外资引入与我国产业安全问题研究

随着我国引资力度的不断加大,外资数量不断增加的同时,我国产业对外依存度节节攀升,控制力逐步被削弱,产业安全问题日益凸显。本文以第一产业为例进行了实证分析,指出引入外资虽然对我国的产业有积极的影响但是同时我们也应看到它的负面效应,外资数量不是越多越好,过度的外资涌入会不利于国家产业安全,要注重外资的质量和效果。     

MODELS OF REGIONAL GROWTH: PAST,PRESENT AND FUTURE

Abstract This paper presents an overview of various models of regional growth that have appeared in the literature in the last 40 years. It considers the past, and therefore supply‐side models, such as the standard neoclassical, juxtaposed against essentially demand‐side approaches such as the export‐base and cumulative causation models (as integrated into the Kaldorian approach); before moving on to the ‘present’ and more recent versions of the neoclassical model involving spatial weights and ‘convergence clubs’, as well as new economic geography core–periphery models, and the ‘innovation systems’ approach. A key feature of the more recent literature is an attempt to explicitly include spatial factors into the model, and thus there is a renewed emphasis on agglomeration economies and spillovers. Discussing ‘present’ and ‘future’ approaches to regional growth overlaps with the current emphasis in the literature on the importance of more intangible factors such as the role of ‘knowledge’ and its influence on growth. Finally, there is a discussion of the greater emphasis that needs to be placed at the ‘micro‐level’ when considering what drives growth, and thus factors such as inter alia firm heterogeneity, entrepreneurship and absorptive capacity.     

郑州区域性金融中心建设的问题与对策

金融业日益成为经济发展的主要推动力,郑州区域性金融中心建设也是推动郑州乃至河南发展的重要手段。郑州已具备建设区域性金融中心的经济基础和金融基础,但建设中还存在诸如金融业态不完善、资本市场发育不良、金融生态环境不良等诸多问题,因此郑州区域性金融中心建设还要在以下几方面做出努力:健全金融机构体系,建设金融后台服务中心,提升期货业影响力,健全资本市场。     

Public cluster policy and firm performance: evaluating spillover effects across industries

ABSTRACT

While the direct positive effects of public cluster policy on subsidized industries are beyond controversy, the impact of such policy interventions on non-subsidized industries within the same region, that is, the indirect effect of public cluster policy, remains vague and unexplored. This study examines the impact of a prominent public cluster policy in Germany, the so-called Leading-Edge Cluster Competition. Based on a unique dataset, we analyse the spillover effects of this cluster policy initiative on those firms and industries, which have not been the primary target of the cluster policy. Our results suggest that public cluster policy seems to have an indirect negative effect on firms that have not primarily been related to the targeted industries; therefore, the concept of ‘agglomeration shadows’ might also apply to industries and related firms. Despite the existence of knowledge flows induced by additional governmental funding within a region, non-subsidized industries, that is, non-targeted firms, seem to be unable to compete against targeted industries and, therefore, suffer from a lack of human, financial and social capital. Based on our findings, we propose policy recommendations on how to best identify policy instruments aimed at augmenting innovation-driven growth across a broad spectrum of industries and regions.     

金融产业集群与合肥区域金融中心建设探讨

金融产业集群加速了金融资源集聚,成为区域金融中心建设的重要基础.合肥应以金融产业集群为依托建设区域金融中心,合理利用合肥金融产业集群的优势,充分发挥其在合肥区域金融中心建设中的作用,以金融中心建设带动区域经济的发展,推动安徽在中部率先崛起.     

Does Trade Liberalization Cause a Long Run Economic Growth in Turkey

Based on ‘endogenous’ growth theory, the paper examines the effect of trade liberalization on long-run income per capita and economic growth in Turkey. Although the presumption must be that free trade has a beneficial effect on long run growth, counter examples can also be found. This controversy increases the importance of empirical work in this area. Using the most recent data we employ multivariate cointegration analysis to test the long run relationship among the variables in hand. In a multivariate context, the effect of determinants such as increasing returns to scale, investment in human and physical capital are also included in both theoretical and empirical works. Our causality evidence between the long run growth and a number of indicators of trade liberalizations confirms the predictions of the ‘new growth theory’. However, the overall effect of the possible breaks and/or policy change and unsustainability in the 1990s looks contradictory and deserves further investigation.     

广东省区域经济差异的探索性空间数据分析:1990～2009

本文通过运用完善的探索性空间数据分析(ESDA)方法对广东省21个地级市20年来人均GDP之间的空间相关性进行了研究.结果表明,各地市人均收入的空间相关性呈现逐年上升的趋势.通过计算局部空间自相关进一步验证了广东经济中空间异质性的存在,揭示了区域和地理单元间的相互作用在区域差异中的影响,最后对实证结果进行了成因分析.     

Divergent regional development, factor mobility, and nontraded goods

Using an endogenous growth model with learning-by-doing effects in the production of a traded good, we derive divergent regional-growth paths in a two-region-three-good setting. A nontraded-goods sector using a mobile as well as an immobile factor of production provides the possibility of a steady-state equilibrium with a dispersed distribution of mobile workers. The paper investigates regional specialization, trade, and migration patterns in the steady-state equilibrium as well as in the transition process towards the steady-state. The long-run production and trade patterns of the regions are determined by history-dependent processes.     

