发展信息软件产业新高地的相关思考——以无锡太湖新城科教产业园为例

在无锡产业转型的大环境下，无锡太湖新城科教产业园发展自身优势，加快平台建设和载体建设，促进信息软件产业的发展，全力打造信息软件产业新高地。但在发展过程中也出现了产业结构、资金、人才等方面的问题，如何促进地方信息软件产业发展的进一步提升，本文进行了一些初步探讨。     

我国软件产业发展的思考

软件产业是信息产业的基础与核心，它的发展与整个社会的经济、文化、政治建设密不可分。本文在分析我国软件产业现状的基础上。提出推进软件产业发展的策略。     

巴西软件产业发展及对我国的启示

巴西在应用软件领域取得了一定成绩。其规模、出口、企业、人才和投融资等都呈现出鲜明的特点，而政府大力扶持是巴西软件快速发展的重要保障。巴西软件产业的成功对我国具有一定的启示，我国应该大力发展软件出口、外包业务，培养和引进面向国际市场的软件人才，促进应用企业参与软件产业的投融资，增强软件产业服务体系建设，提高企业自主创新能力，加强政府对国产软件采购力度。     

武汉市软件产业竞争力评价

软件产业是未来经济发展的战略性产业，对促进国民经济的快速发展具有重要作用。武汉市高度重视软件产业的发展，一直把软件产业作为战略性和先导性产业优先发展。在这种背景下，科学的审视和准确评估武汉软件产业的竞争力，已经成为武汉市加快发展软件产业的一个急需深入探讨的问题。     

软件产业投融资体制:问题与对策

在制约我国软件产业快速发展的因素中 ,尚未建立适应软件产业发展的多元化投融资渠道体系和市场化投融资机制是最重要的。因此 ,必须采取各种措施 ,建设新型投融资体制 ,促进我国软件产业的发展     

中国软件产业发展现状及对策分析

文章概述了中国软件产业的发展现状和基本评价,并提出了促进软件产业发展的政策措施。中国软件产业发展较快,软件产业规模迅速扩大。1990年代以来,中国软件产业一直保持高速发展的态势,年均增长速度超过30%,远高于中国9%的GDP平均增长水平。最近两年,随着信息技术进步和网络时代的来临,中国软件产业的增长速度更加迅猛。通过对中国软件产业发展现状和发展条件的分析,可以对中国软件产业所处的发展阶段形成一个基本的判断:中国软件业总体上仍处于发展的初级阶段。在推动软件产业发展方面,可以考虑采用建立多渠道的软件人才培养体系,加强软件人才队伍建设等八项政策措施。     

山西软件产业发展思路及对策

文章简要描述了国内外软件产业的发展动态和成长因素，对发展山西软件产业进行了需求论证和前景分析，提出了山西软件产业发展的总体思路，以及促进和加速山西软件产业发展的对策性建议。     

宁波市软件产业集聚区发展思路和对策研究

软件产业集聚区作为软件与信息服务业集聚发展的主要载体,可以促进软件产业的人才、资金、技术、资源等生产要素的规模集聚,对促进形成产业竞争力起着重要的助推器作用。通过对宁波市各软件产业集聚区的发展状况的调研及对存在问题的分析,提出推动软件产业向服务化和工业化方向发展、发展大宗商品及跨境贸易的电子商务、完善公共服务资源建设及解决企业融资困难等一系列发展策略及政策建议。     

软件产业国际化经营：印度经验与启示

文章首先分析印度软件产业国际化经营的路径、进程和基本策略，然后对印度软件产业的国际化经营能力进行实证分析。实证分析发现，软件产业外包指数的大小和软件市场集中度的高低，对印度软件产业的国际化经营能力有显著影响。最后是印度软件产业的发展经验给我国的启示。     

