Why did China Benefit from a Joint Venture Policy？A Case Study of Shanghai

Mandatory joint venture requirements have played an important role in many developing countries' foreign investment policies. However,such policies have been criticized in some of the economic literatures on the grounds that they deter investment and lead to the development of inefficient industries. A significant amount of foreign direct investment in Shanghai has been in the form of joint ventures. Yet,by many measures,Shanghai has benefited enormously. This article argues that there are three reasons to explain Shanghai's successful use of the joint venture for its industrial development. First,local firms and industries have had the capability and willingness to learn from joint ventures and other foreign invested firms. Second,the joint venture policy has been more likely than not to have "crowded in" local investment rather than crowd it out. Third,investment authorities in Shanghai have had sufficient bureaucratic capacity and political insulation to prevent the joint venture policy from being manipulated by rent seekers.     

腐败控制、私人部门参与基础设施提供与反贫困效应——来自发展中国家的经验证据(1996-2014)

惩治腐败和消除贫困始终是广大发展中国家面临的重要任务。文章基于1996年到2014年138个发展中国家的数据，探索了腐败控制降低一国贫困率的新机制，即促进私人部门参与基础设施提供。我们发现：第一，腐败控制显著促进了私人部门参与基础设施提供；第二，私人部门参与基础设施提供显著降低了发展中国家的贫困率；第三，"中介效应"分析显示，腐败控制是通过促进私人部门参与基础设施提供进而降低一国贫困率的。文章的发现是对发展中国家腐败与贫困关系研究的一个有益补充，不但有助于理解私人部门参与基础设施提供的制度基础，也有助于发展中国家设计反贫困的公共政策。     

Regional division of labor from agglomeration economies’ perspective: some evidence

This study aims at elaborating the evolving degree of completeness of outward investment of manufacturing and its consequence from the view of regional development since the People’s Republic of China opened her door to foreign direct investment. After two decades of Hong Kong’s progressive manufacturing cross-border processing of labor-intensive operations performed in the proximate Guangdong province, a regional division of labor has developed by taking advantages of the agglomeration economies of the Hong Kong-Pearl River Delta region.The analysis is conducted based on such a perspective using the 1998 data of a population of 2,441 electronics joint ventures in Guangdong. Findings suggested that firms’ location (density) distribution, via exploiting the agglomeration economies, followed a pattern well explained by a simple gravity model with Hong Kong as the main core. The existing Pearl River Delta cities and the associated cluster economies have also demonstrated attraction for foreign direct investment. Firm size and age effects were also investigated. The findings confirmed the economic contributions of electronics joint ventures, the small ones in particular, to the development of Guangdong and the Hong Kong-Pearl River Delta region. Some suggestions on regional policy coordination were initiated.     

The determinants of small and medium-sized firm internationalization and its relationship with productive efficiency

The Determinants of Small and Medium-Sized Firm Internationalization and Its Relationship with Productive Efficiency. — The creation of sale structures abroad (CSSA) is an intermediate stage in the process of internationalization when firms are small and foreign direct investment entail high sunk costs. This paper finds that ownership concentration (technological innovation, size, and age) negatively (positively) affects the CSSA decision and that, after controlling for the effect of access to foreign markets under the form of exports, CSSA firms are significantly more efficient than the control sample when efficiency is measured with a stochastic frontier approach. Ownership concentration seems to have two offsetting effects on efficiency: it increases participation to profits and therefore incentives to perform well, while it leads controlling shareholders to underinvest in risky ventures (such as internationalization).     

