非居民外汇账户管理政策整合探讨

目前,非居民外汇账户管理政策较为分散,散布于多项外汇管理法规中。这些法规包括：《离岸银行业务管理办法》（下称《办法》）、《离岸银行业务管理办法实施细则》（下称《细则》）、《国家外汇管理局关于境外机构境内外汇账户管理有关问题的通知》（下称《通知》）和《个人外汇管理办法》等,     

关于外汇管理信息化建设与发展的思考

我国改革开放以来,外汇管理部门积极应用信息科学技术改进管理,提高服务水平.经过不断探索和思考,外汇管理信息化建设取得了长足的进步.在结束十一五、开始十二五工作之时,总结回顾过去,思考未来发展,将有助于我们探寻规律,理清思路,更好地推进外汇管理信息化建设和发展.     

外汇收支非现场监管的难点与对策

银行外汇收支非现场监管是随外汇管理方式的转变而选择的管理模式，该文从分析非现场监管实际工作中存在的问题与难点出发，提出了以国际收支申报为主线、整合外汇收支信息、完善非现场监管制度、实行分类监管等政策建议。     

外汇信用体系建设的问题与对策

随着外汇管理方式由直接管理向间接管理的转变,外汇信用体系建设对于经济金融安全稳定运行的重要作用越来越大,本文对当前外汇信用体系建设的现状和存在问题进行了深入剖析,并就如何完善外汇信用体系建设提出了政策建议。     

加入WTO后我国外汇管理的战略对策

外汇管理是中国在现有国际经济环境、国内经济和技术条件下,为促进国际收支平衡、维护国家经济安全、防范国外金融危机侵袭而采取的必要手段.但是,加入WTO后,我国现行的外汇管理体制和外汇管理政策将面临严峻的挑战,客观上要求我国的外汇管理政策与外汇业务必须符合WTO的基本准则和国际惯例.因此,我们必须认真分析利弊得失,主动调整外汇管理的制度、政策,及早制订应对策略,确保国际收支平衡和国家经济金融安全.     

陕西省个人外汇管理政策实施情况调查

本文通过对陕西省个人外汇管理政策实施情况的调查，揭示出新的个人外汇管理政策实施中出现的情况和问题．对完善个人外汇管理政策有一定的借鉴意义。     

商业银行外汇综合信息系统解决方案

中国加入WTO之后,根据有关承诺,外资银行可以对中资企业和中国居民开办外汇业务,这将对中资银行的外汇业务形成冲击。为适应新形势,中资银行加大了外汇业务电子化投入的力度。但是,相对于人民币业务,外汇业务由于长期受政策限制,中资银行的外汇业务反而是相对落后的。具体体现在:缺乏统一规划,相关信息不能共享,不能实现资源的最大利用;部分业务尤其是外汇业务的后台管理,仍停留在手工操作阶段。各商业银行改进和更新外汇业务信息系统已经迫在眉睫。本文按照可靠性、安全性、可扩充性原则设计商业银行外汇业务的功能架构和系统架构,并采用…     

国家外汇信息管理决策系统示范工程

一、工程目标本示范工程的目标是:建立集数据采集、业务管理与辅助决策于一体的综合信息服务平台,为国家外汇管理局的三大职能(真实性审核、统计分析与预警、外汇立法)提供技术支撑。其主要内容包括:建立统一的数据采集体系;利用数据仓库技术,建立有效的信息利用机制,实现信息增值;建立外汇收支和国际收支综合分析体系;逐步建立以交易主体为监管重点的综合监控管理模式。二、国家外汇信息管理决策系统的完成情况国家外汇管理局承担的国家外汇信息管理决策系统专题的研究内容是建立集数据采集、业务管理与辅助决策于一体的国家外汇管理综合信…     

Contrarian strategy and overreaction in foreign exchange markets

This paper investigates patterns to assist investors to forecast future exchange rate movements. We test for overreaction and underreaction examining exchange rate changes following excess 1-day fluctuations for currencies in two emerging (Turkey, Brazil) and two developed (US, UK) countries. Using euro as the base currency, we identify that the Turkish lira, the Brazilian real and the US dollar overreact, while the British pound underreacts. In the case of British pound, asymmetric responses and lack of volatility are two crucial factors to reject overreaction. Also, we find that contrarian strategy can be used in all currency markets for profitable investments.     

