组合型汇率避险方案

趋利避害是市场经济条件下,微观经济主体的自然行为,不存在性质上的是非对错。本文对各种避险方案进行的技术分析,既有利于扩展涉汇企业的视野,也对监管机构提出了需要思考的问题。     

组合型汇率避险方案

趋利避害是市场经济条件下,微观经济主体的自然行为,不存在性质上的是非对错。本文对各种避险方案进行的技术分析,既有利于扩展涉汇企业的视野,也对监管机构提出了需要思考的问题。     

应加大对汇率避险产品的监控

当前,一些商业银行开发推出了丰富的外汇市场产品,对于满足企业规避汇率风险和多样化财务运作需求发挥了积极作用。但避险和套利有时是难以区分的,一些新型汇率避险产品的运用规避了当前外汇管理政策,对跨境资金流动、国际收支和银行结售汇产生负面影响。对此,国家外汇管理部门应根据国际国内经济环境和宏观调控目的,对企     

新型汇率避险产品对跨境资金流动的影响

近年来随着人民币汇率形成机制改革的推进,我国国内外汇市场产品不断丰富。本文分析了当前新型汇率避险产品的主要运作模式。探讨了汇率避险产品对当前我国跨境资金流动及外汇管理政策的影响,并提出相关政策建议。     

警惕汇率避险产品风险

为全面深入地掌握商业银行汇率避险产品业务开展情况,外汇局河南省分局组织开展了对辖内外汇指定银行汇率避险产品的专项调研。     

警惕汇率避险产品风险

为全面深入地掌握商业银行汇率避险产品业务开展情况,外汇局河南省分局组织开展了对辖内外汇指定银行汇率避险产品的专项调研。调查发现,2010～2011年第一季度,河南省银行汇率避险产品整体的业务量是28.2亿美元,总量十分有限。这类业务主要集中在外汇业务量较大的银行。各银     

汇率避险产品应用解析

国家外汇管理局于6月25日发布了《关于印发〈银行对客户办理人民币与外汇衍生产品业务管理规定〉的通知》（汇发[2014]34号）。通知中的一大亮点就是鼓励在实需交易原则的基础上增加外汇产品,丰富汇率避险工具的运用。面对今年年初以来人民币汇率的调整行情,特别是人民银行扩大人民币兑美元日问波幅后汇率双向波动特点的显现,进出口企业对于各类汇率避险产品的需求也与日俱增。     

银行汇率避险产品对外汇管理的影响研究

人民币汇率形成机制改革以来,人民币汇率总体呈现升值态势,涉汇主体汇率避险需求日益强烈。它们已不满足于远期等单一的避险产品,部分外汇指定银行推出组合的汇率避险产品并迅猛增长,这类产品种类繁多,给当前的外汇管理提出严峻挑战。     

当前汇率避险产品需求情况调查

2010年6月19日,中国人民银行宣布进一步推进人民币汇率形成机制改革,增强人民币汇率弹性。汇改重启后,各类经济主体避险意识显著增强,对汇率避险产品的需求更为迫切。为深入了解外汇指定银行避险产品现状,无锡市外汇管理局组织力量开展了相关调研。调查显示:无锡市外汇指定银行汇率避险产品发展较为稳健,基本满足外向型企业避险需求,但同时受多方面因素制约,还存在一定的局限性。     

汇率避险新时代

人民币兑美元波动幅度的扩大,将直接提高人民币即期汇率的波动性,汇率的不可预测性会随之增加。对企业来说,未来需要更加深入地了解汇率市场,以更加精细化、专业化的方式来管理汇率风险。     

关于境内商业银行外币资金汇率风险管理的思考

文章试图为化解商业银行的客户外币融资需求持续旺盛与外币存款余额常年低位徘徊之间的矛盾提供办法和思路,即商业银行可以通过构建一个外汇组合提高自有外汇资金的收益,主动管理自有外币资本金汇率风险。这需要明确以下三个问题：构建此外汇组合的目的、评价此组合的标准和构建组合的方法。在此过程中,要注意兼顾风险和收益的均衡,确定收益核算口径和收益评价标准。     

Exchange rate exposure, foreign involvement and currency hedging of firms: some Swedish evidence

This paper investigates the effect of exchange rate fluctuation on a firm's value, the so-called exchange rate exposure, for a sample of Swedish firms. In contrast to previous results, using U.S. data, the values of Swedish firms, as reflected in the stock price, seem quite sensitive to movements in the exchange rate. Studying the cross sectional differences in exposure, the estimated exposure is positively and significantly related to the fractional of total sales made abroad and negatively related to the use of currency derivatives.
F30, G10     

