‘LONG SLOW BOOM’?: MANUFACTURING IN NEW ZEALAND, 1945–70

Many studies of post-war New Zealand economy are highly critical both of economic policy and of the business sector, emphasising protection, complacency and sclerosis. This article argues that such accounts are excessively simplistic and, by analysing the structure and performance of New Zealand manufacturing during 1945–70, suggests that there was considerable innovation in both technological and organisational spheres. The result was that, to a greater extent than current accounts allow, New Zealand manufacturing pursued efficiency and international competitiveness.     

Globalization and real wages in New Zealand 1873-1913

This paper reports annual real wage indexes for laborers and for workers more generally in New Zealand, adjusted for purchasing power parity, for the years 1873-1913. These data are used to include New Zealand in the debates surrounding international wage convergence. On the basis of time series tests we find evidence of an integrated trans-Tasman labor market. Productivity, the terms of trade, and swings in labor’s income share, rather than immigration, shaped New Zealand’s wage growth.     

Agricultural institutions, industrialization and growth: The case of New Zealand and Uruguay in 1870–1940

In this paper we apply a model of early industrialization to the case of New Zealand and Uruguay in 1870–1940. We show how differences in agricultural institutions may have produced different development paths in two countries which were similar under many respects. While in New Zealand the active role of the Crown in regulating the land market facilitated access to land, in Uruguay land was seized by a small group of large landowners. Our model shows that land concentration may have negatively influenced industrialization and growth by impeding the formation of a large group of middle-income landowners and, as a consequence, the development of a domestic demand for basic manufactures. We support this view with a comparative analysis of agricultural institutions and industrial development in New Zealand and Uruguay.     

京津冀地区制造业协同发展策略研究

制造业是我国实体经济的重要支柱，为进一步疏解北京非首都功能，实现三地制造业协调发展。以京津冀三地制造业在2003-2015年间28个规模以上工业企业的总产值为原始数据，利用偏离份额分析法计算产业结构相关指数指标，明确各行业产业竞争力差距，分析三地制造业协调发展情况。研究发现，京津冀三地有着不同的制造业格局，但专业化分工不明确，存在不同程度的产业结构重叠。为此提出有针对性的策略,为京津冀制造业协同发展提供新动能。     

MAKING THE COLONIAL STATE: DEVELOPMENT,DEBT, AND WARFARE IN NEW ZEALAND, 1853–76

Warfare in New Zealand during the 1860s has recently been linked to the rise of the central state and growth of the national debt in that colony. This article argues that any parallel to the growth of the European fiscal‐military state is misguided. The fundamental cause of state centralisation and rising indebtedness was the same long‐run dynamic of colonial development active in all settler societies during the nineteenth century. The colonial state functioned, in part, to raise capital for development, and if necessary the colonial state would be remodelled in order to achieve this. New Zealand was no exception.     

Government Policy and Industry Structure in New Zealand, 1900–1970

For much of the twentieth century industry policy in New Zealand has been torn between protecting the consumer while at the same time encouraging the growth of manufacturing. Early policy focused more on consumer welfare but with the Depression emphasis was increasingly placed on stimulating employment through protection and regulation. The Second World War fostered an increase in manufacturing employment that successive postwar governments, faced with balance of payments constraints, were unwilling to sacrifice for the benefits of a freer trade. The resource misallocation that resulted from such policies was subject to increasing criticism as growth rates were seen to falter. In the 1960s steps were taken to return to a more open and deregulated economy.     

Social democracy and market reform in Australia and New Zealand

Social democratic governments in Australia and New Zealand adoptedpolicies of radical free-market reform, including financialderegulation, privatization, and public-sector reform in the1980s. Because of the absence of institutional obstacles togovernment action, reform was faster and more comprehensivein New Zealand than in Australia. The New Zealand reforms wereassociated with increasing inequality and generally poor economicoutcomes. There is nothing in the New Zealand experience tosupport the view that radical free-market economic policiesare consistent with social democratic welfare policies or withsocial democratic values of concern for the disadvantaged. TheAustralian reforms were less radical, and were accompanied bysome refurbishment of the welfare state. Economic performancedid not improve, as anticipated by advocates of reform, butwas considerably better than that of New Zealand.     

