外汇风险管理工具的自身潜在风险分析

人民币汇改之后,中国企业开始关注如何管理汇率风险,但是国内关于汇率风险管理工具的研究大多忽视了汇率风险管理工具的自身风险。从一个全新的视角看待汇率风险,并分析了三种风险管理工具自身所具有的风险。最后提出企业在正确理解汇率风险涵义的基础上应该清楚的认识到风险管理工具自身同样包含着多种风险。     

金融衍生工具的风险特点与恰当选择

本文分析了金融衍生工具的特点和风险种类,指出应当充分认识金融衍生工具的风险性,以风险控制为主,根据需要,选择恰当的金融衍生工具,从而更好地防范汇率风险。     

外贸企业如何运用金融衍生工具规避外汇风险

金融衍生工具重要功能之一就是对冲和分散风险,利用金融衍生品已成为国际上越来越多企业规避汇率风险和保值增值的手段。我国外贸企业在外汇业务中如何运用金融衍生工具,规避外汇风险,是一个值得密切关注的问题。     

房地产风险呼唤避险工具——开发住房价格指数期货正逢良时

近几年，我国房地产业的迅速发展，使得在一些地区房价持续高位运行，其对金融经济乃至整个社会生活的巨大风险已经引起经济界、政府部门和城镇居民的高度关注。     

防范汇率风险

伴随着企业的发展及入关的考验,众多企业将同国外进行贸易接触。国际政治、经济形势的变化,将对我国企业生产经营产生各种各样的影响,带来各种风险,汇率风险就是主要的风险之一,它广泛存在于进出口贸易、项目合资、外资筹措等经济活动中。 汇率风险有两种情况: 一是指外币之间的汇率风险。主要是借入货币与支付货币之间,收人货币与偿还货币之间汇率变化,导致企业外汇偿还能     

金融衍生工具在企业外汇风险管理中的运用

利用金融衍生工具规避外汇风险是我国企业当务之急,本文探讨了目前可供企业选择的金融工具种类及特点、具体运用和企业在选择金融衍生工具时应注意的问题。     

金融衍生产品及其风险规避初探

近２０年来,金融衍生产品得到了日新月异的发展;大量多样的金融衍生产品的创立推出繁荣了金融市场,并使衍生产品市场在全球市场日益扩张。据１９９３年国际清算银行进行的一项有关金融衍生市场的调查表明：全球（含场外交易市场和交易所）每日金融衍生交易达到２３０３０亿美元,其他交易为１１４１０亿美元。金融衍生品的推出作为金融创新的主要体现,有效地降低了交易成本,提高了交易效率,并且对某些风险进行了规避,满足了投资者的需要,这也正是其得到长足发展的根本原因。然而在金融衍生产品迅速发展的同的,金融衍生市场的风险性…     

浅谈对于期货套期保值的原材料价格风险规避

随着我国市场经济的市场化水平不断提高,国内企业面临着激烈的市场竞争,如何有效规避原材料的价格风险,成为企业能否正常运行的重点。本文从期货套期保值的基本概念入手,重点讨论了基于期货套期保值进行原材料价格风险的原则和操作关键。     

企业对人民币汇率风险的管理

在人民币汇率形成市场化机制的过程中,汇率风险将成为企业面临的一种不可低估的风险,而远期外汇交易是规避汇率风险的一种常用的金融工具。本文分析了我国远期外汇交易发展的现状,探讨了企业应如何合理使用远期外汇交易金融工具规避风险等问题。     

供应链风险下的采购策略研究

在采购合同组合管理的基础上,借鉴了ABC分析方法的思想。主要探讨了在不同风险水平下,采购商与不同类型的供应商如何签订期权合同和长期定量合同以达到期望成本最低的目标。分别讨论了签订期权合同和没有签订期权合同这两种情况,并在此基础上提出了一个简单有效的设计期权合同和长期定量合同的方法。     

House price risk and the hedging benefits of home ownership

Using a repeat-sales methodology, this paper finds that estimates of house price risk based on aggregate house price indices substantially underestimate the true size of house price risk. This is the result of the fact that aggregate house price indices average away the idiosyncratic volatility in house prices. Additional results show that the idiosyncratic risk exceeds the hedging benefits of home ownership. These results imply that for many home owners, owning a house may well add more price risk than it hedges away. These findings are based on a detailed dataset of individual housing transactions in the Netherlands.     

