外资溢出效应、金融市场发展水平与中国经济增长研究

基于引入外资溢出效应的柯布—道格拉斯生产函数,研究了三种不同类型的外资对中国经济增长的作用,其中,重点考察金融市场水平在外资促进经济增长过程中所发挥的作用。研究结果显示,并不是所有的外资都对经济增长有积极而深远的影响,为了从不同的外资中获得更多的收益,金融市场发展水平担当了重要的角色。外资对经济增长的正溢出效应要求金融市场发展满足特定的门槛水平。     

中国金融发展与经济增长的Granger因果关系分析

相同的金融市场功能在不同国家对经济增长的贡献却不尽相同,那么,在中国金融市场尚不完善的情况下,金融市场对经济增长是否起到显著的积极作用,它们之间的相关关系如何,值得研究。运用单位根检验、协整检验、Granger因果关系检验等计量经济方法,对中国金融发展与经济增长关系的分析结果显示:中国经济增长带动了金融的发展,而金融发展却不是经济增长的Granger原因。     

证券市场开放、发展与经济增长——新兴市场国家证券市场开放效果的初步考察

近20年来许多新兴市场国家向外国投资者开放国内证券市场。而证券市场开放对这些国家的证券市场发展和经济增长都产生了重要影响。无论是市场开放后直接促进证券市场发展，还是由于开放带来的证券资本成本下降以刺激投资增长，都对经济增长起到了积极的推动作用。对证券市场开放影响程度和特征和考察和研究，将有助于理解我国证券市场对外开放的经济意义。     

浅谈中国加入WTO后外汇储备与金融安全的几个问题

经济全球化、金融国际化已经成为当今世界不可抗拒的潮流,根据我国加入WTO的承诺,我国金融市场的开放是大势所趋。开放国内金融市场既能促进资本国际流动,推动国际贸易发展,但也会削弱我国中央银行货币政策的独立性,并加剧国际金融市场动荡对国内金融市场的冲击和影响,增加金融危机爆发的可能性,对国家的经济安全构成威胁。因此,在金融市场开放条件下,防范与控制金融风险、保证国家的经济安全的任务就更为突出。国家外汇管理局2006年11月6日宣布:中国外汇储备突破1万亿美元大关。面对如此规模巨大的外汇储备,如何充分运用并使其发挥最大作…     

股权金融市场、增长方式选择与平衡增长：传统与新兴部门视角*

为探究股权金融市场对增长方式选择和平衡增长的影响，本文基于传统与新兴部门的差异，构建动态理论模型并利用“Simulink”技术进行数值模拟分析。理论分析发现股权金融市场效率对平衡增长具有增长效应且存在门槛条件，效率高于门槛值时股权金融市场发展将提高平衡增长率和创新贡献率。总体上，发展股权金融市场将促进我国平衡增长和增长方式转变，但东、西部地区存在差异，发展股权市场可以加快东部地区创新型增长而对西部地区没有显著作用。     

我国外汇储备猛增的经济效应分析

文章采用逐对分析的方法,对我国外汇储备猛增的经济效应进行了研究。探讨了随着我国经济实力的日益增强,外汇储备猛增对我国整体经济的广泛影响。最后,针对我国外汇储备增长带来的综合影响,提出了相关政策建议。     

金融发展理论的经验证据

在过去的20年间,金融体系的整体发展水平及其内部结构状况与经济增长之间的关系是国外经济学家关注的焦点之一。20世纪80年代初期,新古典经济学家开始引入信息不对称和交易成本,大量的理论模型研究表明,金融中介体或金融市场的形成及演进对减轻市场摩擦、促进资源的有效配置产生了积极的影响,但是,这些理论研究并没有就金融中介体和金融市场在经济增长中的作用的相对重要性达成一致。     

