An Empirical Analysis on Log-Utility Asset Management

In this paper, we empirically verify the optimal portfolio schemes for the log-utility investor under incomplete information which converge to the optimal portfolio maximizing the expected log-utility under complete information. That is, our main interest lies in examining whether these schemes really attain the above desired properties, in the NYSE/AMEX stock market. With these properties regarded as performance measures, our empirical research is executed through a sensitivity analysis with transaction costs. Moreover, we show the interesting character of the U.S. stock market exhibited through the analysis.     

资本约束下保险公司最优大类资产配置模型研究

中国第二代偿付能力监管制度体系(以下简称“偿二代”)执行以后,投资风险直接体现在资本要求上,资本充足率成为保险公司投资决策的重要约束。在此背景下,保险公司有必要建立整体经济资本预算框架,通过提高各类资产的边际资本回报率,提升公司股东价值。本文通过理论研究证明资本约束下保险公司最优大类资产配置的路径首先是进行负债风险匹配资产的管理,其次才是追求盈余资产收益最大化,同时,本文创新性提出了三阶段的数值求解方法,填补了国内文献以及保险公司实践中难以前置化资本约束得到大类资产配置数值解的研究空白。     

居民最优消费与投资组合 ——基于不完全市场的分析

运用动态最优控制理论与随机金融分析方法,研究由劳动收入的特质风险与借贷约束导致的非完全市场对消费者最优投资和消费策略、波动及福利损失的影响,得到相应的动态最优投资和消费策略.研究发现:非完全市场会显著抑制消费者的消费动机和投资动机,并加剧消费波动和投资波动.此外,财务困境下非完全市场会对消费者造成高达40％ 的福利损失.     

不完全信息下基于风险偏好的生态系统服务付费契约设计

基于信息经济学理论,考量生态系统服务付费投资方与供给方在不同风险偏好下的契约设计问题,结果显示:在完全信息条件下,投资方的可变补偿成本与治污成本参数和市场环境不确定性的变化呈负相关;在不完全信息条件下,投资方提供分离契约更利于实现自身期望收益最大化,而高技术类型的供给方则偏向于单一契约;生态系统服务付费双方期望收益与供给方的不同技术水平均呈正相关;在不同风险组合偏好下,高技术类型的供给方在面临分离契约时的努力水平总高于单一契约,低技术的供给方则相反;当双方均为风险中性时,投资方收益最高;而当双方均为风险规避时,投资方收益最低.     

资管2.0时代商业银行理财业务的转型与发展

2017年之后,中国进入强监管、去杠杆的金融新周期,金融周期和经济周期趋向同步演进。资管新规和细则是严监管政策的重要举措,其核心内容是打破刚兑、规范资金池、去除多层嵌套、约束杠杆比例,引导近30万亿元的银行理财净值化转型。通过统计分析发现,2018年年初至二季度,净值型产品发行速度加快,但非净值型理财占新发行产品比重不降反升。说明银行理财业务转型速度较慢,整改空间和挑战较大。未来,银行理财业务转型需兼顾客户端和投资端,采取两端发力、系统推进的策略选择。     

The Information Transmission Effect and Asset Prices: Evidence from the China B-Share Discount

ABSTRACT

We construct a model based on market microstructure and examine the information transmission effect of equity prices in A-share and B-share markets in China. The data on foreign share discounts raise a question: How are asset prices determined if uninformed foreign traders obtain signals by observing public information? Our investigation on the measure of the information transmission effect presents a substantial segment of the cross-sectional variation in B-share discounts and finds that the information transmission effect plays a critical role in explaining how foreign share discounts become more contractive.     

