共查询到8条相似文献，搜索用时 47 毫秒
1.
The behavioural finance literature posits a link between the weather and equity markets via investor moods. This paper examines the impact of weather on the Australian stock market over the period 1958–2005. A regression‐based approach is employed where daily market returns on the Australian Securities Exchange’s All Ordinaries Price Index are regressed against eight daily weather observations (precipitation, evaporation, relative humidity, maximum and minimum temperatures, hours of bright sunshine, and the speed and direction of the maximum wind gust) at Sydney’s Observatory Hill and Airport meteorological stations. Consistent with studies elsewhere including the Australian market, the results indicate that the weather has absolutely no influence on market returns. Some directions for future research that may help address some of the deficiencies found in this intriguing body of work are provided. 相似文献
2.
John Y. Campbell 《The Scandinavian journal of economics》2014,116(3):593-634
The Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for 2013 was awarded to Eugene Fama, Lars Peter Hansen, and Robert Shiller for their contributions to the empirical study of asset pricing. Some observers have found it hard to understand the common elements of the laureates' research, preferring to highlight areas of disagreement among them. In this paper, I argue that empirical asset pricing is a coherent enterprise, which owes much to the laureates' influential contributions, and that important themes in the literature can best be understood by considering the laureates in pairs. Specifically, after summarizing modern asset‐pricing theory using the stochastic discount factor as an organizing framework, I discuss the following: the joint hypothesis problem in tests of market efficiency, which is as much an opportunity as a problem (Fama and Hansen); patterns of short‐ and long‐term predictability in asset returns (Fama and Shiller); and models of deviations from rational expectations (Hansen and Shiller). I conclude by reviewing the ways in which the laureates have already influenced the practice of finance, and how they might influence future innovations. 相似文献
3.
Kazuo Ueda 《Asian Economic Policy Review》2013,8(2):252-269
In this paper, I investigate the causes of the recent sharp response of the yen and Japanese stock prices to the discussion of, and the subsequent implementation of bold monetary easing by the Bank of Japan as demanded by Prime Minister Abe. I present statistical evidence that the response of the two asset prices have indeed been unusually large relative to the past experience with nonconventional monetary policy (NCM) even after allowance is given for the rise in global economic activity and asset prices. I also point out that the rally has been led by speculative trading by foreign investors, while domestic investors have largely stayed on the sidelines. I discuss possible reasons for such foreign investor behavior. Simply put, the unprecedented political pressure raised hopes of the adoption of bold measures by the Bank of Japan. I discuss, however, the possibility that the room for further action by the Bank is quite limited apart from what might be called a targeted helicopter drop of money. I also point out the possibility that investor behavior may have not been based on economic fundamentals. The asset price volatility since April 2013 is interpreted in the light of such discussions. 相似文献
4.
Traditional finance theory considers that the impact of noise traders' attention on asset prices is offset by attention from smart investors. This paper uses online search data to study the influence of noise traders and smart investors on stock returns and volatility. Adopting an original approach, we construct a proxy for smart investor attention based on investors' online search behavior provided by Wikipedia Page Traffic. We combine this new measure with a standard measure of noise traders' attention as proxied by Google Search Volume Index. We show for a sample of 87 French firms over the period 2008–2018 that only noise traders' attention influences stock returns. Noise traders' attention increases volatility by creating an extra risk that is priced into the market. Conversely, smart investors' attention decreases volatility because their presence stabilizes stock prices by reducing uncertainty. Our empirical results support a behavioral explanation of stock prices. 相似文献
5.
It is now widely recognized in the literature that individuals have limited attention and that salient information plays a key role in individuals choices. We analyze the salience of two sources of information for investors: firm-specific and market. Salient information on firm and market levels is captured by 52-week highs and low indicators while investor attention is filtered by Google web searches. Results show that web searches is a predictor of volume, volatility and returns, and the effects are stronger when using market information. Our findings help to better understand the sources of information that lead individuals in making investment decisions. 相似文献
6.
Based on the 2013 China Household Finance Survey data, this paper investigates the impact of religious faith on household financial market participation and portfolio choice. The results show that religious faith can significantly promote household financial market participation. Besides, religious faith can increase the proportion of risky assets held by households, including equities. We also find that the need for social interaction and human capital accumulation can significantly induce religious residents to participate in financial markets and hold risky assets. Overall, our results reveal how faith affects household finance activities in China. 相似文献
7.
We provide a production-based asset pricing model with dispersed information and small deviations from full rational expectations. In the model, aggregate output and equity prices depend on the higher-order beliefs about aggregate demand and individual stochastic discount factors. We prove that equity price volatility becomes arbitrarily large as the volatility of idiosyncratic shocks diverges to infinity due to the interaction of signal extraction with idiosyncratic trading decisions, while aggregate output volatility falls. We propose a two-step spectral factorization method that permits closed-form solutions in the frequency domain applicable to a wide range of models with more hidden states than signals. Our model can quantitatively match output and equity volatilities observed in U.S. data. 相似文献
8.
In June 2008, the Financial Planning Association issued an “example” financial plan. The hypothetical clients are John and Joan, a married couple. The plan would reduce the couple’s tax bill from $38,000 to $22,941 per annum, a good outcome. More questionable is a recommendation that the percentage of financial assets invested in growth assets be raised to 70 per cent. An aggressive asset allocation could well suit if the couple were aged either 37 or 77, but John and Joan are 57. The long investment horizon faced by the couple is actually a reason for caution on the cusp of their retirement. 相似文献