国际比较视角下我国财险市场增长趋势研究

本文通过构建面板数据模型,选取2000~2013年的样本数据,实证检验了全球70个国家8个组别和中国31个省市区4个组别的财险市场增长情况。实证结果发现:随着经济水平的提高,全球财险市场增长弹性呈现出V型趋势,这是财险需求和供给博弈的结果。中国财险市场增长情况好于全球同经济水平地区,增长弹性走势与全球V型趋势基本相同,呈现下滑态势。另外,金融市场发展程度和通货膨胀因素对财险市场增长影响在不同经济水平地区的结果并不一致。中国财险市场需进行结构性调整,特别是在市场建设和竞争模式等方面需有新的突破。     

产业集聚与经济增长质量——基于全球82个国家和地区面板数据的实证分析

本文通过五个维度构建了国家层面的经济增长质量指标体系,采用熵值法测算了全球82个国家和地区的经济增长质量指数,并在此基础上实证研究了产业集聚与经济增长质量的关系。研究发现：制造业集聚与服务业集聚水平的提高有助于改善一国的经济增长质量,但两者对经济增长质量的影响渠道有所不同。服务业集聚对经济增长质量的影响在不同类型国家之间存在异质性,即服务业集聚程度的增加能够明显改善非OECD国家和地区的经济增长质量,但对OECD国家和地区的经济增长质量影响不显著。此外,FDI对制造业集聚与一国经济增长质量的关系以及对服务业集聚与一国经济增长质量的关系,分别具有正向调节效应和负向调节效应,而人力资本水平对制造业集聚和服务业集聚与一国经济增长质量的关系均具有正向调节效应。本文的研究结论对于如何制定相关产业政策以推动经济高质量发展具有重要的参考价值。     

金融市场发展、人力资本回流与技术进步——基于我国国家层面数据的实证检验

作为国际智力回流的主体,海外留学归国人员是一国技术进步的重要力量,而一国金融市场发展水平是影响其国内海归技术溢出状况的重要因素。本文以1985年～2008年国家层面数据的实证研究表明:中国金融市场对海归技术溢出的积极作用开始显现,但是由于我国金融市场发展水平不高,金融市场体系不尽完善,不能为海归技术溢出效应的充分发挥提供有效的金融支持。     

John Stuart Mill's Theory Of Justice

John Stuart Mill has traditionally been portrayed as self-contradictory and failing to construct a unified social theory. Recent scholarship, however, has challenged this view, finding Mill's work to be creatively synthetic in bridging the antinomies inherent in liberal democratic thought. This revisionist interpretation of Mill is advanced by an understanding of his theory of justice and its role in shaping his policy positions on issues such as welfare, education, voting rights, property rights, taxation, government intervention, and the future of capitalism.     

A Rich Vein for “Reality Mining”北大核心CSSCISSCI

Arik Hesseldahl In the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, U.S. officials quickly turned their attention to other potential targets, including California's Golden Gate Bridge. What would happen if terrorists took down the bridge between San Francisco and Marin County? How much of the region would be affected and for how long?     

John Stuart Mill's Theories of Wealth and Income Distribution

Although he was much influenced by David Ricardo when he wrote the classical part of his Principles , John Stuart Mill was not a Ricardian when he penned his theories of wealth and distribution. They are based on a triple foundation. First, a belief that economics is a moral discipline. Second a theory of custom-driven human behavior. Third, an empirically formed conviction that the institutions of state, education and business cooperate to structure the distribution of income. On the basis of these presuppositions, Mill formulated 1) an institutional theory of the formation of human and non-human wealth and 2) an even more institutional theory of distribution demonstrating how the aforementioned institutions malignantly skew the distribution of income to the advantage of the propertied classes and to the extreme disadvantage of the working class. As a social economist, Mill recommended institutional reforms designed to eradicate the poverty of the working class.     

