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1.
Tao Chen 《Journal of Behavioral Finance》2017,18(3):358-372
The author constructs a direct measure of investor attention toward global benchmark indices using Google search volume and empirically examines its impact on stock returns. The author documents a significant decrease in index returns following an increase in investor attention. This result is consistent with the investor recognition hypothesis (Merton [1987]) and the finding of no-media premium in the United States (Fang and Peress [2009]). Additional tests suggest that the attention effect may be attributable to local and U.S. investors. Finally, such negative effect of attention is found to be strengthened (weaken) in the market with positive (negative) sentiments. 相似文献
2.
Heba Ahmed Abass Ali 《Journal of Behavioral Finance》2017,18(2):152-166
Using a sample of 1,926 UK initial public offerings (IPOs) launched from 1987 to 2007, this study introduces a new angle on testing the behavioral timing hypothesis in the context of UK IPOs via investigating relationships between the magnitude of IPOs misvaluation and postissue stock price and operating performance. IPO misvaluation is measured using (i) an intrinsic value of the firm estimated using residual income valuation model and (ii) intensity of IPO issuance activity. The findings show that stock price and operating underperformance in the postissue are directly linked to the degree of IPOs' misvaluation. Specifically, the stock price and operating performance are found to be significantly and robustly different between hot markets IPOs and cold market IPOs 3 years postissue. We also show that overvalued IPOs have lower long-run stock returns, but outperforming operating performance, than undervalued IPOs do. Our findings are broadly consistent with the behavioral explanations of the poor stock price and operating performance, supporting the U.S. results of Purnanandam and Swaminathan [2004] and Loughran and Ritter [2000]. 相似文献
3.
The authors find that the market's underreaction to good news is a driver of Gutierrez and Kelly's [2008] weekly momentum returns. By employing a dataset of 10.1 million news items in 4 regions (the U.S., Europe, Japan, and Asia Pacific), they find that stocks having important and positive news exhibit stronger return continuation. The study findings suggest that investors in international markets have similar underreaction to the same news characteristics. 相似文献
4.
Óscar Dejuán 《European Journal of the History of Economic Thought》2017,24(2):369-394
Post Keynesian models consider growth to be demand-led – a logical consequence of Keynes's principle of effective demand. After Harrod's seminal paper in 1939 they try to unearth the hidden variables that might allow the adaptation of the warranted rate, determined from the supply side, to demand-growth expectations that supposedly have an autonomous source. The purpose of this paper is to show that an investment function based on the accelerator and integrated in a supermultiplier is able to shape the warranted rate in consonance with the autonomous trend. The supermultiplier reveals itself as a stable and stabilising mechanism when demand is split into permanent and transient. Hopefully the paper will build bridges with other Keynesian, Kaleckian and Sraffian strands that have so far dismissed the supermultiplier solution because of its apparently inherent instability. 相似文献
5.
This article uses household survey data to estimate the determinants of earnings in Indonesia, a country where nonsalaried work is widespread and earnings data are available for salaried employees only. We deal with the selection bias by estimating a Full-Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML) system of equations, where selection into the labour market is modelled in a multinomial setting. We find that some estimated parameters of the earnings equation differ from a binomial selection procedure by Heckman (1979), in particular for those variables with the strongest impact on the selection into the different labour-market statuses. However, the estimated returns to education are unaffected, even when we deal with the endogeneity of educational attainment following Duflo (2001). Overall, our findings show that the choice of the selection rule affects the estimates of the earnings determinants in the Indonesian labour market. 相似文献
6.
Maria-Miruna Pochea Angela-Maria Filip Andreea-Maria Pece 《Journal of Behavioral Finance》2017,18(4):400-416
This article investigates herding behavior in ten Central and East European (CEE) stock markets by using daily data on stock prices for 384 companies from January 2, 2003, to December 31, 2013. Our study is based on the methodology developed by Chang, Cheng, and Khorana [2000], adapted to detect herding behavior under different market conditions. The authors use quantile regression analysis as an estimation method and find evidence of herding behavior in all CEE countries, except for Poland and Romania. When the market is up and the trading volume increases, investors become enthusiastic and optimistic, neglecting their own information and following each other in buying transactions. Conversely, when the market declines, driven by panic and fear, investors follow the market consensus and engage in overselling transactions. 相似文献
7.
