INSTABILITY OF THE U.S. MONEY DEMAND FUNCTION

Abstract. The paper surveys the two major episodes of instability of the U.S. money demand function known respectively as 'the mystery of missing money' and 'the great velocity decline'. It also assesses the recent literature on open economy money demand models and their usefulness in explaining the puzzling behaviour of money demand manifested shortly after the transition to floating exchange rates.     

ALCOHOL CONSUMPTION AND HUMAN CAPITAL: A RETROSPECTIVE STUDY OF THE LITERATURE

Abstract Grossman proposed an individual's health can be viewed as one aspect of their human capital. Following this line of thought a number of recent papers have reported a positive impact of alcohol consumption on earnings. The rationale for the existence of such a relationship is the positive impact of alcohol on physical and mental health. We conduct a meta‐analysis to determine whether such factors as: the estimation technique, the presence of ex‐drinkers in the sample, possible sample selection bias and publication bias may all contribute to these findings. An additional suggestion for the positive relationship between alcohol and wages is the presence of a common set of personality traits that determines drinking behaviour and also leads to higher earnings. We examine this relationship by reviewing the literature that investigates if the personality influencing aspects of alcohol consumption influences measures of human capital. We also survey the significant body of research that has examined how alcohol consumption has been found to influence educational outcomes and the work force participation of problem drinkers.     

COINTEGRATION AND CHANGES IN REGIME: THE JAPANESE CONSUMPTION FUNCTION

In this paper we examine a model of cointegration where long-run parameters are subject to switching between several different cointegrating regimes. These shifts are allowed to be governed by the outcome of an unobserved Markov chain with unknown transition probabilities. We illustrate this approach using Japanese data on consumption and disposable income, and find that the data favour a Markov-switching long-run relationship over a standard temporally stable formulation. © 1997 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

IMPLICATIONS OF FARM TENURE FOR A REGION'S FOOD PRODUCING POTENTIAL: A NORTHEAST U.S. CASE STUDY

Farm tenure places important production decisions in the hands of farm operators, who may not be the most efficient decisionmakers. This study estimates a Cobb-Douglas production function to examine the effect of the structure of farm tenure categories on agricultural production in the northeast region of the US. The analysis indicates that a 10 percent increase in full-owner and part-owner operations decreases and increases output by 2 percent and 3 percent, respectively; tenant operations also increase agricultural output by 1.8 percent to 2.5 percent. The results suggest that the relationship between tenure structure and agricultural production may hold long-term implications for agricultural production.     

SBA筑牢美国经济金字塔底

在美国一般的经济文献中,只有大小企业之分,很少使用中型企业这一概念.按照美国官方--美国小企业管理局的定义,小企业是指雇员不超过500人的企业.但为了区别制造业和服务业的不同情况,他们把制造业的小企业定在500人以下,把服务业的小企业定在100人以下.     

A MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF THE ADAPTIVE BEHAVIOUR OF ORGANIZATIONS

The recent work on organizational configuration and quantum structural change by Miller and Friesen (1984), and on the population ecology of organizations by Hannan and Freeman (1978, 1983) suggests some integral relationships between eiivironments, structure and optimal adaptive strategies. These appear to warrant a more systematic and formal analysis. Towards that end a mathematical model is developed to show the way organizations adapt t o changing environments. Using a Markovian representation, three types of environments are examined t o test the implications that the model has for adopting strategies of generalism vs. specialism, concerted ‘quantum’ 71,s. piecemeal change, and batching changes together vs. changing gradually and promptly.     

ON THE U.S. BUDGET DEFICIT

By the end of 1985 the USA will bo the most heavily indebted nation on the planet. Professor G. K. Shaw of the University of Buckingham and Geoffrey Wood of the City University Business School differ on Reagan's budgetary policy.     

THE DETERMINANTS OF CAPITAL INTENSITY IN FOREIGN-OWNED MANUFACTURING ACROSS U.S. REGIONS

This paper empirically tests hypothesized influences on the capital intensity of foreign direct investment (FDI) among the 48 contiguous United States. A theoretical profit maximizing model of the firm is developed linking capital intensity to traditional variables (the prices of labor and capital services); the model also takes account of the price of energy, agglomeration effects, educational levels, the importance of labor unions, and state and local public capital. The main focus is on the effects of public capital on the capital intensity of FDI. Public capital is disaggregated as follows: highway, sewer and water, and other (primarily buildings). The operational model defines FDI as the 1986 gross value of property, plant, and equipment of manufacturing affiliates of firms with headquarters in Canada, France, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. Findings are reported both for total manufacturing and for manufacturing disaggregated into five industry groups. Generally, the results emphasize that highway infrastructure and sewer and water public capital act as powerful incentives to attract capital-intensive FDI across the 48 contiguous United States.     

A CROSS-NATIONAL STUDY OF LEADERSHIP: PARTICIPATION AS A FUNCTION OF PROBLEM STRUCTURE AND LEADER POWER

This study explores the effects of task structure and leader power on participative leadership across Australian, African, Papua-New Guinea and Pacific Island managers. Managers in all national groups are more participative in situations of low structure and low power than for high structure and high power, respectively. Participation in situations of low structure and low power declines in the order: Australia, Africa, Papua-New Guinea, Pacific Islands. It is argued that this effect is an instrumental effect of managerial education, rather than being culturally determined. the Vroom-Yetton leadership methodology is used to measure participation levels. Subjects are a total of 150 middle-level managers attending management education courses.