World economy

Prospects for early‐2019 remain downbeat, but the latest data offer some glimmers of hope that growth is beginning to stabilise. We continue to expect easier financial conditions and other policy support to trigger a modest acceleration in global GDP growth in the latter part of 2019.     

World economy

Although recent developments suggest that the risks of an escalation in US-China trade tensions have eased, we doubt this will deliver a significant boost to the global economy. We still expect world GDP growth of just 2.5% this year, the weakest since the global financial crisis, after an estimated 2.6% in 2019. But over the past three months, the risks around the forecast now seem less skewed to the downside.     

World economy

With much of the global economy now in some form of lockdown due to the coronavirus pandemic, we expect world GDP to contract by about 7% in H1 2020. Activity is expected to rebound sharply in H2, but even so the severity of the shock is likely to lead to a permanent GDP loss for the global economy. Over 2020 as a whole, we now expect GDP to shrink by 2.8%, compared to our forecast for a 2.5% rise three months ago, before the coronavirus outbreak became widespread.     

World economy

Global growth has tended to hit ‘soft patches’ at the start of recent years and some indicators are again pointing in that direction at present…     

World economy

Following estimated GDP growth of 2.3% in 2016 – which was the lowest since 2009 – we expect the global economy to accelerate this year. We forecast GDP growth at 2.7% in 2017 and then see it accelerating further to 3.0% in 2018, both 0.1 percentage points up from our previous projections from January.     

World economy

Following estimated GDP growth of 2.3% in 2016 – the lowest since 2009 – we expect the global economy to accelerate this year. We forecast GDP growth at 2.8% in 2017 (which is up 0.1 percentage points up from our previous projections from April) and then see it accelerating further to 3.0% in 2018 (unchanged).     

World economy

We expect the solid and broad‐based world recovery to continue, and still see a slight pick‐up in global GDP growth from 2.9% this year (up from 2.8% in July) to 3.0% in 2018 (unchanged from three months ago). This points to the most sustained period of robust global growth since the initial recovery from the financial crisis.     

World economy

The recent run of soft survey data suggests that an imminent rebound in global GDP growth is unlikely and that concerns about slowing growth and trade tensions may now be taking a toll on service sector activity. We still forecast global GDP growth to slow into early next year but while recession risks have increased, we do not see this as the most likely scenario. In both 2019 and 2020 as whole we expect global GDP growth to average 2.5% each year, the weakest rate since 2009.     

World economy

The global macroeconomic picture has altered significantly over the past few months in the wake of the collapse in world oil prices. Brent crude prices dipped below US$50 per barrel in early 2015, less than half of their peak levels of mid‐2014…     

World economy

Although uncertainties have clearly increased this year and pose downside risks to growth, the latest batch of timely activity indicators suggests that in the shorter term the global economy is resilient to these worries. Given this, we see global GDP growing by 3.1% this year and 2.9% in 2019, just 0.1pp lower than our forecast three months ago and similar to last year's 3% increase.     

World economy

2016 has got off to a shaky start, with sharp declines in global equity markets and renewed jitters about China and its currency. Recent asset market trends have prompted some observers to suggest a high risk of a global recession this year.     

World economy

The strengthening dollar is now becoming a significant factor for global growth and our forecasts. The tradeweighted dollar is up over 5% since the start of the year and over 15% on a year ago.…     

World economy

Further evidence that the global economy ended last year on a high note is consistent with our view that world GDP growth in 2018 will be around 3.2%. This would be a little better than the likely rise of 3% in 2017 and the best annual outturn since 2011.     

World economy

The dire economic data for the lockdown period confirms that the coronavirus pandemic has caused unprecedented and widespread damage to the global economy. We now expect the global economy to have contracted by over 9% in the first half of 2020, while growth should rebound sharply in the second half of the year, we now expect GDP to shrink by 4.5% in 2020 as a whole, much weaker than the 2.8% contraction we anticipated three months ago.     

哈尔滨市房地产业在国民经济中的作用

哈尔滨市房地产业在国民经济中起着承栽体的基本作用,同时在国民经济活动中起着联结生产与生活、影响公共和个人消费倾向、促进产业结构优化调整,有助于城市经济结构优化、提高城市集聚效益、提高劳动生产率、优化消费结构、调整社会关系产生的重要作用.     

从工业经济到体验经济的广州消费需求

人的行为存在一定的动机,这些动机驱使人从事各种活动。古代的中国人,将人类最基本的需要归纳为四件事:"衣、食、住、行"。本文以马斯洛的需要层次论为基础,对广州居民消费中"四大件"的变化进行分析,探讨消费需求的变化规律,以寻求中国设计的发展方向。     

信息动态

<正>胡锦涛访美定调中美新十年关系国家主席胡锦涛于1月18日至21日对美国进行国事访问,此次访美被视为中美关系新十年的定调之旅。有报道称,中美两国很可能在经贸等领域取得新成果,并扩大利益交汇面。美国国家安全事务助理多尼伦表示,美中双方讨论最为     

天下

<正>中国二季度GDP超日本日本政府8月16日发表第二季度国内生产总值(GDP)数字显示,日本次季GDP总额为1.288万亿美元,少于中国的1.339万亿美元,表示中国次季GDP规模已超过日本,仅次于美国成为世界第二大经济体。这是中国GDP首次超过日本,对世界经济和中国经济而言都是个重要的里程碑。在1949年新中国成立时,中国GDP规模仅为日本的约17%。