Evanthia K. Zervoudi 《Journal of Behavioral Finance》2018,19(3):319-333
The main aim of this article is to provide a general behavioral analysis that proposes a series of different value functions for prospect theory (PT) investors incorporated into behavioral reward-risk models that are finally solved so as to provide some specific optimal solutions. To do this, general behavioral reward-risk models, which contain all the basic elements of the PT, are first set up. Two reward and risk measures, the upper partial moment and the lower partial moment, are subsequently used to create the various value functions. The technical difficulties arising during the behavioral maximization process are overpassed by adapting the Rubinstein [1982] algorithm. The results show that agents differentiate their behavior according to their type of preferences (S-shaped, reverse S-shaped, kinked convex, and kinked concave value function) but they seem to always prefer small capitalization and high positively skewed value stock portfolios. Probability distortion also affects the optimal solutions of the problem, independently of the employing weighting functional form; when subjective probabilities are employed the optimal weights of the most risky positively skewed assets seem to increase. Probability distortion has an additional important effect on optimal perspective values of the problem driving to a significant increase. 相似文献
8.
This paper is about the causal relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates in the US and Canada. To that end, we apply a linear Granger causality test introduced by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) and the nonlinear Granger causality test of Diks and Panchenko (2006). By combining linear causality effects with the nonlinear ones, it is seen that the most common Granger causality direction between short-term and long-term interest rates is a bidirectional one. We also find that nonlinear Granger causality can be found where no linear causality had been uncovered. Moreover, our findings show that during recent business cycles, the federal funds rate (in the US) and the overnight rate (in Canada) still Granger-cause long-term interest rates significantly. 相似文献
9.
Sungju Chun 《Applied economics》2013,45(24):3512-3528
We study the finite sample properties of tests for structural changes in the trend function of a time series that do not require knowledge of the degree of persistence in the noise component. The tests of interest are the quasi-Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) procedure by Perron and Yabu (2009b) and the weighted average of the regression t-statistics by Harvey et al. (2009), both of which have the same limit distribution whether the noise component is stationary or has a unit-root. We analyse the finite sample size and power properties of these tests under a variety of Data-Generating Processes (DGPs). The results show that the Perron–Yabu test has greater power overall. With respect to the size, the Harvey–Leybourne–Taylor test exhibits larger size distortions unless a moving-average component is present. Using the Perron and Yabu procedure to test for structural changes in the trend function of long-run real exchange rates with respect to the US dollar indicates that for 17 out of 19 countries, the series have experienced a shift in trend since the late nineteenth century. 相似文献
10.
Kwang Hwan Kim 《International economic journal》2015,29(1):37-55
This paper proposes a new model accounting for the delayed effect of monetary policy shocks on output. The key feature of the model is to distinguish a variety of margins (i.e., inventory adjustments, hours per worker, efforts and employments) on which firms adjust output in response to macroeconomic shock. When these multiple margins are properly introduced to an otherwise standard modern monetary business cycles model, the interplay between inventory adjustments and the one-period lag in adjusting employment can produce the hump-shaped response of output to monetary shock. Given the weak evidence on habit formation at household level found in Dynan (2000) and Flavin and Nakagawa (2008), therefore, this paper provides an alternative explanation for the delayed effect of monetary policy without relying on the habit formation. 相似文献
11.
A. Dupuy 《Applied economics》2013,45(21):2723-2731
While the skill-premium has been rising sharply in the US and the UK for 20 years, the Dutch skill-premium decreased for much of that period and only started to rise in the early 90s. In this article, we investigate whether the Dutch skill-premium will rise in the next decades. To answer this question, we forecast the skill-premium using the Katz and Murphy (1992) and the Krusell et al. (2000) models. The Katz and Murphy model (KM) explains demand shifts by skill-biased technological change in unobservable variables captured by a time trend. In contrast, the Krusell et al. model (KORV) explains demand shifts by (observable) changes in the capital stock under a capital-skill complementarity technology. The results show that while the KM model predicts that the skill-premium will have increased by 30% in 2020, based on realistic predictions of the stock of capital, the KORV model predicts that the skill-premium will remain between ?5 and +5% of its 1996 level. 相似文献
12.
María José Muñoz Torrecillas Taiki Takahashi Jesús Gil Roales-Nieto Salvador Cruz Rambaud Zaida Callejón Ruiz Blas Torrecillas Jover 《Journal of Behavioral Finance》2018,19(2):190-198
In this article the experiment carried out by Takahashi et al. [2009] is replicated to analyze the influence of culture, gender, origin (urban or rural), and socioeconomic level on the impulsivity and consistency of decision-making processes concerning monetary gains and losses. The results indicate that Spanish students show inconsistency, and more impulsivity over gains (i.e., more impatience, as they discount delayed outcomes more rapidly) than do Japanese and American students. Additionally, participants from urban areas show more impatience over gains than do participants from rural ones, women are more impatient than men are over losses, and participants of different socioeconomic levels show differences in their impulsivity parameters. 相似文献
13.
