主权财富基金对外直接投资的选择

针对主权财富基金对外直接投资的选择问题,提出从行业和企业两个层面对值得入股的国内企业进行选择。首先论述了主权财富基金在对外直接投资时进行行业选择的思路,分析了我国主权财富基金对外直接投资的行业战略,进一步确定了行业组合的优先次序;然后针对所选行业中的国内上市公司,运用DEA模型对其进行了效率评价,最终确定主权财富基金的国内企业选择。     

谈主权财富基金与西方投资保护措施

主权财富基金迅速崛起,成为全球资本市场上的重要一员,同时也引发了投资保护主义抬头.简要分析了投资保护主义的趋势和美国、德国采取的投资保护措施,提出了我国发展主权财富基金的若干建议.     

重大自然灾害资金筹措及其配置问题研究——源于汶川地震灾害的思考

5·12汶川地震给受灾地区人民生命财产造成了巨大损失,灾难过后,国家迅速筹措各方资金投入应急救灾、安置和灾后重建工作。赈灾筹资渠道应以国家财政角度、金融信贷角度、社会捐赠三方面为主,对赈灾资金筹措必须进行科学管理,完善管理办法。要充分发挥社会舆论监督作用,并从思想上正确认识各种筹资渠道在不同时期的主辅关系和作用,从而适时调整赈灾资金筹措策略和重点,实现赈灾资金筹措与需求的合理匹配。     

构建中的主权财富基金国际规则

活跃的主权财富基金(SWFs)在投资接受国中引起了怀疑与不安。各国的投资保护主义在一些国家的投资政策和立法中有所加强。本文介绍了国际货币基金组织(IMF)和经合组织(OECD)制定的有关SWFs和投资政策的国际准则,追踪国际投资制度的发展变化,研究SWFs国际规制的制度环境,思考我国主权财富基金(CIC)发展的应对之策。     

略论中国主权财富基金的战略选择

中国具有强大的外汇储备支持,人民币国际化趋势显著,加之中国对碳金融发展的重视,中国主权财富基金面临的发展机遇优势明显。在全球产业转移活跃、世界经济政治格局多极化趋势明显的状况下,中国主权财富基金投资战略应向以下三方面发展,即环境、资源、人力配备,其中环境是投资战略的基础,资源是投资战略的核心,人力配备是投资战略可持续的保障。     

Are Asian Sovereign Wealth Funds Different?

Sovereign wealth funds have become a prominent feature of the international financial landscape. However, legitimate concerns have been raised about these funds. Many of those concerns can be addressed via increased accountability and transparency by the funds. The Santiago Principles are a good start in doing so. My sovereign wealth funds scoreboard points to areas where these Principles can be improved. At the same time, the OECD effort to address concerns from the host‐country side has not resulted in the erection of new barriers to that form of cross‐border investment, but the OECD failed to reverse the creeping financial protectionism of the past decade. Because of their size and the source of their funding, some Asian funds stand out. As a result, those funds will be held to a higher standard of accountability and transparency.     

挪威主权财富基金——政府全球养老基金的投资模式

挪威的主权财富基金成立较早,其投资运作堪称业内的典范。全面地分析总结了挪威主权财富基金一政府全球养老基金的投资模式。挪威政府全球养老基金在建立投资管理框架,注重公司治理制度的改进,适度放松对单一公司持有的最高股权比例,构建基金基准组合,进行全球范围的资产配置,将指数化管理与积极管理相结合,由内外部经理共同管理基金,完善基金的再平衡机制,定期公布投资绩效等方面的经验,值得中国中投公司学习借鉴。     

主权财富基金、外汇储备管理与货币政策有效性

中国主权财富基金——中国投资公司的资产负债安排对国内银行体系流动性以及货币政策有效性具有负面影响。必须改革我国外汇储备管理体制:一是财政部应该介入外汇储备的管理;二是赋予中央银行更大的独立性,自主决定购买政府债券的时机和规模,切断外汇储备与银行体系流动性之间的对应关系。     

中国主权财富基金的投资绩效研究

本文利用事件研究法（event study）实证研究了中国主权财富基金的投资绩效。在整理中国四家主权财富基金2007年12月-2010年6月进行的28项国内外上市公司投资数据的基础上,通过计算平均异常收益（AAR）和累积平均异常收益（CAAR）等指标,对目标公司在投资宣布日附近的股价异常波动情况进行估计和检验。同时,利用长期效应度量方法来度量中国主权财富基金投资行为的长期绩效。     

青海省灾害环境区划初探

以青海省现行综合自然区划和经济区划为基础,强调了青海省灾害环境区划的多因素性、复杂性和综合性,在区划思路和区划原则的指导下,对青海省灾害环境区划方案进行了初探。     

Paradox of plenty: Norway’s macroeconomic policy dilemmas during the oil price crash, 2014-15

Norway, a country at the top of global rankings in terms of gross domestic product (GDP) per capita and human development was also in an enviable position with large current account and fiscal surpluses, as well as a massive stock of public assets. Then came a shock; between June 2014 and early 2016 oil prices tumbled by more than 70 percent. As a major oil exporter, Norway’s current account was severely impacted but could this actually draw Norway into a macroeconomic crisis? Couldn’t it just fund its way out of the contractionary pressures building up in the economy using its stock of foreign currency reserves being held in a sovereign wealth fund? This article explores the fiscal and monetary policy challenges that Norway faced in preempting falling GDP growth and rising unemployment while at the same time, warding off a housing bubble going bust.     

