外国直接投资、外国证券投资与经济增长:以中国为

文章以中国1982-2005年的统计数据为例,通过建立格兰杰因果关系检验模型以及Johansen协整关系检验模型,对中国FDI、FPI和经济增长之间的短期关系和长期关系分别进行了实证研究,并在此基础上得出相关结论和建议.     

外商直接投资对中国工业部门的溢出效应分析

外商直接投资的溢出效应是获得外国先进科学与管理技术的重要渠道。通过对外商投资对中国工业部门溢出效应的初步分析,得出在21世纪初,中国工业部门引进外商投资在总体上对内资部门产出增长起到了积极的促进作用,外商投资的外溢效应为正,但这一外溢效应的作用并不是太大。因此我国政府必须采取相应措施提高我国引资的质量,提高运用外资的效益,转变全国经济增长方式。     

Patents,foreign direct investment and economic growth in Australia, 1860–2010

We examine the long run relationship between innovation and economic development in Australia, using 150 years of data on patenting activity, and aggregate and sectoral economic indicators. Our initial results point to several important causal relationships, particularly the effects of patents on real GDP and of private capital formation on patents. We delve deeper at the sector level and find important causal relationships of patents with real foreign direct investment (FDI) since World War II. Australia's dependence on FDI for private capital formation served as an important stimulus for knowledge creation in key sectors including manufacturing, agriculture and mining.     

西藏利用外商直接投资的潜力与对策

自1988年西藏自治区开始引进外资企业以来,西藏外商直接投资不断增长。但目前西藏利用外资还存在规模较小、外资企业对西藏经济拉动作用有限、外资企业对当地投资贡献率低的特点。本文对西藏进一步利用外资的潜力进行了分析,并提出了西藏提高利用外资水平的对策和建议,以促进外资与西藏经济、资源、环境等协调发展。     

FDI、进出口贸易对中国经济增长影响的区域差异研究

本文采用中国东、中、西部的1993年至2007年的年度样本数据,运用协整理论和VAR模型等现代计量方法,定量分析了FDI、进出口贸易对东、中、西三大区域经济增长影响的动态关系。研究发现,东、中、西部地区的FDI、进出口贸易与经济增长之间都存在长期均衡关系;东部和中部地区的进口贸易均是经济增长的Granger原因,FDI和出口贸易仅在东部构成了经济增长的Granger原因;脉冲函数和方差分解也表明,在不同的区域条件约束下,FDI、进出口贸易对经济增长的冲击并无稳定一致的关系。     

FDI与经济增长质量的变化——基于分位数回归方法的经验研究

引进FDI对不同经济发展质量的省市的影响差异较大,现有研究的门槛效应不能很好诠释。基于1992-2012年28个省域面板数据采用分位数回归的方法,研究发现：①依分位点由低到高,FDI 对经济增长质量的影响呈先增后降趋势,说明FDI双门槛效应存在;②在经济增长质量的0.5分位点周围,FDI的技术溢出效应最大且最为显著,表明中等发展水平的省市引进FDI最有利;③FDI技术溢出效应呈现明显的区域差异,对东部影响显著,中部不明显,西部有抑制作用。     

Changing Engines of Growth in China： From Exports, FDI and Marketization to Innovation and Exports

This paper investigates the changing sources of growth in post-reform China. Using crossprovince regressions, this paper finds that, in earlier periods, exports, foreign direct investment and marketization were significantly related to per capita income growth, whereas＇ since the late 1990s, foreign direct investment and marketization have lost their significance and have been replaced by new sources of growth, such as innovation and knowledge, with only exports continuing to be important. This finding is robust after controlling for other variables representing other economic policies and provincial characteristics. We also tackle the possible endogeneity of innovation variables using the instrumental variables estimation method.     

How Does Corruption Influence the Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth?

Abstract

We investigate the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth in 130 countries from 1995 to 2008, considering the role of corruption in each country as an absorptive factor. The estimation results indicate that although FDI alone does not promote economic growth, it has a significant effect on economic growth if the interaction term between FDI and corruption is considered. Specifically, FDI has a positive impact on economic growth when corruption is severe, but a negative impact if corruption is below a certain threshold.     

Currency crisis and contagion: evidence from exchange rates and sectoral stock indices of the Philippines and Thailand

This paper analyzes empirically the recent Asian financial crisis by using high-frequency data of exchange rates and stock indices of the Philippines and Thailand. With time-series techniques, this study confirms that benchmark stock indices often fail to provide valuable insights into currency crises, but there is evidence that developments in some sectoral indices—including those of banking and financial sectors—seem to have caused upward pressure on exchange rates. Our evidence therefore confirms the importance of financial markets as a transmission channel during the currency crisis period.     

FDI与苏北地区经济增长关系的实证分析

本文依据协整检验和格兰杰因果检验的相关理论,利用1992～2009年江苏省苏北地区的经济数据,实证检验了FDI与苏北地区经济增长之间的关系。研究结果表明,FDI与GDP存在长期稳定的均衡关系,在短期,FDI和GDP互为Granger原因,而在长期,存在着FDI到GDP的单向因果关系。     

日本引进外国直接投资与经济结构改革

20世纪90年代中期以后，日本一方面加大了引进外国直接投资的力度，另一方面又开始了新一轮经济结构改革，这两方面存在着密切的联系。随着外国直接投资的大量进入，日本对劳动力市场、企业和金融制度、税收制度等进行了重大的改革。从未来趋势看，引进外国直接投资可能在日本经济结构改革中有更强的促进作用。     

外商来华直接投资与中国企业对外投资的差异分析

中国的引进来和走出去是发展失衡还是渐趋平衡?本文从投资规模、投资产业、投资形式和投资政策四个方面进行了分析。     

美国金融危机与亚洲金融危机的比较分析

2007年爆发的美国次级债危机,造成很多美国金融机构的倒闭,很快危机又蔓延到世界其他各国,引起了世界性的金融危机,致使全球的金融资产遭受重大损失。本文通过对美国金融危机和1997年由泰铢贬值引发的亚洲金融危机进行对比,说明在经济全球化、金融自由化的大背景下,经济发展过程中我们所面对的问题,并且指出这两次危机对我国的启示。     

China： Unscathed through the Global Financial Tsunami

This paper investigates the reasons behind the resilience of China＇s economy to the global financial tsunami. China ＇s economy is lowly leveraged in its banking, household, public and external sectors and, therefore, is less plagued by the global deleveraging than most developed economies. Chinese domestic sectors have improved significantly over the past decade, giving them larger capacity to cope with external shocks than during the Asian financial crisis a decade ago. Contrary to the conventional wisdom that China＇s economic growth is highly dependent on exports, we find that the main growth engine for China is domestic demand. Destocking, rather than falling exports, was the main cause of the sharp economic slowdown in China in late 2008 and early 2009. Therefore, the global economic slowdown should have limited impact on China＇s economy. We forecast a sustained eeonomic recovery in China in 2009-2011, with real GDP growth exceeding 10 percent in 2010.     

外商直接投资对张家港经济发展的效益及战略思考

改革开放以来,张家港从一个农业县迅速发展成为国际加工制造业基地,其良好的区位优势,优越的投资环境,便利的水陆交通网络和周边发达地区的经济辐射作用,使之成为沿江地区外商投资热点之一,外资成为张家港经济发展的长足动力。本文通过分析FDI与GDP、进出口以及资本形成之间的关系,进而分析外商直接投资对张家港经济发展的积极影响,并针对投资过程中尚存在的问题提出今后吸引利用外资的战略思考。