RESPONSE OF STOCK PRICES TO MONEY SUPPLY ANNOUNCEMENTS: AUSTRALIAN EVIDENCE

This paper extends the literature on the money supply announcement effect by examining the response of stock prices to the monthly announcements of the money supply made in Australia. The unexpected component of the money supply change is identified using both a market based survey of expectations and rolling ARIMA time series models. The analysis is further extended to examine the impact of the money supply announcements during the period of monetary target-ting; the cross-sectional impact of the announcements across various stock price indices and the pre- and post-announcement responses of stock prices. The results documented show no evidence of a significant stock price response to the money supply announcements in Australia.     

以金融砝码量度沿海经济天平

近期,随着山东、浙江、广东的海洋经济发展规划纷纷获批,海洋经济已成为国内最热门的词汇之一。这一术语的起源可以追溯到20世纪60年代,当时法国、美国、日本等纷纷制定了对海洋资源的利用计划。1974年,美国在海洋经济研究的基础上又提出了“海洋GDP”的概念及其核算方法。此后,这一概念在世界范围内得到广泛运用。     

当前我国农村金融市场主体行为研究

当前以及今后一个相当长的时期,中国农村的生产要素市场中,各生产要素的供给与需求的约束是各不相同的,因而在政策层面上的表现也各不相同.与耕地、劳动力和技术相比,资金要素则有其特殊性.说农村中资金短缺,但又有大量资金流入城市,而且净流出的数额非常大;说资金充裕,又有许多农户因缺少资金,家庭经营只能维持简单再生产,高利贷也很普及.因此,正确认识和深入研究当前农村金融市场主体的经济行为,能够帮助各类金融机构更好地利用资金要素,推动农业产业结构和农村经济结构的调整,使农村生产要素的配置更合理、更有效率,以期达到稳定农产品供给和增加农民收入的目的.     

GLOBALIZATION OF CAPITAL MARKETS AND THE ASIAN FINANCIAL CRISIS

This article has three basic aims: (1) to analyze the impact of the opening of their capital markets on the economies of host countries; (2) to investigate the causes of the Asian financial crisis; and (3) to evaluate the likely effects of the South Korean government's recent attempts to restructure its corporate sector. Although the recent Asian financial crisis has led some to question the merits of open capital markets and to call for regulatory restraints on capital flows across international borders, the scientific evidence suggests that the opening of stock markets to foreign investors has been largely beneficial for emerging economies. On average, stock market liberalization has been accompanied by increases in stock prices and reductions in stock return volatility, reductions in inflation, and reductions in the rate of currency depreciation. Much of the blame for the Asian currency crises is assigned to Asian policymakers' futile attempts to defy market forces by trying to maintain their currencies at artificially high levels. But a more fundamental cause of Asia's economic problems has been the widespread value destruction by Asian corporations, which has led to a lower value for the overall economy and weakened the banking sector. The government-directed banking systems and weak corporate governance structures (including managerial incentives to increase size and market share at the expense of shareholders) that characterize most Asian economies have resulted in systematic overinvestment, bloated payrolls, and sharp declines in corporate profitability. While applauding most of the Korean government's recent measures to reform the economy, the article expresses skepticism about the government-mandated restructuring of the chaebol known as the “big deal.” Rather than trying to direct the process of restructuring, Korean policymakers should limit their efforts to improving the market mechanism by increasing competition in the markets for capital, corporate control, and goods and services. The Korean market for corporate control transactions could be greatly improved by increasing the efficiency of bankruptcy proceedings and by allowing hostile takeovers by foreign as well as domestic investors. To increase the productivity of capital, Asian companies should seek to realign managerial with shareholder interests by tying compensation to measures of value creation like EVA.     

金融市场体系的关联性与社会资金配置格局

任何一种市场现象都是市场主体在特定的市场环境下一系列市场行为的反映,资金趋利避险的本能及其跨市场、跨品种、跨时段的套利行为,构成了金融市场运行的永恒的推动力.本文以诠释近期债券市场运行中的若干现象为出发点,循着社会资金流动的主线,透过经济主体的资金运作行为,时以信贷市场、债券市场和股票市场为支柱的金融市场体系间的资金互动关系进行了研究,从贴近现实经济生活的角度,分析了近年来较具代表性的金融市场行为的内在动机、市场背景和行为效果,对我国社会资金配置格局和金融市场运行效率作了初步的探讨,并提出相关政策建议.     

应对金融危机 需要一批“真人”

当今世界经济形势,美国金融危机引燃欧债危机火药桶;欧洲本身就是一个火药桶,二战后,高福利,人养懒,产业空心化,靠发债支撑。美国金融危机尚未解决,又引燃了欧债危机,并以2009年底评级公司下调希腊评级为标志将欧债危机火药桶引爆。美国金融危机是“心梗”,服“硝酸甘油”尚可缓解;     

THE RESPONSE OF STATUTORY FINANCIAL AUDITORS IN THE UK TO ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES: A DESCRIPTIVE AND EXPLORATORY CASE STUDY

This paper explores the reaction of UK financial auditors to the growth of society's environmental awareness and attendant legislative pressures. The developing regulatory framework of auditing is briefly reviewed from an environmental perspective but the main contribution of the paper is to report the results of a series of interviews with a range of audit practitioners. The aim of the interviews was to explore: how, if at all, the conduct of the audit is changing (or, in the opinion of those interviewed, should change) in the light of environmental concerns: whether more training and guidance from professional bodies is sought; and views on regulation. Interviewees' experiences and their views of the impact of increasing environmental awareness and regulation on the statutory audit are reported and discussed. In addition, their views concerning a possible widening of their attestation role to encompass environmental reports are explored.