Änderungen an der Grundsicherung im Alter statt unsystematischer Rentenkonzepte

There is discussion in Germany about the future threat of widespread poverty among the elderly. Some argue that the social pension system will not be able to provide sufficiently for low-wage workers. At the same time, applying for welfare payments is seen as unfair in light of the lifetime achievements of the elderly. There are two basic approaches to deal with these concerns: adjusting the rules for welfare payments or changing the social pension system. Present proposals prove to be inadequate. Proposals to reform the social pension system in particular are inconsistent with basic principles. I present a proposal that will provide the right incentive while respecting the fundamental structure of the system. All other income arising from retirement provisions should be only partially credited against the welfare claim.     

Will perceived economic deficits affect housing decisions during retirement?

The study ascertains a causal model of factors that influence preretirees perceived difficulty in housing adjustment during retirement. Further, the influence of perceived economic deficits and an economic adjustment decision for preretirees during retirement are investigated. Path analysis results indicate that the perceived difficulty in moving to a more suitable home for retirement is influenced by tenure, setting up a retirement investment plan, and the perceived difficulty in selling one's home to have money for retirement expenses. The perceived difficulty in selling one's home to have money for retirement expenses is influenced by age and tenure. Age, tenure, education and income were influential in predicting the number of sources of retirement income; age, education and income were predictors of setting up of a retirement investment plan.     

Raising the Mandatory Retirement Age and its Effect on Long‐run Income and Pay‐as‐you‐go (PAYG) Pensions

In this paper we study the effects of raising the mandatory retirement age in the neoclassical growth model context. It is shown that postponement of the retirement age may be harmful for long‐run income and even for pensions. Our findings show that the retirement age might be reduced, thereby obtaining a higher income and even higher pension benefits. This suggests that the idea that a higher mandatory age of retirement is always beneficial in the long run for income and pension payments is theoretically controversial.     

收入水平和收入风险对养老投资行为的影响——基于武汉市中心城区的调查数据

引导居民进行养老投资是缓解养老经济压力的重要途径之一,而影响养老投资的因素有很多。运用武汉市7个中心主城区753个居民的调查数据,以收入为切入点,从收入水平和收入风险两个角度考察其对居民养老投资行为的影响。研究结果显示,收入水平越高、收入风险越大,居民参与养老投资的可能性越大;收入水平与收入风险的边际效应呈倒U型,其中收入水平在6~10万的居民,养老投资的边际效应最大;异质性分析显示,女性、受教育程度较高、健康状况较差以及年龄较大的居民,收入水平和收入风险对养老投资的促进作用更大。通过用家庭收入水平代替个人收入水平、考虑风险态度与金融能力因素对养老投资的影响等方法进行稳健性检验,都证明了上述结果的可靠性。该结果不仅可以解释武汉市城镇居民养老投资的现状,而且对促进养老金融市场的发展与相关政策的制定也具有一定的启发和现实指导意义。     

Culture shock in China?: Adjustment pattern of western expatriate business managers

Currently working on the Chinese mainland, Western expatriate business managers, mainly from the USA, France, Germany, Australia and Great Britain, participated in a mail survey regarding their degree of adjustment which was then mapped over time. The results showed that while the three dimensions of sociocultural adjustment; work adjustment, interaction adjustment and general adjustment, all showed a clear U-curve pattern indicating a typical culture shock experience, no such pattern was displayed in the case of psychological adjustment as measured by their subjective well-being. Implications for Western expatriate business managers on the Chinese mainland and for companies assigning Western expatriates there are discussed.     

Rentenreformen — die internationale Perspektive

This article examines recent pension reforms in OECD countries. All countries are facing the challenge of designing both financially and socially sustainable pension policies in a context of weak economic growth, low financial returns and ageing populations. In some cases, countries have been accelerating the pace of pension reform, bringing forward changes in the rules and parameters of their pension systems. Common features include, for example, increases in retirement ages, closure of early retirement avenues, changes in benefit indexation, stronger links in the system to increasing life expectancy and greater incentives for working longer. At the same time, many countries have improved the adequacy of retirement income provision, in particular by targeting benefits more towards the most vulnerable elderly.     

Knowledge and Perceptions of Superannuation in Australia

Least squares and binary logit models are used to predict knowledge and perceptions of superannuation (private pensions) in Australia on the basis of demographic, socioeconomic and financial characteristics. The data is drawn from the ANZ Survey of Adult Financial Literacy in Australia and relates to 2,516 superannuation fund members. Knowledge of superannuation is defined, amongst other things, in terms of understanding superannuation fees, charges and statements, recognising the voluntary and compulsory nature of additional employee and employer contributions, and being aware of the lower taxation of superannuation compared to other investments. Factors examined include gender, age, ethnicity, occupation, educational level, and family structure, along with household income, savings, and debt. In terms of specific superannuation knowledge, substantially more than half of respondents knew that employers are obliged to make contributions on behalf of employees and that employees can make additional voluntary payments above these payments. Slightly more than half knew that superannuation is taxed at a lower rate than other investments. However, only one-third of fund members knew how to read and understand their statements or the approximate rate of contribution employers were required to make on their behalf, or had worked out how much they needed to save for retirement. Overall, about 60% of respondents could correctly answer only 50% or less of the questions posed. The evidence also suggests that knowledge of superannuation is unevenly spread across respondents. Such knowledge is generally lowest for females, those from a non-English speaking background, those with low levels of education and persons aged less than thirty. Knowledge is generally better for professionals, those aged over 40 or nearing retirement and the university educated. The models best predict the compulsory nature of employer contributions, the voluntary nature of employee contributions, and knowledge that the government will not make up any gap arising from a failure to undertake retirement planning.     

