保增长与促增长

中国是世界上最大的发展中国家，其经济发展依赖外贸拉动的情况由来已久主要原因在于内需不够旺盛。前年发端于美国的全球金融危机，重创中国“外向型”企业浙江私人加工企业、珠江三角洲的“三来一补”企业和加工型企业一夜之间倒闭了一半出口受阻，产品积压，应收账款打了水漂，失业人口迅速增加，原来撑起中国经济半壁江山的外贸这个经济支柱顿时倾斜．中国经济也陷入危机。     

城市收入增长、经济增长及物价增长同步性研究

通过EXCEL将1990-2012年全国有关城市收入增长、经济增长和物价增长的数据做三者差值图,得出结论:收入增长与经济增长相关性较好,与城市物价增长相关性较差,城市物价增长与经济增长相关性也较差。     

税收增长与经济增长的分析

政府财政收入的主要来源是税收,税收作为市场经济中不可缺少的一项政府行为,其重要性是不言而喻的。经济发展与税收的增长之间存在着密切的联系,一方面经济决定税收收入,另一方面税收又反作用于经济发展,对经济发展起到了极大的调整功能。本文从税收与经济增长关系的一般原理出发,对税收增长与经济增长进行实证分析。     

怎样保增长 保怎样的增长

2009年是新世纪以来我国经济社会发展最困难的一年,也是我们国家在逆境中面对严峻考验的一年。面对金融危机的冲击,党中央坚持把保持经济平稳较快发展作为首要任务,坚持积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策,全面实施并不断完善应对危机的一揽子刺激计     

包容性增长

01谁最早提出？ 进入21世纪后,亚洲各国在保持经济高速增长的同时,国内收入差距日益扩大,收入和非收入的不平等不利于该地区经济的持续增长和社会稳定。亚洲开发银行基于此背景提出了“包容性增长”的理念,倡导机会平等的增长,通过消除由个人背景不平等所造成的机会不平等,最终缩小收入的不平等。     

经济增长与就业增长关系分析

文章对近年来我国三大产业结构的变化、经济与就业增长两者间的关系进行了分析,并提出了拉动就业增长措施,希望能对未来我国经济发展有所裨益。     

增长遐想

明晰的产权、合理的市场监管、高质量的司法体制以及较强的政府执政能力,是一国经济增长过程中最本质的前提和最具决定性的力量。     

论我国经济增长与就业增长的和谐性

经济持续增长和充分就业是宏观经济运行的理想状态,也是世界各国政府制订宏观经济政策的主要目标。在现代西方经济学中,这两个指标的相互关系问题一直都备受经济学界关注,随着我国市场经济体制的确立和不断完善,关于两者之间的相互关系成为我国宏观经济领域需要深入研究的重要课题。本文就经济增长与就业在中国的非一致性关系进行分析,并结合我国国情提出实现中国经济增长与就业增长和谐性的建议。     

Indian Economy: Growth Performance and Prospects of Transitioning the Growth Trajectory

After a prolonged period of underperformance, Indian economy picked up momentum during the 1980s and 1990s. After 2001, it even had a period of stellar economic growth and the real gross domestic product growth rate came tantalizingly close to double digit. Optimists began to believe that India could emulate China's sustained superlative economic performance. The author argues that this amounts to stretching optimism. There is still a long list of macroeconomic reform and restructuring measures that have been ignored. Whether it will be able to emulate China will essentially depend on doing what was left undone in the past.     

Uncertainty and Growth of the Firm

Using data from a survey of 1,097 small and medium-sized non-listed Dutch firms we investigate the relation between growth of the firm and uncertainty. We focus on the impact of sales uncertainty on various types of investment. We find that sales uncertainty, measured by the conditional variance, has a mixed impact on various investment decisions. We include an analysis of the relevance of financial structure and firm size on the growth-uncertainty relation.     

On the Autocorrelation of Growth Rates

This paper studies the serial autocorrelation of annual growth rates in employment for selected Austrian service industries over a 30-year period using quantile regression techniques. The autocorrelation of growth rates provides important information on firms growth processes. We find that the growth patterns of micro firms are strikingly different from the growth patterns of small, medium-sized and larger firms. First, we do find a positive dependency of growth on size for growing micro firms, while this relationship is negative for the other size groups. Second, growing micro firms are subject to negative autocorrelation of annual growth rates making sustained growth a very rate occurrence, while larger growing firms usually display a positive autocorrelation suggesting that high growth episodes of larger firms stretch over a longer time horizon. This indicates that the growth of micro firms in particular is characterized by a rather lumpy growth profile. Furthermore, we find that the autocorrelation patterns are asymmetric with regard to decline and growth.     

