浅议实物期权理论在连锁租赁酒店项目投资决策中的应用

中国经济型连锁酒店连锁经营的模式意味着新项目的投资能够带来增长的机会,同时由于处于激烈的市场竞争环境中,新项目投资存在较多不确定因素,传统的投资评价方法往往不能反映这些因素的影响。实物期权理论为企业项目投资提供了机会管理和动态规划的思想,相较于传统的静态评价方法,实物期权理论考虑到了机会和不确定性为企业发展带来价值,为资本预算管理决策提供了新思路。然而不确定因素的复杂性及其量化衡量以及成为实物期权评价模型在实务推广中的障碍。本文将从实践出发分析实务期权模型在中国经济连锁酒店项目投资中的适用性和应用前景。     

浅议实物期权理论在连锁租赁酒店项目投资决策中的应用

中国经济型连锁酒店连锁经营的模式意味着新项目的投资能够带来增长的机会,同时由于处于激烈的市场竞争环境中,新项目投资存在较多不确定因素,传统的投资评价方法往往不能反映这些因素的影响。实物期权理论为企业项目投资提供了机会管理和动态规划的思想,相较于传统的静态评价方法,实物期权理论考虑到了机会和不确定性为企业发展带来价值,为资本预算管理决策提供了新思路。然而不确定因素的复杂性及其量化衡量以及成为实物期权评价模型在实务推广中的障碍。本文将从实践出发分析实务期权模型在中国经济连锁酒店项目投资中的适用性和应用前景。     

王迁：公共租赁房可率先突破

＂新36条＂提出了鼓励民间投资进入的若干领域,本刊特专访中国国际工程咨询公司5位行业咨询与项目评估的资深专家,力图为投资者廓清政策要点,提示投资机会     

寻找具有经济护城河特质的上市公司之钢铁系列

经济护城河指一家公司相对于竞争对手或潜在对手所拥有的竞争优势。寻找具有经济护城河特长的上市公司并长期持有其股票,是价值投资的核心精髓行业自身的特点在很大程度上决定了业内公司是否拥有经济护城河。目前,我国钢行业具有产品竞争同质化严重,行业进入门槛和产品     

郭锐:食品饮料:最坏时刻已然过去

第三、四季度是食品饮料业传统的消费旺季,考虑到今年上半年行业仍持续较高景气度,行业部分个股已经具备投资机会。若受市场系统风险影响,此轮补跌能使食品饮料行业龙头公司出现价值低估,这将给长线投资者提供良好的建仓机会。     

王家炜 电子元器件:估值明显偏高

进入09年,电子元器件表现枪眼,但这种脱离行业基本面的表现并不会持续太久。就估值而言,行业安全边际明显不足,行业缺乏整体性的价值投资机会。经过此轮上涨,行业很有可能面临大幅回落的风险。     

某龙头铸件项目的质量控制研究

随着市场竞争日趋激烈,各生产企业对产品质量的要求日益提高,采用新工艺、新技术,是提高产品质量的重要措施.随着全球金融危机的爆发,制造企业增速放慢,市场竞争更加激烈.只有增强自身的竞争力,降低产品的成本,提高产品的质量,充分做好开源节流,才能在金融危机中寻求到生存空间.在龙头制造行业中,企业的产品质量同样直接影响着企业的市场竞争力和发展.如何开源节流,减少成本,改善质量;如何反过来利用金融危机的环境,在市场萧条的环境下,抢占市场份额,击败甚至大幅度的领先竞争对手,提高产品质量,进行质量改善,降低成本,已经成为该企业目前需要解决的首要问题.在这场全球化的危机中,战略管理和项目管理将起到关键性的作用.高质量地完成项目是企业赖以生存的关键,而成功的项目质量管理又是高质量完成项目的关键.     

我国上市公司现金持有政策的价值效应——基于产品市场竞争的经验证据

竞争的充分信息比较理论与破产清算理论表明,产品市场竞争有助于提升企业的现金持有政策价值效应.本文基于现金持有政策的平均价值效应与边际价值效应探讨了产品市场竞争对现金持有政策价值效应的影响.研究发现:产品市场竞争能够显著地增加企业现金持有政策的价值效应但边际价值效应呈现正向递减性.为究其原因,本文进一步对现金持有政策的价值效应作出了检验.结果表明:相对于竞争性行业而言,垄断性行业中,产品市场竞争对其现金持有政策的正向价值效应影响程度更大:相对于整体上不易陷入财务困境的行业而言,处于整体上较易陷入财务困境的行业,产品市场竞争对其现金持有政策价值效应的正向影响程度更大.     

关于中资企业投资尼泊尔水电项目的分析

本文基于尼泊尔水电行业发展状况和政府吸引外资的有关政策,主要通过等级尺度法分析了中资企业赴尼投资水电项目的投资机会和投资环境.     

2012年中国私募股权投资行业十大事件

2012年，中国私募股权投资行业经历资本盛宴后进入“寒冬”，市场活跃度大幅下降，基金募资、投资与退出持续疲软。激烈市场竞争与退出渠道收窄的双重压力下，中国PE行业正逐渐进入深度调整期，洗牌与整合加速进行，行业生态也正呈现出新的面貌——投资价值回归、竞争格局多元化、政策监管趋于明朗。而梳理这一转变背后具体而微的事件，则更有利于我们理解其真正意义所在。就此，ChinaVenture投中集团基于旗下金融数据产品CVSource掌握的市场运行状态，盘点行业热点及发展趋势，总结出“2012年中国私募股权投资行业十大事件”     

Bayesian Premium Rating with Latent Structure

We propose a fully Bayesian approach to non-life risk premium rating, based on hierarchical models with latent variables for both claim frequency and claim size. Inference is based on the joint posterior distribution and is performed by Markov Chain Monte Carlo. Rather than plug-in point estimates of all unknown parameters, we take into account all sources of uncertainty simultaneously when the model is used to predict claims and estimate risk premiums. Several models are fitted to both a simulated dataset and a small portfolio regarding theft from cars. We show that interaction among latent variables can improve predictions significantly. We also investigate when interaction is not necessary. We compare our results with those obtained under a standard generalized linear model and show through numerical simulation that geographically located and spatially interacting latent variables can successfully compensate for missing covariates. However, when applied to the real portfolio data, the proposed models are not better than standard models due to the lack of spatial structure in the data.     

