Cultural tourism: an integrated analysis based on official data

Quality & Quantity - The main aim of this paper is to analyze cultural tourism in Italy and its relationship with the territory (that is considered the principal driver of the analysis) and to...     

Process innovation laboratory: a new approach to business process innovation based on enterprise information systems

Most organizations today are required not only to operate effective business processes but also to allow for changing business conditions at an increasing rate. Today nearly every business relies on their enterprise information systems (EIS) for process integration and future generations of EIS will increasingly be driven by business process models. Consequently business process modelling and improvement is becoming a serious challenge. The aim of this paper is to establish a conceptual framework for business process innovation (BPI) in the supply chain based on advanced EIS. The challenge is thus to create a new methodology for developing and exploring process models and applications. The paper outlines the process innovation laboratory (Π-Lab) as a new approach to BPI. The Π-Lab is a comprehensive framework and a collaborative workspace for experimenting with process models. The Π-Lab facilitates innovation by using an integrated action learning approach to process modelling in a controlled environment. The study is based on design science and the paper also discusses the implications to EIS research and practice.     

A new approach to optimal selection of services in health care organizations.

A new reimbursement policy adopted by Medicare in 1983 caused financial difficulties for many hospitals and health care organizations. Several organizations responded to these difficulties by developing systems to carefully measure their costs of providing services. The purpose of such systems was to provide relevant information about the profitability of hospital services. This paper presents a new method of making hospital service selection decisions: it is based on an optimization model that avoids arbitrary cost allocations as a basis for computing the costs of offering a given service. The new method provides more reliable information about which services are profitable or unprofitable, and it provides an accurate measure of the degree to which a service is profitable or unprofitable. The new method also provides useful information about the sensitivity of the optimal decision to changes in costs and revenues. Specialized algorithms for the optimization model lead to very efficient implementation of the method, even for the largest health care organizations.     

A new emergency management dynamic value assessment model based on social media data: a multiphase decision-making perspective

ABSTRACT

User-Generated Content (UGC) is becoming a powerful data source to support emergency management. Managers usually face two difficulties in practical emergency management. First, the requirement topics for emergency management are changing over time. Second, the value of the same microblog is changing over different emergency phases. The contributions of this study lie in the following aspects. First, this paper develops a multiphase dynamic assessment model. Second, an idea for the dynamic evaluation of UGC is proposed. Third, this paper presents an effective quantification method to assess the dynamic value of social media data.     

Forecast reconciliation: A geometric view with new insights on bias correction

A geometric interpretation is developed for so-called reconciliation methodologies used to forecast time series that adhere to known linear constraints. In particular, a general framework is established that nests many existing popular reconciliation methods within the class of projections. This interpretation facilitates the derivation of novel theoretical results. First, reconciliation via projection is guaranteed to improve forecast accuracy with respect to a class of loss functions based on a generalised distance metric. Second, the Minimum Trace (MinT) method minimises expected loss for this same class of loss functions. Third, the geometric interpretation provides a new proof that forecast reconciliation using projections results in unbiased forecasts, provided that the initial base forecasts are also unbiased. Approaches for dealing with biased base forecasts are proposed. An extensive empirical study of Australian tourism flows demonstrates the theoretical results of the paper and shows that bias correction prior to reconciliation outperforms alternatives that only bias-correct or only reconcile forecasts.     

A classification of response scale characteristics that affect data quality: a literature review

Quite a lot of research is available on the relationships between survey response scales’ characteristics and the quality of responses. However, it is often difficult to extract practical rules for questionnaire design from the wide and often mixed amount of empirical evidence. The aim of this study is to provide first a classification of the characteristics of response scales, mentioned in the literature, that should be considered when developing a scale, and second a summary of the main conclusions extracted from the literature regarding the impact these characteristics have on data quality. Thus, this paper provides an updated and detailed classification of the design decisions that matter in questionnaire development, and a summary of what is said in the literature about their impact on data quality. It distinguishes between characteristics that have been demonstrated to have an impact, characteristics for which the impact has not been found, and characteristics for which research is still needed to make a conclusion.     

Phenomena-centered Text Analysis (PTA): a new approach to foster the qualitative paradigm in text analysis

Quality & Quantity - Content or text analysis is one of the most common evaluation methods employed in qualitative research. Despite its wide application, however, a clear structure of how such...     

