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1.
Variety,growth and demand 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0
Pier Paolo Saviotti 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》2001,11(1):119-142
A dynamic model of demand compatible with a changing composition of the economic system is presented in this paper. Consumers
are not expected to have completely formed preferences for radically new objects of consumption. Consumers adopt new goods
or services ,created by innovation, only if three barriers are overcome: 1) a critical (minimum) level of income, 2) critical
human capital, 3) critical fitness. However, even a new good or service with a fitness higher than that of pre-existing ones,
will not be immediately adopted. Consumers'.limited knowledge will slow down the rate of adoption of any new good or service. 相似文献
2.
Paul J. Zak 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》2002,12(3):343-365
Recent biomedical research shows that roughly three-quarters of cognitive abilities are attributable to genetics and family
environment. This paper presents a growth model that characterizes the role of the intergenerational transmission of genes
and the effect of family environment on growth trajectories. If the average human or physical capital stocks are sufficiently
low, the model shows that the economy will be caught in a poverty trap. Conversely, countries with more resources will converge
to a bala nced growth path where the average rate of genetic transmission of skills from parents to children determines the
long-run rate of output growth. Increased genetic diversity (or income inequality) is shown to raise the fertility rate and
reduce output growth in the transitional dynamics. Thus, nature and nurture are able to explain a variety of countries' growth
experiences. 相似文献
3.
Richard N. Langlois 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》2001,11(1):77-93
In neoclassical theory, knowledge generates increasing returns – and therefore growth – because it is a public good that
can be costlessly reused once created. In fact, however, much knowledge in the economy is actually tacit and not easily transmitted
–and thus not an obvious source of increasing returns. Several writers have responded to this alarming circumstances by affirming
hopefully that knowledge today is increasingly codified, general, and abstract – and increasingly less tacit. This paper disputes
such a trend. But all is not lost: for knowledge does not have to be codified to be reused and therefore to generate economic
growth. 相似文献
4.
J.S. Metcalfe 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》2002,12(1-2):3-15
The central theme of this address is the complicated relationship between the growth of the economy and the growth of knowledge.
This theme is explored with the help of a single concept “restless capitalism” which is used to capture the idea that capitalism
in equilibrium is a contradiction in terms precisely because the growth of knowledge cannot be meaningfully formulated as
the outcome of a constellation of equilibrating forces. This theme is explored through a discussion of growth accounting,
the relationship between innovation, markets and institutions and, as an example, the development of innovation in the field
of ophthalmology. We also discuss some pioneering contributions made by Simon Kuznets and Arthur Burns to the discussion of
evolutionary growth. From this Schumpeterian perspective we see the economy as an ensemble not an aggregate entity and so
see more clearly the importance of microdiversity in the relationship between growth of knowledge and growth of the economy. 相似文献
5.
Birgitte Andersen 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》1999,9(4):487-526
Since the works by the business cycle theorists in the 1930s, no attempts have been made to study empirically the long term
evolution paths of individual technologies starting with long time series. This is an empirical exploration and confirmation
of the now almost assumed image or metaphor of the way technology develops; that it follows an S-shaped growth path which is commonly associated with a similar shaped diffusion function of entrepreneurial activity. The
paper also confirms the diversity of technology dynamics and explores how technological cycle takeoffs appear to be clustered
within certain historical epochs. The results have implications for our understanding of the evolution paths of individual
technologies, and of the evolution of technological systems and waves of innovation.
By use of computational statistics, logistic growth functions are fitted to US patent stocks, 1920–1990, at a detailed level
of aggregation, including chemical, electrical/electronic, mechanical, transport and non-industrial technologies. Some practical
considerations when developing an empirically testable model of innovation cycles are addressed in the paper as well. 相似文献
6.