外汇卡系统的设计

随着国民经济的快速发展和国内金融体制改革的不断深化，外汇投资市场逐年升温，外汇交易量大幅增长。此外，由于城镇居民生活水平的不断提高，出境旅游的人也越来越多，持卡到国外旅游消费成为新的时尚。面对巨大的市场发展机遇，华夏银行决定开发集境外消费、国内炒汇功能于一身的特色产品——外汇卡，为客户进行外汇理财。     

Quote revision and information flow among foreign exchange dealers

In a multi-dealer market without transaction disclosure, quote revision partially reveals the posting dealer's private information/belief and may have an impact on other dealers’ pricing decision. Using continuous quotes from three major dealers in the interbank foreign exchange market, I find significant information externality from one dealer's quotes to others. The information content of quote revision is positively related to the overall order flow to the market, as opposed to order flow to the posting dealer. At 15-min interval or above, public information becomes the dominant component that drives quote revision. Furthermore, public information appears to induce positive serial correlation and private information causes negative serial correlation in short-term quote revision.     

Public information releases, private information arrival and volatility in the foreign exchange market

This paper estimates the impact of market activity and news on the volatility of returns in the exchange market for Japanese Yen and US dollars. We examine the effects of news on volatility before, during and after news arrival, using three categories of news. Market activity is proxied by quote arrival, separated into a predictable seasonal component and an unexpected component. Results indicate that both components of market activity, as well as news releases, affect volatility levels. We conclude that both private information and news effects are important determinants of exchange rate volatility. Our finding that unexpected quote arrival positively impacts foreign exchange rate volatility is consistent with the interpretation that unexpected quote arrival serves as a measure of informed trading. Corroborating this interpretation is regression analysis, which indicates that spreads increase in the surprise component of the quote arrival rate, but not in the expected component. The estimated impact of a unit increase in unexpected quote arrival and the range of values observed for this variable imply an important volatility conditioning role for informed trading.     

外汇信息安全等级保护的要求与实践

为了贯彻落实国家信息化领导小组《关于加强信息安全保障工作的意见》和《关于信息安全等级保护工作的实施意见》,做好外汇信息安全等级保护工作,国家外汇管理局（以下简称“外汇局”）制定了《国家外汇管理局信息安全等级保护工作实施计划》,并下发给各省分局要求参照执行,这标志着我国外汇信息安全等级保护工作已全面开展。     

外汇买卖系统的设计与实现

一、概况 随着我国对外贸易的发展,境内居民外汇存款呈稳步增长趋势.然而,美联储连续降息,我国外汇利率也随之不断降低,居民外汇存款收益不断减少,居民参与外汇买卖的热情日益高涨.     

外汇业务系统的数据备份

为了适应外汇政策的不断变化，满足业务管理需求，作为外汇监管和服务的基础应用系统，外汇业务系统按照“数据集中存储，业务分布操作”的指导原则，进行了多层体系部署方案实施结构调整，数据存储形式也开始由分布式向大集中过渡。国家外汇管理局辽宁省分局（以下简称“辽宁省分局”）作为数据分中心，主动适应外汇形势，     

High-frequency information content in end-user foreign exchange order flows

This article considers the impact of foreign exchange (FX) order flows on contemporaneous and future stock market returns using a new database of customer order flows in the euro-dollar exchange rate market as seen by a leading European bank. We do not find clear contemporaneous relationships between FX order flows and stock market changes at high frequencies, but FX flows do appear to have significant power to forecast stock index returns over 1–30 min horizons, after controlling for lagged exchange rate and stock market returns. The effects of order flows from financial customers on future stock market changes are negative, while the effects of corporate orders are positive. The latter results are consistent with the premise that corporate order flows contain dispersed, passively acquired information about fundamentals. Thus, purchases of the dollar by corporate customers represent good news about the state of the US economy. Importantly, though, there also appears to be extra information in corporate flows which is directly relevant to equity prices over and above the impact derived from stock prices reacting to (predicted) exchange rate changes. Our findings suggest that financial customer flows only affect stock prices through their impact on the value of the dollar.