Incentive compatibility and the quantity-setting competitive firm under demand uncertainty

This paper examines the tie between the popular black box neoclassical quantity-setting firm under demand uncertainty and a firm with a rudimentary but explicit employee relation organizational structure in which workers are offered fixed wages for following management directives. Surprisingly, the quantity-setting firm unambiguously mimics optimal employment relation hiring and work rules when the contract is incentive-compatible ex post. The attitude toward risk is shown to be the key determinant of whether or not the quantity-setting firm replicates the optimal employment relation contract when ex post incentive-compatibility is relaxed.     

Cross-country catch-up in the manufacturing sector: Impacts of heterogeneity on convergence and technology adoption

We analyze how technology transfer from a leading economy affects followers productivity growth in manufacturing sectors and Gross Domestic Product. Allowing for heterogeneous technology levels we explore how this impacts rates of catch-up in labor productivity across manufacturing sectors and GDP for 16 OECD nations. Our results indicate that aggregate studies bias downward the estimated rates of catch-up. These rates of catch-up, as well as efficiency levels, also differ across countries. We find that institutional factors such as bureaucratic efficiency are important determinants of the estimated catch-up rates.First version received:October 2001/Final version received:September 2003Earlier versions of this paper have been presented under the titles of Cross-Country Catch-up in Manufacturing and Heterogeneous Rates of Catch-up in Manufacturing Industries. The authors would like to thank participants of the North American Productivity Conference, June 2000, at Union College, N, Y., and the Associate Editor for helpful comments and criticisms.     

The “Dorfman Steiner” rule

Conclusion When this research was started, it was guessed that the Dorfman-Steiner rule would lose its relevance in an intertemporal setting. This belief has turned out to be false: along the optimal paths ofp (t) ands (t), and must be equal. The only difference with the Dorfman-Steiner result is that they will be different from unity.The author is chargé de cours at the Faculté Universitaire Catholique de Mons (Belgium). He has greatyl benefited from comments by M. Beuthe and J. J. Lambin.     

Concavity assumptions in regulatory models and the capital waste controversy

Sherman (1992, 197) concludes that the wasteful use of capital [by a rate-of-return constrained monopolist] is motivated to avoid an inelastic region of demand. Previous analyses of capital waste by regulated firms often employ models with concavity restrictions on the profit and production functions. Here we demonstrate that these conventional assumptions in Averch-Johnson type models require demand to be everywhere elastic, ruling out the avoidance motive emphasized by Sherman. Although these highly restrictive assumptions are suitable for studying inefficient input mix, they are inappropriate when considering investment in unproductive capital.This note is based on the appendix to my doctoral dissertation completed at The University of Tennessee, Knoxville, and supervised by John W. Mayo. Useful comments were also made by Ross Eriksson of The University of Tennessee, David Kaserman of Auburn University, David Mandy of the University of Missouri, and an anonymous referee. All conclusions and opinions expressed herein are mine and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the National Regulatory Research Institute (NRRI) or any organization associated with NRRI.     

Constitutional “Rules” and Intergenerational Fiscal Policy

This paper analyzes the impact of alternative political institutions on sustainable fiscal policies. We study the choice of intergenerational transfers as outcomes of an infinite social security game among successive selfish median voters. Majoritarian systems accord the current median voter maximum fiscal discretion but no direct influence over future policy. This political arrangement sustains, among others, dynamically inefficient transfers and volatile, non-stationary sequences. Constitutional rules award to the minorities veto power over fiscal policy changes proposed by the majority. This unanimity provision is equivalent to partial precommitment. Under constitutional rules, sustainable fiscal policies feature Pareto efficient, non decreasing transfer sequences.     

