国际金融危机对中国经济的影响

文字从分析当前国际金融危机的原因入手,指出美国爆发的"次贷危机"是导致全球性金融危机的直接原因,论述了当前国际金融危机对中国的影响,分别从国内微观经济和国内宏观经济两方面的影响深入展开。     

民营企业人力资源管理的现状分析

本文首先简要的介绍了国内民营企业发展的规模和人力资源管理的的重要意义。然后,针对当前国内民营企业人力资源管理的现状进行了分析例举,主要是人员年龄结构年轻化、学历结构二元化、人员流动性大。接下来,针对当前国内民营企业人力资源管理的现状,对其影响因素进行了重点剖析。最后,针对当前国内民营企业人力资源管理的现存主要问题提出了几点对策建议。     

美国金融危机对国内银行的影响及银行授信管理对策

当前美国金融危机成为全球关注的焦点话题。本文从关国金融危机的源起入手,分析金融危机对国内银行业的影响,并针对当前国内银行授信管理方面存在的薄弱环节,提出银行改进授信管理的对策建议。     

论企业集团管控模式选择与重构

结合国内学者对企业集团管控模式的研究状况,文章首先对当前文献的研究状况进行述评,接着分析了企业集团管控模式选择的影响因素以及当前管控中存在的问题,最后提出有效企业集团管控模式重构的思路。     

我国居民消费缺口与经济增长内生关联关系的定量分析

国内居民消费处于普遍的消费升级阶段,因此当前依靠内需来保持经济快速增长有了很好实施基础。但本文研究表明:相对于国内投资而言,我国居民消费水平低于与经济增长率相适应的水平,同时境外居民对我国商品消费对经济增长影响虽然小于国内消费影响水平但具有较强的波动性,这种消费格局直接引致了我国近年来经济增长严重依赖政府投资及出口的经济发展结构。     

关于扩大内需的税收政策研究

2006年以来,美国次贷危机引发的金融风暴对世界经济造成了一系列冲击,对我国的经济也造成了较大的影响。本文从当前国内的背景出发,分析当前内需不足的原因,并阐述了扩大内需与税收政策的关系,最后就进一步扩大内需的税收政策等问题提出了建议。     

当前我国会计工作面临的机遇和挑战

当前,中国经济已加快与世界经济的融合．为国内会计提供了更加广阔的发展空间,带来了前所未有的机遇。同时．我国会计环境也发生了巨大变化,进而对会计工作产生了极大影响。     

城市的经济社会演变与公共政策选择

在经济全球化的背景下,城市面临越来越大的国内和国外竞争压力。同时,在城市经济发展过程中也积累了许多城市社会问题,影响着社会经济的可持续发展。分析了当前城市公共政策面临的诸多两难选择,对当前城市公共政策进行了反思,就保持城市经济增长、社会公正和社会稳定提出了建议。     

关于采购价格审计中存在的问题分析及对策探讨

采购价格审计作为审计工作中的重要部分,直接影响着企业的经济效益,因此不断提升对采购价格审计的关注度显得十分迫切.当前,国内部分企业尽管较为注重采购环节,但却没有构建科学的采购价格审计机制,难以为审计人员更好地开展采购价格审计提供规范,进而影响了审计效果.还有一些企业的采购价格审计人员综合素质欠缺,难以确保审计过程的质量,从而影响了企业的持续稳定运转.基于此,本文根据当前国内企业的现实发展情况提出了一些完善的对策.     

国内信用保险研究

当前国内企业信用状况堪忧,坏账率较高,大力推广信用保险十分必要。本文运用马尔可夫原理与博弈论,对当前形势下国内信用保险所遇到的定价技术与风险监管问题进行了探讨。     

通货膨胀目标制:加拿大银行的政策实践与启示

在加拿大的通货膨胀目标制政策框架下,中央银行定期向公众宣布政策通货膨胀目标,然后根据通货膨胀预测值与政策目标之间的差距来确定调控方向;在实践中,加拿大银行通过使用利率操作区间和公告操作,从而很好地实现了对市场流动性及短期利率目标的调控,进而影响到市场主体的经济决策,并最终成功实现了实际通货膨胀率稳定地波动在中央银行的目标范围内。基于此,我国有必要借鉴加拿大银行的做法,建立一个更为简单透明的政策操作框架,以保证货币政策操作的效果。     

分析影响我国消费者网上购物的心理因素

网上购物交易模式正在全球快速发展,我国经过多年的积累,虽有一定的发展,但是发展却很缓慢,这其中的影响因素很多。文章主要分析了消费者自身的心理因素如何影响我国网上购物的发展。     

线性和非线性视角下的费雪效应实证检验

基于2000年1月~2009年12月我国名义利率和通货膨胀率均为非平稳时间序列的事实,采用Johansen协整检验和门限协整(threshold cointegration)两种方法对我国是否存在费雪效应进行检验;实证发现,两种方法均支持我国存在弱费雪效应,但得出来的弱费雪效应程度却存在差别,前者认为我国通货膨胀率的变化只有6%反应到名义利率上面,而后者认为这个比例达到42.4%。     

