Research on Customer Satisfaction Strategy in China＇s Real Estate Industry

This paper analyzes real estate market condition, studies key influencing factors to customer satisfaction, and presents corresponding customer satisfaction model and effective strategy framework, which are of significance to achieve customer loyalty and get competitive edge for real estate enterprises.     

China to Regulate Land Development and Real Estate Market

China's Ministry of Land and Resources on Feb. 18 has issued an urgent notification on regulating the country's real estate market. The notification has been already released to all of the Chinese provincial land and resources bureaus, autonomous regions and municipalities, requires the strict control of land development for the building of commercial housing.     

Empirical Analysis on Influencing Factors of Capital Structure ——The Case of China Real Estate Listed Companies

We choose 16 main financial indices reflecting the profitability, liquidity, velocity, growth, size, volatibility, collateral value of assets, and ＂tax shield effect＂ from the Annual Report （2000-2002） of 35 real estate listed companies in China. Then we extract six factors （as independent variables） from the index mentioned above Multi-regression was made between Asset-Liability Ratio and Ratio of Borrowed Capital to Assets （dependent variable） and six independent variables. It indicates that the velocity is significantly negatively related to the capital structure and the ＂tax shield effect＂ is positively related to the capital structure in some degree. The profitability, liquidity, growth, size, volatibility are almost not related to the capital structure.     

Japan＇s Bubble,the USA＇s Bubble and China＇s Bubble

This paper compares the three recent episodes of boom and bust cycles in asset prices: Japan in the late 1980s to the 1990s; the USA since the mid‐1990s; and China during the past decade. Although we have not yet seen a collapse of Chinese property prices, their increases so far are comparable to those in the other two episodes and a careful comparative study is warranted. The present paper first examines the behavior of asset prices, of property prices in particular, in the three cases, and highlights some similarities. The paper emphasizes the role played by extremely easy monetary policy in generating bubble‐like asset price behavior in the three cases. The reason for easy monetary policies is investigated. In the US case, the monetary authority was concerned about the risk of deflation in the early to mid‐2000s. The experiences of Japan and China are quite similar in that the monetary authorities of both countries were seriously concerned about the possible deflationary effects of exchange rate appreciation on the economy. The implications of such a finding for the future of Chinese macroeconomic policy are discussed.     

Financial Services in the Doha Round and China＇s Commitments

Current negotiations on financial services at the WTO are concerned with improving liberalization commitments over the Financial Services Agreement which became an integral part of the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) in 1997. Important underlying issues of these negotiations are member states‘ policy decisions in two particular areas: capital account liberalization and prudential regulation. These decisions not only determine the member countries‘ scope for liberalization,, the liberalization commitments in turn also limit the scope of national economic poliey in these two areas. Taking these characteristics offinancial services talks into account, there are two major goals for the ongoing negotiations:for industrialized countries to make progress with respect to trade business and for developing countries and emerging-market economies to concentrate on improving market access on an established basis. For China, the most important goal is to implement the far-reaching liberalization commitments that were made in the context of its accession to the WTO in December 2001.     

China＇s Labor Transition and the Future of China＇s Rural Wages and Employment

This paper contributes to the assessment of China＇s rural labor markets. According to our data, the increase in off-farm employment that China experienced during the 1980s and 1990s continued during the 2000s. Our analysis shows that migration has become the most prevalent off-farm activity, although the destination of migrants is shifting from outside of one＇s province to destinations closer to home. The present paperfinds that large shares of male and female individuals, especially those under 40 years, are working off the farm. These findings represent an important contribution to the labor economics field. First, the results of the present paper reveal that the labor transition from the agricultural sector to the non-agricultural sector for key segments of China＇s rural labor force is nearly complete. Second, although a large share of China ＂s rural labor force work in agriculture, most of these workers are older men and women （and likely would not be willing to take low-wage, labor-intensive jobs）. Third, the rising unskilled wage rate in China is partially a result of the tightening of the labor force in the young age cohorts. Finally, due to factors associated with the one child policy and other demographic transition forces, successive age cohorts will continue to fall in absolute number in the coming decade. Assuming China＇s growth continues, we expect to see further wage increases since it will take higher wages to coax more workers to work off the farm.     

Structural Restriction in the Development of China＇s Financial Industry

After China‘s accession to the WTO, the main problem China now faces in its financial development is how to enhance international competitiveness while safeguarding financial security. Since reform and opening up, the development of China‘s financial industry has featured extensive quantitative expansion, but without sufficient consideration given to increased risk. This has led to serious defects in the financial structure, which has hampered the financial industry from further development and from improving its international competitiveness. All these have had unfavorable impacts on financial stability and security.Therefore, in developing China ‘s financial industry, the stubborn pursuit of growth in quantity is inadvisable. What is needed is to change this way of thinking and to promote reform and development of the financial industry with emphasis on structure improvement,and to seek a way of development that can raise international competitiveness, while at the same time ensuring financial security.     

Contagion or Real Linkages？ Some Evidence from China＇s Emerging Parallel Markets

This paper empirically tests the existence of contagion using data on China's five parallel markets with different entry barriers for foreign capital. Taking the 1997 stock market crash as our experiment and using data on A, B and H shares, red chips and American depository receipts, the present paper tests whether these China‐backed market returns respond differently to foreign shocks during the pre‐1997 and post‐1997 crash period. Evidence suggests that the contagion effects are stronger in markets with fewer entry barriers. An important implication of our findings is that countries vulnerable to contagion could be justified to impose some limits on capital flows.     