Hazard rate for credit risk and hedging defaultable contingent claims

We provide a concise exposition of theoretical results that appear in modeling default time as a random time, we study in details the invariance martingale property and we establish a representation theorem which leads, in a complete market setting, to the hedging portfolio of a vulnerable claim. Our main result is that, to hedge a defaultable claim one has to invest the value of this contingent claim in the defaultable zero-coupon.Received: April 2003Mathematics Subject Classification: 91B24, 91B29, 60G46JEL Classification: G10The authors would like to thank D. Becherer and J.N. Hugonnier for interesting discussions and the anonymous referee whose pertinent questions on the first version of this paper help them to clarify the proofs. All remaining errors are ours.     

人民币汇率关注度初步研究

随着互联网的普及．网络搜索统计功能为我们研究汇率关注度提供了一个快捷、有效的渠道。文章基于百度和谷歌近期关于“人民币汇率”的搜索统计结果,对人民币汇率关注度进行历史、区域、人群属性等多纬度的比较,以期全面了解市场对人民币汇率的关注情况。文章指出,该统计方法能方便了解实体经济对汇率关注的真实反映,有助于探索汇率升贬值预期,选择汇率政策出台时机,合理推动人民币离岸市场发展和对人民币挂牌货币的选择。     

国际贸易再平衡与汇率政策的关系

全球贸易的不平衡,表现为美国急剧上升的经常账户赤字与中日等国家不断累积的贸易顺差之间的矛盾,并成为美国施压人民币汇率的理由。文章分析表明,国内经济结构、贸易方式甚至国际货币体系等因素部对国际贸易的不平衡构成重大影响,汇率政策不是国际贸易失衡的本质及唯一原因,也不是国际贸易再平衡的解药。寻求国际贸易再平衡的出路,关键因素不是汇率,而要从经济结构调整、贸易方式转变以及货币体系改革中寻求答案。     

Capital flows,exchange rate management and monetary policy

Capital inflows have brought substantial macro and financial benefits; at the same time, the size and nature of capital inflows have complicated macroeconomic management in recipient countries. Multiple concerns have produced multiple responses by countries to capital inflows. Countries have pursued a combination of policies – let the exchange rate appreciate, accumulate foreign exchange reserves, with or without sterilization, liberalize outflows, tighten monetary and fiscal policies and in a few cases impose capital controls on inflows either directly or through prudential regulation. Experience shows that there are no corner solutions and countries have to resort to a judicious mix of these policies depending on the prevailing circumstances.     

The pricing of exchange rate risk and stock market segmentation: The Canadian case

Empirical evidence by Eun and Resnick (1988), among others, has demonstrated the significance of exchange rate risk in the international asset allocation and they have noted that the risk is nondiversifiable. Yet, exchange rate risk was found by Jorion (1991) to be a risk factor that is not priced in the U.S. stock market. This study reexamines such counterintuitive results using data from the Toronto Stock Exchange. The evidence here weakly supports the pricing of the exchange rate risk. Further, the sample period in this study coincides with Jorion's to ensure that both studies examine the pricing of the exchange rate risk in the same global economic environment. The significant pricing of exchange rate risk in Canada and the insignificant pricing in the U.S. imply the possibility of market segmentation.     

The response of the Dollar/Yen exchange rate to economic announcements

The paper examines the impact of major U.S. macroeconomic announcements on the Dollar/Yen exchange rate. We find that these announcements are responsible for most intraday and day-of-the-week volatility patterns in this market and we identify the most important announcements. The initial reaction to a major 8:30 announcement begins around 8:30:10 and lasts until about 8:30:50. A partial price correction is normally observed between 8:31 and 8:32. Price movements after 8:32 are basically independent of those observed earlier although volatility continues to be higher than normal until about 8:55.     

European monetary arrangements: Implications for the dollar,exchange rate variability and credibility

This paper uses the recent history of the ERM to gain insights into what might happen to exchange rates on the road to EMU. to do this, the paper examines the variability of exchange rates, the transmission of monetary policy between countries, the role of the dollar in ERM exchange rate crises, and ERM members' credibility as measured by the realignment probabilities prior to the September 1992 crisis. We identify two factors that might have contributed to the September 1992 crisis: high German interest rates and weakness of the US dollar. We find that behaviour of exchange rates has changed over time and differs between ERM and non-ERM currencies. We also demonstrate that changes in German short-term interest rates influence interest rates in other ERM countries and vice versa.