The value of the option to preserve farm real estate

Agricultural conservation easements consist of deed restrictions that landowners voluntarily place on their farm real estate for any number of reasons including the permanent restriction of development. Purchase of Agricultural Conservation Easement (PACE) programs exist in many States and are used to ensure farm real estate is available for future agricultural use as well as a policy mechanism to control development. Much like the landowner’s development option, preservation is a real option exercised at the discretion of the landowner. An analytic contingent claims model is presented to value the landowner’s preservation option. An empirical analysis of the model indicates that the option to delay preservation can have significant value.     

基于实物期权的房地产最优开发时机

本文主要利用实物期权定价理论,结合房地产实际投资状况,通过处理房地产开发项目的单位价格和单位建设成本之间的相互影响,建立了关于价格与成本之间的房地产最优投资决策时机模型,探讨了房地产开发的最适时机的选择问题。     

The Revenue Potential of Site Value Tax: Extension and Update of General Equilibrium Model With Recent Empirical Estimates of Several Key Parameters

A bstract . Although appealing on the consideration of efficiency, the site ( land ) value tax has been dismissed by some economists as an unviable alternative to the local real estate tax on the ground that it cannot generate sufficient revenue. From earlier work based on a general equilibrium model, however, a switch from a real estate to an equal yield site value tax could result in an increase in equilibrium land prices (and hence the site value tax base). In particular, equilibrium land prices will rise with a site value relative to a real estate tax if: (L+K/L) > e_x. (f_L+ f_k)/f_k. s_x+ e_x. f_L Critical to that theoretical result are the magnitudes of several parameters including the percent land constitutes of total real estate value , (L + K/L), the elasticity of substitution, s_x, the elasticity of demand for real estate e_x, and the output elasticities, f_k and f_L. Based on recent empirical estimates of those parameters, the above stated condition holds.     

商业地产分期开发期权价值分析

开发企业采取分期开发方式,可以利用项目未知信息中蕴涵的机会给项目带来进一步选择的灵活性,以扩大项目价值。传统投资决策方法只适用于短期的、确定性高的一次性投资项目,而实物期权理论却是探讨分期开发投资的一种有效工具。采用Geske推导的复合看涨期权定价公式以及B-S简单看涨期权定价模型,构建分期开发期权价值计算模型,求解分期开发期权价值大小。该模型合理地评估了商业地产分期开发期权价值的大小,可以作为商业地产开发商进行投资决策的依据。     

商业地产前期开发的价值评估

以房地产的价值评估体系为基础,针对商业地产前期开发提出基于实物期权的价值评估方法,通过构建模型提出有效的价值评估指标,并阐述了指标如何操作,以及指标的实际意义。     

实物期权在房地产投资估价中的应用

与传统的投资决策方法相比,实物期权方法不仅考虑到房地产投资的不确定性带来的风险,还体现了其柔性管理和战略投资的价值。介绍了实物期权理论的概念与分类,将实物期权理论引入房地产投资估价中,并通过等待期权实例分析说明了其在实际中的应用。     

Real estate illiquidity and returns: A time-varying regional perspective

This paper proposes two new measures of illiquidity for real estate markets, utilising concepts from asset pricing. Segregating real estate through a regional lens, we provide an in-depth analysis of real estate returns and illiquidity for the US and UK. Our results provide statistically significant and economically meaningful evidence that real estate illiquidity predicts real estate returns out-of-sample over and above a variety of control variables.     

