我国保险业在后危机时代的风险管理

美国次贷危机引发的华尔街金融风暴席卷全球,危机延伸到保险业导致美国保险巨头美国国际集团AIG由政府接管,金融危机使得人们更深层次地意识到风险管理对于金融业的重大意义。保险作为一种风险管理方式,其行业自身的风险管理尤为重要。本文借鉴国外保险公司的风险管理策略,并结合我国构建风险管理体系的经验与实际情况,提出关于构建我国保...     

我国机动车辆保险代位追偿清算模型研究

近期,我国机动车辆保险理赔中的"无责免赔"问题引起了社会广泛关注,随之而来的代位追偿案件也将引发保险公司之间的账务清算支付,但我国目前尚未建立行业统一的机动车辆保险清算系统。本文说明了我国车险业务快速发展过程中消费者理赔问题,分析了代位追偿及建设我国行业清算体系的必要性和重要意义,借鉴国内外金融业清算体系的成熟案例,提出了构建我国机动车辆保险代位追偿清算模型,为提高行业效率、优化保险公司之间的清算流程提供有力保障。     

Relate hospital charges to use of services.

Despite their constantly rising charges that provoke government regulators and insurance companies to impose "caps," hospitals and other health care institutions continue to use antiquated cost control systems. This author describes a new accounting system, based on the amount of care each patient needs, that has been in use at Massachusetts Eye and Ear Infirmary for six years. In this system, basic "clinical care units" (determined by a peer review process and in collaboration with third-party payers) establish the acceptable standard for a given diagnosis. With charges and reimbursement based more directly on the labor and services involved, hospitals can plan more efficient use of nursing staff and other personnel and services. Use of established norms for each diagnosis also helps staff and third-party insurers determine when hospital resources are being used most productively.     

The Organizational Structure of Insurance Companies: The Role of Heterogeneous Risks and Guaranty Funds

We examine a market with observably heterogeneous risks and a government sponsored guaranty fund and consider whether it is optimal to form a single insurer or separate insurers for each consumer type. Given the economic environment, pooling never dominates the formation of separate insurance companies. This result provides an incentive for the phenomenon of insurance fleets.     

我国商业保险在老年产业中的商业机会探究

按照历史经验,商业保险公司的发展与其所在经济体中支柱性产业的发展密切相关.为探索我国老年产业的发展将对我国商业保险公司的发展所可能造成的影响,本文首先论证了我国老年产业将成为我国支柱性产业的可能性.并在此基础上,从扩展保费收入渠道以及扩展保险资金投资渠道两个方面,对商业保险公司在老年产业中的商业机会进行探讨.并就商业保...     

Italian government debt and sovereign credit risk: an empirical exploration and some thoughts about consequences for European insurers

The current sovereign debt crisis in the Euro-Zone is a cause of major concern for European insurers. Especially the fears about increased sovereign credit risk in Italy??leading to higher risk premia??may result in major difficulties because many insurance companies have invested in Italian government bonds. Therefore, this paper examines the relationship between German and Italian government bond yields using techniques of cointegration analysis. Furthermore, implications for insurance companies and regulators (focussing on Solvency II) are discussed.     

政府购买医疗保障服务政策下商业健康保险的盈利模式

新医改提出政府向商业健康保险公司购买医疗保障管理服务的思路,为私营医疗保险市场的进一步发展提供了政策支持。但医改方案公布后,除人保健康进入这一市场外,其他公司仍举旗观望,提供该类服务的公司寥寥无几。这一困境出现的原因是保险机构对政府购买经办服务政策下,相关产品组合的盈利模式缺乏认识。对可得的有限数据进行分析,期望总结中...     

Relative Hedging of Systematic Mortality Risk

A number of problematic issues have arisen in anticipation of the potential role of molecular tests for genetic predispositions to illness in risk assessment by insurance underwriters. We argue in this paper that the regrettable history and current risks of genetic discrimination warrant a presumption that genetic predisposition status should not be used in any nonmedical contexts, unless compelling evidence can demonstrate that serious harm will result to third-party interests without such use. We argue that insurers should not be able to initiate testing for genetic predisposition. We also argue that there are many reasons to doubt whether patients’ test results will result in such serious adverse selection as to cause substantial harm to insurance markets, except possibly at higher policy amounts in life or disability income insurance. We conclude that the burden of proof must be on insurers to demonstrate necessity of use in specific cases in which test availability shows high probability of imminent, serious harm to insurance markets.     