Gesetzliche Rente: Bedeutet Teilhabeäquivalenz Verteilungsneutralität? — Ein weiterer Irrtum

A basic principle of statutory retirement insurance in Germany is the proportionality between earnings and retirement benefits called “Teilhabeäquivalenz”. Advocates of the system defend this principle, arguing that it ensures distributive neutrality. However, this assertion is wrong because the principle combines two concepts with different time dimensions: lifetime contributions and monthly retirement benefits. If clearly defined population groups differ in their life expectancy, then this very principle achieves income redistribution, in the German case from low earners to high earners. We propose a simple change in the rules which would avoid this undesirable redistribution.     

Decomposing the Income Insurance Channel across OECD and Emerging Markets

This paper investigates the underlying forces driving income insurance channels for the Organisation for Economic Co‐operation and Development (OECD) and emerging markets. We find income insurance channels across countries to be driven by different subchannels. For the OECD, income insurance is mostly governed by payments for financial liabilities; for the emerging markets, income flows from nationals working abroad constitute the main income smoother. Despite the growth in cross‐border financial asset trading over the years, we could not find evidence of income smoothing via foreign assets receipts for the OECD. For the majority of emerging markets, neither receipts of foreign assets nor foreign liability payments are strong enough to insure income as well.     

CEO retirement compensation: Is inside debt excess compensation or a risk management tool?

CEOs face constant scrutiny over their compensation packages. This scrutiny has only intensified amid discussions of CEO-to-employee pay ratios and income inequality nationwide. CEO retirement packages are criticized as camouflage compensation used to award excessive compensation to CEOs and were, prior to 2006, less transparent than they are now. Thanks to the transparent disclosures now required by the SEC, we have a better understanding of the types and amounts of compensation owed to CEOs after they depart or retire, termed inside debt. I investigate whether all CEO inside debt components share similar incentive effects and offers some thoughts on how companies might structure these packages to be most effective. I discuss the structure and incentive effects of the two primary components of inside debt: deferred compensation and supplemental executive retirement plans (SERPs). I explain why inside debt, particularly CEO SERPs, may actually help companies manage firm risk. Finally, I outline the best ways to structure inside debt so that it functions as a resource to manage firm risk and foster a long-term perspective rather than mirroring the incentive effect of equity, increasing risk, and encouraging a myopic focus.     

Saving for Retirement—A Case for Financial Education in Germany and UK? An Economic Perspective

Demographic changes, tight public budgets, and reduced generosity of occupational pension plans shift the responsibility for an adequate retirement provision towards the individual. Applying the theoretical perspectives of Behavioural Finance and New Institutionalism to the domain of retirement provision offers insights into the difficulties individuals are facing in planning for retirement, carrying out, and revising plans. Lacking financial literacy seems to lie at the heart of the problem and points to a possible solution: providing financial education to consumers through non-governmental organizations and state-related agencies. This article is examining which role consumer education and consumer advice can play to enhance financial literacy with regard to pensions and old-age provision. As two case studies Germany and the UK are compared because the institutional set-up of the pension systems and the approaches towards consumer policy are very different. The case studies show that financial education with regard to old-age provision can be successful if it reaches consumers in their environment at life-stages where important decisions need to be made. To achieve that considerable efforts have to be taken in terms of funding and organizational set-up. However, evaluation is necessary to prove the effectiveness of the education especially for vulnerable consumer groups. If evaluation reveals that these groups cannot be targeted effectively or that consumers are not taking action subsequently to attending financial education, there might be a case for changing behaviour through the institutional set-up of pension schemes (i.e., through automatic enrolment) and using financial education as a supportive policy instrument.

Lehren aus den Rentenreformen seit 1972

Thanks to the reform process between 1992 and 2007, Germany was in a very good position to master demographic change. These reforms were farsighted, they stabilised the public pension system and they significantly increased employment, the foundation of every old age provision. The “Pension Package 2014”, however, is putting this position in jeopardy by focusing on the older generation at the expense of the young, whoich needs more education and better health care, areas in which Germany exhibits only mediocre performance. A farsightedIf a demographicy strategy wants to be farsighted, its core cannot centre onbe reductions in the retirement age and similar expensive steps backwards, but will instead require investments into Germany’s youth.     