公司房地产的发展历史

一直以来,公司房地产仅仅被视为是一般建筑,但是往往对公司的发展甚至生存起着非常重要的作用。随着(跨国)公司的快速增长和改革的不断深入,公司房地产投资得到了不断的增长。为了有效管理公司的房地产投资组合,公司成立了专门部门,组织了专业人员对这些资产进行管理,文中对此作出了分析。除了对公司房地产发展历史进行了概述,还为目前正面临着相似增长路径的公司提供了可供参考的历史经验和教训,并提出了建议。     

Illiquidity,transaction cost,and optimal holding period for real estate: Theory and application

Choosing the optimal holding period is an important part of real estate investment decisions, because “when to sell” affects “whether to buy”. This paper presents a theoretical model for such decision making. Our model indicates that the optimal holding period is affected by both systematic and non-systematic factors—market conditions (illiquidity and transaction cost) and property performance (return and return volatility). Other things being equal, higher illiquidity and transaction costs lead to longer holding periods, while higher return volatility implies shorter holding periods. Our empirical application suggests that the optimal holding period based on our model is quite consistent with previous empirical findings. In addition, we find that when illiquidity risk is incorporated the true real estate risk is significantly higher than the conventional risk estimate. Therefore, the current practice of real estate valuation, which is naively borrowed from finance theory, substantially underestimates real estate risk.     

价值工程在房地产中的应用

本文结合价值工程的理论核心,从房地产开发项目生命周期的选址阶段、策划阶段、设计阶段、施工阶段及营销阶段探讨了价值工程在房地产中的应用。     

西安房地产企业ERP实施绩效评价

房地产企业在实施ERP后其应用效果能否达到预期目标,已经成为学术界和企业界关注的热点问题。本文针对西安市房地产企业ERP应用实际,首先构建了房地产企业ERP实施绩效评价体系,在此基础上设计BP神经网络模型。通过这种方式计算出各房地产企业ERP实施绩效值,企业可以在此基础上制定有针对性的ERP实施效果持续改善策略。     

越秀地产商业模式创新驱动因素及实施路径

整合优化企业价值链与创新商业模式是房地产企业加快转型,寻找适合自身的生存和发展模式的必然选择。立足越秀地产的商业模式创新,从战略、行业、价值链和政策角度思考驱动越秀地产商业模式创新的驱动因素;探析其独特的地产开发与资本运作双剑合璧的实施路径,为我国房地产企业商业模式的创新和持续经营提供新的切入角度;然后通过财务绩效变化检验其商业模式创新的经济后果;最后,提出建设具有企业特色的价值网络、项目多元化发展及形成稳定资金链等建议。     

An optimal multiple stopping approach to infrastructure investment decisions

The energy and material processing industries are traditionally characterized by very large-scale physical capital that is custom-built with long lead times and long lifetimes. However, recent technological advancement in low-cost automation has made possible the parallel operation of large numbers of small-scale and modular production units. Amenable to mass-production, these units can be more rapidly deployed but they are also likely to have a much quicker turnover. Such a paradigm shift motivates the analysis of the combined effect of lead time and lifetime on infrastructure investment decisions. In order to value the underlying real option, we introduce an optimal multiple stopping approach that accounts for operational flexibility, delay induced by lead time, and multiple (finite/infinite) future investment opportunities. We provide an analytical characterization of the firm׳s value function and optimal stopping rule. This leads us to develop an iterative numerical scheme, and examine how the investment decisions depend on lead time and lifetime, as well as other parameters. Furthermore, our model can be used to analyze the critical investment cost that makes small-scale (short lead time, short lifetime) alternatives competitive with traditional large-scale infrastructure.     

Agency costs and audit quality: evidence from France

The IFRS mandatory adoption in European countries is an excellent context from which to assess the validity of accounting choice theory, which postulates that information asymmetry, contractual efficiency (agency costs) and managerial opportunism reasons could drive the choice. With this aim, we test the impact of these factors to explain the adoption of fair value for investment properties (IAS 40) in the real estate industry, taking into account the ‘revaluation’ option offered by IFRS1 and using historical cost without revaluations as a baseline category for comparison purposes. We select a sample of European real estate companies from Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Spain and Sweden, all first-time adopters of the IFRS. Using a multinomial logistic model, we show that information asymmetry, contractual efficiency and managerial opportunism could account for the fair value choice. Particularly, the most significant findings are that size as a proxy of political costs reduces the likelihood of using fair value while market-to-book ratio is negatively associated with the fair value choice. On the other hand, leverage, another typical proxy of contracting costs, seems not to influence the choice. This evidence confirms the current validity of traditional accounting choice theory even if it reveals, in such a context, the irrelevance of the usual relations between accounting choice and leverage.     