产业视角下民营企业研发投资的实证研究

以2002—2008年中国民营企业调查数据为样本,通过非参数检验和单因素分析,从产业视角对研发投资进行实证分析。研究发现三大产业间的研发投资可能性、研发投资强度、研发投资总额等方面存在差异,部分年份差异显著,总体呈现不同的发展趋势。本研究从宏观政策与市场环境两方面,为政府推动产业创新、明确民营企业的研发投资主体地位提供了政策启示。     

Impact of land tenure policy on agricultural investments in China: Evidence from a panel data study

The goal of this paper is to examine the impact of changes in China's rural land policy on agricultural investments. Dramatic changes occurred in China's rural land policies after 2000, including the extension of rural land contractual period, restriction of land reallocation among villages and villagers groups, elimination of agricultural taxes for responsibility land, and rapid development of rural land rental markets. These changes have given farmers more secure tenure on collectively controlled responsibility land and have strengthened farmers' income rights for responsibility lands, incentivizing them to increase their investments on responsibility lands. A panel data method was used to quantitatively investigate the impact of land policy changes on agricultural investment. We considered the application of organic fertilizer as an indicator for long-term agricultural investment, and compared the use of organic fertilizer between private plots and responsibility lands operated by the same household. The results showed that the difference in organic fertilizer use between private plots and responsibility land for the same household has become smaller from 2000 to 2008. Our findings suggest that recent changes in rural land policies have provided farmers incentives to increase land quality investment on their responsibility lands.     

中国共产党民营经济政策演变及其理论创新:1921-2021

中国共产党自成立以来,就十分重视探索扎根中国实践且有助于推动经济发展和民族复兴的民营经济政策。中国共产党民营经济政策的形成、发展与演变历经新民主主义革命时期(1921—1949年)、社会主义革命和建设时期(1949—1978年)、改革开放和社会主义现代化建设新时期(1978年至今)三个阶段。在系统勾勒其历史变迁路径的基础上,进一步探讨了中国共产党民营经济政策的现实基础和理论来源,同时提炼并总结了民营经济政策中蕴含的理论创新元素,充分展现了中国共产党民营经济政策在突破苏联模式关于社会主义经济建设的理论约束、发展马克思主义经典作家关于社会所有制的设想、探寻国有经济与民营经济协调发展新模式、实现理论与实践紧密结合以推动中国民营经济发展等方面所作出的重要贡献。     

研发费用加计扣除政策改革促进了民营企业创新吗——基于2018年政策调整的实证研究

民营企业是研发费用加计扣除政策的主要受益群体。文章实证检验了2018年研发费用加计扣除政策改革对民营企业创新的激励效应及其异质性。研究结果表明，提升政策强度对民营企业的创新投入、创新产出数量和创新产出质量均有显著的激励效果。这些效果存在行业、规模、技术类型、生命周期等方面的异质性：在创新投入方面，对非制造业民营企业、非大型民营企业、高新技术民营企业、成熟期民营企业的创新投入激励效果更大；在创新产出方面，对非制造业民营企业、非高新技术民营企业的创新产出激励效果更大。针对激励效应及异质性分析结果，文章建议，将2021年政策的扣除比例适用范围扩大到负面清单之外的全部企业；在适当的时机，可继续提高扣除比例，尤其是对中小企业，以促进民营企业释放更大的创新动能；强化对民营企业高质量创新的导向性，针对不同类型研发项目费用设置不同扣除比例。     

Hypergrowth in an East Asian NIC: Public policy and capital accumulation in Singapore

Singapore has produced the world's highest investment ratios, known to account for growth more rapid than in any other less-developed country over the past three decades, but such high investment needs explanation. We trace Singapore's public policy of increasing tax concessions and infrastructural spending—in effect subsidies to private firms—and use an open-economy, neoclassical model to show how, by attracting “footloose” foreign capital and raising investment levels, these policy measures can drive growth. The consequent transformation of living standards in Singapore suggests, in accordance with theory but contrary to most practice, that for some less-developed countries effectively zero tax on foreign direct investment may be a beneficial strategy. Yet for both Singapore and other would-be late industrializers, major issues of development strategy arise from the kind of input-driven growth analyzed in this article.     

