笔墨长河——周明书法集萃

<正>鹳雀楼记山川峻秀在鬼斧神工,名楼巍岸自天工巧成。而扬鹳雀楼名远播者,盛唐诗人王之涣也。白日依山尽,黄河入海流。欲穷千里目,更上一层楼。此乃千古绝唱,百世名楼。诗因楼而成吟,楼借诗而盛名。二者相得益彰也。登斯楼者,无不由然而生巍然壮观,极目千里之感慨。既而深思其理,人生何不亦然,鲲鹏万里,皆为有青云之志,骏马图南,方可成恢宏伟业。欲登高者,则须     

广州 生活

广州,中国会展重镇。当然,除了会展,还有生活。生活,则是丰富多彩的。初到广州,有两件事感触特深:一为天儿热,一为蚊子狡猾。广州的天儿很热,当然,是湿热,与北方的干热明显不同。3月的广州还很凉爽,进入4月,天渐热。行路,不到10分钟,衬衫前后都已经洇湿一大片,头上的汗水自不用提。天热也就算了,大不了多洗澡,早一     

横平竖直

横平竖直,乾坤朗朗。横竖不分,可以横行一时,可以甚嚣尘上,但不可长久,更不可成为流行横平竖直写字,方方正正做人。将行为准则与练字方法融在一处,是中国人因为汉字所特有的方法论。在中国遇到任何事情,先是道德判断,然后才是价值尺度。即使是在市场经济条件下,做人行事,也还是要堂堂正正,磊落大方。横是横,竖是竖,泾渭分明。国     

笑靥如花迎来无聊时代

正仅仅几天之间,话语分布就出现了大转移。马航那架飞机尽管还没找到,但已经不再作为悬念了。严肃媒体在上面的投入,瞬间就作废了,漂了水,汗了颜。南方大院内部兄弟杂志一本娱乐周刊,掀起了强劲的八卦狂欢,统治性地占据了所有的眼球。尽管我们这些人都不知道文章、姚笛、马伊琍什么来历。对了,还有一个马老头。明星太多,兼顾不过来,记忆缓存不足。事实上,借着事件,了解了几尊面孔和一些民情。且行且迭代。我也不想用娱乐至死的老调来感喟一番,痛心疾首一番。现实已经发生,人们是如此快捷地转移话题,愿意轻松,愿意消费隐私八卦,这无法改变。就像严肃的媒体拿不到什么广告,只配成为公关品。大量的费用都被投到娱乐明星、娱乐节目上面。图的就是一乐,乐活超过了所有人类的意图。     

黄山民间医术以细节取胜 八方弟子慕名来求学

有句话说,细节决定成败。没错,每个人的成功,每个企业的成功,往往都是一些细微的环节决定着命运。正所谓,千里之堤,溃于蚁穴。可以说成也细节,败也细节。汪新年从创办黄山民间医术之初,就开始践行这一道理,从理论课的讲述,到学员门诊实践,每一步每一个环节他都一丝不苟、细致入微,疑难问题他会深入浅出,想法让学员融会贯通,让学员真正掌握黄山民间医术。做到将来学有所用。只要学员有不懂的地方,他都会耐心地为学员解答。总之,他始终将学员装在自己心坎里。刘福贵和乔仁军是黄山民间医术的两位学员。一天上完理论课休息,两人愉快     

换条路未必好走

有一次和朋友去山中玩,山路崎岖,又刚刚下过雨,很难走。我们走到一个地方,寸步难行。我看到不远处还有一条路,就招呼同伴们去走那条路。没想到,那条路竟然把我们带到了绝境。前面就是高耸的绝壁——此路不通,我们只好回返。回来后,我们又顺着刚才的路走,走过最艰难的一段,前面竟豁然开朗。绿树葱茏,山泉叮咚,我们欢呼起来,真是"山重水复疑无路,柳暗花明又一村"啊!早知这样,还不如原来就坚持走这条路。     

话说“网络春晚”——一场盛宴的背后

随着网络应用的兴起,春晚越来越具有百花齐放的味道,不仅电视台办,网络也办,而且是越办越火。 正月十五一过,年就算真正过完了,人们也陆续回到自己的工作岗位。可是,躯体回来了,心似乎还沉浸在年味当中,没回过神儿来。说到春节,不得不提到春晚。现在,随着网络应用的兴起,春晚越来越具有百花齐放的味道。不仅电视台办,网络也办,而且是越办越火。     