软件业：40亿元投向哪里？

国家对软件产业的积极扶持态度是与软件产业在中国国民经济发展中的重要性分不开的。信息产业是决定21世纪国际竞争力的战略性先导产业，信息产业在经济全球化和全球信息化的发展大势中起到了核心和灵魂的作用，软件产业尤其如此。一、软件产业发展迅速。就近十年的数据来看，中国软件产业始终保持了持续快速的发展态势，销售额年均增幅远远超过了GDP的增长幅度。中国软件产业销售额1992年仅为43亿元，2001年已达796亿元。其中，软件产品销售额为330亿元，软件服务收入为406亿元，软件出口额为7.2亿美元。到2002年8月，中国通过认定的软件…     

Pleasure and belief in Hume's Decision Process

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to introduce explicitly pleasure and belief in what aims at being a Humean theory of decision, like the one developed in Diaye and Lapidus (2005a). Although we support the idea that Hume was in some way a hedonist – evidently different from Bentham's or Jevons' way – we lay emphasis less on continuity than on the specific kind of hedonism encountered in Hume's writings (chiefly the Treatise, the second Enquiry, the Dissertation, or some of his Essays). Such hedonism clearly contrasts to its standard modern inheritance, expressed by the relation between preferences and utility.

The reason for such a difference with the usual approach lies in the mental process that Hume puts to the fore in order to explain the way pleasure determines desires and volition. Whereas pleasure is primarily, in Hume's words, an impression of sensation, it takes place in the birth of passions as reflecting an idea of pleasure, whose “force and vivacity” is precisely a “belief”, transferred to the direct passions of desire or volition that come immediately before action. As a result, from a Humean point of view, “belief” deals with decision under risk or uncertainty, as well as with intertemporal decision and indiscrimination problems.

The latter are explored within a formal framework, and it is shown that the relation of pleasure is transformed by belief into a non-empty class of relations of desire, among which at least one is a preorder.     

John Stuart Mill's Theory Of Justice

John Stuart Mill has traditionally been portrayed as self-contradictory and failing to construct a unified social theory. Recent scholarship, however, has challenged this view, finding Mill's work to be creatively synthetic in bridging the antinomies inherent in liberal democratic thought. This revisionist interpretation of Mill is advanced by an understanding of his theory of justice and its role in shaping his policy positions on issues such as welfare, education, voting rights, property rights, taxation, government intervention, and the future of capitalism.     

A Rich Vein for “Reality Mining”北大核心CSSCISSCI

Arik Hesseldahl In the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, U.S. officials quickly turned their attention to other potential targets, including California's Golden Gate Bridge. What would happen if terrorists took down the bridge between San Francisco and Marin County? How much of the region would be affected and for how long?     

Globalization,Neoliberalism and the attack on social security

Neoliberal political movements advocate privatization of public pension systems. Globalization imposes pressure on nations to conform to neoliberal policy views with respect to the design and structure of social insurance, including public pension systems. The paper begins with an investigation of the economic, ethical and ideological dimensions of the privatization debates in the U.S.; it argues that privatization advocates may be largely moved by ideology, since the other reasons advanced appear weak or unfounded. The second part discusses the history of Social Security, the purposes for its creation, and some of its economic effects. Differences between public and private pension systems are considered. A brief international comparison of some aspects of public pension system finance and benefit structures is presented. The final section considers the ethical, macroeconomic and distributional implications of privatization, prefunding and payroll tax funding, and argues for a pay as you go system financed with income taxes. In order to promote equity, economic security, community, and social cohesion, public pension systems should be universal in coverage. In order to reduce the inequality, income insecurity, and aged poverty generated by market economies, public pension systems ought to be progressive: benefit/contribution ratios should be inversely proportional to income, and progressive income taxes should finance the system. To promote economic growth, the systems should be financed on a pay-as-you-go basis, and should not be prefunded except for an emergency reserve. The fiscal policy recommendations partially depend upon the theory developed by Abba Lerner in the 1940s, and recently advanced by Wynne Godley and Randy Wray: Lerner's “principle of functional finance.”     

