实际经济周期理论对我国的现实意义

经济周期理论继承了古典经济学假设,认为实际因素冲击是经济波动的根源;劳动的跨期替代是经济波动的传导机制。它的政策含义为货币中性论和财政政策无效。我国经济面临实际的冲击,实际经济周期理论在我国的运用有着其局限性。     

宏观经济波动的实体性成因——真实经济周期(RBC)理论评析

真实经济周期理论属于西方经济学中的经济自由流派。它突破了货币周期理论,把来自供给方面的技术冲击等意外真实冲击看作是经济波动的根源;认为经济波动不是对长期经济增长趋势的偏离,否定把宏观经济分为长期和短期的观点;坚持货币中性主张;反对政府的干预政策。它以正统的微观经济理论来说明宏观经济波动,改变了人们对经济周期性波动原因的理解,超越了货币主义和新古典宏观经济学,是20世纪80年代以来自由主义经济学的重大发展。     

论中国经济周期理论研究的发展

经过30年的发展,我国经济取得了举世瞩目的成就.我国学者对经济周期的研究也逐渐深入,提出了很多理论和思想.随着我国经济融入全球化趋势不断加强,西方经济学对我国的学术界产生了很大影响.本文对我国经济周期理论的发展做出总结,并研究了经济周期的特点.     

基于经济周期理论的我国出口贸易波动特征分析

近几年来,我国出口贸易持续增长,出口贸易波动也在增强.为此,采用增长率直接法、增长率趋势法分析我国出口贸易的短周期、中周期和中长周期波动,并采用协整理论分析我国出口贸易长周期的特征.研究结果表明.自1978年以来,我国出口贸易经历了八次短周期波动、三次中周期波动(其中第三次中周期波动具有在适度高位的平滑化的特征)和两次中长周期波动,目前正处在第二个中长周期波动的扩张期;我国出口贸易的长周期与GDP的长周期具有相似的特征.     

从经济增长和经济周期理论看经济运行

经济运行可以从很多方面了解到,经济增长与经济周期理论都能够从某一方面看出经济的运行情况,但是无论是经济增长,还是经济周期理念,对经济运行的解决都具有一定的复杂性,并不是单纯的正比例关系或者是反比例关系,因此需要研究人员从更客观、更全面的角度来看待经济增长与经济运行之间的关系,同时也从更科学的角度利用经济周期理论来解决经济运行,希望能为我国的经济增长提供借鉴。     

关于我国经济周期波动的非对称性和持续性研究

从新中国成立伊始。中国的历届领导人都已加快经济增长为首要目标。但是经济发展活动是一个具有周期性的活动，这一点从美国历次经济危机就可以得对验证。经济周期具有客观性，不可避免，但是我们可以在研究经济周期性特点的基础上。对周期性进行环节和改良，利用经济周期在经济的各个发展上使不同的产业得到更好地发展。那么为了更好地促进经济的健康发展。我们必须研究的一个课题就是——经济周期波动的非对称性和持续性。     

论实际经济周期理论在中国的经济适用性

实际经济周期理论认为经济波动的根源在于技术冲击或供给冲击,最先证明最优政策具有“时间不一致性”,为反对政府宏观调控中的“相机抉择”提供了理论基础。该理论的政策主张对中国有一定的经济适用性,中国政府应把一定的政策规则和相机抉择相结合,增强政府决策的透明度和可预见性,以应对经济波动。     

经济周期理论下的我国经济发展新常态

马克思经济周期理论是一种科学的方法论,对经济周期爆发的原因与物质基础做出了深刻论述,对于我国经济市场规律的揭示与规划具有很重要的作用。文章对马克思经济周期理论下我国经济发展新常态进行深入探究,以更好地指导我国经济发展的优化升级,促进我国经济的平稳发展。     

海湾六国经货联盟经济周期同步性分析

海湾六国计划在2010年建立单一货币联盟,而经济周期同步性是货币联盟稳定性的重要基础条件。本文从经济周期同步性角度考察海湾六国是否具备货币联盟稳定性的基础条件。本文通过建立多变量向量误差修正模型(VECM),并依据共同趋势和共同周期理论,对海湾六国的经济周期同步性进行了经验分析。分析结果表明:海湾六国不仅在长期内经济周期有共同的随机发展趋势;而且在短期内,经济周期是完全同步的。因此,海湾六国基本上满足货币联盟稳定性的基础条件。     

