借鉴国外经验创新国有商业银行风险管理

本文研究了国外银行在风险管理方面的成功经验,针对国有商业银行现行风险管理中存在的制度性缺陷,提出了应当借鉴和学习的主要方面,对我国银行防范和控制金融风险体制进行制度创新有一定的参考作用     

科技创新助力银行全面风险管理

科技创新在全面风险管理中发挥着不可替代的独特作用,可以在业务流程电子化、数据管理集中化、风险监控自动化等方面提高银行的风险管理水平信息科技作为银行创新发展的核心竞争力,在显著提升金融产品和服务质量、深刻改变金融风险特征的同时,也为商业银行全面风险管理提供了新的技术和有效工具,有力推动银行全面风险管理水平的不断提高。     

完善我国商业银行风险管理体系的构想

风险管理是现代银行经营管理的核心,完善的风险管理有助于提高商业银行的核心竞争力。本文从我国商业银行风险管理现状出发,参照国外商业银行风险管理的最新发展趋势,提出了完善我国商业银行风险管理体系的建议。     

建立现代化商业银行中国银行实施全面风险管理

最近 2 0多年来 ,金融自由化、全球化和金融创新的发展 ,使得金融机构所面临的风险环境日趋复杂 ,特别是 90年代后期 ,国际上一系列金融风险事件的发生 ,对现代金融风险管理的发展产生了深刻的影响。现代金融风险管理在手段、内容、机制等方面更加趋于全面和完善。作为一家有影响的、世界性的大银行 ,中国银行认真贯彻执行国家经济金融政策 ,适应国际、国内环境变化 ,积极借鉴国际大银行的先进方法 ,不断加强和完善银行风险管理 ,有力地促进了各项业务健康发展。　　一、从战略发展的高度重视风险管理　　随着我国市场经济的发展和国有企业…     

我国商业银行风险管理能力研究

商业银行的核心能力是风险管理能力,良好的风险管理能力能促进银行良性竞争,实现长期的可持续发展。未来商业银行的竞争,其核心是风险管理水平的竞争,针对我国商业银行在风险管理方面的薄弱环节积极采取措施提高风险管理水平,必定能提高银行业的竞争力。     

商业银行风险管理机制建设与核心竞争力研究

良好的风险管理能力是商业银行的核心竞争力,商业银行可通过风险管理机制建设来提升核心竞争力。我国商业银行在长期的改革发展历程中,风险管理水平获得了长足的进步。但与国际主要银行相比,在公司治理有效性、风险管理战略和风险偏好、风险管理问责机制以及风险管理文化等方面,仍有待提升和完善。本文在对国际主要银行风险管理机制的构成要素,以及风险管理机制建设在构建商业银行核心竞争力中的作用等进行研究的基础上,借鉴其先进经验,提出了我国商业银行风险管理机制建设的具体方向和途径,希望能以此为我国商业银行提升核心竞争力提供指导。     

国有商业银行流动性风险管理的思考

加入WTO以后，我国商业银行的经营环境和管理理念发生了根本性变化，金融市场竞争更加激烈，触发银行流动性危机的概率明显增大，流动性风险管理日益受到银行业的重视。在金融业激烈竞争、经营风险日益加大的形势下，建立健全我国商业银行流动性风险管理机制，对于增强银行核心竞争力，防范金融风险，应对“入世”挑战，有重要的理论和实践意义。     

国外银行风险管理架构与流程的经验及启示

2010年9月巴塞尔银行监管委员会管理层会议通过了《巴塞尔协议Ⅲ》,对全球银行业的最低资本监管标准进行了调整,提高了银行业的最低资本监管标准,加强了对全球银行的风险管理要求。对我国银行来说,巴塞尔新规既是挑战也是机遇,我国银行应以此为契机,借鉴国外先进经验,对风险管理体系进行优化和完善。本文以银行的风险管理架构和风险管理流程为视角,分析了国外的先进经验,并归纳了国外银行风险管理的经验对我国银行业的启示。     

我国商业银行构建风险管理长效机制的思考

本文通过分析我国商业银行与国外先进银行在风险管理组织架构、技术、文化和理念方面的差距,提出了从创新风险管理文化理念、健全风险管理组织体系、提升风险管理技术水平、加强风险管理队伍建设、实行科学严格的考评和责任追究制度等方面构建我国商业银行风险管理长效机制的建议。     

新形势下加强银行风险管理的策略选择

加入WTO以后，我国银行业面临前所未有的严峻挑战，我们与国外竞争对手间的差距是多方面的，其中最为突出地体现在风险管理的技术水平和实施效力上，能否在较短时期内建立起高效率的风险管理体系，是决定我国商业银行生存和发展的关键因素，笔从我国银行实际出发，结合国际金融机构的先进技术与管理理念，分析了新形势下加强银行风险管理的策略与途径。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.