再见马蔚华

英雄迟暮,壮心不已。一路奔波的马蔚华,如何总结自己的银行家生涯?初夏微凉,海水蔚蓝。背景是滩岸,此处是他乡。整理好西装,面对摄像机,马蔚华抬起左手,指向自己——"我来自中国,我是中国招商银行的行长。"通过翻译,这位时任中国第六大银行的行长对着电视镜头讲述往事。一如既往,他比画圈点着,逐字不误地演讲。过去多年,在国内的各种公开活动里,     

把商机留给下次

办公室老王看了档电视购物节目:主持人拿着一个数码DV机,摆划得相当卖力。从主持人跟前的题板上,他看到这款DV机的配置还挺高,售价才389元,他动心了。老王一直想买个数码摄影机。他去过好多家商场,但是看到那千元标价后都望而却步了。出门旅游时,有两次是借别人的。当他看到电视购物节目时,心想,看来这电子产品更新换代太快了,并且价位下滑也很快。半年前,售价千余元,现在不但配置高,还便宜。他用家里的固定电话订购了一台。按对方的要求,老王还留了手机号码。没过几天,送货上门。当老王接过那DV机,隔着包装盒,手里就掂着这件东西很轻便。当他准备打开验货时,对方说需要先交钱。老王想,早先就听说有网购笔     

“草”鞋大受欢迎的理由

维普是澳大利亚一家专门生产拖鞋的公司,由于生产的拖鞋质量过硬,款式新潮,几年来,营业额一直是蒸蒸日上。每年夏天是拖鞋销售中最好的季节。然而去年夏季,经理发现,跟往年同期相比,销售额不但没有增长,反而降了一大截。通过调查,经理了解到,拖鞋市场的竞争日趋激烈,每家拖鞋厂都在不断地突破创新,自己公司生产的拖鞋虽然质量过硬,但如果不能推陈出新,显然是很难再吸引消费者的眼球。于是,经理让设计师艾伦设计能够吸引消费者的新产品。艾伦为新产品设计而苦恼。一个周末,艾伦跟朋友去打高尔夫以放松一下心情。看到满眼翠绿的草地,艾伦多日来的工作压力得到了释放,全身心的轻松了很多。     

China ＆ ASEAN：After the Mutual Markets Have Been Opened Up...

From January 1 this year, China- ASEAN Free Trade Agreement tax rate will be implemented on some items of goods originating from ASEAN ten countries, and implement the third step of normal tariff reduction. After tariff reduction, the number of implementation of the Agreement＇s tariff rate will amount to approximately 6750, compared with the MFN rate, the average discount rate of about 80 percent.     

乌拉圭回合前后美国园艺产品关税调整动向研究

美国是世界园艺的生产和贸易大国。乌拉圭回合谈判前后美国对园艺类产品的关税进行了大幅度的调整,对其本国园艺产品的贸易及对外推广起到了良好的促进作用。笔者对乌拉圭回合前后美国园艺产品关税调整的动向进行了研究,以期对我国园艺产品的关税调整提供一定的政策建议。     

Evasion behaviors of exporters and importers: Evidence from the U.S.–China trade data discrepancy

Since the late 1990s, reported U.S. imports from China and Hong Kong have regularly and increasingly exceeded reported exports of China and Hong Kong to the United States. This discrepancy, which is not caused by re-exporting through Hong Kong, varies by product categories, and in some cases takes the opposite sign. In this paper, we focus on China's direct exports to the United States. Using a model that allows for simultaneous misreporting to two authorities, we find strong statistical evidence of under-reporting exports at the Chinese border to avoid paying value-added tax (VAT). The value of VAT avoided is estimated at $6.5 billion during 2002–2008, and the associated understatements account for approximately two-thirds of the discrepancy. We also provide evidence of tariff evasion at the U.S. border, in particular for related-party transactions, and indirect evidence of transfer pricing and evasion of Chinese capital controls. An estimated $2 billion of U.S. tariff revenue is lost due to such evasion during 2002–2008, which reduces the apparent size of the statistical discrepancy.     

