Oil price uncertainty and the cost of debt: Evidence from the Chinese bond market

This paper explores the impact of oil price uncertainty affects the cost of debt in China. By analyzing the bond data from 2008 to 2019 in China, we find that oil price fluctuation boost bond offering spread, denoting that oil price uncertainty may increase the cost of debt. This increase is likely due to higher default risks resulting from the heightened oil price uncertainty. Moreover, non-state-owned firms and those in the energy industry are more susceptible to the effects of oil price volatility. Our findings also reveal an asymmetric effect of oil price uncertainty on the cost of debt, with a stronger impact observed from positive uncertainty compared to negative uncertainty. This study contributes to the current understanding of the ways in which oil price uncertainty impacts the cost of debt in an emerging country.     

Tall and shrinking Muslims, short and growing Europeans: The long-run welfare development of the Middle East, 1850-1980

In this study we examine anthropometric data for eight countries in the Middle East for the period 1850-1910, and we follow those countries until the 1980s. The Middle East had a relatively good position during the mid-19th century, if human stature or real wages are considered, but much less so in terms of GDP per capita. Initially low population densities allowed better anthropometric outcomes. The height advantage was due, among other factors, to easier access to animal products. All indicators suggest that the Middle East lost ground after the 1870s relative to the industrializing Countries.     

Aid Effectiveness,Debt Relief and Public Finance Response: Evidence from a Panel of HIPC Countries

Substantial amounts of debt relief have been granted to a set of low-income countries, as an alternative aid modality. Although the theoretical case for debt relief is firmly established, only empirical analysis can show whether debt relief is indeed a (more) effective mode of aid delivery. We investigate the linkages between debt relief and other fiscal variables such as current expenditure, government investment, taxation and domestic borrowing, in comparison to the effects of grants and concessional loans. We find that the fiscal impact of HIPC debt relief follows fairly complex dynamics. For example, debt relief initially reduces government investment, but the effect becomes positive after two years, well outperforming other modes of aid delivery. JEL no. F34, F35, O11, O19     

Effects of good governance,sustainable development and aid on quality of life: Evidence from sub‐saharan Africa

The paper empirically investigates the effects of governance (GGov), official development assistance (ODA), sustainability [adjusted net savings (ANS)], and macroeconomic variables on the quality of life [human development index (HDI)] for selected sub‐Saharan African (SSA) countries using the most recent data from 2000 to 2017. The study employed different panel techniques. The findings provide insightful and interesting empirical results that resonate with the magnitude of a significant of the role of GGov on ANS and HDI. Our study shows that GGov is important to improve HDI. Additionally, ANS has important implications on the well‐being of human existence in SSA. In addition to these, this study found that macroeconomic variables such as trade openness and economic growth, wealth, and opportunity creation factors like urbanization and electrification rate are essential. Furthermore, empirical results revealed that ODA has a negative and significant association with HDI, which is in line with some of the existing literature. Our findings have several implications for organizations such as the World Bank, International Monetary Fund, and African Development Bank. This study serves as a policy instrument and guides in coordinating SSA on promoting HDI.     

财政分权，省级官员特征与地方政府债务规模——基于2010-2014年省级政府数据的实证分析

政府债务规模和风险是一级政府关注的重点问题。从财政分权和省级官员特征两个维度,本文考察了地方政府债务规模的影响因素,并在此基础上进一步研究财政分权程度和省级官员特征对地方政府债务规模的交互影响作用。通过2010-2014年30个省级政府的实证数据进行混合OLS回归,研究发现财政分权程度越高,地方政府债务规模越小。省级官员的年龄过大或过小都会使地方政府债务规模的减小,同时具有企业工作背景的省长和省委书记也会抑制地方政府债务规模的扩张,并且财政分权和省级官员特征对地方政府债务规模的影响是相互促进的。据此提出建议,合理控制地方政府债务膨胀。     

清洁生产、循环经济与低碳经济:政府行为博弈市场边界

清洁生产、循环经济和低碳经济是改革开放以来政府主导下的将环境保护同经济活动相融合的三大重要制度创新载体,政府行为直接影响了资源环境要素纳入经济活动内部的推进轨迹和发展模式。从宏观历史层面阐述政府层面推动清洁生产、循环经济与低碳经济的发展过程和突出特征,分析体现政府诉求的推动模式和差异性的规制手段,研究表明,政府规制模式框架下制度创新的基本方向。应弱化末端治理,强化末端规制,覆盖政府自身的立法范围以及发展自愿协议。