The Signs and Causes of Risks of China＇s Commercial Bank

Recently some press reports about the insolvency and the debt-repayment of the GITIC have attracted growing international interest in the problems of the Chinese banking sector： What happened in China？ Which problems exist in the banking sector？ Could these problems trigger a banking crisis in China？ The purpose of this article is to analyze the potential risk in the Chinese banking sector. At first we give an overview of the characteristic of the Chinese banking sector. In section 2 we explain some risk-indicators, then we analyze the factors causing those risks. Finally we give some possible risk-scenes     

Viability and the Development of China＇s Capital Markets

The paper analyzes the abnormal phenomena in China‘s capital markets and provides a critical review of the existing hypotheses about the phenomena. The paper argues that thelack of “viability” among most of the listed SOEs is the primary cause of the problems in China‘s capital markets. The paper also applies a consistent framework to analyze the relationship among viability, SOEs and the capital markets, and makes some policy proposals for improving China‘s capital markets.     

我国银行个人房地产信贷业务风险分析

我国自从1998年国家对福利分房叫停之后,房地产市场就出现了持续已达二十年的繁荣发展期,银行对于房地产市场的繁荣发展起到了至关重要的作用。本文将就银行所面临的个人房地产信贷业务风险,进行分析讨论。     

温和通胀压力下的房地产信贷发展研究

本文首先对当前我国所处的温和通胀情况对房地产信贷业的影响进行了分析,随后提出了一些关于我国房地产信贷业发展的对策,希望能对我国房地产信贷业的发展有所帮助。     

我国房地产上市公司财务预警研究

文章主要通过建立适合于我国房地产上市公司的财务预警模型来研究房地产企业的财务风险.首先,对财务预警模型的解释变量进行筛选,以我国1998—2010年房地产上市公司为研究对象,选取了48家ST公司和48家财务正常公司为样本,对入选解释变量进行了逐步筛选;其次,对于构建的3个Logistic模型进行分析比较,选取预测率较高的模型;最后,对获得的预警模型进行有效性分析,基于样本公司从前一年至前四年的财务数据进行返回预测检验,表明该模型预测的总准确率分别为:93.8%、89.6%、73.4%、65.6%.     

论我国房地产消费信贷现状

针对目前我国房地产消费信贷的火热场面 ,本文分析了房地产消费信贷中存在的几种问题及其产生的原因 ,并提出了解决问题的办法与对策     

当前我国房地产金融风险及其防范

近年来我国房地产业发展迅速,有力地推动了国民经济的增长和人民生活水平的提高。但是在发展过程中出现的一些问题以及由此产生的金融风险值得我们充分关注。文章指出和分析了当前房地产市场中存在的隐患和房地产金融风险,并对此提出相应的政策建议。     

新型农村金融服务主体与发展定位:解析村镇银行

新一轮针对农村金融的密集调控收效不大,新型农村金融机构未能充分发挥服务三农的功能,却在一些地区开始变为地方政府的融资工具。有效根除新型农村金融机构发展的制度供给抑制,要改革新型农村金融机构组织与行为法律制度,保障其自身的营利能力;要完善新型农村金融机构监管法律制度,确保其服务三农的基本功能;要建立健全农村金融的总体法律框架,完善新型农村金融机构发展的外部法治环境,增进新型农村金融机构防范和抵御风险的能力。     

中国房地产价格与地方财政收支关系的实证研究

文章运用1997—2010年我国30个省(直辖市、自治区)的面板数据分析房地产价格与财政收入、财政支出与房地产价格之间的关系。研究结果显示:房价上涨使得财政收入大幅增加,财政支出增加会使房价进一步上涨;房地产价格对财政收入的影响具有比较鲜明的地区差异性,经济发展水平较低的地区房价对财政收入的影响更大;财政支出水平对房价的影响也存在区域差异,经济发展水平高的地区影响较大,低的地区影响较小。     

Has China's Housing Production Peaked?

China's real estate has been a key engine of its sustained economic expansion. This paper argues, however, that even before the COVID‐19 shock, a decades‐long housing boom had given rise to severe price misalignments and regional supply–demand mismatches, making an adjustment both necessary and inevitable. We make use of newly available and updated data sources to analyze supply–demand conditions in the fast‐moving Chinese economy. The imbalances are then compared to benchmarks from other economies. We conclude that the real estate sector is quite vulnerable to a sustained aggregate growth shock, such as COVID‐19 might pose. In our baseline calibration, using input–output tables and taking account of the very large footprint of housing construction and real estate related sectors, the adjustment to a decline in housing activity can easily trim a cumulative 5–10 percent from the level of output over a period of years.     

商业银行:警惕“房地产泡沫”

种种迹象表明,我国房地产业在不断快速发展的同时,也出现了一些过热的苗头。商品房空置面积大幅增加,已超过国际警戒线水平,房地产业的泡沫已经显现。作为我国房地产业的主要投资者,商业银行既要支持房地产业的发展,为全面建设小康社会做出积极贡献,又要切实加强信贷风险管理,     

日本战争时期土地价格与银行贷款关系的实证分析

关于战争时期土地价格和银行贷款的关系，主要是以这一时期不动产担保抵押贷款作为两者联系的纽带．在20世纪20年代到30年代期间，日本不动产金融问题越加明显，土地价格下跌对银行贷款产生重要影响．分析显示土地价格变化方向和普通银行及储蓄银行贷款增减变化方向几乎相同．41个道府县的普通银行、储蓄银行贷款增长率与农耕土地价格增长率具有较强的相关性．表明由于战争时期土地价格的下跌，抑制了银行贷款．这一时期，随着借款者拥有的不动产之担保价值下降，使银行资产遭受损失，导致银行防范风险能力下降．