关于我国经济周期若干问题的探讨

经济周期是指一国总体经济活动的波动,即市场经济生产和再生产过程中周期性出现的经跻扩张和经济收缩交替更迭循环往复的一种现象。尽管每一个周期并非完全相似,但他们有一些重要的特征。从这些特征中找出一些有用的规律,来烫平我国经济发展中的大起大落现象,以保证我国经济健康、有序、快速的发展。     

东亚经济周期与次区域经济周期存在性检验

东亚经济一体化的迅速发展使“东亚经济周期(EABC)研究”的重要性与紧迫性日趋凸现,本文选取10个代表性国家(地区),以实证方法对1970-2004年东亚经济周期进行了相关性检验和聚类分析;得出东亚经济周期存在,NIEs、ASEANs等次区域经济周期存在,地区性大国经济周期独立性较明显,中国与东亚经济周期关联度逐渐加强等结论,分析结果为东亚经济合作进程中出现的诸多现实议题提供了理论支持。     

Integrating Business Ethics in Classroom Teaching: Some Preliminary Considerations

Some practical suggestions for the integration of business ethics in teaching disciplinary business topics are provided. Primarily, the tensions between ethical theory and disciplinary applications and those between abstract reasoning and practical actions provide the context for an exploration of pedagogical content and methods in teaching business ethics at the disciplinary level. Issues and considerations in the nature of business ethics, their justification and pedagogical tools are discussed along with a recommendation for normative business ethics.     

Four Design Criteria for any Future Contractarian Theory of Business Ethics

This article assesses the quality of Integrative Social Contracts Theory (ISCT) as a social contract argument. For this purpose, it embarks on a comparative analysis of the use of the social contract model as a theory of political authority and as a theory of social justice. Building on this comparison, it then develops four criteria for any future contractarian theory of business ethics (CBE). To apply the social contract model properly to the domain of business ethics, it should be: (1) self-disciplined, i.e., not aspire results beyond what the contract model can realistically establish; (2) argumentative, i.e., it should seek to provide principles that are demonstrative results of the contractarian method; (3) task-directed, i.e., it should be clear what the social contract thought-experiment is intended to model; and (4) domain-specific, i.e., the contractarian choice situation should be tailored to the defining problems of business ethics.     

我国财政政策作用机制与经济周期波动的相依性检验

财政政策一直是我国宏观经济调控的主要方式,并在需求管理中发挥了重要作用.本文定量描述和检验了我国财政政策工具与经济周期波动之间的相依性,在结构VAR模型中刻画了财政政策的作用和反馈过程,并发现我国财政政策操作的相机选择性依赖经济周期的阶段性.在目前我国进入新经济周期的态势下,应当及时调整财政政策的期限结构和政策工具,加强财政政策与货币政策的政策组合作用,以保持经济快速稳定增长.     

动态联盟商务智能中心构建研究

论文在分析动态联盟商务决策所面临问题的基础上,论述了建立动态联盟商务智能中心的必要性和可能性,设计了动态联盟商务智能中心的组织架构,探讨了动态联盟商务智能中心的构成要素,研究了商务智能中心对动态联盟商务决策的支持作用。     

The Role of Business and Friendships on WeChat Business: An Emerging Business Model in China

ABSTRACT

WeChat business is an emerging way of doing business in China, which can be considered as a marriage between traditional e-business and social networking communications. In WeChat business, firms have developed customer relationships along two distinct ways: business relationships and friendships. However, research on the combination of business relationships and friendships is relatively nascent, and there are contradictory findings. In this study, we examine the effectiveness of the two relationship strategies using data from a field experiment through the WeChat platform by an apparel firm. Results from the field experiment suggest that development of friendships with new customers can help the strategy of developing business relationships; but developing friendships and business relationships with experienced customers negates each other. The study contributes to the literature on relationship marketing and role theory, and helps WeChat managers clarify how new social networking relationships with customers can be effectively leveraged.     

Business model innovations in China: A focus on value propositions

Prior studies that examine business model innovations lack consideration on how value propositions are best developed in specific contexts or how restructuring other components can deliver on value propositions. This article first identifies three types of Chinese consumption behaviors—imitation-based “good-enough” consumption, renqing consumption, and face consumption—and their corresponding value propositions based on value-hierarchy theory. We then look at Chinese companies that illustrate how business model innovations that focus on the targeted value propositions are initiated, formulated, and implemented. In particular, we identify four types of business model innovations: imitation-based “good-enough” business models, renqing business models, face business models, and hybrid business models. We conclude with practical implications for conducting and implementing business model innovations in China.