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1.
In this article, we have employed ‘shutdown’ methodology, not used before in the Indian context, to study the relative importance of alternative channels of monetary policy transmission. We have, for the first time, studied the impact of monetary policy on consumer price index (CPI) inflation. In response to a shock to the operating target, the maximum decline in gross domestic product growth occurs with a lag of two to three quarters, while the impact on inflation (both CPI and wholesale price index) is felt with a lag of three to four quarters. The interest rate channel is found to be the most dominant channel of monetary policy transmission in India.  相似文献   

2.
    
A New Keynesian model estimated for India yields valuable insights. Aggregate demand reacts to interest rate changes with a lag of three quarters, while inflation takes four quarters to respond to demand conditions. Inflation thus responds to monetary policy actions with a lag of seven quarters. Inflation is inertial and persistent when it sets in, irrespective of the source. Exchange rate pass-through to domestic inflation is low. Inflation turns out to be the dominant focus of monetary policy, accompanied by a strong commitment to the stabilization of output.  相似文献   

3.
三元悖论理论因为其直观性被当做相关制度选择的标准,在研究了1971—1990年间德国的经验后发现,尽管在三元悖论框架下选择浮动汇率制度和资本开放,获得货币政策的独立性是可行的,但德国中央银行为了经济的良好运行,会有选择性地放弃货币政策的独立性。德国的经验告诉我们,资本账户的开放应该以货币政策的有效性为基础,一国经济政策的选择应该以经济长期稳定均衡发展为依据,单纯以货币政策的独立性作为政策选择的参考标准会有失偏颇。  相似文献   

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