博客：庶民的胜利

Blog不仅仅是一个网页,还是一片领土,博客就是那里自治的土司。非官方日记只要摁一下粘贴键,任何博客都可随时“出版”自己的作品,很爽。 1998年1月17日,美国“无业游民”麦特·德拉吉就和平时一样爽了一下:“在最后一分钟,星期六(17日)晚上六点,《新闻周刊》杂志枪杀了一个重大新闻。这条新闻注定要动摇华盛顿的地基: 一位白宫实习生与美国总统有染。”     

官方与民间对历史书写的差异——以建文帝历史书写为中心

明朝官修 《明太宗实录》、 《奉天靖难记》 与私修 《立斋闲录》 等史书中对于建文帝的记载相差较远,甚至有截然不同的书写,这比较清晰的反映出官方和民间对历史书写时存在差异.对其分析讨论,可以更好的把握两种不同的历史书写方式,并为历史书写提供一些借鉴.     

伊夫堡：守护马赛的历史见证

漫长的人类历史发生过无数次的战争，随着时代的变迁，大多数战争遗迹淹没在历史长河之中杳无踪影，只有少数的城堡作为历史的见证，像一册厚重的史书在随手翻动的同时，让我们的眼睛一亮——法国的伊夫堡就是其中的一座。     

书写你的人生

设想有人给你一支钢笔，一支密封的、单色的笔。你看不出来里面有多少墨水，或许刚刚写了几个字，墨水便用完了；或许用它能完成一部或是几部永存于世、影响空前的巨作。动笔之前你无从知晓。     

高扬旗帜 书写历史——写在《乡镇企业导报》创刊20周年之际

伴随邓小平同志视察南方重要谈话精神创刊的《乡镇企业导报》已走过了风雨兼程的20年。20年，对于历史的滔滔长河和亘古的宇宙而言，这或许不过是弹指一挥间。然而，也正是在这20年里，我们见证了中国乡镇企业改革发展的辉煌成就，见证了中国农村翻天覆地的巨大变化，见证了中国经济社会无与伦比的快速腾飞。     

刍议人类历史科技发展单一性的尴尬

创造性劳动使人类最终脱离动物,科学技拓展了人们认识世界改造世界的能力,但科技在引领人类走向快乐新世界的同时,也将人类引入战争、灾难与道德失效的困境,究其原因,人类在发展一种技术时忽略了其制约技术的开发。     

参考文献书写格式

期刊 作者．文题．杂志名称，出版年；卷（期）：页码     

《20世纪看得见的历史》

20世纪是人类历史上非常独特的100年，这100年的历史不仅同以往一样有文字记载，而且还用图片、电影和录像带这些直观方式来记录、保存。在此，我们以这个时代最有说服力的图片结合客观的描述来直观、清晰地解读这个时代。     

许倬云：历史也有生命力

许倬云对亚洲增长方式以及西方企业制度的担忧是他长期考察人类历史的结果，在他看来，这些已并非只关乎东方或西方的孤立现象。[编者按]     

浅论延安精神历史意义及其时代价值

延安精神是我们党在领导中国革命取得胜利的过程中逐步形成并发扬光大的,是毛泽东思想的重要组成部分,对领导中国革命从胜利走向胜利发挥了巨大作用,在纪念建党九十周年之际重温延安精神,对于不断破解现代化建设中的发展难题,推动科学发展具有重要的时代价值。     

时代呼唤中国标准战略--打造"中国标准"是我们面临的历史任务

当人类跨入21世纪的时候，我国进入全面建设小康社会、加快推进社会主义现代化的新的发展阶段。在这一时期中，我国各行各业都在进行战略调整，继续深化改革，以适应经济全球化和社会主义市场经济建设。我国标准化界也在认真分析加入WTO后以及走新型工业化道路所面临的形势，按照十六大全面建设小康社会的总体部署制定我国技术标准发展战略。     

Record values of the Lomax distribution

In this paper, firstly an introduction to the idea of record values for a sequence of independent and identically (Lomax or Pareto II) distributed random variables is given. Some of the distributional properties of these record values and moments up to second order are derived. These moments clearly depend on the location, scale and shape parameter of the Lomax distribution and two types of estlmators of these parameters, based on a series of observed record values are presented.     

Interpreting the Global Temperature Record

Close examination of the global temperature record, together with other factors, does not support the global warming models' predictions – the thermal response to a doubling of CO₂ is likely to be 'remarkably small'.     

家族风云录

<正>长子:钦定继承人低调安分像“上尉”却当不成将军大儿子拉赫兰是此前外界最为看好的继承人。他今年31岁,曾在普林斯顿大学攻读哲学。1994年, 拉赫兰加入新闻集团。1999年,他接管了新闻集团在北美地区印刷媒体业务,随后进入新闻集团的管理核心,成为默多克家族继承人中最早成为集团董事的一个。拉赫兰·默多克目前担任新闻集团首席运营副官的职务,是新闻集团美国电视业务单元董事长和     

Forecasting Errors: the Track Record

This Briefing Paper is the last of a series of three about forecasting. In this one we examine our forecasting record; it complements the February paper in which we analysed the properties of our forecasting model in terms of the error bands attached to the central forecast.
There are many ways of measuring forecasting errors, and in the first part of this Briefing Paper we describe briefing how we have tackled the problem. (A more detailed analysis can be found in the Appendix.) In Part II we report and comment upon the errors in our forecasts of annual growth rates and show how our forecasting performance has improved over the years. In Part III we focus on quarterly forecasts up to 8 quarters ahead, and compare our forecasting errors with measurement errors in the oficial statistics; with the estimation errors built into our forecast equations; and with the stochastic model errors we reported last February. A brief summary of the main conclusions is given below.     

Times and Spaces of Homeless Regulation in Japan, 1950s–2000s: Historical and Contemporary Analysis

Since the late 1970s, Atlantic Fordism has seen rising homelessness and ghettoization as the ‘new urban poverty’ (NUP) (Mingione, 1996). Despite some similarities, the NUP in Japan has a unique rhythm and spatial pattern. In order to explore Japanese NUP, this article develops an interpretation of Japan's strategies to regulate poverty and homelessness during the last 50 years, paying particular attention to the spatial consequences of such strategies within major Japanese cities. First, I theorize long‐term economic growth patterns as a basic parameter of poverty and homelessness regulation and present a periodization of Japanese trends since the 1950s. Second, I analyze poverty in Japan and the transformation of national strategies of spatial regulation in the 1990s, when homelessness grew. Third, I examine the multi‐scalar processes through which new regulatory spaces of homelessness were produced in the 1990s and 2000s, when failures of post‐bubble crisis management ballooned in Japan. I argue that, through a dialectic between national/local rule‐setting and homelessness, the Japanese state fragmented the dominant scale of poverty regulation, rescaled the site of homeless regulation and contained homelessness in relatively autonomized cities. I conclude that, from the 1990s until the late 2000s, Japan's homelessness and its contradictions tended to be transferred to the spheres of urban workfare and urban policing, which I call new regulatory spaces of homelessness, that lie around the fringes of national social rights.