基于偏离份额及其拓展分析法的湖南省制造业发展趋势和对策研究

为探究“十二五”和“十三五”期间湖南省制造业产业变迁,为湖南省制造业高质量发展提供科学对策,基于湖南省和地区五省份2010—2020年制造业细分行业数据,分析湖南省制造业产业结构和竞争力演变。运用传统偏离份额、动态偏离份额等方法,对2011—2020年湖南省制造业的产业结构和竞争力做了定量分析。结果表明,“十三五”以来,湖南省占绝对优势地位的制造业细分行业数量不断减少;竞争力逐渐增强,但产业结构还需进一步优化;三种方法计算出来的优势产业相对固定等。根据以上结论,提出加快制造业高端化、智能化、绿色化转型;合理高效配置和优化资源;加大研发投入,重视创新型人才培养;提高自主创新能力等对策建议。     

Trans-Tasman Transmission of Monetary Shocks: Evidence From a VAR Approach

This paper investigates the cross-country transmission mechanisms of monetary shocks between Australia and New Zealand within a VAR framework for the period 1985:1–2003:4. The empirical results indicate that a monetary shock in either Australia or New Zealand has real effects in the short-run in both countries however, an Australian shock generates more significant responses of most variables. Australian output is found to be significantly more sensitive than New Zealand output to monetary innovations in either country. The results also suggest that monetary innovations in a small open economy can also influence its larger trading partner.The authors would like to thank Faik Koray and an anonymous referee for their valuable comments. The usual disclaimer applies.     

Earnings Management under Price Regulation*

Price controls¹ have a major impact on firms' earnings and cash flows. Because price control regulation is costly to firms, it is a type of regulatory intervention that can impact a firm's accounting decisions (Watts and Zimmerman, 1978). Thus, regulatory changes that give firms relief from price controls provide incentives for earnings management. This paper examines discretionary accruals made by New Zealand manufacturing firms in response to two sets of regulations issued in 1971 and 1972. These regulations allowed manufacturing firms to apply for price increases to gain relief from financial hardship caused by the 1970 Price Freeze Regulation. Using a modified accruals mode! that adjusts for price-level movements, the paper tests discretionary accruals of two samples of manufacturing firms and one control sample of nonmanufacturing firms. The results provide evidence of income decreasing discretionary accruals by manufacturing firms for the years during which they could apply for price increases. The control firms do not exhibit significant discretionary accruals in 1971 or 1972. Also, this paper provides evidence that failing to adjust for price-level movements in high inflationary periods could result in inferences of income decreasing discretionary accruals where none may exist.     

Vampires to Skyhawks: Military Aircraft and Frigate Purchases by New Zealand, 1950–70

New Zealand’s relations with its main weapons suppliers, Britain and the United States of America, are analysed in this article. Until the 1960s, New Zealand’s armed services relied almost exclusively on British hardware. The Royal New Zealand Air Force and the army were converted to American equipment in the 1960s and early 1970s, but the Royal New Zealand Navy continued to purchase frigates from British yards. This article examines the interplay of financial, political, and operational considerations affecting major procurement decisions, like the acquisition of Skyhawk aircraft in the 1960s. Although the focus is policy, consideration is also given to relations between the New Zealand government and private defence contractors. New Zealand’s revealed objective was to maintain, at minimum possible cost, a force capable of taking part in joint operations with its principal allies.     

Import penetration and strike activity in manufacturing, 1961–77

Conclusion The model estimated in this paper shows that foreign trade has an impact on the industrial relations process in the domestic market. The impact of trade on industrial conflict, however, is not uniform across all manufacturing industries. Stratifying the manufacturing sector by net exports shows that where import penetration is a problem for the industry, labor and management have modified their relationship in ways that have reduced the incidence of formal strikes. When strikes do occur, however, the state of the economy is an important determinant of the action. In those industries where import penetration is not substantial, strike events are not influenced significantly by the state of the economy.     

THE SPEED OF STRUCTURAL CONVERGENCE IN THE MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES OF NEWLY INDUSTRIALISING ECONOMIES

We seek to identify the determinants of the speed of convergence in the structures of manufacturing to their steady-state levels as developing economies become fully industrialised. Applying a two-stage sequential estimation procedure to data on three-digit manufacturing industries for 45 mostly middle-income countries, we find empirical support for the hypothesis that production efficiency is a major determinant of inter-branch output share adjustment. This finding applies to many but not all industries. One implication for latecomers is that industrial policy must aim at rapid diffusion of core technologies to facilitate the acquisition of industrial capabilities in a diversified basket of exportables.     

