基于FCE的现役装备改装风险综合评价模型

对现役装备进行现代化改装,已成为装备发展的重要途径。与新装备研制相比,现役装备改装具有成本低、周期短的优势,但仍存在一定风险。分析了现役装备改装的影响因素,构建了改装风险评价指标体系。建立在层次分析法和模糊综合评价法之上的模糊综合评价模型,最后通过算例给出了模型的应用。     

现役航空装备改装论证的模糊综合评价

对现役装备进行现代化改装,已成为装备发展的重要途径。分析了现役航空装备改装决策的影响因素,研究了改装综合评价问题。运用层次分析法和模糊综合评价法,构建了评价指标体系,建立了模糊综合评价模型,最后通过算例分析了模型的合理性。     

基于AHP-FSVM的现役装备改造方案综合评价模型

利用新技术有选择地对现役装备进行现代化改造,已成为武器装备发展的重要途径之一。论文研究了现役装备改造效费评价问题,从改造决策的影响因素出发,构建了评价指标体系,运用层次分析法和模糊综合评判法建立了评价模型,并通过实例应用分析,验证了该模型的合理性。     

风险预警体系研究述评

文章从风险预警体系结构、指标体系、评价方法和政策四方面对国内外有关风险预警体系研究进行了述评,并指出了目前研究的不足和对未来风险预警体系研究的方向进行了展望。     

中国装备制造业产业链风险评价体系构建

目前中国已经跻入装备制造大国的行列,但是我国的装备制造业却位于全球价值链的低端,表现出"大而不强"的特征,这种简单粗放的融入模式给中国装备制造业带来了极大的风险隐忧,因此对中国装备制造业所面临的风险的测量、评估研究显得尤为必要。从产业链的视角构建适合我国装备制造业产业链风险评价指标体系,并利用熵权法对评价指标体系中的各影响因素赋予权重,为装备制造业风险评估提供了新的依据和基础。     

基于因子分析和突变级数法的建筑施工风险评价研究

利用因子分析法建立建筑施工系统风险评价指标体系,结合改进的突变级数法定量地对建筑施工系统进行风险评价和实证分析,最后提出建筑施工系统安全风险的管控重点和干预措施。     

我国通信产品出口结构优化策略研究

对我国通信产品出口结构的评价,可以采用多个经济指标作为标准。由于通信工业产品竞争力往往与技术水平联系较强,所以制定产品战略规划时,首先要采取技术导向策略,并从国际市场需求出发,有选择地进行技术开发。同时采取市场导向,注意避免短期行为,把当前利益和长远利益很好地结合起来。采取市场导向和技术导向相结合的原则是我国通信产品出口结构优化的基本思路。因此,我们采用以下指标体系来评价我国通信产品的出口结构。     

我国儿童高椅结构安全风险研究

我国已陆续实施“三胎”政策和配套支持措施,母婴相关产品,如儿童高椅的消费需求也将大幅增加。本文对儿童高椅产品结构类型进行了调查研究,并剖析了不同儿童高椅结构存在的安全风险,同时结合国内外儿童高椅标准对比研究,提出修订我国儿童高椅安全性能标准的建议。希望本研究能为提高我国儿童高椅产品质量安全,推动儿童高椅产业优化升级提供参考。     

基于模糊综合评价的零售企业供应链风险评价

供应链风险评价是对所识别的风险因素采取适当的措施,包括衡量潜在的损失频率和损失程度。文中从采购、库存、配送、销售和售后5个风险视角构建了零售供应链风险评估指标体系,运用模糊综合评价模型对企业供应链风险进行定量评价,在评价过程中采用德尔菲法来确定各指标的权重,并根据评价结果提出改进建议。     

装备制造业企业AMT选择指标体系构建——以黑龙江为例

以黑龙江省装备制造业企业先进制造技术(Advanced Manufacturing Technology,AMT)选择为研究对象,对黑龙江省装备制造业企业先进制造技术选择评价指标体系进行分析,采用因子分析法构建黑龙江装备制造业企业先进制造技术选择评价指标体系。全面、客观地评价黑龙江省装备制造业的现状,从而制定企业改造、技术创新、人力资源培训等方面的发展战略,意义重大,刻不容缓。     

基于主动性网络安全模型的探讨

与传统网络进行比较，主动性网络具有更大的优越性，它是未来网络的发展方向，而安全性是制约主动性网络迅速发展的一个重要因素。文中介绍了主动性网络的基本概念和主动性网络的安全技术，以主动信囊为基础，提出了一种适用于主动性网络的安全模型，该模型可以为主动信囊提供认证、授权等安全措施。能够在一定程度提高主动性网络的安全性能。     

Analysis of the effect of risk management practices on the performance of new product development programs

Risk management is receiving much attention, as it is seen as a method to improve cost, schedule, and technical performance of new product development programs. However, there is a lack of empirical research that investigates the effective integration of specific risk management practices proposed by various standards with new product development programs and their association with various dimensions of risk management success. Based on a survey of 291 product development programs, this paper investigates the association of risk management practices with five categories of product development program performance: (A) Quality Decision Making; (B) High Program Stability; (C) Open, problem solving organization; (D) Overall new product development project success; and (E) overall product success. The results show that six categories of risk management practices are most effective: (1) Develop risk management skills and resources; (2) Tailor risk management to and integrate it with new product development; (3) Quantify impacts of risks on your main objectives; (4) Support all critical decisions with risk management results; (5) Monitor and review your risks, risk mitigation actions, and risk management process; and (6) Create transparency regarding new product development risks. The data shows that the risk management practices are directly associated with outcome measures in the first three categories (improved decision making, program stability and problem solving). There is also evidence that the risk management practices indirectly associate with the remaining two categories of outcome measures (project and product success). Additional research is needed to describe the exact mechanisms through which risk management practices influence NPD program success.     