中国养活自己能力的长期预测:技术和政策分析

中国拥有世界五分之一强的人口 ,收入又在迅速增长。因此 ,国际上很自然地会考虑或推测她在今后的几十年是否有能力养活自己。中国的人口预计将从 2 0 0 0年的 1 2 8亿增长到 2 0 2 0年的 1 4 6亿 ,和 2 0 3 0年的 1 4 9亿。与此同时 ,人均收入的增长将导致对家畜和鱼类产品更大的需求 ,因而对饲料的需求也将有很大的增长     

Perspective on the Economic Evolution of the European Union States Under the Impact of the Pandemic and Financial-Economic Crisis

The European Union,which is at the beginning of its term of office for all Member States in the European Parliament,the European Commission,its governing body a...     

John Stuart Mill's Theories of Wealth and Income Distribution

Although he was much influenced by David Ricardo when he wrote the classical part of his Principles , John Stuart Mill was not a Ricardian when he penned his theories of wealth and distribution. They are based on a triple foundation. First, a belief that economics is a moral discipline. Second a theory of custom-driven human behavior. Third, an empirically formed conviction that the institutions of state, education and business cooperate to structure the distribution of income. On the basis of these presuppositions, Mill formulated 1) an institutional theory of the formation of human and non-human wealth and 2) an even more institutional theory of distribution demonstrating how the aforementioned institutions malignantly skew the distribution of income to the advantage of the propertied classes and to the extreme disadvantage of the working class. As a social economist, Mill recommended institutional reforms designed to eradicate the poverty of the working class.     

Toward a Phylogenetic Reconstruction of Organizational Life

Synopsis Classification is an important activity that facilitates theory development in many academic disciplines. Scholars in fields such as organizational science, management science and economics and have long recognized that classification offers an approach for ordering and understanding the diversity of organizational taxa (groups of one or more similar organizational entities). However, even the most prominent organizational classifications have limited utility, as they tend to be shaped by a specific research bias, inadequate units of analysis and a standard neoclassical economic view that does not naturally accommodate the disequilibrium dynamics of modern competition. The result is a relatively large number of individual and unconnected organizational classifications, which tend to ignore the processes of change responsible for organizational diversity. Collectively they fail to provide any sort of universal system for ordering, compiling and presenting knowledge on organizational diversity. This paper has two purposes. First, it reviews the general status of the major theoretical approaches to biological and organizational classification and compares the methods and resulting classifications derived from each approach. Definitions of key terms and a discussion on the three principal schools of biological classification (evolutionary systematics, phenetics and cladistics) are included in this review. Second, this paper aims to encourage critical thinking and debate about the use of the cladistic classification approach for inferring and representing the historical relationships underpinning organizational diversity. This involves examining the feasibility of applying the logic of common ancestry to populations of organizations. Consequently, this paper is exploratory and preparatory in style, with illustrations and assertions concerning the study and classification of organizational diversity.     

Forecasting the price of gold

This article seeks to evaluate the appropriateness of a variety of existing forecasting techniques (17 methods) at providing accurate and statistically significant forecasts for gold price. We report the results from the nine most competitive techniques. Special consideration is given to the ability of these techniques to provide forecasts which outperforms the random walk (RW) as we noticed that certain multivariate models (which included prices of silver, platinum, palladium and rhodium, besides gold) were also unable to outperform the RW in this case. Interestingly, the results show that none of the forecasting techniques are able to outperform the RW at horizons of 1 and 9 steps ahead, and on average, the exponential smoothing model is seen providing the best forecasts in terms of the lowest root mean squared error over the 24-month forecasting horizons. Moreover, we find that the univariate models used in this article are able to outperform the Bayesian autoregression and Bayesian vector autoregressive models, with exponential smoothing reporting statistically significant results in comparison with the former models, and classical autoregressive and the vector autoregressive models in most cases.