专利与高新技术产业发展关系研究及建议

为论证专利与区域产业发展的相互作用关系,文章选择医药制造业、航空航天制造业、电子及通信设备制造业等五个高新技术产业专利发展及主营收入数据,通过相关性分析以及因果关系检验的方式进行分析研究,结果表明专利和五大产业的发展均呈高度正向相关关系,但只有航空航天制造业和医疗设备及仪器仪表制造业两个产业存在单向因果关系。最后提出增强专利对产业发展促进作用的相关建议。     

British Capital and Merchandise Exports, 1870–1913: The Bilateral Case of New Zealand

The Ford thesis argued that there was a short‐term causal relationship between British overseas investment and British merchandise exports in the late nineteenth century. However, economic historians since Ford have found little empirical evidence in support of this argument. Using data on bilateral British lending, this article finds that such a relationship did exist, with British ex ante lending preceding merchandise exports by 2 years. A case study of New Zealand, which had an extraordinarily high share of Britain in its imports, reveals that the relationship was conditional upon the lending being allocated to social overhead capital.     

INFORMALIZATION OF INDUSTRIAL LABOR IN INDIA: EFFECTS OF LABOR MARKET RIGIDITIES AND IMPORT COMPETITION

Since the 1980s, industrial labor in India has been increasingly informalized, manifested in a rising share of unorganized sector employment and the growing use of temporary and contract workers, and subcontracting in organized manufacturing. Using unit‐level data from the National Sample Survey employment–unemployment survey for 2004–5, the paper investigates econometrically whether labor market rigidities and import competition have been responsible for the informalization of industrial labor in India. The results of econometric models show that labor market reforms tend to increase the creation of regular jobs, while import competition tends to raise casual employment among workers with education levels above primary.     

Competition and productivity in Japanese manufacturing industries

This paper examines the determinants of productivity in Japanese manufacturing industries, looking particularly at the impact of product market competition on productivity. Using a newly available panel data on around ten thousand firms in Japanese manufacturing for the years 1994–2000, I show that competition, as measured by lower level of industrial price–cost margin, enhances productivity growth, controlling for a broad range of industrial and firm-specific characteristics. Moreover, I suggest that market power, as measured by either individual firm's price–cost margin or market share, has negative impact on productivity level of R & D performing firms. J. Japanese Int. Economies 19 (4) (2005) 586–616.     

基于终极产权论的股权结构与公司绩效研究

文章依据终极产权理论,对我国制造业上市公司股权进行重新划分,分为国有终极控制权和非国有终极控制权.采用面板数据方法,在控制样本选择偏差和股权内生变量的前提下研究股权结构对公司绩效的影响.实证结果表明,终极控制权比例与国有控股公司绩效CFOA、M/B呈显著的倒U性关系,而与传统绩效指标ROE、ROA无显著关系,在非国有终极控股公司中则不存在上述关系.流通A股比例与公司绩效关系不确定.样本选择偏差、机构投资者和外资股对公司绩效也有不同的影响.     

基于钻石模型的滨海新区制造业产业集群发展研究

天津滨海新区升格为国家级综合改革试验区的战略目标,是把以滨海新区为增长极的京津冀打造为环渤海乃至中国北方经济增长的发动机和最具国际竞争力的都市圈。本文借鉴迈克尔·波特的国家竞争优势钻石模型,构建一个地区制造业升级的竞争模型,并借助于这一模型对滨海新区制造业产业集群竞争力进行分析,从而就提升其产业集群竞争力进行了对策探析。     

Small firms and economic growth in europe

Economic activity in manufacturing industries moved away from large firms toward small firms in many Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries during the last two decades. However, the speed of this industrial transformation process has varied considerably across countries. This paper investigates the consequences of lagging behind in this restructuring process in manufacturing. A sample of 14 manufacturing industries in 13 European countries has been constructed for this purpose. It is found that, on average, the employment share of large firms in 1990 has a negative effect on output growth in the subsequent four-year period. This provides support for specific policies introduced during the 1980s in European countries stimulating small enterprises.This study benefitted from a grant by the Research Centre for Economic Policy (OCFEB), Faculty of Economics, Erasmus University, Rotterdam.