中国养活自己能力的长期预测:技术和政策分析

中国拥有世界五分之一强的人口 ,收入又在迅速增长。因此 ,国际上很自然地会考虑或推测她在今后的几十年是否有能力养活自己。中国的人口预计将从 2 0 0 0年的 1 2 8亿增长到 2 0 2 0年的 1 4 6亿 ,和 2 0 3 0年的 1 4 9亿。与此同时 ,人均收入的增长将导致对家畜和鱼类产品更大的需求 ,因而对饲料的需求也将有很大的增长     

Toward a Phylogenetic Reconstruction of Organizational Life

Synopsis Classification is an important activity that facilitates theory development in many academic disciplines. Scholars in fields such as organizational science, management science and economics and have long recognized that classification offers an approach for ordering and understanding the diversity of organizational taxa (groups of one or more similar organizational entities). However, even the most prominent organizational classifications have limited utility, as they tend to be shaped by a specific research bias, inadequate units of analysis and a standard neoclassical economic view that does not naturally accommodate the disequilibrium dynamics of modern competition. The result is a relatively large number of individual and unconnected organizational classifications, which tend to ignore the processes of change responsible for organizational diversity. Collectively they fail to provide any sort of universal system for ordering, compiling and presenting knowledge on organizational diversity. This paper has two purposes. First, it reviews the general status of the major theoretical approaches to biological and organizational classification and compares the methods and resulting classifications derived from each approach. Definitions of key terms and a discussion on the three principal schools of biological classification (evolutionary systematics, phenetics and cladistics) are included in this review. Second, this paper aims to encourage critical thinking and debate about the use of the cladistic classification approach for inferring and representing the historical relationships underpinning organizational diversity. This involves examining the feasibility of applying the logic of common ancestry to populations of organizations. Consequently, this paper is exploratory and preparatory in style, with illustrations and assertions concerning the study and classification of organizational diversity.     

Information infrastructure: Who builds broadband networks?

This paper examines the essential difference between the U.S. and Japan, when one considers information infrastructure. There are seven perception gaps between the U.S. and Japan concerning Information Infrastructure policies. These gaps must be understood in order to compare the countries' governmental policies in this area. In looking at the present circumstances, the essential question to answer concerns who is to build, own and operate the network(s) of the infrastructure. Liberalization is certain to be a central factor in the ongoing telecommunications debates. Now that customers have had a taste of the liberalized market-place, the movement toward more open markets will be difficult to stop. When considering options, it is necessary to pay close attention to standardized network access and the increasingly important role software plays. These issues are causing us to take a new approach to the traditional role played by regulators. They also force a closer look at the appropriate structure of utility companies. This paper addresses the above issues in hopes of stimulating dialog on the new telecommunications infrastructure paradigm.     

Nonlinearity in Stock Exchange Markets: The Case of Bist 100 Indices

In this paper,using data for the Bist 100 index,we investigate the presence of nonlinearities by employing several nonlinearity tests.The Brock,Dechert,and Sche...     

Solidified Branding Function: How the Urban Brand Affects a Small Town’s Development? Case Study of Wangqingtuo,Tianjin, China

Chinese small towns are usually developed with single core industry,and the urban brand is the identity of a town that formed with the development of its indust...     

海岛地区产业演替及资源基础分析--以舟山群岛为例

改革开放以来,舟山市产业构成发生了显著变化,其经济发展过程可以划分为三个阶段。1992年前,是以产业结构渔业占绝对地位的单一结构阶段;1993—1998年,以旅游业为主的第三产业快速发展阶段;上世纪末以来,又进入了新一轮的经济发展时期,即工业产值比重快速增加阶段。根据海岛的自然资源基础和特点,在新世纪的经济发展过程中,舟山市应定位为生态型的港口旅游城市。以港口及临港工业为主导,以海岛旅游和海洋经济为特色,大力发展第二产业和第三产业。海岛地区的主导产业应体现海岛资源优势及区位优势,以集群性环保型产业为主。同时由于海岛地区淡水资源缺乏,主导产业也应着重选择低耗水型产业。