金融危机冲击下资产负债管理的再审视

始于2007年的国际金融危机暴露了商业银行过度使用杠杆的弊病和被广泛采用的资产负债管理理论与技术的缺陷。未来商业银行资产负债管理将会在改革中得以持续。对于我国商业银行来讲,由于内外部的原因,尚处于资产负债比例管理阶段,较西方商业银行仍存在很大差距。为逐步加强我国商业银行资产负债管理工作,一方面需要加快外部监管环境的完善,积极推进利率市场化改革和证券市场改革。另一方面,商业银行必须提高认识,健全资产负债管理业务组织体系,坚持并完善资产负债比例管理指标体系建设,不断推进业务和产品创新。     

我国券商资产管理业务发展方向探讨

本文认为，券商资产管理的发展方向应是在对国内理财市场需求深入了解的基础上，有针对性地开发标准化产品和充分发挥自身客户资源优势、业务范围优势有针对性地开发专项资产管理产品。券商标准化资产管理产品面临开放式基金的强大竞争，开放式基金为券商标准化资产管理产品提供了市场需求借鉴。股权分置改革对于券商资产管理提供了难得的契机，发挥券商在投资银行领域的专业优势和客户资源优势进行专项理财产品设计，是券商资产管理业务开拓高端客户的主要方向。     

Universal Banking, Asset Management, and Stock Underwriting

This paper examines institutions that underwrite IPOs and have asset management divisions from 1993 through 1998. We provide evidence that these firms use asset management funds as vehicles to help them earn more equity underwriting business. We also show that asset managers affiliated with IPO underwriters use their superior information about their own institution's IPOs to earn annualised market adjusted returns 7.6% above asset managers of firms who did not underwrite the IPO. Superior future returns by asset managers who trade affiliated IPOs are dependent on the information environment for the IPO and the underwriter reputation rank.     

Revisiting the European Asset Management Industry

During the last decade, the European asset management industry has undergone a period of unprecedented change. Europe has witnessed ten years of financial integration, driven in particular by various regulatory initiatives. But Europe has also been transformed in the geopolitical sense, with 12 new Member States and millions of new citizens of the European Union. Add to that a decade of rapid globalization and one financial crisis of historical proportions. But while Europe and its financial markets have evolved and the asset management industry has transformed itself, academic research has not kept pace. During the last ten years or so, the lack of systematic research on the structural dimensions of the asset management industry is striking. This article fills this gap by providing a comprehensive overview of the European asset management industry at the end of the first decade of the 21^st century. We seek to provide explanations to the various differences observed between European countries. Using prior research as a basis, we also compare the characteristics of the industry to their standing at the turn of the century. This also includes assessing whether and to what extent the forecasts provided in prior research did materialize. We also try to find reasons for cases in which they did not. Finally, we ourselves offer a number of prognoses on the development of the European asset management over the coming years.     

资管新规延期的原因及对策研究

资管新规的延期有利于处置存量资产,有助于减轻银行表内压力,有利于降低信用风险爆发概率,有利于平滑理财产品收益,也有助于实体经济应对疫情冲击。但是资管新规延期后,仍然面临着存量资产处置难、新产品发行接受度不高、机构转型动力不足等问题。为了避免资管新规一延再延,维护政策的严肃性、权威性,监管部门应提出退出路径、加强预期管理、明确奖惩措施、统一监管规则,并实行宽严相济、灵活有度的政策,保证资产管理行业转型真正落地生效。     

利率市场化条件下我国商业银行资产负债管理技术研究

随着货币市场的完善和利率市场化的发展,利率对我国商业银行收益水平的影响开始显现,适时引入资产负债管理技术对我国商业银行盈利水平的提高具有重要的现实意义和应用价值。本文以我国部分商业银行收益状况分析为基础,通过对目前国外主要资产负债管理技术的回顾,提出了符合我国国情的商业银行资产负债管理技术策略。     

The Timing of Asset Sales: Evidence of Earnings Management?

This paper presents empirical evidence from a sample of publicly traded Singaporean firms on the question: to what extent do firms manage earnings through the timing of asset sales? Previous studies have focused on accounting motives behind asset sales, ignoring the need to also consider economic motives. Some empirical evidence is provided to support the hypothesis that managers of firms with decreasing net earnings–per–share smooth earnings upwards using asset sales.     