基于GSPN的装备器材供应链建模与分析

研究了广义随机Petri网（GSPN）的建模及分析方法,建立了基于GSPN的装备器材供应链流程模型,并将Petri网模型转化为等价的马尔可夫链,得出了供应链模型的主要性能指标,据此分析制约供应链的瓶颈。     

An Integrative Framework for Measuring the Extent to which Organizational Variables Influence the Success of Process Improvement Programmes

abstract    Studies on the three types of process improvement programmes (Continuous Improvement, Reengineering and Benchmarking) have appeared many times in the literature. These studies suggest that certain organizational variables act as enablers and their presence or absence can significantly influence success rates. Such studies have tended to examine companies where a single programme has been implemented. In contrast, this paper examines a sample of companies who have experienced all three programmes. Our aim is to compare and contrast each programme's impact on firm performance and identify which organizational variables are common and which are programme-specific enablers of success. We build and test an integrative framework to support our analysis. Our study found that: (1) Reengineering delivered the greatest impact on performance; (2) executive commitment was needed to make this happen; (3) strategic alignment was the major influence on the success rate of Reengineering and Continuous Improvement programmes; and (4) employee empowerment was necessary for each programme to work effectively.     

客户知识管理能力对新产品开发绩效影响的实证研究

本研究分析客户知识管理能力（CKMC）对新产品开发绩效（NPD绩效）的影响,讨论产品创新程度的调节作用,并探索组织文化和组织结构的驱动作用,提出CKMC对NPD绩效影响的概念模型。最后以制造业为调研对象做实证分析,结果表明：客户知识管理能力对新产品开发绩效具有重要显著影响;在中国背景下,信任和合作的组织文化有助于提升客户知识管理能力和新产品开发绩效;集权化和形式化的组织结构不利于客户知识管理能力的提升,但有利于新产品开发绩效的提高;中国的制造业的产品创新能力亟待提高。     

Factors affecting the nature and effectiveness of subjective revision in sales forecasting: An empirical study

Recent empirical results have indicated that sales forecasts obtained from a quantitative model can be improved through subjective revision undertaken by management. This study seeks to determine the extent to which the improvement in forecast performance is dependent upon the individual revising the forecast rather than the specific product under consideration. As any improvement in the forecast is a direct consequence of the adjustment effected, differences in the nature of revision among the individuals concerned and between different types of product are also examined. The results reveal no statistically significant differences between the managers involved in revision activity in terms of their ability to improve the forecast; on the other hand, significant differences in the number of forecasts improved were found between different types of product. As far as the nature of subjective revision is concerned, the results show a significant variation both between different types of product and between managers. Further, the improvement in forecast performance obtained through revision was found to be positively related to the relative size of the adjustment applied.     

基于耗散结构理论下企业产品技术创新分析与模型的建立

由比利时科学家普利高津(I.prigogine)针对非平衡热力学和统计物理学的发展提出的耗散结构理论,不仅广泛应用于自然科学,而且广泛地适用于企业,尤其是企业的产品技术创新。应用耗散结构理论分析企业产品技术创新和建立创新模型,对指导企业产品技术创新中实现突变与跃升有着独特的作用。     

国内外有关电子电器产品能效WTO／TBT通报分析

提高产品能效水平成为全球应对能源危机和达到各国节能减排目标的重要手段。文章从发布数量、成员组成结构和产品类别等方面分析了2007～2010年国内外有关电子电器产品能效的WTO／TBT通报状况,研究此类通报的特点和趋势,为企业应对待机能效壁垒提供技术参考。     

Optimizing Safe Routes to School

Safe Routes to School (SRTS) programs provide funding for infrastructure improvements that encourage children to use active transportation (AT) modes such as walking for travel between home and school. In the United States, the federal government distributes funding to states that can be used for SRTS infrastructure improvements. A Safe Routes to School Infrastructure Improvement Model is proposed that can help decision makers prioritize infrastructure improvement projects. This model is applied to the pedestrian network surrounding a school in Santa Barbara, California to demonstrate how it can be used to recommend specific SRTS infrastructure improvements that minimize pedestrian risk while accounting for funding constraints.     

The development of FFMD Pyramid: Fuzzy Family_Marriage Deployment as decision support method to improve human resources performance

Improvement action to human resource (HR) in organization plays important role in determining the success of organization. Many studies have been done to discuss on how the organization may improve their HR performance. However, not many studies yet discuss the level of improvement that organization shall taken appropriately. Identification of organization’s priority level of improvement seems found to be a complicated work to do in most emerging organizations. High intangible and invisible variables and attributes contribute to unclear situations and perceptions in the organization itself. The complexity and limitation in tools and techniques, make each solution taken is less efficient and effective. Therefore, this study will discuss the development of Fuzzy Family_Marriage Deployment (FFMD) Pyramid. FFMD Pyramid is a new method for decision support in organization especially for HR by equally deploy dimension and variable of family and marriage to quality dimension and variable in organization then identify priorities by considering the deployment value (crisp value) and fuzzy value (non-crisp value) as decision support for organization to plan and decide proper improvement action with proper percentage (%) level of priority of improvement action. As result, a concise and simple pyramid shall present an informative yet effective and efficient to the decision maker to support their better decision especially with regard to the improvement action for HR performance. In addition, the Family_Marriage value that utilize in this study may bring about a new perspective that decision maker shall consider to support their decision process especially for the HR improvement action.