秀场

交通银行北京分行推出“支付通”业务6月6日,交通银行北京分行推出“支付通”产品,该产品的推出在北京尚属首例。“支付通”产品是通过专用电话终端为客户提供各项自助金融服务的新型业务,它将电话银行、网上银行和自助银行的多种功能整合在一起,使客户通过一个平台实现多种金融理财功能。该业务主要为客户提供“代理业务”、“自助查询”、“自助理财”和“自助转账”4类金融理财服务,具有方便安全、功能全面、操作简单、可视性强和费用低廉等特点。该业务目前主要针对交通银行的优质客户进行推广,包括优质个贷客户群体、优质企业客户群体和沃德客户群体。     

真诚服务赢客户

3月下旬的一天,工行河南许昌市南关支行迎来了一位的特殊客户,他不像其他客户那样匆匆来,办理业务之后匆匆去,而是一会驻足自助业务服务区观看客户办理自助业务,一会驻足新兴业务宣传专栏浏览,一会驻足客户服务区观察一线员工的服务……“同志,我是大堂经理,请问您需要什么帮助。”     

金沙分理处积极应对客户排队现象

被评为建设银行江苏省分行“女职工文明示范岗”、江苏省“巾帼文明示范岗”的南通分行通州支行金沙分理处，针对今年证券、基金业务量大，客户等待时间偏长、造成客户大量流失的现象，她们积极探索争取各种措施化解矛盾，一是按客户需求量弹性排班增开服务窗口；二是积极完善和健全自助设备；三是坚持“大厅致胜”方针，充分发挥大堂经理的作用，引导、协助、教会客户使用自助银行设备，     

真诚赢客户

元旦过后的第一天,适逢我担任营业大厅的值班工作,负责为客户实施服务引导。“您好,请问您办理什么业务？”10时许,一位中年客户刚刚踏入大厅门口,我热情相迎,可客户欲言又止,径直步入营业大厅,时而观看理财业务宣传专栏,时而驻足自助业务服务区,时而关注前台柜员对客户的服务情况。     

窗口歇了，较量还在继续

从2002“五·一”“黄金周”到今年的国庆长假，越来越多的银行窗口开始享受“歇假”待遇，但是银行之间的客户竞争却落到了四四方方、表情各异的自助设备的身上。随着自助零售业务的越来越趋同，无法强调微笑服务的自助设备靠什么来延续自家银行的魅力。     

如何实现24小时银行服务

目前，大部分银行的核心业务系统都已开通自助服务渠道及各种实时中间业务接口，例如ATM、POS、网上银行等自助交易平台，以及电信公司、移动公司、税局等委托单位的实时征缴接口等。相信大多数银行客户都会有此印象，每到晚上12点前后将会有一段时间，在ATM、POS上刷卡都会出现“查询发卡方”或“系统繁忙”的回应信息，使自助交易无法成功。这已是多年来困扰着大部分银行科技部门的难题一一如何实现真正24小时无间断的银行服务？     

银行“排长队”现象透析

在我国的一些商业银行网点，尤其是一些大中城市的银行网点，普遍存在客户“排长队”等候办理业务的现象。一些银行网点为了改善这种状况，开始使用叫号机，对客户实行按叫号顺序服务。实行叫号服务后，网点柜台前不再有长长的排队。从表面上看“排长队”现象好像已经消除，但是从本质上看“排长队”现象并未消除，客户仍然要经历漫长的等侯才能办理好业务，客户的等侯时间并不因为实行叫号服务而缩短。只不过客户的等候方式发生了改变而已，即由以往枯燥的站立等候方式变为轻松的休闲等候方式。因此，实行叫号服务并不能消除“排长队”现象。 面对，“排长队”问题，很多人认为，只要大力发展自动柜员机等自助设备，建议客户多使用自动柜员机，“排长队”问题便可得以解决。实际上，近几年来我国银行业的自动柜员机等自助设备得到了大力发展，在一些大中城市自动柜员机的数量已经大大超过网点的数量，但是“排长队”问题并未因此而解决。在我国的一些发达地区，自动柜员机的服务已经为广大客户所熟悉和使用。在银行网点柜台前出现“排长队”现象的同时，在自动柜员机前也同样出现了“排长队”现象。因此，引导客户使用自动柜员机，充分发挥自动柜员机的作用，虽然可以缓解网点柜台“排长队”现象。但是并不能消除“排长队”现象产生的根本原因，“排长队”现象仍然存在。     

如何防范ATM机上客户资金被盗取

最近．犯罪分子利用自助银行ATM机加装银行卡复制器盗取客户信用卡信息．而后用复制的信用卡盗取客户资金的事件屡有发生．给银行的声誉带来了不利影响。为有效遏制犯罪分子利用ATM机作案．农行无锡市滨湖支行采取以下措施加以防范，收到明显成效：一是要求网点保安和大堂经理日间加强对白助服务区的巡查：二是要求网点抽派人员每天晚上对自助服务区进行巡查，重点是检查自助机具上有无可疑装置：三是支行保卫部门组织人员加强对夜间自助区的巡查：四是利用远程监控系统全天候监控自助区的情况；五是加强对客户的宣传工作．指导客户识别犯罪分子加装读卡器和摄像头的技巧，增强自我保护意识；六是采取相应措施，在自助机具上加装“密码键盘防护罩”，防止客户操作时密码泄漏。     

手机银行离“三农”市场还有多远

服务“三农”是中国农业银行（以下简称“农行”）的社会责任和市场定位。近期,农行提出要加快研发适合农村推广的“三农”自助服务终端、手机银行和网上银行等产品,大力提高“三农”金融服务的信息化水平,充分发挥电子银行和自助设备对机构网点的替代作用。农行的手机银行是基于中国移动和中国联通的无线网络平台,利用移动电话作为客户端,向客户提供银行服务的一种自助服务手段,是放在客户口袋和手掌里的银行,能让客户“心随我动”,具有难以比拟的移动性和便利性。但是,与当前自动柜员机、     

眼行自助设备需要解决六大问题——自助设备的使用管理不善将带来客户使用的不便

伴随金融电子化、信息化浪潮，自助设备在银行业务中得到广泛应用，发挥着越来越重要的作用。尤其是“金卡工程”的全面启动和实施，以ATM为代表的自助设备越来越受到社会公众的青睐，成为人们日常经济生活中“全天候服务银行”。实际工作中，有的自助设备因使用管理不善、维护保养不到位，导致运行效率不高、功能发挥不全、客户使用不便。主要表现在；     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.