浅谈沪港通对内地、香港股市的影响

沪港市场建立互联互通机制标志着中国资本市场对外开放迈出了一大步,是人民币跨境使用的重要内容和推动,有利于巩固上海和香港两个金融中心的地位,在内地和香港金融发展史上是一个重要的里程碑。随着沪港通的正式启动,必将给内地和香港股票市场产生深远影响。     

浅谈沪港通对内地、香港股市的影响

沪港市场建立互联互通机制标志着中国资本市场对外开放迈出了一大步,是人民币跨境使用的重要内容和推动,有利于巩固上海和香港两个金融中心的地位,在内地和香港金融发展史上是一个重要的里程碑。随着沪港通的正式启动,必将给内地和香港股票市场产生深远影响。     

“十五”期间上海国际金融中心建设规划设想

"十五"期间,上海要进一步强化其作为全国金融中心城市的地位,突出其作为中国金融开放窗口的形象,以大胆创新、超常规发展金融市场作为基本思路,以壮大货币市场作为搞好金融环境建设、完善金融软件基础设施、提升金融创新水平、寻求上海金融市场超常规发展的突破口,依靠政策、加强领导、形成合力,全方位推进上海金融中心建设.     

重庆建设长江中上游金融中心的战略思路研究——基于SWOT的分析

文章以SWOT分析法为研究出发点,研究重庆市建设长江中上游金融中心的外部能力（机遇和挑战）与内部能力（优势和劣势）,综合分析重庆发展的现状和潜力,最后系统提出重庆市建设长江中上游金融中心在金融中心模式、资本市场、信贷市场、银行发展等方面的战略思路,为重庆市在建设长江中上游金融中心提供理论参考。     

发展中国家的国际金融中心

在七十年代到八十年代初,发展中国家世界金融中心的产生和迅速发展,已经成为国际资本市场发展中的新现象。这样的中心,如新加坡、香港、巴哈马群岛和巴林,按照国际货币信贷业务和一系列其他指标,在国际资本市场上不仅能顺利地进行竞争,而且正在排挤工业发达资本主义国家最大的“传统的”金融中心——伦敦、纽约、苏黎世、巴黎等的地位。     

金融中心的形成理论和国际经验——兼论江苏在“长三角”金融发展战略中的模式选择

在"长三角"经济一体化战略中,已经确立了上海作为国际金融中心的地位,江苏如何制定本地金融发展方略,尤其是在参与国际金融中心建设过程中如何定位,值得深思。本文介绍了金融中心的概念、理论及形成的国际经验,从金融中心的四阶段论切入,探讨江苏金融发展的模式选择。     

东北地区金融发展水平评价与发展对策

随着国家振兴东北老工业基地战略的深入实施,东北地区经济呈现快速增长势头.而金融作为现代经济社会的核心,在促进东北经济发展中的作用至关重要.量化分析结果表明,东北地区整体金融发展水平与长三角和珠三角等发达地区相比还存在较大差距.应从改善金融生态环境、加大银行业建设力度、深入推进资本市场发展、提升区域金融合作水平、推进区域金融中心建设等方面促进东北地区金融发展水平的提升.     

沪港金融集聚效应及其协作路径研究

金融集聚效应及其理论对分析现代金融中心之间的宏观协作意义重大。C E P A以来香港和上海在机构互设、业务交流、市场衔接、货币流通和监管协作等领域出现明显的金融集聚效应,为两地形成"金融中心圈"取得了初步经验。未来沪港金融集聚效应的发挥,既应当致力于拉平沪港的发展差距,也应当有意识地保持两地的功能互补,在资本市场衔接、创新金融载体、服务总部经济、对接梯次转移和营造金融生态等方面寻求协作路径。     

发展银团贷款业务，整合上海金融资源

上海作为金融中心的地位已经逐步凸现，金融市场表现活跃，融资规模不断增加。与此同时，上海金融市场的竞争也进一步加剧，在一定程度上影响了金融秩序，不利于金融体系的稳定。上海的商业银行应该在贷款市场上与国际接轨，大力发展银团贷款业务，在迈向国际金融中心的进程中，加强银行间的合作，规范上海金融竞争秩序，整合上海金融资源，进而提高银行自身的赢利能力和抗风险能力，保证上海金融体系的持续稳定。     

亚洲主要金融中心发展现状及优劣势分析

在2013年10月伦敦金融城发布的第14期全球金融中心指数中,亚洲多个城市名列前茅。本文从亚洲主要金融中心形成的历史渊源出发,运用详实的数据比对,分别从城市规模、经济总量、银行业、证券业、保险业以及外汇市场等多个角度,解读了香港、新加坡和上海等金融中心在亚洲乃至世界的金融地位。并结合上述地区的金融定位及市场特点,分析了其进一步深化国际金融中心建设的优势和劣势。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

金融企业员工考核系统的设计

一、概述 为配合公司人事考核制度的贯彻执行,保证该制度执行过程中各项工作能够长期、高效、准确地完成,我们开发了公司员工考核系统,实现了人事考核工作中员工投票、考核统计、考核信息分析、报表生成等功能,减少了人事部门人员的手工操作,提高了考核工作的自动化程度.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

我国助学贷款改革刍议--"双担保"机制设计

国家新出台的助学贷款政策,还不过是既有的框架下的局部调整,存在诸多不完善的地方。为此,对国家助学贷款应构建高校与就业单位的“双担保”机制。从长期来看,要构建一个系统有效的“政府部门管理和商业银行运作相结合”、“多层次、多渠道、多方式”、“担保和非担保、贴息和非贴息、市场和非市场运作互相补充”的中国教育金融框架。     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。