区域保险市场发展水平评价指数构建——以山东保险强省建设评价指标体系为例

建立客观量化的评价指数,对于客观评估和认识区域保险市场在全国的水平具有积极意义。从我国区域保险市场特点出发,在市场发展、保障作用、结构与效率、风险与规范、服务与形象等5个方面,选取16项评价指标,构建起区域保险市场相对发展水平的评价指数。以该指数对山东保险市场的测算表明,2007年到2012年,山东省保险业在全国的相对发展水平中提升幅度达2.44%,从而可以发挥评价指数的导向作用,制定针对性政策措施,促进区域保险市场协调发展。     

区域互动点亮保险里程——区域性保险公司改写行业地图

区域性保险公司的设立,可以平衡区域保险市场的发展,完善协调保险业的区域结构,提升保险市场增量,推动保险业快速发展。但是它们的进场,也必将对保险行业现有格局产生重大影响。     

关于我国保险业发展的若干思考

一、关于保险业主体发展的思考 (一)结构问题 保险业的进一步发展有赖于保险市场结构的不断优化与完善,这里又涉及到保险市场的主体结构和区域结构.     

台湾保险市场开放历程及评析

台湾的保险业具有较高的发展水平，适时适度开放保险市场是台湾保险业发展迅速的原因之一。分析台湾保险市场的开放过程，借鉴其对外资保险公司的监管则与方法，对确立我们的保险市场开放策略有一定的借鉴意义。     

保险业积极投身上海两个中心建设

上海保险业坚持服务上海经济社会发展大局,逐步把上海保险市场建设成一个业务规模较大、市场体系完善、功能作用突出、综合竞争力较强的区域保险市场     

中国保险市场的区域差异研究

保险市场发展水平不同，对外开放后面临的冲击和获得的收益大小也不同。本文采用计量经济学的方法，对中国大陆31个省区的保险经济发展水平和保险资源潜力进行评估，并分析影响保险经济发展的因素。建议尽快增加敏感区的保险市场主体，促进保险市场的均衡发展。     

我国保险市场的发展与建设

我国保险市场的发展与建设编者按：我国经济体制改革的目标是建立社会主义市场经济体制，而保险市场是社会主义市场体系中不可分割的一部分。因此，对保险业来讲，如何科学认识社会主义市场经济条件下的保险市场和建设社会主义保险市场新体制，加快培育和发展我国保险市场...     

对寻甸县保险市场发展现状的调查与思考

<正>近年来,随着人民投资理财观念的不断改变,投资保险业日益受到老百姓的关注,这也为保险业的发展壮大带来了机遇。县域保险市场是以县城为中心,乡镇为纽带,农村为腹地的区域保险市场。积极发展县域保险市场,为县域经济提供全方位的保险保障,是保险支持"三农"、服务经济社会发展的重要任务和迫切需求。在广大县域保险业发展壮大的形势下,民族地区保险市场的发展仍存在着     

2023中国保险市场产品发展洞察与分析

<正>2023年6月2日，《2023中国保险市场产品发展洞察报告》发布，报告通过研究监管政策、分析市场保险产品数据，梳理当前中国保险市场产品现状与行业发展趋势，并对保险产品高质量发展提出可行性建议，为行业健康发展贡献了力量。本文对该报告的主要内容进行概括梳理，以期让读者更好地理解报告内容，更清晰地了解中国保险市场监管政策、产品现状及发展趋势。     

高收入阶层冷落保险

随着经济的发展和人民生活水平的不断提高，保险市场也逐步壮大。然而，笔者日前对辽宁省保险市场的调查发现，保险市场也有“险情”，保险市场也亟待“保险”。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.