International aspects of pollution control

Pollution is a by-product of production, is only gradually dissolved by the environment, and crosses national borders. The market outcome ignores the adverse effects of pollution and thus yields higher levels of output and pollution than would prevail under a supranational social planner which does care about pollution. In practice, governments often do not cooperate and this leads to outcomes of pollution and production in between the market outcomes and the outcomes under supra-national social planning. Absence of precommitment leads to lower emission charges, less cleaning-up activities and more pollution. Appropriate levels of emission charges under the various outcomes are a result of this analysis. Attention is also paid to investment in clean technology. The debate between optimists, who believe that higher production is compatible with sound environmental policy, and pessimists can be analysed in this way.Earlier versions of this paper were presented at the EAERE conference Environmental Cooperation and Policy in the Single European Market, Venice, Italy, 17–20 April, 1990, and the CentER conference Economics of the Environment, Tilburg, The Netherlands, 17–19 September, 1990. The paper has benefitted from the comments of the participants of these conferences, and particularly of the detailed comments of Henk Folmer and Ignazio Musu.     

Merger,Partial Collusion and Relocation

We set up a three-firm model of spatial competition to analyse how a merger affects the incentives for relocation, and conversely, how the possibility of relocation affects the profitability of the merger, particularly for the non-participating firm. We also consider the cases of partial collusion in either prices or locations. Under the assumption of mill pricing, we find that a merger will generally induce the merger participants to relocate, but the direction of relocation is ambiguous, and dependent on the degree of convexity in the consumers transportation cost function. Furthermore, we identify a set of parameter values for which the free-rider effect of a merger vanishes, implying that the possibility of relocation could solve the merger paradox.Acknowledgement We thank Jonathan Cave, Frode Meland, participants at the Royal Economic Society Conference 2003 and an anonymous referee for valuable comments.     

When does the share price equal the present value of future dividends?

Summary This paper discusses an explicit necessary and sufficient condition on the dividend stream of a publicly traded company, under which the price of the company's share is equal to the present value of the future dividends that will accrue to it. When it is not, the share price equals the present value of the future per share dividend plus the limiting per share value of the company at infinity. It uses a well-accepted generalization of the Miller-Modigliani framework, and assumes that the firm is an infinite horizon firm which may engage in repurchasing its own shares. It develops a proper dividend approach that can value such a firm for any dividend stream. The paper concludes by clarifying some remarks in the Miller-Modigliani paper.For helpful discussions and comments, I thank Laurence Booth. Mike Gordon, Robert Jarrow, Raymond Kan, Rajnish Mehra, David Quirin, and Rishin Roy. Support from Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada is greatly appreciated.     

On the Durability of King and Council: The Continuum Between Dictatorship and Democracy

In practice one rarely observes pure forms of dictatorship that lack a council, or pure forms of parliament that lack an executive. Generally government policies emerge from organizations that combine an executive branch of government, the king, with a cabinet or parliamentary branch, the council. This paper provides an explanation for this regularity, and also provides an evolutionary model of the emergence of democracy that does not require a revolution. The analysis demonstrates that the bipolar king and council constitutional template has a number of properties that gives it great practical efficiency as a method of information processing and as a very flexible institutional arrangement for making collective decisions.     

A model of technology adoption and growth

Summary We construct a model of economic growth in which firms adopt more advanced technologies. In order to advance its technology, a firm must make an investment. The size of this investment depends on the size of the technology adoption barriers in the firm's country Assuming a Markov chain for these barriers, we examine the amount of variation and persistence in the chain for which the model matches the observed output disparity across countries and the mobility of nations. Our calibration suggests a range for the size of these barriers of a factor five, and the presence of a barrier trap.The author is grateful to V. V. Chari, Larry Christiano, Javier Díaz-Giménez, David Johnson, Edward C. Prescott, Richard Rogerson, James Schmitz, and Javier Vallés for their comments. An earlier version of this paper circulated under the title of Economic Institutions and External Factors: Implications for the Replacement of Inferior Technologies and Growth.     