Debt and Development

This paper examines incentive and valuation effects of debt financing on land investment. When land is debt financed, the landowner holds both a development option on the land and a default option on the debt. Because development typically devalues the default option, investment may be delayed past the point at which efficient investment would otherwise proceed. The incentive to underinvest is shown to be more pronounced as debt level increases, i.e., as the debt becomes riskier. This agency problem provides an explanation as to why land is generally difficult to debt finance and may also explain why debt levels are relatively low for “land-intensive” real estate firms. Novel comparative statics show that debt value may increase for a given increase in asset volatility as well as for a given increase in interest rate. Renegotiation and restrictive contract provisions are considered as mechanisms to promote efficient investment policy in the presence of debt financing.     

基于B-S模型的房地产延迟开发研究

B-S模型是实物期权中的一种重要定价模型。在考虑土地闲置费的基础上,将修正后的B-S模型应用于房地产的延迟开发研究中,以评价房地产开发项目是否适合于延迟开发以及何时开发。借助B-S定价模型来分析房地产开发项目,决定投资与否以及何时投资,可以使决策者有更多的选择权,为其提供一个更全面的视野。     

房地产上市公司社会责任比较分析

房地产业由于具有相关产业链较长的特点,在推动我国经济发展、城市建设等方面发挥了重要作用,但在创造价值的同时,房地产行业的相关问题也激化了一定的社会矛盾,"高房价"、"房奴"等一系列关系国计民生的社会问题成为社会不和谐的重要因素,房地产业急需正视其社会责任。基于此,本文综合考察房地产企业承担的社会责任现状、系统分析房地产企业社会责任存在的问题与不足,试图为维护社会公平、缓和社会矛盾、构建和谐社会提供对策建议。     

论我国房产税的计税依据

我国将稳步推进房产税的改革,而在改革的过程中需要准确界定房产税的计税依据。为此本文首先分析和比较了面积、市场价值和租金收入三种类型的房产税计税依据的优点和缺点,在此基础上结合公平性的要求、我国现行税收征管水平以及房地产市场现状等情况,提出我国应以市场价值为基准确定房地产税税基。对于房地产市场价值的评估办法,笔者认为居住用房地产价值的评估应该采用“城乡有别”的办法——城市和县城的居住用房地产采用市场比较法进行价值评估;农村地区的房地产采用重置成本法进行价值评估;对于营业用房地产,则采用收益法评估其市场价值。     

Monetary policy and real estate returns

Previous research established that Federal Reserve monetary policy influences stock, bond, and other financial asset returns. This research extends past research and shows that similar patterns exist for real estate returns. We also provide evidence consistent with the contention that returns to underlying real estate are less sensitive than stock returns or securitized real estate returns to changes in monetary policy conditions. Investing in real estate may provide a hedge against changes in the monetary environment; however, investing in REITs represents an ineffective method to capture this benefit.     

Pricing European continuous-installment currency options with mean-reversion

In this paper, we consider European continuous-installment currency option under the mean-reversion environment. Specifically, we provide efficient pricing formula of installment currency put option via a partial differential equation (PDE) approach when the exchange rate follows the mean reverting lognormal model. Using the Mellin transform techniques, we derive the integral equation representation for the optimal stopping boundary from the PDE for pricing of the option. To verify the efficiency and accuracy of our approach, we provide computational results with the least square Monte Carlo method proposed by Longstaff and Schwartz (2001). We also present some numerical examples to examine the characteristics of the optimal boundaries and prices.