The development of the group accounts disclosure system in Japan

The Japanese disclosure system of consolidated statements was introduced in 1977 and extensively revised in 1997. The role of the bureaucracy has been significant in these developments and seems to be part of Japan's closed culture. However, other explanations could also be applied. In particular, although Japanese firms opposed such disclosures on the basis of preparation costs, the Japanese government had to modernize the disclosure system, including consolidation, in order to develop the securities market regardless of an individual company's interests.     

Moments of Compound Mixed Poisson Distributions

Recursive formulae are derived for the evaluation of the moments and the descending factorial moments about a point n of mixed Poisson and compound mixed Poisson distributions, in the case where the derivative of the logarithm of the mixing density can be written as a ratio of polynomials. As byproduct, we also obtain recursive formulae for the evaluation of the moments about the origin, central moments, descending and ascending factorial moments of these distributions. Examples are also presented for a number of mixing densities.     

The designing of corporate accounting law in Japan after the Second World War

After the Second World War, during the neutralization of the controlled economy of wartime Japan, a design for a Corporate Accounting Law was elaborated by the Investigation Committee on the Business Accounting System. The Investigation Committee tried to establish not only new business accounting standards but also a central and independent administrative organ of corporate accounting regulation on the basis of the Corporate Accounting Law. The Corporate Accounting Law was expected to lay the legal foundation of the new corporate accounting regulation regime in Japan. Nevertheless, even though the original design of the fundamental accounting law was never realized, it should be considered the starting point for our understanding of external accounting history in post-war Japan.     

The deliberation around accounting techniques: accounting for depreciation and foreign exchange in an Indian jute company, 1870-1900

This paper examines the way two accounting techniques, namely depreciation and foreign exchange, were deliberated on, between 1870 and 1900, in an Indian jute company whose shareholders resided in the UK. The arena for these deliberations was the conflictual relationship between controlling and non-controlling shareholders as to how best to account for depreciation and foreign exchange especially when the particular accountings affected distributional issues such as the dividend decision. The purpose of this paper is to analyse and explain the processes by which a company's accounting practices emerge and develop as a contest between different interests. Accounting framed the parameters of the deliberations and provided the language of power and dissent. The paper uses a rich archive that includes narrative and accounting material.     

Pricing Dynamic Insurance Risks Using the Principle of Equivalent Utility

We introduce an expected utility approach to price insurance risks in a dynamic financial market setting. The valuation method is based on comparing the maximal expected utility functions with and without incorporating the insurance product, as in the classical principle of equivalent utility. The pricing mechanism relies heavily on risk preferences and yields two reservation prices - one each for the underwriter and buyer of the contract. The framework is rather general and applies to a number of applications that we extensively analyze.     

Guidelines for Manuscripts Submitted to The China Journal of Accounting Research

正The China Journal of Accounting Research"CJAR"(ISSN 1755-3091)publishes quarterly.It contains peer-reviewed articles and commentaries on accounting,auditing and corporate governance issues that relate to the greater China region.We welcome the submission of both theoretical and empirical research papers pertinent to researchers,regulators and practitioners.Authors should note:1 Submissions must be original     

International harmonization of Japanese accounting standards

Historically, Japanese accounting standards have been quite distinct from International Accounting Standards (IASs) which have been perceived as being modelled on British-American accounting standards. However, in the 1990s, after the publication of E32 in 1989 and the IASC-IOSCO Agreement in 1995, the Business Accounting Deliberation Committee (BADC), the standards-setting body in Japan, has pursued a policy of harmonization with IASs. Accounting standards relating to consolidated financial statements of companies that make cross-border offerings of securities or operate worldwide are being revised drastically. This paper focuses on the development of international accounting harmonization and its impact on Japan.     

Commodity financialization and sector ETFs: Evidence from crude oil futures

We investigate the diversification benefits of energy assets in the setting of commodity financialization using data on crude oil futures and Sector ETFs (SPDRs). Correlations between commodities and financial assets increased during the post-Commodity Futures Modernization Act (CFMA)/commodity bull cycle period, resulting in lower benefits of diversification. However, we find that conditional correlations between crude oil futures and sector ETFs meaningfully increased only since the 2008–09 financial crisis. The results therefore suggest that the financial crisis, rather than CFMA regulation, explains changes in the diversification benefits of commodities. Moreover, we find that oil futures returns are less correlated with SPDRs than with the S&P index. Thus, energy futures, and crude oil in particular, offer the potential for diversification benefits in sector-style investing.     

Dutch accounting in Japan 1609-1850: isolation or observation?

The trading station or factory maintained by the Dutch East India Company (VOC) was Japan's sole window on the Western world during most of the Tokugawa period (1600-1868). While many aspects of the factory's role in Dutch/Japanese cultural exchange have been researched little is known in the West of the accounting at the factory. This paper considers the possibility that double-entry bookkeeping employed by the Dutch may have been diffused to the Japanese. The available evidence is synthesized after considering the accounting system in the Dutch factory.