Accruals and the naïve out-of-sample prediction of operating cash flow

Recent evidence indicates that a naïve no-change out-of-sample forecast of operating cash flow is as accurate as regression model forecasts. The current study uses this evidence to compare the accuracy of two naïve cash flow forecasts: 1) a pure no-change forecast and 2) a no-change forecast which includes adjustments for changes in accounts receivable, inventory and accounts payable. The size- and accrual-matched results indicate that the naïve cash flow forecast with accruals is notably more accurate than the naïve forecast without accruals. Moreover, the results indicate that large sums of positive accruals are more useful for cash flow prediction than large sums of negative accruals. Overall, the study provides creditors, analysts and other members of the financial community with an efficient and effective protocol for cash flow prediction.     

Does Working Capital Management Affect Profitability of Belgian Firms?

The relation between working capital management and corporate profitablity is investigated for a sample of 1,009 large Belgian non-financial firms for the 1992-1996 period. Trade credit policy and inventory policy are measured by number of days accounts receivable, accounts payable and inventories, and the cash conversion cycle is used as a comprehensice measure of working capital management. The results suggest that managers can increase corporate profitablity by reducing the number of days accounts receivable and inventories. Less profitable firms wait longer to pay their bills.     

Trade credit,cash holdings,and financial deepening: Evidence from a transitional economy

This paper investigates the effect of financial deepening on the relationship between trade credit and cash holdings among Chinese listed firms. We first document an asymmetric effect of trade payables and receivables on cash holdings, in that firms hold an additional $0.71 of cash for every $1 of credit payable but use $1 of receivables as a substitute for only $0.15 of cash. We then find that firms in regions with higher levels of financial deepening hold less cash for payables while substituting more receivables for cash. A more highly developed financial sector helps firms to better use trade credit as a short-term financing instrument. Finally, we find that the ratio at which receivables are substituted for cash increased following the implementation of the new receivables pledge policy in 2007, which allowed firms to use receivables as security for loans. This policy event represents an exogenous shock that mitigates the endogeneity concern.     

TRADITIONAL VERSUS OPERATING CASH FLOW IN FAILURE PREDICTION

Prior empirical evidence shows that accrual and cash based flow ratios (traditional and operating cash flows) refer to different financial dimensions. This leads to different predictive abilities in failure prediction. The purpose of this study is to analyse the behaviour of failing and nonfailing firms in terms of accruals and deferrals (adjustment entries) to show the distinctive nature of the ratios. This analysis is made conceptually and empirically. The degree and order of the use of adjustment entries is presupposed to depend on four kinds of factors (revenue of expenditure adjustment, direction of adjustment, cost of adjustment, and maximum size of adjustment). The empirical results show that traditional cash flow is a more stable and reliable predictor of failure than operating cash flow. The most important adjustment entries used by failing firms were to decrease inventories and accounts receivable and, in the last phase, to increase accounts payable.     

Corporate trade credit and inventories: New evidence of a trade-off from accounts payable and receivable

Trade credit is an important source of finance for firms and has been well researched, but the focus has been on financial trade-offs. In this paper, we consider the trade-offs with inventories and develop a simple model that recognizes the incentives a firm faces to offer and receive trade credit. Our model identifies the response of accounts payable and accounts receivable to changes in the cost of inventories, profitability, risk and liquidity, and importantly, this influence operates through a production channel. Our results support the model and complement many existing studies focused on explaining the financial terms of trade credit.     

企业信用管理制度的创新探析——湖南永利化工股份有限公司企业管理新探索

信用风险和应收帐款管理问题是当前影响企业经营成败的关键因素之一,湖南永利化工股份有限公司通过设立信管理部门、建立客户信息档案、客户资信管理制度、内部授信制度、应收帐款管理制度、帐龄控制制度等,有效地改善了公司应帐款的市场结构和客户结构,提高了资金周转效率,应收帐款的风险大幅度降低,发展、改善了大客户的战略合作关系,在企业管理方面走出了一条新路。     

Do firms use the trade credit channel to manage growth?

While many theories of accounts payable and receivable are related to firm performance, there has not been a direct test whether firms actively use them to manage their growth. We argue that it is not just the accounts payable but also the accounts receivable that matter. While the former help to alleviate imperfections in the financial market, the latter do so in the product market. Using over 2.5 million observations for 600.000 firms in 8 euro area countries in the period 1993–2009, we show that firms use the trade credit channel to manage growth. In countries where the trade credit channel is more present, the marginal impact is lower, but the total impact is still higher. Further, firms that are more vulnerable to financial market imperfections, rely more on the trade credit channel to manage growth. Finally, we show that also the overall conditions of the financial market matter for the importance of the trade credit channel for growth.     