银保合作的现状及政策建议

银保合作经过10多年的发展,银行网点代理销售保险产品业务渐已成为保险公司重要的业务增长点和销售渠道,很多保险公司的保费收入中,50%以上来自银保销售渠道,有的保险公司甚至达到70%以上。同样,在商业银行中,代理销售个人保险业务,已成为个人金融的一项重要业务,更是成为带来中间业务收入的主要代理业务。本文就当前银保合作的现状和问题进行了分析,并提出相应的政策建议。     

财产保险公司资产负债管理多维量化评估体系研究

良好的资产负债管理是保险业可持续发展的基石,也是支持保险业在日益复杂的风险环境中保持稳健发展、防范系统性风险的重要保障。近年来,随着我国金融市场发展,业务产品创新加快,保险业在资产端与负债端的业务结构和风险特征出现了新情况、新变化。特别是部分保险公司缺乏有效的治理结构,采取激进经营、激进投资的策略,导致业务快进快出、风险敞口过大以及流动性问题,对保险公司资产负债匹配管理、风险控制提出了挑战。本文介绍了财产保险公司资产负债多维度量化评估规则设计原理、主要评估模型和评估方法,针对财产保险公司的负债特性提出的沉淀资金匹配,在成本收益匹配中有机地将资产投资收益与承保业务综合成本进行匹配,在现金流匹配模式中打破了僵化的匹配模式,解决了长期困扰财产保险公司的资产负债期限不匹配的问题,对财产保险公司资产负债管理具有重要意义。     

Authors’ Reply: Forecasting Social Security Actuarial Assumptions - Discussion by John A. Beekman; Cecil J. Nesbitt; Krzysztof M. Ostaszewski; Gregory Savord; Richard S. Foster,October 1997

Abstract

This study provides an economic analysis of life insurance company expenses and develops a methodology for the construction of benchmark expense factors. These benchmarks can facilitate the pricing of new business, cost control within companies, and expense comparisons among companies. We derive the expense factors by estimating a cost function wherein total general expenses are modeled as a function of input prices and physical outputs, and the physical outputs are proxies for the cost drivers of the different lines of business. This methodology has two important advantages: first, the derived expense factors are independent of the methods that insurers use in allocating total expenses across lines of business. Second, the estimated cost function explicitly accounts for different degrees of economies of scale and consequently in the present value of marginal expenses across insurers. Hence, this study demonstrates that economies of scale and, in turn, size must be considered when constructing an expense table.     

Systemic Risk,Financial Crisis,and Credit Risk Insurance

Differing from conventional insurance firms whose underwriting business does not contribute to systemic risk, credit risk insurance companies providing credit protections for debt obligations are exposed to systemic risk. We show that credit risk insurers (CRIs) underperformed conventional insurance companies during the 2007–2009 financial crisis, and such underperformance is attributed to the greater systemic risk of CRIs. We also find that the credit spreads of insured bonds increase significantly after their insurers are downgraded or put in the negative watch list. We control for alternative factors affecting bond credit spreads and the result is robust.     

无锡新区:跨国公司业务代表谈如何面对WTO

不久前,在无锡新区国际咨询顾问委员会召开的第三届年会上,不少委员(这些委员大都是已在无锡新区投资的跨国公司亚太区或中国区的高级行政管理人员和长期以来始终关注无锡新区发展的国外跨国公司和投资咨询机构的高级管理人员等)就中国加入WTO与无锡新区跨世纪发展等重大问题进行了广泛、深入地讨论与论证。这些意见可供有关部门参考。本刊择其部分发言摘要刊发于后,以飨读者。     

Do Publicly Traded Property–Casualty Insurers Cater to the Stock Market?