主权财富基金与世界经济失衡的互动关系探析

主权财富基金与世界经济失衡之间存在复杂的互动关系,世界经济失衡的加剧为主权财富基金提供了巨额的剩余外汇储备,因此主权财富基金的兴起是世界经济失衡的产物。稳定型主权财富基金将新兴经济体大量的剩余外汇储备主要以购买国债的形式流回了美国,对增强世界经济失衡的持续性发挥了重要作用;\"高收益、高风险\"的战略型主权财富基金将使得那些原本流入美国国债市场的外汇储备转向日本、欧洲、新兴国家等风险资产市场,从多种途径对世界经济失衡的调整做出贡献。     

The Elephant In The Ground: Managing Oil And Sovereign Wealth

One of the most important developments in international finance and resource economics in the past twenty years is the rapid and widespread emergence of the $6 trillion sovereign wealth fund industry. Oil exporters typically ignore below-ground assets when allocating these funds, and ignore above-ground assets when extracting oil. We present a unified stylized framework for considering both. Subsoil oil should alter a fund’s portfolio through additional leverage and hedging. First-best spending should be a share of total wealth, and any unhedgeable volatility must be managed by precautionary savings. If oil prices are pro-cyclical, oil should be extracted faster than the Hotelling rule to generate a risk premium on oil wealth. Finally, we discuss how our analysis could improve the management of Norway’s fund in practice.     

State Capitalism Revisited: A Review of Emergent Forms and Developments

Even when the neoliberal ideology of the free market was more dominant than it now is, the state was involved in economic activities that could be undertaken by private firms. State capitalism takes increasingly diverse forms, including beyond direct, partial or even indirect ownership. This paper briefly reviews some of these forms without claiming to be exhaustive as the shape state capitalism takes differs widely across the institutionalized contexts of countries. We assess state capitalism using Polanyi’s double movement framework and argue that this framework needs adaptation to novel forms of state capitalism that include, e.g., state-owned multinationals and sovereign wealth funds.     

The distance bias in natural disaster reporting – empirical evidence for the United States

Whenever governments or international organizations provide aid in the aftermath of natural disasters, they typically justify this support by humanitarian motives. Previous empirical research found that media reports on natural disasters have a systematic impact on the amount of provided disaster aid. While this is unproblematic as long as media reports are unbiased and thus deliver an undistorted picture of the occurrence and severity of worldwide occurring disasters, systematic reporting biases would lead to distorted aid flows and perhaps other distortions like an insufficient perception of a region in international organizations. Based on data on three US news shows we show that disaster reporting is subject to a distance bias, e.g., the likelihood that a disaster is covered by the media depends on the distance between the country where the media are located and the country where the disasters occur. We also find evidence that besides the distance bias the state of economic development of a country and importance as export markets have a positive effect on the probability that US news shows are reporting on a natural disaster. As a result, international aid flows might be systematically biased and not distributed in line with the needs of the victims.     

Environment and Trade: The Relationship of International Trade and Environmental Policy

Followers of urban affairs and public policy have written much over the years about the rise of suburbia and development beyond older city boundaries in the US, whether such development is called urban, suburban, or ex-urban sprawl. Many researchers have focused on various issues concerning sprawl, especially on the unintended consequences that new development has had for municipal finances, neighborhood income and residential segregation, and transportation planning, among other issues. Over the last decade, a new area in the literature on sprawl has focused on how the “built environment” of residential areas can impact health and emergency services. We contribute to this latest set of papers on sprawl by trying to empirically estimate the impact of sprawl in metropolitan regions on the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s (FEMA) spending on “public assistance.” This assistance encompasses spending on debris removal, emergency protective measures, and rehabilitating or rebuilding of infrastructure, public buildings, public utilities, parks and recreational areas, in post-disaster relief efforts. In our exploratory analysis, the results indicate that urban sprawl is a factor in influencing the level of FEMA’s public assistance spending.     

A Novel Sampling Strategy for Surveying High Net-Worth Individuals—A Pretest Application Using the Socio-Economic Panel

High-wealth individuals are typically underrepresented or completely missing in population surveys. The lack of comprehensive national registers on high-wealth individuals in many countries challenged previous attempts to remedy this under-representation. In a novel research design, we draw on public data on the shareholding structures of companies as a sampling frame. Our design builds on the empirical regularity that high-wealth individuals are likely to hold at least part of their assets in the form of shareholdings. Based on data from over 270 million companies worldwide, we select all individuals who are both German residents and registered shareholders of companies. In a pretest, we interviewed 124 households from a gross sample of 2,000 anchor persons. Our analysis shows that values of shareholdings from register data highly correlate with individual ranks in the wealth distribution, that the quality of personal information, particularly the residential address, is sufficiently high for subsequent interviewing, and that the approach can fill a major data and research gap in the study of high-wealth individuals.