Exchange rates and perfect competition

The purpose of this note is to demonstrate that the commonly held belief that incomplete and perverse pass-through are incompatible with perfect competition is wrong! To this end, we consider two types of firms both operating in two countries. The demand sides of the markets of the two countries are separated and each type of firm produces its good in one of these countries. We study the effect of an exchange-rate change on the competitive equilibrium prices in each country. When producing for the foreign market causes the same costs as producing for the home market then the law of one price holds and an exchange-rate change is completely offset by price changes. Furthermore, when cost functions neither exhibit economies nor diseconomies of scope between producing for the home and producing for the foreign market then prices move in the right directions in response to an exchange-rate change. However, with general cost structures, even in this simple perfectly competitive model, perverse directions of price changes can result from an exchange-rate change.     

From “tax state” to “debt state”

The paper is motivated by Joseph A. Schumpeter's The Crisis of the Tax State. It inquires whether the buildup of government debt in peacetimeprosperity is a threat to the stability, existence or creation of viable tax states. The paper begins by setting out Schumpeter's conception of the tax state and the nature of recent political-economic events which have reinvigorated the concept. Next the paper sets out some simple debt dynamics and sketches a debt-induced business cycle arising from heavy reliance on debt finance in peacetimeprosperity. Finally, the paper assesses threats to the tax state in light of recent work on path dependence and positive feedback. An attempt is made to throw some light on whether the plethora of new, and often small, states spawned by the demise of communism can be viable tax states.Essay on Government, the Tax State and Economic Dynamics submitted to the Third Schumpeter Prize Competition.     

On the strategic inconsistency of the meta-rights approach

Among many attempts to circumvent Sen's impossibility result Gibbard's theory of alienable rights has attracted attention of many researchers. Basu's (1984) theorem essentially depends on a Nash-type equilibrium concept. In this paper we introduce an alternative behavioral assumption where individuals have conjectures about the responses of others and investigate the robustness of Basu's result under this new solution concept. We also examine a possibility of coalition formation and cooperation under the meta-rights approach.For helpful discussions I would like to thank Rajat Deb, Joseph Greenberg, and Shlomo Weber. I am also indebted to an anonymous referee of this Journal for many valuable comments.     

Dilution costs,underinvestment, and utility regulation under asymmetric information

This article addresses the problem faced by a regulated natural monopolist who must raise outside funds to finance socially desirable projects. We demonstrate that fair rate of return utility price regulation will lead to underinvestment incentives in the presence of asymmetric information between the firm and the capital markets regarding the firm's assets and future costs. This problem is especially severe when financing choice is restricted to equity. Underinvestment can be either completely eliminated by adjusting the allowed rate of return above the fair rate or reduced by switching to debt finance.Support from the Center for the Study of Regulated Industry at Georgia State University is gratefully acknowledged. We have benefited from the comments of Victor Andrews, two anonymous reviewers, and the editor, Michael A. Crew. The usual disclaimer applies.     

On economic disequilibrium and free lunch

There is a sharp disagreement between mainstream economists and advocates of energy efficiency as regards the potential for free lunches or no regrets policies to cut greenhouse gas emissions. From an economics perspective, the critical question is whether the economic system is — or is not — close to a Pareto-optimum equilibrium state. If so, it follows that most technological systems now in place are optimum, or nearly so, from an economic perspective. If not, there may be many sub-optimal technologies in place, with corresponding opportunities for very high returns on appropriate investments. This paper presents some of the evidence supporting the latter thesis.     

Economic calculation and the limits of organization

Conclusion The purpose of this paper has been to highlight some Austrian contributions to the theory of the firm and to suggest directions for future research along the same lines. In particular, Rothbard's argument about the need for markets in intermediate goods, and how that places limits on the scale and scope of the organization, deserves further development. This may be a more fruitful exercise than some work in the alternative Austrian traditions.Peter G. Klein is assistant professor of economics at the University of Georgia. He thanks (without implicating) Don Boudreaux, Jerry Ellig, Sandy Klein, Dick Langlois, Joe Salerno, and Oliver Williamson for helpful comments and suggestions. Parts of this paper were presented as Socialism and the Theory of the Firm at the Institutional Analysis Workshop, University of California, Berkeley.     