住房、负债与家庭股市参与——基于CHFS的实证研究

房产是家庭总资产的重要组成部分，近些年中国家庭在房产上的过度追逐必然影响到家庭的股票投资行为。不同于以往的研究思路，文章运用中国家庭金融调查数据，不仅研究了住房对家庭股市和风险资本市场参与的影响，验证了已有学者得出的住房对家庭参与金融市场的挤出效应；又进一步研究了不同类型的住房负债对该挤出效应的影响程度。首先，文章研究发现，住房对家庭参与股市和风险资本市场有显著的挤出效应，住房不仅降低了家庭进入股票和风险资本市场的概率，也降低了家庭参与股票和风险资本市场的深度。其次，文章研究发现，房屋负债抑制了住房对家庭股市参与的挤出效应，但房屋正规贷款和房屋民间借款对股市参与的影响相反，房屋正规贷款能够促进家庭参与股市，降低住房对股市参与的抑制作用；但房屋民间借款的存在增加了住房对家庭股市参与的挤出效应。文章认为，严控住房市场，抑制家庭多套房的投资行为，使多余的资金合理的流向金融市场，深化金融市场，才能促进金融市场健康有序的发展。     

Industrial policy and resource allocation: implications on China's participation in globalization

China's industrial policy regime has played an important role in the country's economic development and participation in the world economy. This paper examines the effect of this regime on cross-industry resource allocation in three aspects: incentives, openness of trade and investment, and allocative efficiency. The results indicate effectiveness of industrial policy in offering incentives and controlling market openness in line with the planned priority. Evidence in cross-industry resource allocation, however, suggests significant efficiency gains are yet to be obtained from further participation in globalization.     

The gear legacy: did gear fail or move South Africa forward in development?

This article describes the economic and development policy legacy of the Growth, Employment and Redistribution (Gear) programme. It considers the arguments for and against Gear, and attempts to answer the question whether or not the programme has moved us forward in development. The economic legacy is described as dismal development outcomes but excellent macroeconomic policy outcomes. The policy legacy is described as continuing with Gear in some respects, but also incorporating a shift in development strategy that takes into account critique of Gear from the left and proposes a more active and direct role for the state in employment creation. This shift is seen as positive because the key challenge in the post‐Gear period is how to use the state more effectively to create jobs and provide income for the poor. The overview of the arguments for and against Gear finds most of the former to be thin. Moreover, it highlights conceptual flaws in the strategy that explain why it failed to produce the promised employment creation and poverty reduction by the end of the programming period (1996–2000). However, there is no clear answer to the question of whether or not Gear has failed – would an alternative policy have produced better outcomes in the period? Also, Gear has improved the private investment climate and produced better resource and institutional conditions for government to play a more active role in pushing future development. Whichever way it is argued, a key point that emerges is that development prospects will remain gloomy if the government reverts back to the strategy of relying largely on the private sector to reduce poverty, and fails to do more itself via effective income support programmes for the poor.     

Organization and incentives in the age of sail

The British Navy in the age of sail was the most successful bureaucracy of its time. Its organization and incentive structures differed importantly from contemporaneous private sailing ventures, but closely resembled those of today’s large corporations. To induce efficient effort, the navy used a hierarchical tournament, in which sailors competed for higher pay that came with promotions based on relative performance. Promotion probabilities, the option value of future promotions, and the higher effort required of men in higher ranks and on larger vessels, combined to yield a highly skewed pay structure.     

Private Sector Participation in the Provision of Quality Drinking Water in Urban Areas of Ghana: What Do Households Want and Can Afford?

This study conducts a survey among households in three cities in Ghana on how water delivery should be managed. The contingent valuation method was used to estimate the willingness to pay for improved water delivery under private sector participation. Results indicate that most households will remain connected to their current water supplies if private sector is engaged to improve water delivery at higher monthly water bills. Given that the mean household monthly water bill of GH¢10.82, the results indicate that there is demand for water quality improvement, and private sector engagement is likely to provide these services. However, this policy measure marginalises the poor in terms of access to water. Therefore, private sector participation in water delivery may require a complementary programme to promote access to water.     