This article examines the catering theory in the insurance industry. We investigate whether managers of publicly traded insurers pursue a growth strategy catering to the stock market's preference. Two hypotheses are tested in this study: (1) an insurer will devote more efforts to increasing premium growth when the stock market places greater values on growth, and (2) this catering effect will be more pronounced at firms where managers have greater incentives to maximize short‐term stock prices. We find evidence supporting both hypotheses. Our study discovers a new channel through which the stock market and executive compensation affect insurance companies’ business strategies and the insurance market. The implication of the interplay between insurers and the stock market is significant and deserves future research.     

2006～2009:我国中资与外(合)资保险公司经营效率的比较研究

2011年是中国加入WTO十周年.十年来,我国保险业对外开放程度明显提高,保险业步入了快速发展的黄金时期.截至目前,我国共有外(合)资保险公司46家,世界上主要的跨国保险金融集团和发达国家的保险公司已经基本进入我国.2009年,我国外(合)资保险公司保费收入458.02亿元,与加入WTO前相比增长了约4.7倍.本文选择...     

农村小额养老保险需求影响因素的实证分析

本文利用607户农户样本数据,基于Lewis的寿险需求理论和Logistic模型,分析了影响农村小额养老保险需求的人口、社会和经济因素。研究结果显示:尽管经济收入提高,大多数农户仍主要选择"自我储蓄养老"的方式,只有少部分农户选择购买传统养老保险。农村小额养老保险作为新型农村养老保险制度的有益补充,建议参照国外小额保险运作机制,通过政府搭台宣传并提供补贴,由保险机构采用专业化管理,以降低政府经营成本,实现农户、政府和保险公司的"多赢"。     

国外保险企业风险预警的理论与实践及对中国的启示

有效的企业风险预警,能够降低企业破产成本、维护相关利益者权益、节约行政资源、防范系统性风险.保险作为"经济助推器"和"社会稳定器",肩负着为经济社会管理风险的特殊职能,保险业自身的安全,对整个经济社会的稳定具有特殊重要的作用,建立针对保险企业的风险预警机制已极为迫切.本文介绍了国外保险企业风险预警的理论和实践,希望能对...     

Adaptation and change in the Australian life insurance industry: an historical perspective

In the wake of the deregulation of the financial sector in Australia in the 1980s and 1990s the life insurance industry has undergone a period of rapid change and reorganisation. Part of this adjustment has been the move towards the integration of financial service provision and the rise of bancassurance. This paper investigates the strategies adopted by Australian life insurers as they moved into the increasingly competitive environment triggered by the lifting of government restrictions on banking practices. It compares the approach of life insurers with that adopted in an earlier period of expansion and change. During the 1950s and 1960s an influx of foreign owned insurance companies into the Australian market precipitated the diversification of domestic life insurers into other insurance markets. The catalyst for change in both cases was the change in information costs brought about by the change in the competitive environment. The experience of the Australian life insurance market would suggest that there is a link between changing information costs and changing organisational structures. However this link is circumscribed by the institutional environment.     

Auditor quality,audit fees,organizational structure,and risk taking in the US life insurance industry

Using a system of simultaneous equations, this study examines the relation among external audit monitoring, in the US life insurance industry. We find insurers with higher leverage risk and surplus risk are more likely to use Big‐4 auditors and to pay higher fees. In return, insurers hiring Big‐4 auditors and paying higher audit fees have lower leverage risk and surplus risk. Second, the results suggest that mutual life insurers have a higher leverage risk and surplus risk than stock life insurers. This evidence is in contrast to that for property–liability insurance companies. Third, we find insurers are less likely to hire Big‐4 auditors and to pay higher audit fees after implementation of the Sarbanes–Oxley Act (SOX). Finally, life insurers with Big‐4 auditors or paying higher audit fees are more likely to take lower risks after the implementation of SOX.     

保险公司服务质量评价指标体系研究

随着保险业的快速发展和保险消费者维权意识的增强,保险服务质量得到社会各界更多的关注。本文通过采用专家意见调查法,结合保险经营活动实际选择评价指标并确定指标权重,建立保险公司服务质量评价指标体系,运用众多指标对保险公司服务质量进行评价,以期使评价更准确。通过开展服务质量评价,监管机构可以掌握各保险公司的服务水平并督促其提...