浅谈固定总价合同对承包商的利弊

本文集中就固定总价合同对承包商的利与弊进行了有效的分析与研究,对固定总价合同中的项目承包方的风险与风险控制提出了良好的解决策略,以期对承包商的利益与稳定发展提供良好的意见指导与帮助。     

试论新形势下建设工程施工招标投标的风险与规避

文章指出提高风险管理水平,重视项目决策的研究,对完善建筑市场、提高施工企业的综合实力有着至关重要的作用。     

Dynamics of price cooperating model in commodity market

For the problem of price fluctuation in the commodity market, some ordinary differential equation models are proposed and the stability of equilibrium price is studied. In this paper, we develop a mathematic model for price cooperation with diffusion and lag. When the economic parameters satisfy some conditions, the existence and stability of periodic price are investigated.     

基于批发价及期权契约的应急物资采储优化

针对应急物资需求,为了降低生产、采购及存储成本,增强物资存储能力,提高供需匹配及调配效率,依次提出了基于批发价契约、第一类批发价与期权综合契约、第二类批发价与期权综合的政企联合采储流程,在此基础上,从建立应急物资信息化平台,加强5G、大数据及区块链等技术应用,加强需求预测及库存控制,加强相关人员培训等方面提出了应急物资保障优化措施。     

An exploration of factors influencing the choice of commodity price risk mitigation strategies

Most firms are exposed to price volatility associated with commodities, which can significantly affect the price paid for raw materials, energy, packaging, shipping, and component purchases. Commodity price risk represents the financial, operational and informational effects of commodity price volatility (CPV). The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the supply chain risk management literature by providing a taxonomy of commodity price risk mitigation strategies and factors that may influence the adoption of these strategies. A qualitative study was conducted using a grounded theory approach, based on case studies of companies with home operations in Italy, Germany, and the US. The paper provides some initial evidence for theory and practice as to: 1) how firms can mitigate the risk from CPV by implementing various sourcing, contracting, and financing strategies; and 2) the influence of commodity/product factors, buying organization factors, supply chain factors, and external environment factors on strategy capability and choice.     

Variance trading and market price of variance risk

This paper develops a new approach for variance trading. We show that the discretely-sampled realized variance can be robustly replicated under very general conditions, including when the price can jump. The replication strategy specifies the exact timing for rebalancing in the underlying. The deviations from the optimal schedule can lead to surprisingly large hedging errors. In the empirical application, we synthesize the prices of the variance contract on S&P 500 index over the period from 01/1990 to 12/2009. We find that the market variance risk is priced, its risk premium is negative and economically very large. The variance risk premium cannot be explained by the known risk factors and option returns.     

Impact of investor’s varying risk aversion on the dynamics of asset price fluctuations

While investors’ responses to price changes and their price forecast have been identified as one of the major factors contributing to large price fluctuations in financial markets, our study shows that investors’ heterogeneous and dynamic risk aversion (DRA) preferences may play a more critical role in understanding the dynamics of asset price fluctuations. We allow an agent specific and time-dependent risk aversion index in a popular power utility function with constant relative risk aversion to construct our DRA model in which we made two key contributions. We developed an approximated closed-form price setting equation, providing a necessary framework for exploring the impact of various agents’ behaviors on the price dynamics. The dynamics of each agent’s risk aversion index is modeled by a bounded random walk with a constant variance, and such dynamics is incorporated in the price formula to form our DRA model. We show numerically that our model reproduces most of the “stylized” facts observed in the real data, suggesting that dynamic risk aversion is an important mechanism for understanding the dynamics of the financial market and the resultant financial time series.     

农产品供应链协调中的期权契约价值研究

通过分析供应链期权机制,建立了农产品供应链协调下的各决策主体的决策模型。基于此模型求得协调状况下供应商的最优价格、产能决策和零售商的最优购买决策。说明了农产品供应链中引入期权机制之后,供应链实现了收益共享、风险共担。