中国“自然增长率”与经济长波主体的内在关联性研究

改革开放以来,中国经济增长形成了一轮迄今已经30年的长波轨迹。中国经济增长接近"自然增长率"是形成经济长波的必要条件,"自然增长率"与经济长波之间存在内在关联。中国经济长波的初始阶段是"总供给单因素驱动"阶段,而当总需求成为经济均衡的短边因素后,经济长波开始进入主体区位,并且经济增长的稳定性逐步加强。中国经济长波的期限结构具有整体上的对称性,因此可以预期中国经济长波的尾部仍然具有接近"自然增长率"的稳定属性。     

中国税收超GDP增长之谜的实证解释

本文实证分析中国税收连年超GDP增长的原因，其结论是：分税制改革以来各地区税收征管效率年均提高值9．6％，征管效率提高较大的省份集中在东部经济相对发达地区；总税收对GDP的增长弹性约为1．1，工商业增加值、企业利润和劳动者报酬等的增长不同程度地促进相关税收增长；总税收对税收征管效率提高的弹性约为0．43，税收征管效率提高每年促进税收增长约4．1％，税收征管效率对税收增长的作用主要体现在所得税和增值税上。     

城市化与潜在增长率:基于长期视角的增长效应评估

从单个国家不同阶段的纵向来观察,城市化与经济增长之间的相关性强弱程度存在显著差异;横向跨国对比来看,不同国家城市化率与经济增长之间的关系也不存在统一的范式,城市化既可能是经济增长的结果,也可能是经济增长的动力。中国未来城市化的速度将不可避免地放缓,人口结构也将逐步跨越老龄化的时间窗口,这会对潜在的经济增长能力产生负面冲击;同时,中国分散型的城市化抑制了创新、规模经济和专业分工带来的增长效应;中国城市化进程表现出了较强的"中心偏向","中心—外围"式的城市化层级结构扩大了区域差距。     

Modelling the Growth Strategies of British Firms

The clothing industry was one of the most important sources of employment in the UK economy prior to 1914, especially for women. Yet, apart from the supposed dominance by sweaters, little is known about it. The article considers the long-term development of the industry by providing new estimates for industry output and productivity growth over the period. The 1860s and the 1890s are shown to be the two periods when significantly higher gains in efficiency were generated compared to any other period before 1948. The 1860s was the decade when sewing machine sales began. The 1890s was the decade when sales of sewing machines in the UK peaked, as previously unpublished evidence shows. The article concludes that the industry was almost certainly transformed by the introduction of the new and improved sewing machine of the 1880s and 1890s.     

关注增长的“质量”

2005年的经济增长中,引起最大关注的将是经济增长的质量彩电大战、手机大战、空调大战,近年来,市场上似乎什么都不缺,什么商品都在降价,消费者已经习惯了在买方市场中享受价廉物美的商品。与此同时,很多产品提供商却感觉到生产什么积压什么,销量每况愈下。产业界一直在呼吁惨烈的价格战对于产业本身的损害,学术界关于“过剩经济”是否到来的争论也甚嚣尘上。有专家指出,目前国内经济的这种“过剩”是在经济发展水平较低的情况下出现的,我国人均GDP只有800美元,仅相当于世界平均水平的16%,人均电力消费仅相当于世界平均水平的35%,所以即使…     

Development and Growth of the Business Class

Abstract

Air travel is forecasted to be a strong growth market for the 90s. An annual growth rate of over 4% is being predicted until the end of the century. Comprising 20% of the seats and 40% of the overall revenues, the business travel segment had assumed an important strategic focus within the airline industry. This study looks at the competitive issues involved in meeting the demands of the business traveler, especially in the light of the changing relationships between those who supply the product, those who distribute, and those who use it. With corporate America along with the rest of the world continuing to do more business, but with less travel, this study looks at some of the changes that the airline industry can implement to lure business travelers back. Finally, a model is proposed, which the airlines can use to adopt to the changing needs of the market.