美国反倾销贸易效应的实证分析

基于美国1998—2007年对外反倾销案的动态面板数据,应用一阶差分广义矩估计方法(SYS-GMM)考察其关税和反倾销对被诉国出口贸易和贸易份额的影响,结果表明:美国关税和反倾销措施在被诉国和被诉行业中都存在贸易破坏效应和贸易转移效应,其中,对中国反倾销的贸易效应最大;比较关税与反倾销措施对被诉国出口的影响,发现美国实施反倾销措施的贸易破坏效应和贸易转移效应远大于关税,表明反倾销措施已经成为美国取代传统关税控制进口的重要贸易政策。     

Welfare effects on the United States of a significant multilateral tariff reduction

This paper summarizes an estimate of the impact of a 50 percent multilateral tariff reduction on U.S. trade, employment, capital utilization, and economic welfare. In addition to calculating conventional measures of consumer surplus and revenue effects, the paper quantifies the economic adjustment costs faced by labor and capital-owners who are displaced by trade liberalization. Account is taken of both direct and indirect effects through utilization of the 367- sector U.S. input-output table. Some of the more interesting and important welfare dislocation estimates are highlighted on an industry-by-industry basis. In the aggregate, the calculated gains from trade liberalization dwarf the measured adjustment costs by a ratio of almost 20 to 1.     

从蜡烛反规避案与光纤反倾销案之比较看中国反规避法的缺失

反规避措施是国际贸易中的新贸易壁垒,是反倾销措施的延伸与发展。在石蜡蜡烛反规避案中,中国出口产品第一次遭遇了美国反规避法中的"产品轻微改变"与"产品后期开发"规则,而自美国进口的光纤产品在中国被征收反倾销税后,其轻微改变和后期开发的产品却没有得到有效制裁。因此,中国似需要尽快完善与出台针对国外进口商规避反倾销行为的具有可操作性的反规避立法。     

Closer Eye on Tire Dispute——An interview with Mr.Matthew McConkey,leader of Mayer Brown's Global Trade practice in Asia

On the night of September 11,2009, Barack Obama announced that his administration would impose punitive safeguard tariffs on tires imported from China. The The new tariffs, on top of an existing 4-percent tariff on all tire imports, took effect on Sept. 26.     

Exporting out of poverty: Provincial poverty in Vietnam and U.S. market access

Can a developing country reduce poverty by gaining increased market access to a large, rich country? The 2001 U.S.–Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) provides an excellent opportunity to examine this question as, unlike other bilateral trade agreements, the U.S. tariff cuts were not influenced by Vietnamese industries. Using variation in the structure of the labor force across provinces prior to the trade agreement, I construct provincial measures of U.S. tariffs. To address concerns over confounding trends between changes in provincial poverty and changes in provincial tariffs I follow two approaches: controlling for trends based on observable initial conditions and differencing away time invariant trends using pre-BTA data. I find that provinces that were more exposed to the U.S. tariff cuts experienced faster decreases in poverty between 2002 and 2004. Additionally, I document that the movement of workers across provinces is limited in scale, particularly for those with low levels of education. Finally, I show that the most exposed provinces experienced faster wage growth for workers with low levels of education, but not for highly educated workers.     

The U.S. Market for Power Lawn and Garden Equipment

The U.S. Market for Power Lawn and Garden Equipment equipment is expected to grow at 3.1 percent per year from 2004 to 2009, unchanged from the rate that prevailed from 1999 to 2004. JEL Classification L6     

美国经济波动影响中国经济的国际传导机制分析

作为世界上最大经济体的美国,其经济波动必然会对其它国家产生影响。利用1999—2009年的季度数据,运用向量自回归(VAR)模型以及H—P滤波分析法,研究发现:中国对美国出口贸易对中美经济波动经过半年的传导时滞后,会有明显的传导作用,并且大约持续一年半左右,之后的传导作用并不明显;中国从美国进口贸易对中美经济波动的传导作用会有一年的传导时滞,之后会有为期半年的传导作用,但其传导作用明显低于中国对美国出口贸易的传导作用;美国对华直接投资和中国对美直接投资对中美经济波动的传导作用无论在短期还是在长期都不显著。