Alexander Ebner 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》2000,10(3):355-372
This essay addresses the historical and institutional aspects of Schumpeter's thought. It suggests that Schumpeter prepared
a pluralist research agenda, formulated in accordance with the conceptual perspective of the German Historical School, as
presented by major scholars such as Schmoller, Sombart, Spiethoff and Max Weber. Schumpeter's notion of development, with
its emphasis on the correspondence of economic and socio-cultural evolution, is therefore to be viewed in the context of the
comprehensive Schmollerian approach. Moreover the ethical-evolutionary components of Schmoller's ideas point at the vital
role of the German Historical School in the elaboration of a modern evolutionary economics in Schumpeterian terms. The essay
concludes that the Schmollerprogramm is going to inspire further developments in Schumpeterian economics, as the integration of theory and history continuously
marks the research agenda of evolutionary approaches to economic development. 相似文献
7.
Derek Bosworth Silvia Massini Masako Nakayama 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》2002,12(1-2):135-162
This paper explores the use of time series data to isolate quality change in the Japanese economy using a hedonic procedure.
We argue that the traditional approach to hedonic estimation based upon panel data sets of different brands in a given product
area is extremely resource intensive and, thus, unlikely to be adopted by official statistical bodies outside of key areas,
such as computers. This paper adopts a “top-down” approach to see whether more traditional measures of technical change, such
as patents, can be used to separate pure inflation from quality change. If this is possible, it offers a much simpler route
to estimate the role of quality change in economic growth and performance. In practice, we extend the analysis not only to
include patents, but other forms of intellectual property that might reflect technology and attribute changes, such as designs,
utility models and trademarks. We begin by taking a longer-term historical perspective, exploring the development of indigenous
inventive capacity in Japan during the early years when R&D data are not available. It is possible to show that the rise in
utility models pre-dates the main growth in patenting activity, suggesting the development in more low-level indigenous creative
work prior to higher level inventive activity. The principal aim of this paper, however, is to demonstrate that it is possible
to develop robust models to explain changes in the producer price index in Japan, which can then be used to re-examine Japanese
growth performance over the period from about 1960. If the official Japanese statistical body has fully accounted for quality
change in the price indices (i.e. produced fully quality-constant price deflators), then the official estimates of growth
will be correct. However, we provide strong evidence that this is not the case. Changes in quality, proxied by the IP variables,
are important determinants of prices in Japan over the period 1960 to 1995 as a whole. Indeed, we provide evidence that the
true rate of growth of the Japanese economy, taking into account the rate of quality change, is significantly higher than
that suggested in official statistics. 相似文献
8.
Eyüp Özveren 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》2000,10(1-2):49-65
This paper evaluates Schumpeter's grand vision as reflected in his Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy, and elaborates it in conjunction with the so-called “globalization” trends characteristic of the wake of the twenty-first
century. In addition to the evolutionary nature of his methodology, the institutionalist dimension of Schumpeter's definitions
are brought to light. A case is made for a fundamental process of “uncreative destruction” as far as the institutional setup
of the economy is concerned. The contention of this paper is that there is ample support in Schumpeterian analysis for a counterpoint
to the liberal thesis that envisages the worldwide spread of individualism, market economies, and democratic forms of government. 相似文献
9.
Should government subsidize R&D and does it matter how these subsidies are allocated? We examine these questions in a dynamic
model where R&D is described as sequential sampling from a distribution of new ideas. Successful discoveries affect future
available resources and incentives for further R&D. Consequently, there may be under-investment in R&D. We study the effect
of government interventions aimed at fostering growth through R&D. Calibrating the model with aggregate data from the Israeli
business sector allows us to quantitatively compare two forms of support resembling those actually used to encourage R&D in
the Israeli business sector: (i) an unrestricted subsidy that may be used at the recipients' discretion to finance R&D or
other investments, (ii) a subsidy earmarked by the government for R&D activities only. While there is no theoretical way to
determine which of the two subsidies will have a greater impact on search for new ideas and growth, we find that in the calibrated
economy both subsidies have a significant but similar impact on the economy's output and TFP growth rates. Accordingly, in
the case of the Israeli business sector, the incentives to conduct R&D were sufficiently strong, and no R&D-specific encouragement
was needed. However, a sensitivity analysis reveals that for economies characterized by other parameter values this result
may not be true.
Correspondence to: B. Bental 相似文献
10.
