区域金融发展与经济发展关系研究

我国区域经济发展水平差距较大,经济发展与金融发展水平配合存在一定偏差。文章利用动态均衡分析区域金融发展水平与经济发展之间关系,并以上海经济为例分析我国经济较发达地区区域金融发展与经济发展均衡所形成良性的发展通道,有利于促进产业结构调整,转变经济发展方式并实现可持续发展。     

非正规金融、制度变迁与经济增长:一个文献综述

本综述在剖析非正规金融交易微观运作机理的基础上,揭示了非正规金融对中小企业融资、经济增长的重要性以及对金融制度变迁的导向意义;在进行正规金融机制设计、改善中小企业融资与金融体制改革时,要利用非正规金融的优势和正面效应。     

中间产品、工业化转型与中国经济增长

文章认为,最终需求和出口需求对我国工业化与经济增长的推动作用逐渐减弱,中间产品对工业化和经济增长可发挥积极作用,收入效应、分配效应、降低最低有效规模和提高生产率是中间产品影响工业化的主要途径,而规模、技术、人力资源和一些其它条件是制约中间产品生产扩张的主要因素。中间产品生产发展不足和我国存在的就业不足、技术进步缓慢、收入分配不公与工业化趋缓和经济增长放慢等问题密切相关,我国已具备大力发展中间产品生产、以中间产品生产扩张促进工业化转型、推动中国经济增长的基础。文章提出了采取大推进策略、延伸产业链和加强制度建设等对策以加快发展中间产品。     

Services Policy Reform and Economic Growth in Transition Economies

Major changes have occurred in the structure of former centrally planned economies, including a sharp rise in the share of services in GDP, employment, and international transactions. However, large differences exist across transition economies with respect to services intensity and services policy reforms. We find that reforms in policies toward financial and infrastructure services, including telecommunications, power, and transport, are highly correlated with inward FDI. Controlling for regressors commonly used in the growth literature, we find that measures of services policy reform are statistically significant explanatory variables for the post-1990 economic performance of transition economies. These findings suggest services policies should be considered more generally in empirical analyses of economic growth. JEL no. F14, F43, O14, O40     

Sustaining Economic Growth in China under Energy and Climate Security Constraints

I. Introduction China has impressed the world with a nearly constant two digit rate of economic growthover the past quarter of a century. For the first 20 years in the twenty-first century, the national target is to quadruple the size of the economy. However, the growth target is under increasing security concerns from the perspective of energy supply and climate change. As both energy supply and global warming are of global and strategic significance with clear implications for national econ…     

金融中介、股票市场与经济增长:基于联立方程模型的实证分析

文章利用1998～2009年的季度数据,通过构建联立方程模型,利用GMM估计方法系统考察了中国金融中介、股票市场与经济增长之间的相互关系.实证研究结果表明:金融中介发展与经济增长二者相互影响,但作用方向不同:金融中介的总体规模对经济发展的影响为负;经济增长对于金融中介的发展存在显著的正向作用;股票市场发展与经济增长二者...     

Procyclical Productivity and Output Growth in China: An Econometric Analysis

This paper analyzes the procyclical behavior of Chinese Total Factor Productivity (TFP). It shows that measured Solow residuals are correlated to the growth rate of real imports per worker and to other macroeconomic variables that fluctuate at cyclical frequencies. The magnitude of the trend shift in TFP after the start of economic reforms in 1978 is found to be robust to the introduction of cyclical factor utilization and other systematic influences on productivity. The propagation mechanisms of macroeconomic shocks to output are also evaluated on the basis of a seven-variable VAR system. The empirical results indicate that the growing openness of the economy has contributed to sustaining the observed long run productivity increases and has raised spatial inequality.     

Law, Finance, and Growth during Transition: a Survey

This paper surveys the literature on law, finance, and growth and assesses its relevance to transition economies. It describes the contribution, as well as the limitations of the legal view literature with regard to our understanding of the causality between financial development and economic growth. The legal view demonstrates that, through its impact on the financial system, an effective legal system indirectly promotes economic development. However, the particularities of the transition process – notably the existence of soft budget constraints – are such that the methodology and the results of the legal view cannot be applied to transition economies without provisos.     