A new methodology for multidimensional poverty measurement based on the capability approach

We propose a methodology based on the use of clustering techniques derived from data analysis and multi-attribute decision analysis methods aiming at purposeful multidimensional poverty measurement. Our contribution to methodological knowledge insists on the necessity to build “meaningful measurements” for policy making and policy implementation. Our standpoint underlines the necessity to consider the problem of poverty measurement as a decision problem and to tackle its measurement issue with that in mind. We also show that such an exercise can be useful to develop a better operational definition of poverty and to solve the aggregation issues.     

A new method for measuring congestion in data envelopment analysis

In data envelopment analysis (DEA), there are two principal methods for identifying and measuring congestion: Those of Färe et al. [Färe R, Grosskopf S. When can slacks be used to identify congestion. An answer to W. W. Cooper, L. Seiford, J. Zhu. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences 2001;35:1–10] and Cooper et al. [Cooper WW, Deng H, Huang ZM, Li SX. A one-model approach to congestion in data envelopment analysis. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences 2002;36:231–8]. In the present paper, we focus on the latter work in proposing a new method that requires considerably less computation. Then, by proving a selected theorem, we show that our proposed methodology is indeed equivalent to that of Cooper et al.     

城市新区规划仿真模型系统分析方法研究

通过应用系统动力学建立城市新区规划系统仿真模型,已成为新区规划的一种重要手段。从分析构建仿真模型过程中通常所采用的系统分析方法入手,阐明了该方法的一些不足之处,提出了一种改进型的分析方法,即系统反馈环分析方法,探讨了该方法的机理和可行性,并结合天津滨海新区空港加工区的案例,论述了该方法对仿真模型系统结构和行为模式的分析过程。     

The new approach in the analysis of 2×2 tables

Conventional statistical analysis of contingency tables is logically untenable. It rejects the knowledge of the prior model of cause, and it tests the null hypothesis of independence which cannot be proved to be true or false. Our approach is based on the knowledge of the prior model of cause, and we test the hypothesis of significant dependence. This hypothesis can be proved to be true or false if data are representative of the homogeneous invisible population.     

Determinants of agricultural entrepreneurship: a GEM data based study

The aim of this study is to explain the determinants of entrepreneurship in agriculture industry. What are the drivers of early stage entrepreneurial activity of agri-business entrepreneur and how it is influenced by various cognitive and social capital factors? To answers these questions various driving factors of entrepreneurial activity have been explored from the literature. To achieve the objective, the study uses APS (Adult Population Survey) 2013 data of 69 countries provided by GEM (Global Entrepreneurship Monitor). Total number of respondents 1470, those who are alone or with others, currently trying to start a new business, including any self-employment or selling any goods or services to others in Agriculture Industry, were selected from the data set. To measure the influence of cognitive and social capital factors on early stage entrepreneurial activity logistic regression was employed. The findings show that those who see entrepreneurial opportunities, are confident in their own skills and ability, having personal relationship or social networks with existing entrepreneurs, and have invested in others business as business angels are more likely to become an entrepreneur. Additionally, fear of failure or risk perception does not prevent people to become entrepreneur. Policy implications have been discussed. This is one the first study of its kind and contributes to the existing literature by explaining agricultural entrepreneurship through an integrated approach of entrepreneurial cognition and social networking.

     

基于数据包络分析法的涉农金融机构经营效率分析

文章以2012年246家涉农金融机构的4项投入因素(员工人数、总利息支出、非利息费用与净值)与3项产出因素(贷款收入、非贷款收入与逾期贷款比率)为研究对象,利用非预期因素数据包络分析法,分析涉农金融机构经营效率的评估,并提出达到相对有效率应改善的方向。研究发现:舍弃逾期贷款比率与不舍弃逾期贷款比率的产出导向BCC模型间,占总体样本的8.54%,显现两种方法有其差异性。这是因为涉农金融逾期贷款比率愈高,需要付出更多的人力去催讨与处理抵押品的损失,皆会影响涉农金融机构经营效率。此外,投入或产出项需要调整的涉农金融机构占80.89%。涉农金融机构经营效率低下的主要原因是资源分配不当,如何降低经营成本与开拓业务实属当务之急。     

Monopolistic competition and new products: a conjectural equilibrium approach

In this paper we generalize the heterogeneous risk adverse agents model of diffusion of new products in a multi-firm, heterogeneous and interacting agents environment. We use a model of choice under uncertainty based on Bayesian theory. We discuss the possibility of product failures, the set of equilibria, their stability and some welfare properties depending on the degree of diversification.