The Effect of VaR Based Risk Management on Asset Prices and the Volatility Smile

Value-at-risk (VaR) has become the standard criterion for assessing risk in the financial industry. Given the widespread usage of VaR, it becomes increasingly important to study the effects of VaR based risk management on the prices of stocks and options. We solve a continuous-time asset pricing model, based on Lucas (1978) and Basak and Shapiro (2001), to investigate these effects. We find that the presence of risk managers tends to reduce market volatility, as intended. However, in some cases VaR risk management undesirably raises the probability of extreme losses. Finally, we demonstrate that option prices in an economy with VaR risk managers display a volatility smile.     

New Evidence on Optimal Asset Allocation

Brocato and Steed (1998) showed that portfolio rebalancing based on NBER business cycle turning points substantially improves in‐sample Markowitz efficiency. In a similar vein, we investigate potential improvements from rebalancing based on turning points in the monetary cycle. We find that the monetary cycle has greater influence than the business cycle on the variance/covariance structure of multiple asset classes. Furthermore, we find substantial improvements in in‐sample efficiency beyond a buy‐and‐hold strategy and the business‐cycle approach. Importantly, our indicator of monetary cycle turning points has a practical advantage over NBER business cycle turning points, in that it relies only on ex ante information. In out‐of‐sample tests, we continue to find superior portfolio performance after transactions costs using the monetary cycle to time portfolio rebalancing.     

Earnings Management Using Asset Sales: An International Study of Countries Allowing Noncurrent Asset Revaluation

Bartov (1993) demonstrates that US firms time asset sales to smooth income and affect debt/equity relationships. This study examines earnings management behavior through asset sales in countries that allow asset revaluation: Australia/New Zealand (ANZ) and the United Kingdom (UK). Earnings management behavior differs across these two country groups when their accounting rules differed prior to 1993, but is similar during the 1993–95 period when the UK implemented FRS 3 . The results also find that revaluer companies do not use asset sales to smooth income in ANZ nor in the UK after FRS 3 was implemented in 1993. UK revaluers (prior to FRS 3 ) and both countries' non-revaluers sell assets consistent with income smoothing.     

我国金融资产管理公司商业化转型研究

金融资产管理公司既是我国经济金融体制改革的产物,也是我国金融体系不断自我发展、自我完善的需要。目前金融资产管理公司政策性资产处置工作基本完成,商业化转型将成为未来的趋势。本文基于金融战略视角,借鉴国外的转型经验,从探讨资产管理公司继续存在的必要性入手,结合我国实际情况分析资产管理公司转型的现实条件和转型目标,提出我国资产管理公司商业化转型应该分步实施:第一步,使资产管理公司成功向商业化的综合性资产管理公司转型;第二步,逐渐向现代投资银行过渡;第三步,在现代投资银行基础上向大型金融控股集团公司发展。     

论契约型资管产品的增值税纳税人资格

关于管理人运用契约型资管产品销售金融商品,以管理人为其增值税纳税人的安排,悖离了交易逻辑,致使管理人权责配置严重失衡.对此,应赋予契约型资管产品以增值税纳税人资格,将其设置为该交易的增值税纳税人.基于功能主义范式,从实现纳税人应有的制度功能角度出发,有必要赋予契约型资管产品以增值税纳税人资格.而监管规则对契约型资管产品...     

货币政策目标、资产价格波动与最优货币政策

货币政策目标的实现程度是判定货币政策优劣的标准。通过建立中央银行的决策模型,推导出忽略和考虑资产价格的最优货币供应量反应函数,并据此对中国不同货币政策目标下的宏观经济运行进行模拟,以认识货币政策目标对资产价格波动与最优货币政策之间关系的影响,结果表明最优货币政策是否应该对资产价格的波动反应取决于货币政策目标。因此,应充分重视货币政策目标的取向,同时加强对最优货币政策目标确定的研究。