Multidimensionality of text based financial constraints and working capital management

Using a novel text-based measure of financial constraints and primarily employing firm fixed-effect model, we find that financial constraints have a significantly negative association with cash conversion cycle (CCC), implying that financially constrained firms have a higher level of working capital management efficiency. In order to get a deeper insight, we consider two distinct dimensions, − ‘growth oriented’ and ‘contractual-obligation oriented’ financial constraints - and re-examine the relationship with CCC and its components. We find that firms facing growth oriented (contractual-obligation oriented) financial constraints have shorter (longer) CCC. It appears that compared to contractual-obligation oriented financially constrained firms, growth-oriented constrained firms receive more favorable treatments from their suppliers (longer payable period) as well as from their customers (shorter receivable period) - leading to a lower CCC. On the other hand, contractual-obligation oriented financially constrained firms have a longer inventory period, resulting in a longer CCC.     

Funding Liquidity without Banks: Evidence from a Shock to the Cost of Very Short‐Term Debt

In 2011, Colombia instituted a tax on repayment of bank loans, which increased the cost of short‐term bank credit more than long‐term credit. Firms responded by cutting short‐term loans for liquidity management purposes and increasing the use of cash and trade credit. In industries in which trade credit is more accessible (based on U.S. Compustat firms), we find substitution into accounts payable and little effect on cash and investment. Where trade credit is less available, firms increase cash and cut investment. Thus, trade credit provides an alternative source of liquidity that can insulate some firms from bank liquidity shocks.     

Economic policy uncertainty and short-term financing: The case of trade credit

We examine the impact of economic policy uncertainty on trade credit. We document a decline (increase) in accounts payable, receivable, and net credit during periods of high (low) policy uncertainty and that firms react quickly to changes in uncertainty. The relation is long-term and holds after controlling for endogeneity, non-policy economic and political uncertainties, and the Great Recession. Industry competitiveness, proxied by firm market power, moderates the impact of economic policy uncertainty on trade credit. Uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policies, taxes, and regulations are the major drivers of trade credit changes. The reduction in trade credit during periods of increasing uncertainty can be explained by financial distress, constraints, and relation-specific investment channels.     

Product differentiation,market dynamics and the value relevance of trade payables: Evidence from UK listed firms

This paper provides a comprehensive evidence on how product and market dynamics affect the value relevance of trade payables. Using a sample of 2559 UK listed firms over the period 2005–2014, we find a positive relationship between trade payables and firm performance. Our evidence suggests that trade payables increase (decrease) performance in firms with differentiated products and demand uncertainty (larger market share). We demonstrate that the relative value relevance of bank credit versus suppliers’ credit is dependent on the nature of the product, the level of sales volatility, and market share. We use an innovative approach to assess the robustness of our results to omitted variable bias.     

Strategic revenue recognition to achieve earnings benchmarks

I examine whether managers use discretion in revenue recognition to avoid three earnings benchmarks. I find that managers use discretion in both accrued revenue (i.e., accounts receivable) and deferred revenue (i.e., advances from customers) to avoid negative earnings surprises, but find little evidence that discretion is used to avoid losses or earnings decreases. For a common sample of firms with both deferred revenue and accounts receivable, I find evidence that managers do not prefer to exercise discretion in either account. However, further tests show that managers preferred to use discretion in deferred revenue before the Sarbanes–Oxley Act of 2002 went into effect, consistent with them choosing to manage an account with the lowest real costs to the firm (i.e., future cash consequences). My results suggest that the revenue recognition joint project undertaken by the FASB and IASB to reduce managerial estimation in revenue recognition may have the unintended consequence of leading to greater real costs imposed on shareholders as firms are likely to use even greater discretion in accounts receivable.     

Transfer Pricing for Corporate Treasury in the Multinational Enterprise

Intercompany financing transactions are becoming increasingly important to multinational enterprises (MNEs) as they expand internationally. Corporate treasurers of MNEs have many responsibilities, including the management of international capital structure and cost of capital, the financing of cross‐border acquisitions, foreign direct investment, international capital budgeting and cash management, management of foreign exchange and transactional risk, and port‐folio and investment management. This article focuses on a corporate function, transfer pricing, that is potentially relevant to each of these activities. Whenever a payment crosses borders in a treasury context—whether to provide a loan, purchase a receivable, provide a guarantee, sweep cash, factor a receivable, provide a hedge or insurance product—a transfer pricing issue is present. Transfer pricing is often viewed as a taxation issue and thus the responsibility of the corporate tax department. This article challenges that view, and makes the case that an integrated, multi‐functional approach to MNE treasury planning in the context of transfer pricing can be an important component in improving the efficiency of cross‐border financial management. The paper uses conceptual and empirical information as well as numerical examples to illustrate relevant tax and transfer pricing concepts for policy planners and others responsible for MNE treasury and tax planning.     