Socio-political instability and growth dynamics

We develop an overlapping generations (OLG) monetary endogenous growth model characterized by socio-political instability, with the latter being specified as a fraction of output lost due to strikes, riots and protests. We show that growth dynamics arise in this model when socio-political instability is a function of inflation. In particular, two distinct growth dynamics emerge, one convergent and the other divergent contingent on the strength of the response of socio-political instability to inflation. Since our theoretical results hinge on socio-political instability being a function of inflation, we test the prediction that inflation affects socio-political instability positively by using a panel of 156 countries for the 1980–2012 period, and allowing for country and time fixed effects. The results indicate that inflation relates positively with socio-political instability. Policy makers should be cognisant that it is crucial to maintain long-run price stability, as failure to do so may result in high inflation emanating from excessive money supply growth, leading to high (er) socio-political instability, and ultimately, the economy being on a divergent balanced growth path.     

Inflation illusion and the Taylor principle: An experimental study

We develop a simple experimental setting to evaluate the role of the Taylor principle, which holds that the nominal interest rate has to respond more than one-for-one to fluctuations in the inflation rate to exert a stabilizing effect. In our setting, the average inflation rate fluctuates around the inflation target if the computerized central bank obeys the Taylor principle. If the Taylor principle is violated, the average inflation rate persistently deviates from the target. These deviations from the target are less pronounced, if inflation rates cannot be as readily observed as nominal interest rates. This result is consistent with the interpretation that subjects underestimate the influence of inflation on the real return to savings if the inflation rate is only observed ex post.     

MODELLING LARGE OPEN ECONOMIES WITH INTERNATIONAL LINKAGES: THE USA AND EURO AREA

Empirical modelling of the linkages between the euro area and the USA requires an open economy framework. The methodology proposed in this paper achieves identification of a structural vector error correction model by supplementing restrictions from economic theory with assumptions for the direction of causality in cross‐country contemporaneous relationships. Our baseline model assumes contemporaneous causality runs from the USA to the euro area for both output and inflation, with monetary policy domestically focused. The role of the USA as leading the euro area business cycle is reinforced by our results, but strong bidirectional cross‐country interactions are uncovered for inflation and interest rates. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

我国汽车行业产业政策对产业集中度影响分析

文章分析了我国汽车产业发展现状和汽车产业集中度的变化趋势,选取1990～2006年我国汽车行业的统计数据,建立了汽车产业政策对我国汽车产业集中度的影响分析模型,借助线性回归方法,分析了产业政策等因素对产业集中度的影响。实证分析结果表明:产业政策、期初集中度和产品差异性对产业集中度的提高有促进作用;企业进入对产业集中度的提高有负向的阻碍作用。     

Labor market institutions and inflation volatility in the euro area

Despite having had the same currency for many years, EMU countries still have quite different inflation dynamics. In this paper we explore one possible reason: country specific labor market institutions, giving rise to different inflation volatilities. When unemployment insurance schemes differ, as they do in EMU, reservation wages react differently in each country to area-wide shocks. This implies that real marginal costs and inflation also react differently. We report evidence for EMU countries supporting the existence of a cross-country link over the cycle between labor market structures on the one side and real wages and inflation on the other. We then build a DSGE model that replicates the data evidence. The inflation volatility differentials produced by asymmetric labor markets generate welfare losses at the currency area level of approximately 0.3% of steady state consumption.     

我国铁矿石供需矛盾分析

文章分析了我国铁矿石供需现状,并依据我国铁矿石缺口量与进出口模型,解释了我国铁矿石的供需缺口与铁矿石价格上涨的原因,同时提出了我国应采取的对策。     

The Sociopolitical Analysis of Global Inflation: A Theoretical and Empirical Examination of an Influential Basic Explanation

A bstract . One variant of the influential sociopolitical model of inflation is examined, a version distinguished by its econometric testable form and its use of relative deprivation as a principal efficient cause of global inflation. Hence its relevance to the contemporary debate on the nature and origins of the inflationary process. Specifically, the model postulates that the rate of inflation in a country is inversely related to its level of per capita income (and social security expenditure ) and directly related to its degree of income inequality. It emerges from our analysis, however, that the association between the level of economic development and the comparative propensity to inflate is of theoretically ambiguous sign. Also, the empirical robustness of the postulated relation is in doubt and the multivariate analysis is itself sensitive to the inclusion/ exclusion from the sample of outlier countries. More positively, the general focus of the model on fundamental as opposed to proximate determinants of inflation is to be welcomed. The message is that sociopolitical analysts must sharpen their analytical tools and, in the spirit of the model, formulate testable propositions in an area where economists have tended to overemphasize 'mechanical' relationships/solutions.