中国金融发展与经济增长关系的实证研究

文章对金融发展与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证检验,检验结果表明金融发展与经济增长之间存在显著的正向关系,金融发展促进了经济增长。这就需要对金融政策改革以更好的推动经济增长。     

经济转型与包容性增长的关联度

包容性增长是时代发展的必然要求,体现了公平与正义的科学内涵,是一种理想的经济发展方式。在经济转型深化阶段,中国经济社会问题的解决迫切需要以包容性增长理念为引导,将经济转型、政治转型、社会转型、文化转型等多种转型相互融合与协同推进,切实转变经济发展方式,才能实现国民经济的持续良好发展。     

黑龙江省经济增长与就业关系的国内外比较研究

改革开放以来,我国经济快速增长,就业出现了新形势,上世纪九十年代以来,开始有学者对我国经济增长与就业关系进行研究,结果证明"奥肯定律"在我国失灵,由此出现了"奥肯悖论"、反"奥肯定律"之说。黑龙江省经济增长与就业关系有不同于国际上及全国总体情况的特殊性和特定规律,对此进行研究可为黑龙江省经济增长战略,经济发展模式,就业政策的制定,解决就业问题的策略等提出参考意见。     

增长质量、阶段特征与经济转型的关联度

基于现阶段我国大力提倡循环经济、绿色经济增长模式背景,通过分解经济增长质量指数的结构,突破以往经济增长质量评价研究建立在传统经济增长模式下的不足,将循环经济、绿色经济思想引入经济增长质量评价研究中,构建经济增长质量指数结构与经济增长模式转型关系图以及能够反映新的经济增长模式的经济增长质量评价指标体系。以1995~2006年为例,测评经济增长质量总指数及其分指数,据此判断我国经济增长质量的状况及增长模式的进程,以期为我国经济增长模式转型研究提供一个实证分析框架。     

The Synergistic Effects Between Insurance and Credit Markets on Economic Growth: Evidence from China

Insurance and credit markets share some common roles in stimulating economic growth, whether they are complementary or not is worth researching further. Based on the generalized method of moments, this paper investigates the synergistic effects between insurance and credit markets on economic growth in Chinese different regions using an interaction term in the regression model. Moreover, to understand the different economic roles of life and nonlife insurance sectors, we include them into estimation model as well. The results indicate that total insurance and credit markets are substituted, life insurance and credit markets are substituted, and nonlife insurance and credit markets are complementary in the whole region. Specifically, the synergistic effects between insurance and credit markets on economic growth vary considerably across different regions. These findings offer several useful insights for policy-makers.     

西部大开发与经济立法

借鉴美国、日本等国开发落后地区的法律实践,我国西部大开发也应走依法开发的道路.要以宪法为基础立法,坚持以可持续发展为指导思想立法,严格按市场经济规律立法,对西部区域范围、西部开发财政制度、税改制度、土地制度、劳动力资源制度、环保制度、科技开发等作出明确规定,以促进西部地区振兴.     

成渝经济区作为西部增长极的SWOT分析

成渝经济区是长江上游的经济核心,其实质是以重庆、成都两市为中心,由重庆城市群、成都都市圈、成内（遂）渝经济带、成德绵城市带以及川南城市群组成的成渝城市集群。文章在成渝经济区作为西部增长极的背景下,对该经济区进行SWOT分析,以便更好地实现它的战略意义,促进西部乃至中国经济发展的作用得以充分发挥。     

Dependence on External Finance: An Inherent Industry Characteristic?

Rajan and Zingales (1998) use U.S. Compustat firm data for the 1980s to obtain measures of manufacturing sectors’ Dependence on External Finance (DEF). They take any differences in these measures to be structural/technological and thus applicable to other countries. Their joint assumptions about how to obtain representative values of DEF by sector and about why these values differ fundamentally have been adopted in additional studies seeking to show that sectors benefit unequally from a country’s level of financial development. However, the assumptions as such have not been examined. The present study, conducted with cyclically adjusted annual measures of DEF derived from U.S. industry data for 1977–1997, attempts to do so using data that are aggregated by sector.     

西部地区R＆D投入与经济增长关系的协整分析

R＆D投入与经济增长是一个经济系统中相互作用的两个方面。文章利用1998—2007年西部各地区R＆D投入与经济增长（GDP）的年度数据,研究西部地区R＆D投入与经济增长之间的互动关系。实证研究结果表明,西部地区R＆D投入与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的关系（即协整关系）;同时,Granger因果关系检验也表明,R＆D投入和GDP之间存在双向因果关系,互相促进效应的显现存在不同的滞后期。     

中俄经济外交战略与两国经贸关系之比较

冷战结束后,经济外交凭借经济性、和平式和高效率的特点,被许多国家、政府和组织运用到对外政策当中。中俄两国在发展国内经济和摆脱国际经济困境的双重考验下,选择和采用了经济外交,并不断扩展和充实经济外交的目标。经济外交为两国经贸关系的发展提供了机遇和挑战,而中俄经贸关系的深入发展也促进了两国经济外交战略目标的实现。但从对外贸易的角度来看,尽管中俄两国在彼此经济外交战略中的地位很重要,且这种重要性有进一步上升的趋势,但并不居于首要地位,经济外交仅是两国处理国家关系的一个手段,是总体外交的一个组成部分。同时,一些现实因素也影响着两国运用经济外交发展两国经贸关系。