Investment in public infrastructure with spillovers and tax competition between contiguous regions

Two contiguous regions compete to attract a population of heterogeneous firms. They choose infrastructure levels in a first stage and compete in taxes in a second stage. We study the properties of Subgame Perfect Nash equilibria in this stage game depending on the extent to which the benefits of infrastructure spill over from one region to the other. First, we show that the presence of inter-regional spillovers allows jurisdictions to control for the intensity of tax competition and therefore affects the optimal levels of infrastructure selected at equilibrium. Second, by comparing the non-cooperative and cooperative outcomes, we show that the extent to which regions overinvest in infrastructures negatively depends on the intensity of the spillovers.     

对我国区际经济与金融差距关联性的实证分析

各区域间金融发展的差异对经济发展差距有无影响以及影响机制如何成为经济学研究的一项任务。以塞尔指标衡量我国经济与金融发展差距,发现我国区域间经济发展差距与金融发展差距呈现一致的变动关系,且金融差距大于经济差距。由此引出的基本判断是我国区际经济差距的逻辑原因有金融因素,进而采用格兰杰因果关系检验判断我国省际金融发展与经济增长间的关系,从中可以明确我国东部地区金融成长偏重于内生状态,而中西部地区更倾向于外生状态。考虑到改革的总体方向,并借鉴东部地区的经验,放松金融抑制、催化内生金融成长无疑是全面促进中西部经济发展的必然选择。     

高职院校财务管理工作创新研究

地方高职院校面临资金需求加大、资金周转困难、财务管理方式落后、资金使用效益低、财务决策科学性不强、财务人员素质偏低、财务管理职能弱化等亟待解决的财务管理问题,这些问题已经严重制约了地方高职院校快速健康可持续发展。我们只有创新财务管理理念、财务管理体制、财务管理方式、财务内控机制,提高财务人员创新能力,全面提升地方高职院校财务管理水平,才能满足高职教育事业发展对财务管理的新要求。     

A SURVEY OF RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN THE LITERATURE OF FINANCE AND GROWTH

Abstract.  This paper provides a survey of the recent progress in the literature of financial development and economic growth. The survey highlights that most empirical studies focus on either testing the role of financial development in stimulating economic growth or examining the direction of causality between these two variables. Although the positive role of finance on growth has become a stylized fact, there are some methodological reservations about the results from these empirical studies. Several key issues unresolved in the literature are highlighted. The paper also points to several directions for future research.     

Spatially blind trade and fiscal impact policies and their impact on regional economies

The evidence for the US suggests that spatially blind policies often generate greater impacts on regional economic growth and development than policies specifically targeted at regions on regional issues generally. In this presentation, attention will be directed to two sets of national policies that have been promulgated without due consideration of their specific spatial (regional) impacts – trade policy and fiscal policy.Drawing on research conducted for the US, Japan and Brazil, an examination of trade policies will be presented, using the experience of NAFTA in North America and MERCOSUR in Brazil. Some further analysis of experience in Colombia will also provide insights into the role of national trade policy and, in the case of Colombia, fiscal decentralization policies. The second part of the presentation will examine fiscal policy impacts mediated through regional business cycles; the experience of Japan and the US will be examined.The results affirm the important implications that national (spatially blind) policies can have on regional economies; in the case of Brazil, trade policies have exacerbated already wide differentials in per capita income across states.     

中国不同区域物流发展与经济增长的比较研究

目前东部地区,物流发展是经济增长的重要原因,而经济增长也对物流发展产生很大影响;而在中部和西部,经济增长对物流发展具有促进作用,但物流对经济增长的反作用并不显著.因此,提高中西部物流的现代化水平和物流管理技术将是中国未来中西部物流发展的关键所在.     

Can industrial agglomeration achieve the emission-reduction effect?

This paper adopted the Meta-constraints efficiency model to measure the environmental efficiency of the industry in China, and then used the spatial panel model to analyze the impact of industrial agglomeration externalities on environmental efficiency. The study found that industrial agglomeration exerted an apparent spatial spillover effect. Different agglomeration degrees and means may be matched with different environmental effects. With the evolution of agglomeration, the balanced effects among negative externality of scale (pollution effect). Marshallian and Jacobs positive externality (self-purification effect) lead to a U-curved tendency between industrial agglomeration and environmental efficiency. Therefore, with the increase of industrial agglomeration degree, the environmental efficiency first decreases and then increases. The effect of industrial agglomeration in the Midwest on the environment is mainly presented as a negative externality of scale, situated in the descending phase of the U curve. However, the effect of eastern industrial agglomeration on the environment mainly manifested as Marshallian and Jacobs positive externalities and was situated close to the ascending phase of the U curve. All regions should fully utilize the “self-purification” effect of the Marshallian externality and the Jacobs externality on emission-reduction according to the different phases of industrial development.