基于流程视角的应收账款管理体系构建

随着我国经济持续发展和市场经济体制的完善,商品经济已经从卖方市场转向买方市场。买方市场的突出特点是大量的“信用销售”取代“货币销售”,企业的应收账款数额迅速增加。然而,我国的信用环境并没有跟上社会经济的发展,导致企业陷入“不赊销等死,赊销找死”的两难境地。针对当前状况,应从管理流程的视角重新构建企业应收账款管理体系,为加快企业经营运转,促进企业的高效成长提供重要的理论依据。     

Information system and corporate income tax enforcement: Evidence from China

This paper adds the literature by investigating the effect of information system on corporate income tax (CIT) enforcement. We exploit the regional variations generated by the implementation in 2013 of the third stage of the China Tax Administration Information System (CTAIS-3) pilot. The CTAIS-3 is a nationally unified information system that significantly reduces information asymmetry between different tax authorities across regions. We find that the CTAIS-3 pilot significantly reduced firms’ conforming and non-conforming tax avoidance. The enhanced tax enforcement is particularly prominent if a firm is of a smaller size, or is administrated by the State Administration of Taxation, or is a non-state-owned enterprises, or locates in cities with a higher level of local fiscal pressure. Furthermore, we show that the CTAIS-3 improved the CIT enforcement by deterring firms from underreporting accounts receivable, as well as over-reporting accounts payable, inventory and the number of employees. In general, it would be more difficult for firms to hide profits from tax authorities under the CTAIS-3.     

A dynamic perspective on the determinants of accounts payable

Companies can use supplier financing as a source of short-term finance. The main objective of this paper is to extend the literature on the determinants of accounts payable and to test whether the accounts payable follow a model of partial adjustment. To do this, we use a sample of 3,589 small and medium sized firms in the UK. Using a dynamic panel data model and employing GMM method of estimation we control for unobservable heterogeneity and for potential endogeneity problems. The results reveal that firms have a target level of accounts payable. In addition, we find that larger firms, with better access to alternative internal and external financing and with a lower cost, use less credit from suppliers. Moreover, firms with higher growth opportunities use more trade credit for financing sales growth.     

论科研单位应收帐款融资

科研单位经常遇到应收帐款收回不及时或无法收回的现象，不仅占用了企业流动资金，还增加了企业管理成本和坏帐成本，严重制约了企业的生存和发展。分析了我国科研单位应收账款管理中存在的主要问题，开展应收账款融资的现实意义，在此基础上提出我国科研单位应收账款融资的方式选择。     

Hedge fund activism and trade credit

This study shows that trade creditors extend a negative response to hedge fund activism. Relative to control firms, target firms' accounts payable decrease by 28%, post activist intervention by hedge funds. This reduction is due to supply-side factors, highlighting suppliers' expropriation concerns. The study provides novel evidence that the repercussions of hedge fund activism extend beyond the formal debtholders, and informal debtholders such as trade creditors are not an exception. Further, target firms also offer lower trade credit to their customers after hedge fund activism. Trade receivables decrease by 12% relative to control firms. Activism-induced changes in cash flows potentially account for this reduction in trade receivables.     

Ownership structure and debt maturity: new evidence from Spain

Companies can use supplier financing as a source of short-term finance. The main objective of this paper is to extend the literature on the determinants of accounts payable and to test whether the accounts payable follow a model of partial adjustment. To do this, we use a sample of 3,589 small and medium sized firms in the UK. Using a dynamic panel data model and employing GMM method of estimation we control for unobservable heterogeneity and for potential endogeneity problems. The results reveal that firms have a target level of accounts payable. In addition, we find that larger firms, with better access to alternative internal and external financing and with a lower cost, use less credit from suppliers. Moreover, firms with higher growth opportunities use more trade credit for financing sales growth.     

关于票据融资支持实体经济的研究

票据作为融资工具有成本低、融资便利等优势,有利于缓解企业面临的融资难、融资贵问题。在特殊的金融环境下,企业可以通过使用票据支付实现应收/应付账款票据化并获得额外收益。但是,由于票据贴现的贷款属性、票据的“非标准化”债权资产性质以及票据市场受政策影响较大等因素的存在,我国票据市场在发挥融资功能时仍受到制约。所以,在鼓励企业使用票据融资的同时,亟待在宏观审慎评估狭义信贷规模中为票据贴现单独创设信贷规模管理体系,推动票据“标准化”的良性发展以及打造票据市场稳定发展的综合体系。