金融危机引发的企业危机管理思考

<正>全球持续蔓延的金融危机给世界各国企业造成沉重打击。就我国企业而言,也不可避免地纷纷出现订单下降、销量下滑、利润降低、出口受阻、裁员、降薪、破产、倒闭等现象,在外向型企业中尤为严重。但不要忘记,任何事物的发展都有内因和外因两方面的因素。外因只是条件,仅起     

Lessons from the Financial Crisis: New Rules for Central Banks and Credit Rating Agencies?

The US mortgage crisis, which has spiralled into what is now seen as the most serious global financial upheaval since the 1930s, has provoked criticism of the Federal Reserve for its failure to recognise, and act on, the real estate bubble. Credit rating agencies, too, have come under heavy fire for having actively contributed to the present crisis. Should central banks pay special attention to, and try to influence, the development of asset prices? Is statutory regulation of rating agencies required? If so, what form should it take? Is the European Commission’s recently issued draft up to its purpose?     

经济多重虚拟化的危机——来自美国次贷危机的教训

从原则上讲,适度的衍生金融产品有价格发现的功能,可平抑市场供求的波动,有利于市场稳定与经济发展;而过度的衍生金融产品会扭曲价格形成机制,导致投机盛行乃至形成市场的脆弱性与宏观经济的非稳定性。     

吸取金融危机教训推进资本市场健康稳定发展

本次金融危机充分暴露了西方国家金融体系的脆弱性、贪婪性和欺骗性,我们应对某些西方经济理论保持清醒的认识,树立正确理念,以有利于发展社会主义社会生产力、有利于增强社会主义国家综合国力、有利于提高人民生活水平的标准.构建中国特色的资本市场,发挥其融通资金、促进现代企业制度建立、优化资源配置、推动社会保障和商业保险发展、增加财富和拓宽国际交流渠道的功能,在这个过程中,必须处理好发展资本市场和防范风险的关系、宏观调控与市场机制的关系、发展创新与市场监管的关系,集合各方面的力量,共同促进中国资本市场的发展.     

The Potential for Tourism in Post-crisis Recovery: Lessons from Malaysia's Experience of the Asian Financial Crisis

The impact of crises on a national economy can be severe and it is essential that recovery is rapid and complete. This article argues that tourism may be an ideal focus for the recovery effort, as it is resilient and has many links into other sectors. Based on data collected from interviews with senior policy makers in Malaysia, the performance of tourism in four key areas is explored in the context of the Malaysian response to the Asian financial crisis. It is concluded that on balance, tourism is worthy of special consideration as a vehicle for post-crisis recovery.     

Beware of Financial Repression: Lessons from History

Intereconomics - As austerity policies are unpopular with voters and high debt levels are a drag on growth, several economists, most famously Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff, have suggested that...     

Vulnerability to a Currency Crisis: Lessons from the Asian Experience

Are currency crises caused by manias and panics in financial markets, or by unsustainable deteriorations in domestic macroeconomic conditions? This question is explored in the context of the recent Asian currency crisis. The theoretical concept of vulnerability is used to identify three early‐warning indicators of susceptibility to a currency crisis: rapid accumulation of mobile capital; domestic lending booms; and overvalued exchange rates. It is shown that the crisis and noncrisis countries of Asia may be distinguished empirically, using these indicators, over the decade preceding the crisis. This exercise provides convincing evidence that the crisis emanated largely from domestic macroeconomic conditions.     

治理金融危机的国有化行为分析

国有化及其形成的国有经济已经成为市场经济社会普遍存在的现象.西方国家在历次经济、金融危机的治理中,都不同程度地采取了国有化政策,其成效已经多次为实践所证明.国有化及其形成的国有经济存在于历史和现实的逻辑中.最近这次金融危机的治理历程再次显示,无论是资本主义国家还是社会主义国家,国有化政策都是熨平经济波动的重要手段,国有经济在稳定经济大局、促进经济发展方面发挥着不可替代的作用.     

Financial Crisis and Productivity Evolution: Evidence from Indonesia

We examine how the productivity of different industries changes over the course of a financial crisis by exploiting cross‐firm, within‐industry differences in productivity resulting from the Asian financial crisis of 1997. We show that the crisis coincided with dramatic changes in productivity and that many of these changes were sustained in the long run. In particular, an increasing number of industries experienced decreases in average firm productivity during the crisis and did not recover. Further, we find that changes in industrial productivity in the recovery period are driven not by increases in the productivity of existing firms, but rather by the entry of new firms and changes to the reallocation of market share. Finally, we find that foreign exporters' productivity was the least impacted by the crisis, suggesting that only access to alternate forms of both capital and international markets can help to smooth investment and maintain productivity over a financial crisis.     

社会保障财政风险与危机管理战略

我国正处于各种风险的频发期,给社会保障带来的影响不断加深,政府社会保障管理的难度也在不断扩大.在社会保障的常规性管理中贯穿风险意识、忧患意识、可持续发展意识,建立社会保障财政危机管理的核心价值观,是引领社会保障管理走向理性化、科学化的必要之路.以中国国情作为研究背景,探讨应对各种社会经济风险、自然灾害下的社会保障功能与政府职能问题,也从长期发展考虑,研究社会保障的战略发展模式,促使社会保障事业健康地发展.     