The paper reinterprets Schumpeter's views on the dynamic effects of taxation, as originally expressed in Crisis of the Tax State, from a Kaleckian perspective. In light of Schumpeter's rejection of Keynesian and Marshallian approaches to taxation, the
paper argues that a recently developed Kaleckian approach provides an appropriate basis from which to analyse the effects
on the business cycle of balanced changes in the structure of taxation. It is shown that, under certain shifting assumptions,
increases in the taxation of wages or profits will stimulate investment and attenuate the amplitude of the business cycle.
Ultimately, the shifting of taxes reduces to a conflict over income shares. The changing distribution of income in the United
Kingdom in recent years suggests that investment is likely to remain sluggish unless there is a significant reversal of income
shares. This may give rise to increasing economic and political tensions into the 21st century. 相似文献
11.
Samuel Cameron 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》2001,11(4):457-473
This paper uses a sample of 18,876 adults aged 16-59 from to estimate logit equations of the determinants of support for
the custom of abstaining from pre-marital sex. Three sets of equations are estimated separately for males and females; one
set for disapproval of pre-marital sex, one set for disapproval of one night stands and another set for a proxy for involvement
in pre-marital sex. These results confirm some expected male-female differences and also show a polarisation amongst the population
in their support for, and observance of, customs and practices related to abstaining from sex before marriage. 相似文献
12.
Morris Teubal 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》2002,12(1-2):233-257
Despite recent advances in the Evolutionary and Systems Perspectives to Economic Change (SI), confusion still exists about
how to apply it to the design and implementation of Innovation & Technology Policy (ITP) in concrete settings. Since the ‘Normative’
aspects of SI are framed in terms so general to make them insufficient or inadequate as guides and tools for actual policymaking,
a presumption exists that additional theoretical and conceptual knowledge is required. Thus a major objective of this paper is to contribute to the development of a realistic and ‘grounded’ theoretical
framework for Technology and Innovation Policy which is particularly relevant both for the promotion of Business Sector R&D
and of hi tech (especially IT) industries in Top Tier and other Industrializing Economies. A second objective is to contribute
directly to the capability of successfully applying this conceptual framework in concrete policy settings. Rather than justifying
ITP the paper focuses on characterising and applying “Salient Normative Principles or Themes” of the SI perspective to ITP. Several concrete examples are given and the notions of Policy Process,
(Country) Program Portfolio Profile and Policy Environment are introduced. 相似文献
13.
Innovative profits (of the kind conceptualized by Schumpeter) are today being increasingly created through international
corporate networks for technological development. Such profits through innovation are encouraged by newer more flexible organizational
forms, and further encouraged (unlike in the conventional perspective on profits and on the incentive to innovate) by knowledge
flows between firms. Our empirical evidence, based on US patent data, shows that multinational companies are currently more
likely to develop abroad technologies which are less science-based, and less dependent upon tacit knowledge. However, within
the science-based industries firms may generate abroad some technologies which are heavily dependent on tacit knowledge, but
normally in fields that lie outside their own core technological competencies. We find some evidence of a convergence in corporate
technological diversification across large firms, facilitated by the now common spread in the use of information and communication
technologies (ICT) as an integrator of formerly separate technological systems. This has led smaller firms to diversify, but
giant firms to consolidate activity around those technologies that have become most interrelated. 相似文献
14.
Adrian E. Tschoegl 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》2001,11(3):359-384
Abstract. The system of denominations of US coins, which the paper treats as a quasi-genetic trait of the US monetary system, has not
been constant since inception but rather has evolved over time in the sense of being subject to innovation and selection.
However, all the innovations have disappeared, as have a number of the original denominations. Abstract theories of optimal
systems of denominations provide a good explanation of one selection factor, but other important influences include limiting
the number of separate denominations and accommodating the requirements of decimal counting. However, even some innovations
that ultimately disappeared survived for decades. 相似文献
15.
基于VAR模型实证分析云南省教育投入与经济增长的关系 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
采用向量自回归模型(VAR),通过协整检验、格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应函数对云南省教育投入与经济增长的关系进行实证分析,结果表明云南省教育投入与经济增长之间存在着互为因果的长期均衡关系,教育投入对经济增长的贡献率为24.3%。 相似文献
16.