Does the Private Sector Help or Hurt the Environment? Evidence from Carbon Dioxide Pollution in Developing Countries

How does the nature of enterprise ownership affect the environment in an economy? Conventional wisdom and theoretical conjectures are split on this important question. In this paper we estimate a reduced-form, random-effects model using data from 44 developing countries over nine years (1987–95) to study for any systematic empirical relationship between the relative level of private sector involvement in an economy and the environmental performance of the economy in terms of its emission of industrial carbon dioxide. We control for both observed and unobserved crosscountry heterogeneity along various institutional and structural dimensions such as the scope of financial market, industrial sector composition and level of foreign direct investment. The regression results indicate that the higher the degree of private sector involvement in a developing economy, the lower is its environmental degradation. In addition, its environmental degradation is likely to be further reduced in presence of a well-functioning domestic capital market and through increased participation by developed economies in its private sector development.     

警惕潜在的委内瑞拉风险

委内瑞拉是严重依赖石油出口且其潜力巨大的国家。随着查韦斯执政后的政局动荡、"新国有化"政策实施、油价起伏,石油产量、出口量整体呈降势,原拟以石油收入全面发展油气工业,调整不均衡的经济结构、大幅度提高人民生活水平的愿望也难以实现。其关键是国内外,特别是国营石油公司对石油的投资明显不足。中国对委内瑞拉投资巨大,以贷款换石油的模式已产生广泛影响。如果委政局有重大变化,油价下跌将可能使经济—社会出现动荡。中国应充分发挥合资公司各方和本地员工积极性,更全面进入油气工业上中下游各环节,助其发展,对各类政治势力进行全方位的友好交往等力争规避风险。     

Investment-saving comovement under endogenous fiscal policy

I expand Feldstein's (1983) model by including flexible exchange rate and by introducing endogenous fiscal policy. Using this model, I demonstrate how a positive investment-saving correlation can arise in a world with endogenous fiscal policy. I show that this correlation does not depend on capital mobility and therefore is compatible with any degree of capital mobility. This implies that the observed investment-saving comovement is not necessarily due to imperfect capital mobility. The model has a testable implication: it predicts a lack of Granger causality from private saving to private investment. Empirical examination of this prediction indicates that U.S. time series data is compatible with the hypothesis of endogenous fiscal policy during a flexible exchange rate period, but not during a fixed exchange rate period.     

中外高铁建设的投融资模式比较研究

随着交通强国战略的逐步实施,有关高铁投融资的重要性日益凸显。对中外高铁建设的主要投融资模式进行归类分析,并从融资特征、适用范围、优劣势等方面,就政府融资、市场化融资和PPP融资三种模式展开对比研究。结果表明,国外在高铁项目的市场化融资和PPP融资方面积累了较为丰富的经验,相比之下,中国大部分高铁项目是以政府融资为主;尽管日本、法国和瑞典等国在高铁投融资体制方面具有一定的差异,但合理的公共政策规划保证了项目的正常运营,其成功经验包括鼓励地方政府参与、积极引进民间资本、注重盘活存量资产和改进风险承担方式;为推动我国高铁项目投融资体制创新,应拓宽高铁项目筹资渠道,完善高铁融资支持政策,建立高铁融资保障体系。     

私人股权投资在中国的投资操作路线及其现状

海外私人股权投资机构通常运用完美闭环操作,用股权投资方式进入中国。但由于中国种种政策的限制,私人股权投资机构一般利用离岸公司进行投资,以便资金退出。本文介绍了离岸公司的特征及其离岸重组过程,最后介绍了私人股权机构利用离岸公司在中国进行投资的近况。     

巴基斯坦风电发展现状及其政策研究

巴基斯坦政府十分重视可再生能源的利用与开发,制定了多种优惠政策,鼓励私人投资风电,促进风电产业的发展。尽管巴基斯坦目前还没有成规模的风电场,但其风电政策优惠,电价透明合理,内部收益率高,对独立发电商有较大吸引力。本文介绍了当前巴基斯坦发展风电的现状、政策,其电价政策对我国的风电市场具有一定的参考意义。