深圳境外项目人民币贷款业务发展现状、存在问题及建议

按照《国务院关于支持深圳前海深港现代服务合作区开发开放有关政策的批复》中"支持设立在前海的银行机构发放境外项目人民币贷款"的重要指示。深圳中支党委深刻领会《中国人民银行关于境内银行业金融机构境外项目人民币贷款的指导意见》(银发〔2011〕     

农民“贷款难”的成因和对策建议

"三农"问题和新农村建设是近年"两会"的热点话题之一,其核心目标是富农,当前多数富农政策和实践都离不开银行业的支持,而调查发现农民贷款同多数银行的信贷政策存在着距离,形成了"贷款难"问题,本文对此做出分析,并提出建议     

金融支持医疗体制改革的做法、难点及建议

医药产业是通辽市的支柱产业之一。近年来，通辽市银行业积极贯彻落实中央《关于深化医药卫生体制改革的意见》，切实加大对医疗事业的信贷支持力度，有效促进了辖区医药卫生体制的深化改革。截至2011年末，辖内银行业机构发放医药类贷款余额14762万元，其中：发放各类医院贷款10247万元，医药生产企业贷款1815万元，医药销售企业贷款2700万元。调查发现，由于医疗体制改革仍处在不断探索与完善阶段，政策上还有待完善，加之医疗领域固有的体制机制并未被完全打破，致使银行业支持医疗体制改革仍面临较多难点。     

河北省银行业涉农贷款现状分析及监管对策

当前支持"三农"发展成为河北省经济发展的重中之重,辖内银行业机构不断加大贷款投放力度,积极支持涉农贷款.河北银监局对省内部分银行业机构2010年涉农贷款完成情况进行了调查分析,对如何推进银行业机构持续做好涉农贷款工作进行了探讨.     

以互联网贷款为抓手破解小微融资难题

近年来国内支持小微企业融资的相关政策频出,但小微"融资难、融资贵"问题依然没有得到很好的解决。而日益兴起的商业银行互联网贷款则利用大数据技术等金融科技手段,为解决传统小微信贷业务中存在的痛点问题提供了新思路。民生银行作为银行业"小微金融"概念的提出者,也在互联网小微贷款领域率先探索,在小微3.0新模式下,争做线上小微金融领跑者。     

以管风险为抓手的银行监管政策

为了应对金融危机，近期以来，银监会积极引领银行业切实贯彻落实国家宏观调控政策，加大信贷投放，对支持国内经济回升向好。具体来说，去年贷款的增长速度是前所未有的，总投放9．59万亿，同比多增4．69万亿，增幅31％。特别是，第一季度平均每月发放贷款1．5万亿。至此为抵御金融危机的负面影响做出了积极贡献。由于监管政策的作用十分明显，一些人认为，银监会已经走向宏观调控前台。     

小微和“三农”金融服务市场的九大亮点

正最近几年,在国家政策的支持下,银行机构全面开始在小微和"三农"市场领域精耕细作,贷款规模和客户数量均呈现大幅攀升的良好局面。无论是在现代发达的城市,还是在偏远贫困的乡村,银行业针对小微企业、个体工商户和农户经营的特点,将国际上较为成熟和先进的小额贷款技术与当地的具体情况相结合。在融资模式方面,银行业积极与各界搭建合作平台,整合社会资源,创新出了一系列的金融产品和服务。     

支持小银行是破解中小企业贷款难的战略选择

中小企业贷款难是各方面非常关注的重要问题。本文认为,小银行是中小企业的天然盟友,又是银行业中的中小企业,二者"门当户对"。应从战略上高度重视小银行发展问题,明确"小银行也是中小企业"的地位,将针对一般中小企业的各项优惠政策移植到小银行,出台对小银行开展中小企业贷款的激励性监管政策,像支持中小企业那样支持小银行发展。     

扬改革风帆 谱监管新篇

2009年,安徽银行业在贯彻宏观调控政策、支持地方经济发展的实践中实现了又好又快发展,银行业监管事业谱写了新的篇章。全国首家全部由中资设立的汽车金融公司—奇瑞徽银汽车金融公司获准开业,创出民族品牌汽车金融公司新模式;全省组建农村银行突破29家,居全国第三、中部地区第一;全省银行业金融机构中小企业贷款增幅高出全国平均3．35个百分点。     

贷款损失准备金与资本充足率监管——来自日本银行业的实证分析

在以资本充足率监管为核心的国际银行业监管框架内,贷款损失准备金是影响资本充足率监管有效性的重要因素。本文运用向量自回归模型实证考察了日本银行业贷款准备金政策对资本的影响,实证结果表明:(1)银行增加贷款准备金计提在短期内会对资本造成负面冲击,而长期内却有利于提高资本水平;(2)短期内贷款准备金对资本的负面冲击向长期内贷款准备金对稳定和提高资本水平均衡调整的速度很慢,意味着贷款准备金政策的缺陷严重削弱了日本银行业资本监管的有效性。本文从日本银行业贷款准备金政策的发展进一步分析了实证结果的原因,并且指出我国实施资本充足率监管在完善贷款准备金政策方面的建议。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.