Innovation,profitability and growth over the business cycle

Recent debates about Industrial Policy are dominated by a concern to make firms more innovative. In order to make progress in assessing the magnitude of the effects of innovation on corporate performance, one needs to know how such effects occur. We have contrasted two views of the effect of innovation—the product view and the process view—and have provided some evidence to suggest that both effects are evident in the data. Although it is clear that individual innovations themselves have a positive effect on profitability and growth, it is equally clear that the process of innovation seems to transform firms in some way that gives rise to what look like generic differences between innovators and non-innovators. As a consequence, the process by which profitability and growth are generated differs noticeably between the two types of firms. Perhaps the clearest of these differences is that innovating firms seem to be much less sensitive to cyclical shocks than non-innovating firms are.We are obliged to the ESRC for support. Some of the work discussed here draws upon joint work with John Van Reenan, and we are obliged to him for his assistance and helpful comments. Jonathan Haskel also provided very helpful comments on an early draft of the paper. We are also obliged to seminar audiences at the University of Ulster, the University of Manchester, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, NERA, UMIST, University College London, the Centre for Economic Performance at the LSE and the Industrial Organization Conference held at Vienna, June 24–26, 1992, for many stimulating observations. However, the usual disclaimer applies.     

Policy matters. The long run effects of aggregate demand and mark-up shocks on the Italian unemployment rate

This paper estimates a VAR including labor productivity, real wage and unemployment rate, to identify the dynamic effects of technology, demand, and mark-up shocks, respectively, on the Italian labor market. Identification is achieved by imposing recursive restrictions on the matrix of long run multipliers. Our results show that both mark up and aggregate demand shocks permanently reduce the unemployment rate. Finally, technology shocks do not significantly affect the unemployment rate in the long run. These findings convey important policy implications: expansionary aggregate demand and deregulation policies reducing the mark up permanently decrease the Italian unemployment rate.Jel classification: C32, E32, J29This paper has been produced as part of a CEPR Research Network on New Approaches to the Study of Economic Fluctuations. We would like to thank Marcello DAmato, Mario Forni, Marco Lippi and Antonio Ribba for useful comments. We are also grateful to Bernd Sussmuth for pointing out to us several significant improvements to the paper.First version received: November 2001/Final version received: October 2002     

Strategy-proof and individually rational social choice functions for public good economies

Summary We consider the problem of choosing an allocation in an economy in which there are one private good and one public good. Our purpose is to identify the class of procedures of choosing an allocation which satisfy strategy-proofness, individual rationality, no exploitation and non-bossiness. Any such procedure is a scheme of semi-convex cost sharing determined by the minimum demand principle.I wish to thank Professors Salvador Barbera, Matthew Jackson, Herve Moulin and William Thomson for their helpful suggestions and two anonymous referees for their detailed comments. Conversations with Professors Hideo Konishi, Shinji Oseto Ken-ichi Shimomura and Stephen Ching were helpful. This work is supported by the Japan Economic Research Foundation and Research Grants PB89-0294 and PB89-0075 from the Direcion General de Investigacion Cientifica y Tecnica, Spanish Ministry of Education.     

Accumulation and compensation turnpikes in a leontief model

Summary The paper considers a model of an economy with after-effects: any production activity generates some subsequent expenses, like compensation of residual damages. Internalizing the after-effects in production costs at the time they are generated proves to substantially change the shape of long-term programs. It results from an interaction of two components corresponding to the conflicting goals: the fastest growth of production, and the most rapid decrease of residual damages. Each component has its own turnpike, so that the model has two dynamic equilibria. Respectively, shadow prices are a combination of two components: accumulation prices declining over time, and compensation prices that are growing. In some cases this may result in negative market interest rates.I am grateful to Ilya Kaganovich for many valuable discussions of the model, to Leonid Polterovich for a helpful hint, and to Robert Becker for encouragement and discussions. I acknowledge helpful comments made by Kenneth Arrow, Roy Gardner, Andreu Mas-Colell. The paper benefited greatly from the detailed comments of anonymous referees.