The Relationship between Retirement Wealth and Householders' Lifetime Personal Financial and Investing Behaviors

While previous research indicates wide wealth dispersion at retirement within households with similar lifetime incomes, there have been few attempts to identify personal financial behaviors associated with retirement wealth in households matched for lifetime income. Householders with similar demographics and lifetime income but differing markedly in net worth near retirement were surveyed in terms of personal financial behaviors undertaken during their lifetime. Results revealed key differences between householders with low and high retirement wealth in their financial behaviors and how these were acquired.     

Pre-retirees' assessment of housing adequacy and their propensity to move

The purpose of this study is to determine how adequate pre-retirees perceived their homes would be for retirement, and their propensity to move after retirement. This study assesses the relationships between certain socio-demographic variables and feelings and plans for retirement, current housing tenure and structure conditions of the home, the anticipated adequacy of the size of the current home for retirement, and the anticipated locational decision after retirement. Three hypothesized models were tested, each succeeding model adding another level, using the above variables. The hypothesized models were tested using logistic regression. Marital status and family income are statistically significant in the prediction of current housing tenure and structure conditions. The amount of planning for retirement, assessed by the respondent in comparison to others of similar age, is a significant predictor of anticipated satisfaction with the present dwelling at retirement. Anticipated satisfaction with the present dwelling at retirement and age are statistically significant in the prediction of likelihood of moving at retirement.     

Das Rentenpaket 2014 — eine ökonomische Beurteilung

The 2014 pension reform has three main components. First disability pensions have been increased by about two earnings points, an average monthly gain of 40 euros. In addition low wages in the four years preceding disability-related retirement will now be disregarded. However, since these new rules only apply to retirement after July 2014 they fail to fight poverty among current disability-related retirees. Second an additional credit for all births before 1992 (“mothers’ pension”) is extremely costly and unnecessary. Poverty prevention is weak due to a strict income test in the welfare system for the elderly. Third early retirement at age 63 without actuarial adjustment has been reintroduced This is a costly measure with negative effects on both equality and efficiency. The additional child credit and early retirement provisions reduce the financial and social sustainability of the German public pension system.     

DISUTILITY, OPTIMAL RETIREMENT, AND PORTFOLIO SELECTION

We study the optimal retirement and consumption/investment choice of an infinitely-lived economic agent with a time-separable von Neumann–Morgenstern utility. A particular aspect of our problem is that the agent has a retirement option. Before retirement the agent receives labor income but suffers a utility loss from labor. By retiring, he avoids the utility loss but gives up labor income. We show that the agent retires optimally if his wealth exceeds a certain critical level. We also show that the agent consumes less and invests more in risky assets when he has an option to retire than he would in the absence of such an option.
An explicit solution can be provided by solving a free boundary value problem. In particular, the critical wealth level and the optimal consumption and portfolio policy are provided in explicit forms.     

Borrowing Without Debt? Understanding the U.S. International Investment Position

Sustained large U.S. current account deficits have led some economists and policymakers to worry that future current account adjustment could occur through a sudden and disruptive depreciation of the dollar and a sharp drop in U.S. consumption. Two factors that, to date, have cast doubt on such concerns are the stability of U.S. net external liabilities and the minimal net income payments made by the United States on these liabilities. We show that the stability of the external position reflects sizable capital gains stemming from strong foreign equity markets and a weaker dollar—conditions that could be reversed in the future. We also show that while minimal U.S. net income payments reflect a much higher measured rate of return on U.S. foreign direct investment (FDI) assets than on U.S. FDI liabilities, JEL Classification F21     

Ungleiche Verteilung der Einkommen bremst das Wirtschaftswachstum

In Germany in the last decade, corporate incomes have increased much more sharply than private household incomes. At the same time, the inequality of household incomes has increased. High-income households have profited particularly from investment income and self-employment. The income gap has not widened further in recent years, but the high level of inequality already reached in 2005 has resulted in a sustained reduction of consumer spending. What is needed now is a level of income and wealth distribution that will strengthen domestic demand.     

融资约束与资本结构的非对称调整——基于动态门限模型的经验证据

以1999—2009年中国上市公司面板数据为研究对象,围绕融资约束对资本结构调整行为的影响,以公司规模和现金持有水平作为衡量融资约束的指标,采用动态面板门限模型展开研究。结果表明,大规模和高现金持有的公司会表现出更快的调整速度,非融资约束公司比融资约束公司的调整速度要快30%以上。本文解决了以往研究中存在的分组模糊性及忽视个体异质性缺陷的问题,实证发现融资约束程度的降低能有效提高公司的资本结构调整速度。     

Subsidizing Industry: An Empirical Analysis of Irish Manufacturing

Irish industrial policy makers have a long history of extensively using grant subsidies in order to encourage the creation of jobs in Irish manufacturing sectors. In this paper we empirically investigate the actual success of this strategy using sectoral level data on employment and grant payments over the period 1972–2000. Results from our empirical model of an employment growth equation confirm that grant provision has indeed played a significant role in creating employment.