Brian J. Loasby 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》2001,11(1):7-21
Formal rationality plays a limited role in human cognition, which originated in the creation of patterns to interpret phenomena
and link phenomena with action. The creation of new patterns rests on imagination, not logic, typically stimulated by a perceived
inadequacy in established patterns. Internal routines of the brain and external institutions form structures of cognitive
capital; the institutions of markets, including money prices, aid the development of consumption capital, which simplifies
most choices and provides scope for selective experiment and innovation in creating goods. Such innovation depends on differences
between individuals and changes in their circumstances. 相似文献
17.
Pontus Braunerhjelm Bo Carlsson Dilek Cetindamar Dan Johansson 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》2000,10(5):471-488
This paper examines the rapid growth of the polymer-based and biomedical clusters in Ohio and Sweden – two regions of similar
size and with similar traditions undergoing similar industrial restructuring.
Two issues are addressed: First, why has growth been so strong in these particular clusters, i.e., can we identify the sources
of the growth and dynamics in these sectors? Second, why do these two clusters differ in Ohio and Sweden in terms of size,
level and type of activity, number and composition of actors, size structure of firms and growth patterns over the last couple
of decades? In particular, what is the role of public policies as well as cultural, historical, and geographic factors?
Our main conclusions are (1) that there is strong path dependence in both clusters in both countries, and (2) that the key
to rapid development is a high absorptive capacity combined with rapid diffusion to new potential users. Our policy discussion
addresses these issues. 相似文献
18.
Gian Italo Bischi Roberto Dieci Giorgio Rodano Enrico Saltari 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》2001,11(5):527-554
We consider a Kaldor-type discrete-time nonlinear business cycle model in income and capital, where investment is assumed
to depend both on the difference between normal and current levels of capital stock, and on the difference between the current
income and its normal level, through a nonlinear S-shaped increasing function. As usual in Kaldor business cycle models, one
or three steady states exist, and the standard analysis of the local stability and bifurcations suggests that endogenous oscillations
occur in the presence of only one unstable equilibrium, whereas the coexistence of three equilibria is characterized by bi-stability,
the central equilibrium being on the boundary which separates the basins of the two stable ones. However, a deeper analysis
of the global dynamic properties of the model in the parameter ranges where three steady states exist, reveals the existence
of an attracting limit cycle surrounding the three steady states, leading to a situation of multistability, with a rich and
complex dynamic structure. 相似文献
19.
Peter Bernholz 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》2000,10(1-2):3-16
Starting from a discussion of Schumpeter's analysis of the relationships of capitalism, socialism and democracy, it is shown
that, in a complex society, democracy is only compatible with a decentralized market economy with safe property rights. But
in time democracy shows a tendency to weaken the capitalist system by more and more regulations and an ever-increasing share
of government (including the social security system) in GDP. This tendency is a consequence of political competition because
of the development of interest groups and the presence of rationally uninformed voters. It leads to a weakening of efficiency,
investment, innovation and thus to lower growth rates of GDP. But in time forces opposing this development arise. First, because
of the negative consequences of growing government the welfare and regulatory state is bound to move into a crisis in the
long run. Thus innovative politicians have a chance to win the support of a majority of voters for reform projects, who perceive
finally the ever-increasing burden of higher taxes and regulations and realize that these burdens are not worth the benefits
bestowed on them. In doing so, they may face, however, the competition of ideologies. Second, there are other states with
lower taxes and less unnecessary regulations which show higher growth rates of GDP, and gain thus relative advantages in international
political and military competition since they can command greater resources with the passage of time. To maintain their relative
international power position, reforms are thus considered as necessary by rulers. This may be helped by pressure resulting
from comparisons of the standards of living done by their citizens. 相似文献
20.
Capitalism and democracy in the 21st Century: from the managed to the entrepreneurial economy* 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2
This paper explains how and why the developed countries are undergoing a fundamental shift away from a managed economy and
towards an entrepreneurial economy. This shift is shaping the development of western capitalism and has triggered a shift
in government policies away from constraining the freedom of business to contract through regulation, public ownership and
antitrust towards a new set of enabling policies which foster the creation and commercialization of new knowledge. The empirical
evidence from a cross-section of countries over time suggests that those countries that have experienced a greater shift from
the managed to the entrepreneurial economy have had lower levels of unemployment. 相似文献