55 countries between 1976 and 2004, I find robust evidence for this relationship. Both life and nonlife insurance have a positive and significant causal effect on economic growth. For life insurance, high‐income countries drive the results, and for nonlife insurance, both high‐income and developing countries drive the results.     

保险公司操作风险及其防范

保险公司作为市场经营主体,在提供保险保障和其他金融服务的过程中,不可避免地面临各种各样的风险,包括所有市场经营主体都会面临的一般风险和基于保险经营的特有属性而面临的特有风险,重视包括操作风险在内的保险公司全面风险管理已形成业内共识。     

人寿保险行业市场结构及影响因素研究

准入退出壁垒、市场集中度、规模经济和范围经济以及产品差异化等是影响人寿保险业市场结构的主要因素。中国保险市场准入、退出的行政性政策壁垒较高,市场集中度较高,属于寡占 III 型市场结构;寿险业保费规模、保险密度、保险深度、保险资产总额占 GDP 的比重、保险资产总额占整个金融资产的比重较低;寿险产品同质化现象较严重。鉴此,应降低市场进入壁垒,建立市场退出机制,达到优化市场结构,提高资源配置效率目的。