社会保障财政风险与危机管理战略

我国正处于各种风险的频发期,给社会保障带来的影响不断加深,政府社会保障管理的难度也在不断扩大。在社会保障的常规性管理中贯穿风险意识、忧患意识、可持续发展意识,建立社会保障财政危机管理的核心价值观,是引领社会保障管理走向理性化、科学化的必要之路。以中国国情作为研究背景,探讨应对各种社会经济风险、自然灾害下的社会保障功能与政府职能问题,也从长期发展考虑,研究社会保障的战略发展模式,促使社会保障事业健康地发展。     

全面财务风险管理思想对财务管理体系的影响

危机管理是现代企业管理的重要内容,分析全面风险管理思想和财务危机管理思想,将全面财务风险管理思想引入财务危机管理体系,不仅是对财务危机管理理论的丰富和创新,而且具有深刻的实践意义。     

Boom and Bust in Power Plant Construction: Lessons from the California Electricity Crisis

This article argues that competitive electricity markets are prone to the same cycles of boom and bust that appear in commodity markets and in a specialized industry like real estate. The article then demonstrates how boom and bust might appear in the western electricity system using computer simulation. A “business as usual” simulation shows that the west might be at the crest of a building boom and on the verge of a bust in wholesale prices. Without fundamental changes in the wholesale markets, the next construction boom would come too late to prevent a decline in reserve margins and the reappearance of price spikes. If we continue with the current market structure, we run the risk of exposing the western electricity markets to another round of reliability alerts and price spikes. The article concludes with suggestions for alternative market structures in California and a discussion of whether these suggestions apply to other countries engaged in electricity restructuring.     

Lessons For China'sMacro Economy from the Economic Crisis in Asia

Theextentoftheopeningofacapitalprojectforacountryisdeterminedbyitsbasiceconomyandfinancialsituation.shortterminternationalidlecapitalwillneverbecomethefoundationfortheeconomicdevelopmentofacountry.RecentlyIhaveoftenaskedmyself.whetherChinashoulddrawsomelessonsfromthesevereeconomiccrisisthathasaffectedsomecountries.Theanswerisaffirmative.Therearelessonsinthefollowingsixfields.Lessonone.Effortsshouldbemadetocontrolthestructureandgrowthrateofthetotalamountofforeigndebts.Attentionshouldbepaidtoi…     

综合优势、发展战略与金融危机——对“东亚奇迹”及金融危机的再解释

近十年来,关于一国或地区(尤其是欠发达国家或地区)应该选择何种经济发展战略的问题,在我国经济学界中出现了赶超战略论与比较优势战略论之争。本文提出了"综合优势战略论":在经济发展过程中,实施赶超战略容易造成"赶超困境",而实施比较优势战略则容易陷入"比较优势陷阱",只有实施综合考虑比较优势、分工优势和交易效率优势的"综合优势发展战略",才能够使经济持续、健康、快速地发展。"东亚奇迹"既非比较优势战略之功劳,也不是赶超战略之成就,而是实施综合优势战略的结果。偏离综合优势的经济更易于出现金融危机:赶超战略式的过度创新导致了源自美国的国际金融危机,而比较优势战略则引发了1997年的东南亚金融危机。     

由金融危机反思我国房地产金融系统

当前,我国房地产金融方面存在的问题,主要是信贷资金价格呈现双轨,融资机制脆弱,金融机构不健全,房地产信贷投资存在偏差,住房信贷交易费用偏高等.鉴于我国房地产业的发展现状和存在的问题以及金融危机的前车之鉴,应从以下方面采取措施防范房地产金融风险,即建立多元化的融资渠道,建立和完善房地产金融市场,防范和化解房地产金融市场风险.建立和完善住房抵押贷款二级市场的担保和保险制度.同时,积极鼓励大型房地产公司并购中小公司,推动行业整合,减少银行体系的系统性风险.     

金融阈值视角下的金融危机——从美国次贷危机看被漠视的金融临界点

此次美国金融危机是过度衍生和过度虚拟的金融资源危机,是全球经济金融发展的最大的不可持续,再次尖锐地考问虚拟经济与金融的本质及二者有无边界。金融必须尊重极限,仅用增长规模和财富聚敛作为衡量成功的惟一尺度,正破坏着珍贵的金融资源。通过生态阈值的警醒、逻辑斯蒂增长模型的提示,应该认识到金融发展和扩张同样有其不可逾越的金融阈值。面对人类贪婪而自负的挑战,次贷危机的爆发证实了金融临界点的客观存在性。沙堆实验、混沌论提供了理性认识金融阈值的科学方法,而确立正确的价值观是更为现实的道德标准。     

Seven Management Lessons from Microsoft

The software giant Microsoft is a mere corporate stripling. Yet around its formidable success lies an equally indomitable mystique. It is phenomenally successful. Few are bold enough to analyse how and why Bill Gates' and Paul Allen's bright idea turned into the corporate titan of our times. Until now.     

美国金融危机和亚洲金融危机起因的比较

<正>2008年下半年,由美国次贷危机引发的金融危机席卷全球,至今尚未见底。1997年7月2日,泰国宣布放弃固定汇率制,实行浮动汇率制,引发了一场遍及东南亚的金融风暴,1999年才结束,这就是亚洲金融危机。两次金融危机爆发前后相距11年。本文探讨了前后两次金融危机的起因,以期对我国金融业有所警示。