Hsiao-Tang Hsu 《Applied economics》2013,45(21):2775-2783
This article explores the hybrid character (i.e. the resemblance of both stock and bond) of Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) through the implied pricing kernel behind REITs prices. We use the Empirical Pricing kernel method (Rosenberg and Engle, 2002) to explore their Payoff probability density and extract the implied pricing kernel. To estimate payoff probability density, we use asymmetric GARCH model. Results indicate that implied pricing kernels flatten in all ranges of low rate of returns and decrease exponentially in ranges of high rate of returns. This means the REIT pricing kernel resembles a bond when rate of return is low, and a stock when it is high. The pattern is consistent between 1970 and 2000. 相似文献
14.
Francisco Jareño 《Applied economics》2013,45(24):3159-3171
This study is focussed on estimating the real interest and inflation sensitivity in Spanish market, proposing an extension of the Stone (1974) two-factor model and controlling for size and growth of the companies [Fama and French (1993) three-factor model], because of its importance in the stock sensitivity shown by previous literature. I also study the classical explanatory factors of the stock sensitivity: leverage and liquidity level of the firms. The Spanish stock response is similar to the response in other markets, and the ‘size’ is higher than ‘growth’ effect. 相似文献
15.
David Collie 《International economic journal》2013,27(1):141-154
Conditions for the occurrence of immiserizing growth and the Metzler paradox are analysed in the Ricardian model when consumers in the foreign country have Leontief preferences while consumers in the home country have Cobb-Douglas preferences. By using specific functional forms, the conditions for the occurrence of the two paradoxes are defined in terms of the exogenous parameters of the model rather than endogenous variables such as the foreign import demand elasticity in the conditions of Bhagwati (1958) and Metzler (1949a, b). It is shown that the simultaneous occurrence of both paradoxical results is possible for some parameter values. 相似文献
16.
Following the approach suggested by Engel and Kim (1999), we estimate the permanent and transitory components of the real exchange rates in four Latin–American countries for the period 1957:01 to 2002:04. Results suggest that transitory component is the driving force of the real exchange rates in Argentina and Mexico. A principal role of the permanent component is observed in the real exchange rates of Brazil and Chile. Estimates probabilities of the high-variance regime allow to identify the principal events happened in these countries. This information is closely related to nominal shocks and therefore, it explains the significant role of this component in these countries. 相似文献
17.
Must banks match asset and liability maturities, as William Barnett and Walter E. Block (2009, 2011), as well as Ivan Jankovic (2011), surmise? While we agree with these authors that issuances of fiduciary media breed financial instability, we disagree that maturity transformation represents such a case. Maturity transformation — otherwise known as borrowing short-term and lending long-term — guided by several base legal principles, does not result in the issuance of fiduciary media. Most notable among these principles is that any credit issued must be funded by borrowing of a positive duration, i.e., not via a demand deposit. We demonstrate that two factors instigate larger degrees of maturity transformation than would otherwise be the case, breeding potential instability: a continual increase in the credit supply and the provision of a lender of last resort. We also show that the interest rate is a natural stabilizing brake on the over-issuance of longer-dated credit against short-term financing. 相似文献
18.
The degree of persistence in aggregate Canadian unemployment is estimated within a Bayesian ARFIMA class of models. The results conclude that unemployment exhibits persistence in the short and intermediate run. The evidence of persistence is stronger than previously reported by Koustas and Veloce (1996). This persistence cast a vital implication regarding disinflation policies, Based on the unemployment rate, these policies will prove very costly in terms of lost output and – if implemented – they considerably lengthen recessions. 相似文献
19.
Carlos J. Asarta Franklin G. Mixon Jr. Kamal P. Upadhyaya 《The Journal of economic education》2018,49(2):173-179
In this pedagogical contribution the authors extend the traditional three-class tariff employed in the French passenger railway system with the more resonant story of the service quality variations associated with the three passenger classes of the ill-fated RMS Titanic. In doing so, they provide economics instructors with an opportunity to integrate the well-known motion picture Titanic (Cameron and Landau 1997) into the teaching of economics. This article provides instructors with resources that can be used to link historical and modern travel examples of price discrimination in order for students to reach a “deeper understanding of course concepts” (Salemi 2002, 725). 相似文献
20.
Helder de Mendonça 《Applied economics》2013,45(20):2599-2615
This article analyses the use of the basic interest rate after the adoption of inflation targeting in Brazil and the credibility of this monetary regime through two indices that consider the Cukierman and Meltzer (1986) definition for credibility. It also shows the main theoretical and practical motives for changes in the conduction of the monetary policy in the 1970s; the way that inflation targeting strategy is inserted in rules vs. discretion analysis; and the main points that characterize the literature concerning inflation targeting. The findings denote that the strategy implemented in Brazil is not a good mechanism to develop credibility. 相似文献